NASDAQ: RDWR

Radware (RDWR) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$29.64−1.34 (−4.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Radware's shares this week drew attention after the launch of its Agent Trust Management platform, a cloud-based solution aimed at securing AI agent interactions with applications and data, part of the company's push into the emerging AI agent economy. The company also expanded its global footprint with a new Cloud Security Service Centre in Thailand to strengthen application and API protection for local enterprises and governments. Alongside the product news, one piece raised a valuation question, noting a P/E of 75.5x that appears elevated versus peers and discounted cash flow estimates.

Radware closed at $29.64, down 4.3% on the day, but still sitting above both its 50-day average of $28.97 and its 200-day average of $27.25, with the shorter average above the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 56.6, placing the stock in the Neutral zone. Price remains 16.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $25.50.

Over the next 20 trading days, Radware reports earnings on 28 October, inside this holding window; its last report on 7 May showed EPS of $0.25 against a $0.28 estimate, with revenue cited at $80 million, up 11% year-over-year. Seasonality over five years shows a -5.3% average return across this period, with gains in only 1 of those years. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current window, and the consensus target stands at $30.50.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Radware price vs fair value

$29.64$25.50Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $29.64200-day averageGekko Fair Value $25.50

Radware quick facts

Market cap
$1.28B
P/E ratio
60
Forward P/E
26.7
EPS, TTM
$0.49
Revenue, TTM
$317.8M
Profit margin
5.3%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.87
Volume
188,903 avg 354,335
1-year return
+10.1%
Typical daily move
±3.5%
Typical 20-day move
±5.8%
50-day average
$28.97
200-day average
$27.25
Next earnings
Oct 28 before open
Shares outstanding
42.08M
52-week range
$21.68$32.79

Radware swing-trade checklist

Radware scores 1 supportive, 1 mixed and 3 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

1 supportive1 mixed3 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $29.64 is above the 50-day ($28.97) and 200-day ($27.25) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    56.6, Neutral

    Reading 56.6 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    16.2% above

    Price is 16.2% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 16 days

    Reports on Oct 28, 2026, 16 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −5.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −5.3% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Radware stock chart and price history

Radware closed at $29.64 on Oct 12, 2026, +10.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $21.68 to $32.79.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Radware share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$22$24$26$28$32NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct29.64

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+6.2%
3 months
−5.0%
6 months
+21.5%
1 year
+10.1%
The full RDWR chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open RDWR in Gekko

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About Radware

Radware builds and sells tools that protect and manage applications running in cloud platforms, physical data centers, and software-defined environments. Its security lineup includes DefensePro for network attack defense, AppWall as a web application firewall, a Kubernetes-focused WAF for containerized pipelines, and DefenseFlow for attack command and control. On the application delivery side, it offers Alteon, a load balancer and delivery controller, and LinkProof NG, a gateway for multi-homed connectivity across on-premise and cloud setups.

Beyond these core products, Radware runs subscription and service offerings such as a security updates feed, an attacker intelligence feed tied to DDoS and web threats, a flexible licensing model for Alteon across cloud and data center environments, a monitoring tool called APSolute Vision, a portal for managed DDoS detection, and a cloud-based DDoS protection service. It also provides technical support, professional and managed services, and training and certification. Sales run mainly through independent channels, including value-added resellers, OEMs, and system integrators.

Radware was founded in 1996 and is based in Tel Aviv, Israel. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker RDWR.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Computer communications
Website
radware.com

Radware GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Radware’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 56.6, in the Neutral zone, up 5.5 points over five sessions.

010056.6Neutral

Up 5.5 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying24+2.9%+5.1%+11.8%+15.3%
Accumulation166+1.2%+3.4%+5.3%+8.4%
Neutral (current zone)440+0.3%+0.2%+0.9%+3.0%
Distribution46−1.1%−2.4%−5.5%−5.4%
Selling6Too few readings yet

Average RDWR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the RDWR price, zone by zone.Track RDWR in Gekko

Is Radware stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Radware trades 16.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $25.50, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Radware shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$25.50

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

16.2% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 39.0% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$26$31Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open RDWR in Gekko

Radware insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Radware, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for RDWR in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every RDWR insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RDWR in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in RDWR were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for RDWR, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RDWR in Gekko

Buybacks

Radware has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$18.77M
As a share of market cap
1.47%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds RDWR.

