Pony AI (PONY) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$5.74−0.30 (−5.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Pony AI's week centers on its expanding robotaxi push into Europe, with its seventh-generation autonomous driving system set to launch in London alongside Uber, following a similar partnership in Zagreb. The move builds on last quarter's results, when Pony AI reported total revenue up 69% year-over-year, driven by an 8x jump in robotaxi revenue and a fleet expansion to 2,000 vehicles with 1.5 million registered users domestically, plus over 4,000 international vehicle commitments. Goldman Sachs analyst Allen Chang maintained a Buy rating with a price target of HK$202.40, consistent with a Street consensus of Strong Buy, even as the stock touched a new 52-week low of $5.82 this week.

Shares closed at $5.74, down 5% on the day, sitting below both the 50-day average of $7.17 and the 200-day average of $10.02, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 70.9, placing the stock in the Buying zone. Price sits 46.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $10.76, a notable gap.

Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings date falls outside that window, on 24 November 2026, before the open. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current window. Consensus analyst targets imply substantial upside, with 3 of 4 firms rating the stock Buy and one Hold. Worth noting is the stock's typical 20-day move of 15.2%, alongside continued headlines on its European robotaxi expansion with Uber.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Pony AI price vs fair value

$10.76$5.74Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $5.74200-day averageGekko Fair Value $10.76

Pony AI quick facts

Market cap
$2.03B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
—
EPS, TTM
−$0.33
Revenue, TTM
$125.0M
Profit margin
-118.5%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
—
Volume
5.06M avg 4.41M
1-year return
−74.2%
Typical daily move
±5.8%
Typical 20-day move
±15.2%
50-day average
$7.17
200-day average
$10.02
Next earnings
Nov 24 before open
Shares outstanding
354.1M
52-week range
$5.71$23.62

Pony AI swing-trade checklist

Pony AI scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 4 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $5.74 is below the 50-day ($7.17) and 200-day ($10.02) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    70.9, Buying

    Reading 70.9 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    46.7% below

    Price is 46.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 43 days

    Next report Nov 24, 2026, 43 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityno data

    No data

    Not enough years of history for a seasonal read.

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Pony AI stock chart and price history

Pony AI closed at $5.74 on Oct 12, 2026, −74.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $5.71 to $23.62.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Pony AI share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$10$15$20NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct5.74

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−13.6%
3 months
−17.4%
6 months
−42.8%
1 year
−74.2%
The full PONY chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open PONY in Gekko

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About Pony AI

Pony AI builds self-driving technology that is put to work in several different settings across China and the United States. Its offerings include automated trucking support for freight and logistics operators, as well as robotaxi services that combine engineering work on autonomous vehicle software with real-world road testing. The company also runs robotaxi services that charge fares to riders directly.

Beyond autonomous fleets, Pony AI creates driving software, its own vehicle domain controllers, and data analysis tools aimed at privately owned cars. These offerings come with support for integrating the technology into vehicles, building the underlying software, and licensing it out to other parties. The company additionally makes vehicle-to-everything products designed to improve safety on the road.

Pony AI was founded in 2016 and has its headquarters in Guangzhou, China. Its shares trade under the ticker PONY.

Sector
Technology services
Website
pony.ai

Pony AI GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Pony AI’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 70.9, in the Buying zone, down 1.9 points over five sessions.

010070.9Buying

Down 1.9 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)51−4.7%+5.0%+47.1%+35.1%
Accumulation173+1.4%+1.5%+2.0%−2.2%
Neutral212+0.8%+0.2%−3.1%−4.8%
Distribution22+1.9%+1.4%−9.6%−28.0%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average PONY share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the PONY price, zone by zone.Track PONY in Gekko

Is Pony AI stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Pony AI trades 46.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $10.76, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Pony AI shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$10.76

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

46.7% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open PONY in Gekko

Pony AI insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Pony AI, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for PONY in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every PONY insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PONY in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in PONY were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for PONY, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PONY in Gekko

Buybacks

Pony AI has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2025
$11.61M
As a share of market cap
0.57%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold PONY.

1added0opened1trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Pony AI earnings: next date and track record

Pony AI reports on Nov 24, 2026, before the open (43 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 5 reports.

3 of 5reports beat the EPS estimate
±8%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−4.4%Feb ’25−16.5%Mar ’25+2.2%May ’25+3.5%Aug ’25+6.8%Nov ’25−19.8%Mar ’26+9.2%May ’26−1.9%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 18, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Pony AI reported Q2 2026 total revenue surging 69% year-over-year, driven by an 8x jump in robotaxi revenue and 9x surge in fare charging revenue. The robotaxi fleet expanded to 2,000 vehicles with 1.5 million registered users domestically. Internationally, the company secured over 4,000 vehicle commitments including 2,000+ robotaxis across 5 European cities with Uber, plus deployments in Luxembourg and Singapore.
Guidance
Management targets 3,500 robotaxi vehicles deployed by year-end 2026. International expansion continues via joint deployment model with Uber and other partners, with pipeline commitments expected to drive further top-line growth through dual domestic and international strategy.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 18, 2026−$0.13
est −$0.17
+23.5%$36.22M
est $34.45M
+5.1%−1.9%
May 26, 2026−$0.09
est −$0.13
+30.8%$34.25M
est $22.30M
+53.6%+9.2%
Mar 26, 2026−$0.12
est −$0.05
−148.4%$29.11M
est $24.62M
+18.2%−19.8%
Nov 25, 2025−$0.14
est −$0.20
+28.9%$25.44M
est $23.69M
+7.4%+6.8%
Aug 12, 2025−$0.13—$21.46M—+3.5%
May 20, 2025−$0.10—$13.98M—+2.2%
Mar 25, 2025−$0.31—$35.52M—−16.5%
Feb 26, 2025−$0.28
est −$0.28
0.0%$48.34M
est $48.34M
0.0%−4.4%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Pony AI stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Pony AI is $19.86, +246.0% from the last close, from 4 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$19.86consensus 12-month target, +246.0% from the last close
Low $10High $24.50
Buy3
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 4 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 20Exane BNP ParibasBuy, upgraded——
Aug 18Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$17+196.2%
Aug 18BarclaysHold, maintained$10+74.2%
Jul 23CitiBuy, maintained$24.50+326.8%
+47.1%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
±5.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Pony AI market cap and key statistics

Pony AI’s market cap is $2.03B and revenue of $125.0M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.03B
EPS, TTM
−$0.33
Gekko Fair Value
$10.76

Trading

Volume
5.06M
Avg volume, 20 days
4.41M
52-week high
$23.62
52-week low
$5.71
Shares outstanding
354.1M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$125.0M
Profit margin
-118.5%
Return on equity
-6.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
0.0%

Risk and income

Typical daily move
±5.8%
Typical 20-day move
±15.2%

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Pony AI stock FAQ

What is Pony AI’s market cap?

Pony AI’s market cap is $2.03B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $5.74, with 354.1M shares outstanding.

What is the Pony AI stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Pony AI is $19.86, +246.0% from the last close. Of the 4 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Pony AI stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Pony AI is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $5.74 is 46.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $10.76. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Pony AI report earnings next?

Pony AI is expected to report on Nov 24, 2026, before the market opens (43 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.17 per share on revenue of $38.75M. Pony AI beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 5 reports, moving 8% on average across the report.

What is Pony AI’s 52-week high and low?

Pony AI’s 52-week high is $23.62 and its 52-week low is $5.71; it closed at $5.74 on Oct 12, 2026, −74.2% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $24.92 on Oct 2, 2025.

Is Pony AI stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 4 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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