NYSE: NI

NiSource (NI) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$39.10−0.32 (−0.8%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

NiSource shares closed at $39.10 this week, essentially flat as attention centered on analyst actions and regulatory matters. BMO Capital adjusted its price target on the stock, citing regulatory focus, while Argus lowered its target to $49 from $52 but maintained a Buy rating. Separate commentary pointed to NiSource's long-term growth update and its role as a regulated natural gas and power provider across six states through its Columbia Gas and NIPSCO subsidiaries, alongside the company's release of its 2025 Sustainability Report.

The stock trades below both its 50-day average of $42.22 and its 200-day average of $44.89, with the 50-day sitting below the 200-day, reflecting a period of declining momentum. Shares sit within the 52-week range of $38.95 to $49.21. The GekkoIndex reads 73.7, placing NiSource in the Buying zone. Price stands 5.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $37.19.

Looking ahead, NiSource's next earnings report is scheduled for 4 November 2026, 36 days out, which falls outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonality data covering five years shows the next 20 trading days from this point averaged a -0.3% return, with gains in 3 of those years. Analyst sentiment overall remains heavily weighted toward Buy ratings, with a consensus target of $49.86 among 10 firms tracked.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

NiSource price vs fair value

$39.10$37.19Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $39.10200-day averageGekko Fair Value $37.19

NiSource quick facts

Market cap
$18.75B
P/E ratio
20.9
Forward P/E
17.4
EPS, TTM
$1.87
Revenue, TTM
$6.88B
Profit margin
13.2%
Dividend yield
1.48%
Beta
0.54
Volume
5.93M avg 5.62M
1-year return
−6.5%
Typical daily move
±1.5%
Typical 20-day move
±3.5%
50-day average
$42.22
200-day average
$44.89
Next earnings
Nov 4
Shares outstanding
479.6M
52-week range
$38.95$49.21

NiSource swing-trade checklist

NiSource scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $39.10 is below the 50-day ($42.22) and 200-day ($44.89) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    73.7, Buying

    Reading 73.7 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    5.1% above

    Price is 5.1% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 36 days

    Next report Nov 4, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    −0.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.3% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

NiSource stock chart and price history

NiSource closed at $39.10 on Sep 28, 2026, −6.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $38.95 to $49.21.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
NiSource share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$40$42$44$46$48NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep39.10

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−4.5%
3 months
−18.8%
6 months
−14.9%
1 year
−6.5%
The full NI chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open NI in Gekko

Follow NiSource through every session

Put NI on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track NI in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

About NiSource

NiSource supplies natural gas and electricity as a regulated utility within the United States. It delivers natural gas to homes, businesses, and industrial customers through an extensive distribution and transmission pipeline network spanning Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Kentucky, and Maryland, and it generates and distributes electricity to customers across northern Indiana, alongside wholesale electric and transmission activity.

The company runs through two segments, Columbia Operations and NIPSCO Operations. Its electricity comes from a mix of sources, including steam coal stations, a combined cycle gas turbine, natural gas generating units, hydro plants, wind installations, and solar facilities located across several Indiana counties. It was previously called NIPSCO Industries, Inc. before adopting the NiSource name in 1999.

NiSource traces its founding back to 1847 and is headquartered in Merrillville, Indiana. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker NI.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Utilities
Industry
Gas distributors
Website
nisource.com

NiSource GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

NiSource’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 73.7, in the Buying zone, up 1.9 points over five sessions.

010073.7Buying

Up 1.9 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)18+0.3%−0.5%+1.1%+8.0%
Accumulation148+0.9%+1.0%+1.9%+5.5%
Neutral459+0.2%+0.7%+1.5%+3.7%
Distribution46+0.1%+0.3%+0.4%+4.5%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average NI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the NI price, zone by zone.Track NI in Gekko

Is NiSource stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

NiSource trades 5.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $37.19, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what NiSource shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$37.19

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

5.1% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open NI in Gekko

NiSource insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for NiSource, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for NI in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every NI insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NI in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in NI were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for NI, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NI in Gekko

Buybacks

NiSource has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Mar 31, 2024
$500.1M
As a share of market cap
2.67%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold NI.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

