Suzano (SUZ) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$8.57−0.12 (−1.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Suzano's stock rose this week after the company announced pulp price increases across its main markets starting in October, including $50 per metric ton in the Americas and Europe and $20 in Asia, intended to support realized pricing following a decline in net revenue. Separately, commentary this week described Suzano as a global pulp leader with US$9.0 billion in net revenue and a 42% EBITDA margin, pointing to disciplined growth, forestry productivity, cost reduction and expansion through joint ventures.

Shares closed at $8.57, down 1.4%, sitting below both the 50-day average of $8.68 and the 200-day average of $9.12, with the 50-day itself below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 63.7, placing SUZ in the Accumulation zone. Against this backdrop, price stands 41.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $14.57, a gap the checklist marks as supportive.

The next earnings report is due 5 November 2026, before the open, which falls outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report showed a 13.5% reaction. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point in the calendar have averaged a 2.3% return over 5 years, rising in 2 of those years. The single analyst covering the stock carries a buy rating with a $12.56 price target.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Suzano price vs fair value

▲$14.57$8.57Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $8.57200-day averageGekko Fair Value $14.57

Suzano quick facts

Market cap
$10.59B
P/E ratio
7.2
Forward P/E
7.8
EPS, TTM
$1.22
Revenue, TTM
$47.83B
Profit margin
17.1%
Dividend yield
0.01%
Beta
0.03
Volume
2.04M avg 2.80M
1-year return
−8.5%
Typical daily move
±2.6%
Typical 20-day move
±5.8%
50-day average
$8.68
200-day average
$9.12
Next earnings
Nov 5 before open
Shares outstanding
1.23B
52-week range
$7.56$11.54

Suzano swing-trade checklist

Suzano scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $8.57 is below the 50-day ($8.68) and 200-day ($9.12) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    63.7, Accumulation

    Reading 63.7 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    41.2% below

    Price is 41.2% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 37 days

    Next report Nov 5, 2026, 37 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +2.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.3% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Suzano stock chart and price history

Suzano closed at $8.57 on Sep 28, 2026, −8.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $7.56 to $11.54.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Suzano share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$8$9$10$11NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep8.57

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−4.4%
3 months
+11.7%
6 months
−10.8%
1 year
−8.5%
The full SUZ chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open SUZ in Gekko

Follow Suzano through every session

Put SUZ on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Suzano

Suzano grows and processes eucalyptus trees into pulp and paper items that reach customers well outside Brazil, where it is rooted. It has built its name on converting fiber into printing and writing papers, paperboard and tissue, while also selling market and fluff pulp plus lignin and related byproducts.

Its work is split between a Pulp division and a Paper division, and it branches into additional areas like producing biofuel, running port terminals, generating and distributing power, and trading equipment, parts, paper and computer supplies. Day-to-day, the company manages its own office functions, packages what it produces and arranges its own financing. It also puts effort into biotech work, moving from lab research to actual output of wood-derived textile fibers, yarns and filaments made from cellulose and microfibrillated cellulose, and it studies fresh types of wood suited to textile uses.

Suzano dates back to 1924 and once carried the name Suzano Papel e Celulose S.A., switching to its current name in April 2019. It runs its headquarters out of Salvador, Brazil, and trades its shares under the ticker SUZ.

Sector
Process industries
Website
suzano.com.br

Suzano GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Suzano’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 63.7, in the Accumulation zone, up 12.2 points over five sessions.

010063.7Accumulation

Up 12.2 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying42−0.3%−1.6%−5.0%−3.4%
Accumulation (current zone)254+0.4%+0.5%+0.1%−0.4%
Neutral311−0.6%−0.8%−0.3%−1.3%
Distribution15−0.3%−2.3%−8.0%−21.0%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average SUZ share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SUZ price, zone by zone.Track SUZ in Gekko

Is Suzano stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Suzano trades 41.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $14.57, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Suzano shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$14.57

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

41.2% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SUZ in Gekko

Suzano insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Suzano, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for SUZ in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every SUZ insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SUZ in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in SUZ were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for SUZ, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SUZ in Gekko

Suzano earnings: next date and track record

Suzano reports on Nov 5, 2026, before the open (37 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.4%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

0.0%Aug ’23−0.7%Oct ’23+7.4%Aug ’24+2.7%Oct ’240.0%May ’25+8.6%Aug ’25−2.5%Nov ’25+13.5%Feb ’26