0added1opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Radware earnings: next date and track record

Radware reports on Oct 28, 2026, before the open (16 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.8%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+20.5%Jul ’24−2.3%Oct ’24+3.8%Feb ’25−3.2%May ’25−9.6%Jul ’25−4.6%Oct ’25+0.4%Feb ’26+2.3%May ’26

Last earnings call, May 7, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Radware reported Q1 2026 revenue of $80 million, up 11% year-over-year, marking the fourth quarter of double-digit growth in five quarters. EPS came in at $0.30. Cloud ARR grew 23% year-over-year driven by application security, hybrid DDoS, and API security. Key wins included a Latin American government institution and a global fintech company. The company is expanding into Agentic AI security following the Pynt API security acquisition.
Guidance
Management expressed confidence in continued momentum, citing strong API security pipeline with tens of active projects and visible customer standardization trends. Agentic AI protection represents an emerging growth catalyst, though still early-stage.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
May 7, 2026$0.25
est $0.28
−10.7%$79.81M
est $78.72M
+1.4%+2.3%
Feb 11, 2026$0.32
est $0.30
+5.2%$80.25M
est $78.65M
+2.0%+0.4%
Oct 29, 2025$0.28
est $0.27
+3.7%$75.31M
est $78.65M
−4.2%−4.6%
Jul 30, 2025$0.28
est $0.26
+7.7%$74.22M
est $74.64M
−0.6%−9.6%
May 7, 2025$0.27
est $0.23
+17.4%$72.08M
est $73.33M
−1.7%−3.2%
Feb 12, 2025$0.27
est $0.24
+12.5%$73.03M
est $71.36M
+2.3%+3.8%
Oct 31, 2024$0.23
est $0.20
+15.0%$69.49M
est $71.60M
−2.9%−2.3%
Jul 31, 2024$0.20
est $0.16
+25.0%$67.28M
est $66.04M
+1.9%+20.5%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Radware stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Radware is $30.50, +2.9% from the last close, from 1 firm rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$30.50consensus 12-month target, +2.9% from the last close
Buy0
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 1 firm.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Jul 29NeedhamHold, maintained——
+0.9%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−5.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Radware seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Radware averaged −5.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+2.2%2021−5.8%2022−10.2%2023−1.5%2024−10.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−0.1%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.3%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days−0.6%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−5.3%1 of 5
Next 30 trading days−7.7%1 of 5

For scale, RDWR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.8%.

Radware market cap and key statistics

Radware’s market cap is $1.28B, with a P/E ratio of 60 and revenue of $317.8M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.28B
P/E ratio
60
Forward P/E
26.7
EPS, TTM
$0.49
Gekko Fair Value
$25.50

Trading

Volume
188,903
Avg volume, 20 days
354,335
52-week high
$32.79
52-week low
$21.68
Shares outstanding
42.08M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$317.8M
Profit margin
5.3%
Return on equity
4.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−55.1%

Risk and income

Beta
0.87
Typical daily move
±3.5%
Typical 20-day move
±5.8%

Radware peers

Radware’s 3 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
ALLTAllot+3.4%Neutral13.4% below
SILCSilicom−5.8%Neutral20.2% above
SMRTSmartRent0.0%Accumulation14.2% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Radware stock FAQ

What is Radware’s market cap?

Radware’s market cap is $1.28B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $29.64, with 42.08M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 60.

What is the Radware stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Radware is $30.50, +2.9% from the last close. Of the 1 firm that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Radware stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Radware is overvalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $29.64 is 16.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $25.50. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Radware report earnings next?

Radware is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026, before the market opens (16 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.29 per share on revenue of $83.02M. Radware beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.8% on average across the report.

What is Radware’s 52-week high and low?

Radware’s 52-week high is $32.79 and its 52-week low is $21.68; it closed at $29.64 on Oct 12, 2026, +10.1% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $42.19 on Dec 31, 2021.

Is Radware stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 3 as headwinds (fair value, earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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