NiSource earnings: next date and track record

NiSource reports on Nov 4, 2026 (36 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+2.1%Oct ’24+3.0%Feb ’25+0.6%May ’25−1.2%Aug ’25−2.9%Oct ’25+1.0%Feb ’26−2.4%May ’26−2.6%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
NiSource’s Q2 2026 call focused on reaffirming the company’s regulated utility strategy, updates on data center (GenCo) progress, regulatory activity (notably the recent Indiana TDSIC order), and operational and financial performance. Management reported consolidated adjusted EPS of $0.16 for Q2 and YTD adjusted EPS of $1.22 (up $0.03 YoY). They emphasized disciplined capital deployment, operational excellence, AI-enabled efficiencies, and regulatory execution (rate filings in Virginia and Kentucky; IURC approvals for data center agreements). Data center activity remains a key growth driver (4 GW signed, active negotiations for another 3 GW and 2 GW pipeline) and is expected to return $1.4 billion in customer savings over life of contracts. Management acknowledged higher O&M from storm activity and elevated expenses tied to workforce continuity amid union negotiations but reiterated confidence in full-year commitments and recovery mechanisms. GenCo segment reporting is expected by the end of the fiscal year. Management is digesting an Indiana TDSIC order issued during the call and expects to pursue recovery through available mechanisms (TDSIC, FMCA, rate cases) while continuing to engage regulators on affordability issues.
Guidance
Management reaffirmed that they remain on track to deliver on full-year commitments and that earnings growth is expected to be weighted to the second half of 2026. They expect GenCo (data center) segment reporting to begin by the end of the fiscal year. Management stated they have line of sight to over $40 million of cost-optimization initiatives and that approved recovery mechanisms and regulatory activity (including rate implementations and Alphabet energization activity) will support second-half performance. They did not provide specific numeric revenue or EPS guidance changes during the call.
Risks flagged
Regulatory risk tied to the recent Indiana TDSIC order and broader affordability scrutiny; potential delays or limitations on capital recovery mechanisms; elevated O&M from severe weather/storm activity; ongoing union negotiations and related workforce costs; political and regulatory rhetoric in Indiana which could affect rate-making; uncertainty inherent in execution of large data-center agreements until contracts are disclosed and energizations occur.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026$0.16
est $0.15
+6.7%$1.34B
est $1.15B
+17.0%−2.6%
May 6, 2026$1.06
est $1.05
+1.0%$2.36B
est $2.52B
−6.3%−2.4%
Feb 11, 2026$0.51
est $0.50
+2.0%$1.90B
est $1.43B
+33.0%+1.0%
Oct 29, 2025$0.19
est $0.20
−5.0%$1.27B
est $1.20B
+6.1%−2.9%
Aug 6, 2025$0.22
est $0.21
+7.3%$1.28B
est $1.21B
+5.7%−1.2%
May 7, 2025$0.98
est $0.90
+9.4%$2.18B
est $2.16B
+1.2%+0.6%
Feb 12, 2025$0.49
est $0.50
−2.3%$1.59B
est $1.78B
−10.6%+3.0%
Oct 30, 2024$0.20
est $0.16
+25.0%$1.08B
est $986.0M
+9.2%+2.1%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

NiSource stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for NiSource is $49.86, +27.5% from the last close, from 10 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$49.86consensus 12-month target, +27.5% from the last close
Low $45High $52
Buy9
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 10 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 28BMO CapitalBuy, reiterated$45+15.1%
Sep 1J.P. MorganBuy, maintained$52+33.0%
Aug 26Mizuho SecuritiesBuy, maintained$48+22.8%
Aug 21Wells FargoBuy, maintained$52+33.0%
Aug 17Evercore ISIHold, maintained$52+33.0%
+1.1%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
−0.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

NiSource seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, NiSource averaged −0.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+4.6%2021−9.9%2022−2.0%2023+3.3%2024+2.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−0.9%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.9%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−0.1%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days−0.3%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days−0.7%3 of 5

For scale, NI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.5%.

NiSource market cap and key statistics

NiSource’s market cap is $18.75B, with a P/E ratio of 20.9 and revenue of $6.88B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$18.75B
P/E ratio
20.9
Forward P/E
17.4
EPS, TTM
$1.87
Gekko Fair Value
$37.19

Trading

Volume
5.93M
Avg volume, 20 days
5.62M
52-week high
$49.21
52-week low
$38.95
Shares outstanding
479.6M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$6.88B
Profit margin
13.2%
Return on equity
8.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−58.4%

Risk and income

Beta
0.54
Typical daily move
±1.5%
Typical 20-day move
±3.5%
Dividend yield
1.48%

NiSource stock news this week

Coverage of NiSource this week reads neutral: 4 positive, 7 neutral and 5 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

NiSource peers

NiSource’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
TRGPTarga Resources−1.2%Accumulation7.3% below
SRESempra−1.3%Buying16.1% below
CQPCheniere Energy Partners−1.1%Accumulation33.9% below
ATOAtmos Energy−0.3%Buying10.4% below
SWXSouthwest Gas+0.1%Buying13.5% below
BKHBlack Hills−1.1%Accumulation10.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

NiSource stock FAQ

What is NiSource’s market cap?

NiSource’s market cap is $18.75B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $39.10, with 479.6M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 20.9.

What is the NiSource stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for NiSource is $49.86, +27.5% from the last close. Of the 10 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 9 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is NiSource stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate NiSource is overvalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $39.10 is 5.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $37.19. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does NiSource report earnings next?

NiSource is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026 (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.20 per share on revenue of $1.35B. NiSource beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 2% on average across the report.

What is NiSource’s 52-week high and low?

NiSource’s 52-week high is $49.21 and its 52-week low is $38.95; it closed at $39.10 on Sep 28, 2026, −6.5% over the past year.

Is NiSource stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See NiSource the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,380 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.