Last earnings call, Feb 10, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Suzano reported strong operational performance in 4Q 2025 and for full year 2025: record pulp shipment volumes, strong paper and packaging volumes (notably U.S. Packaging growth), continued cost reduction and improved TOD metrics, and resilient cash generation with $400 million of free cash flow in 4Q. Management highlighted operational excellence, a successful turnaround at Pine Bluff, and further competitiveness gains from mill upgrades and supply-chain improvements. The pulp market has seen price recovery driven by higher hardwood pulp demand (notably China), and management reported strengthening order intake and higher incoming prices than reported invoiced figures due to invoicing backlogs. Financially, net debt fell to $12.6 billion and leverage declined to 3.2x; Suzano upsized and re-priced its revolving credit facility, paid BRL 1.4 billion in dividends, completed a buyback and announced a new buyback program. Guidance and financial discipline include delivering 2025 CapEx in line with guidance, reducing 2026 CapEx by ~20% YoY, maintaining sizeable FX hedges, and targeting continued TOD and cash-cost improvements. The K-C JV carve-out is on track for mid-2026 but remains complex. Overall tone is constructive and confident with some caution about near-term operational interruptions and weaker international paper markets.
Guidance
2026 average cash production cost for pulp broadly in line with 4Q25 (~BRL 778/tonne). 2026 CapEx guidance reduced by nearly 20% year-over-year. Deleverage ambition: reduce net debt toward $11 billion. Expect TOD to continue declining from 2025 levels; anticipate short-term Q1/Q2 cost pressure from planned maintenance but gradual decline later in year. No explicit revenue or EBITDA numeric guidance provided aside from these operational/financial items.
Risks flagged
Risks mentioned include: weaker international paper demand and oversupply (esp. Europe and certain U.S. segments), new capacity pressure in packaging grades (SBS) and imports into Latin America at low prices, near-term cost pressure from planned maintenance outages and nonrecurring CapEx items, exposure to pulp market supply shifts (possible upstream verticalization in China), regulatory actions and license revocations in Indonesia affecting global pulp supply, complexity and execution risk of the K-C JV carve-out, and macro/FX and commodity price risks (noted in hedging discussion).
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Feb 10, 2026$0.00
est $0.04
−100.0%$2.53B
est $2.30B
+10.1%+13.5%
Nov 6, 2025$0.29
est $0.26
+12.1%$2.28B
est $2.30B
−0.8%−2.5%
Aug 6, 2025$4.04
est $0.29
+1,277.0%$2.45B
est $2.36B
+3.9%+8.6%
May 8, 2025$0.92
est $0.58
+57.9%$1.98B
est $2.38B
−17.0%0.0%
Oct 24, 2024$0.44
est $0.45
−1.0%$2.25B
est $2.16B
+4.2%+2.7%
Aug 8, 2024−$0.56
est −$0.54
−4.4%$2.06B
est $2.00B
+3.0%+7.4%
Oct 26, 2023−$0.12
est −$0.08
−50.0%——−0.7%
Aug 2, 2023$0.79
est $0.98
−19.4%——0.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Suzano stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Suzano is $12.56, +46.6% from the last close, from 1 firm rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$12.56consensus 12-month target, +46.6% from the last close
Buy1
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 1 firm.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 23Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained——
Sep 1Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$13+51.7%
Aug 24Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, upgraded$13+51.7%
+0.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+2.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Suzano seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Suzano averaged +2.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−12.2%2021+24.5%2022−3.4%2023+4.1%2024−1.4%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.7%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.0%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+0.3%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+2.3%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+3.8%3 of 5

For scale, SUZ’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.8%.

Suzano market cap and key statistics

Suzano’s market cap is $10.59B, with a P/E ratio of 7.2 and revenue of $47.83B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$10.59B
P/E ratio
7.2
Forward P/E
7.8
EPS, TTM
$1.22
Gekko Fair Value
$14.57

Trading

Volume
2.04M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.80M
52-week high
$11.54
52-week low
$7.56
Shares outstanding
1.23B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$47.83B
Profit margin
17.1%
Return on equity
17.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−64.0%

Risk and income

Beta
0.03
Typical daily move
±2.6%
Typical 20-day move
±5.8%
Dividend yield
0.01%

Suzano stock news this week

2 headlines about Suzano from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

More stocks

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Suzano stock FAQ

What is Suzano’s market cap?

Suzano’s market cap is $10.59B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $8.57, with 1.23B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 7.2.

What is the Suzano stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Suzano is $12.56, +46.6% from the last close. Of the 1 firm that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Suzano stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Suzano is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $8.57 is 41.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $14.57. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Suzano report earnings next?

Suzano is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026, before the market opens (37 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.25 per share on revenue of $2.88B. Suzano beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.4% on average across the report.

What is Suzano’s 52-week high and low?

Suzano’s 52-week high is $11.54 and its 52-week low is $7.56; it closed at $8.57 on Sep 28, 2026, −8.5% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $12.98 on Apr 2, 2024.

Is Suzano stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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