Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for PAGS in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every PAGS insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PAGS in Gekko
NYSE: PAGS
PagSeguro Digital (PAGS) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$11.14−0.02 (−0.2%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closePagSeguro shares surged this week after Brazilian Sen. Flávio Bolsonaro won 47.3% of the vote in Brazil's first round of presidential elections, a political development investors tied to a potential macro tailwind for the company. Alongside this, a PagSeguro director, Alexandre Magnani, filed Form 144 notices proposing further share sales, including 507,390 Class A shares valued at approximately $5.42 million and a separate 100,000-share proposal valued at $1,060,500, with additional shares held through Carcara Investments Ltd. Commentary also pointed to PagBank trading at roughly 6.5x non-GAAP earnings, with payments growth described as slowing and less differentiated versus peers.
PAGS closed at $11.14, down 0.2% on the day, with a close that sits above both its 50-day average of $9.39 and 200-day average of $9.79. The stock's one-month return stands at 10.1% and its three-month return at 20%. The GekkoIndex reads 44.9, placing it in the Distribution zone. Fair value work puts Gekko Fair Value at $17.60, leaving the current price about 36.7% below that level.
The next earnings date falls on 16 November 2026, 34 days out, placing the report outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. The prior quarter saw non-GAAP EPS of $0.41 against a $0.39 estimate, with shares reacting -4% afterward; across the last eight quarters, six beats have been recorded. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 20-day return of -2.2% over five years, with gains in three of those years. Analyst coverage from five firms splits 1 buy, 3 hold, and 1 sell, with a consensus target of $11.70.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
PagSeguro Digital price vs fair value
Close $11.14200-day averageGekko Fair Value $17.60
PagSeguro Digital quick facts
- Market cap
- $3.22B
- P/E ratio
- 7.5
- Forward P/E
- 6.2
- EPS, TTM
- $1.48
- Revenue, TTM
- $19.80B
- Profit margin
- 10.9%
- Dividend yield
- 10.50%
- Beta
- 1.24
- Volume
- 2.75M avg 4.20M
- 1-year return
- +21.4%
- Typical daily move
- ±4.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±10.2%
- 50-day average
- $9.39
- 200-day average
- $9.79
- Next earnings
- Nov 16
- Shares outstanding
- 155.2M
PagSeguro Digital swing-trade checklist
PagSeguro Digital scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $11.14 sits between the 50-day ($9.39) and 200-day ($9.79) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexheadwind
44.9, Distribution
Reading 44.9 is in the Distribution zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
36.7% below
Price is 36.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 35 days
Next report Nov 16, 2026, 35 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitymixed
−2.2% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −2.2% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
PagSeguro Digital stock chart and price history
PagSeguro Digital closed at $11.14 on Oct 12, 2026, +21.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $8.42 to $12.32.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +10.1%
- 3 months
- +20.0%
- 6 months
- +3.1%
- 1 year
- +21.4%
The full PAGS chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open PAGS in Gekko
Follow PagSeguro Digital through every session
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About PagSeguro Digital
PagSeguro Digital provides financial and payment services to individuals, independent entrepreneurs, micro-businesses, and small and medium-sized companies, serving customers both in Brazil and in other countries. Its offerings span digital banking functions such as deposits, account top-ups, tax payments, wire transfers, and ATM withdrawals, alongside tools for accepting payments online and in physical stores. The company is also known for issuing debit, credit, cash, and prepaid cards to its customer base.
Beyond payments and banking, the company extends credit through products like FGTS withdrawals, payroll loans, working capital financing, and overdraft facilities. It also sells insurance covering accounts, cards, homes, businesses, health assistance, life, and credit life, and provides investment-related services including advisory, brokerage, fund management, treasury, and research, plus a marketplace called Shopping PagBank. Its software lineup includes a point-of-sale app, a merchant marketing tool, and a wireless device that links payment machines to commercial automation systems via Bluetooth.
The company was founded in 2006 and is based in São Paulo, Brazil. Its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker PAGS.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Commercial services
- Industry
- Miscellaneous commercial services
- Website
- pagbank.com.br
PagSeguro Digital GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
PagSeguro Digital’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 44.9, in the Distribution zone, up 0.9 points over five sessions.
44.9Distribution
Up 0.9 points over five sessions.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 48 | +0.3% | −2.4% | ||
| Accumulation | 242 | +0.5% | +1.7% | ||
| Neutral | 368 | +0.2% | −0.6% | ||
| Distribution (current zone) | 23 | −5.6% | −11.5% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average PAGS share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Distribution readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Distribution zone: Institutions potentially offloading. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the PAGS price, zone by zone.Track PAGS in Gekko
Is PagSeguro Digital stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
PagSeguro Digital trades 36.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $17.60, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what PagSeguro Digital shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$17.60
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
36.7% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 15.7% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open PAGS in Gekko
PagSeguro Digital insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for PagSeguro Digital, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in PAGS were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for PAGS, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PAGS in Gekko
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold PAGS.
0added0opened0trimmed2sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
PagSeguro Digital earnings: next date and track record
PagSeguro Digital reports on Nov 16, 2026 (35 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 16, 2026
35 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.41
- Revenue estimate
- $998.7M
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.2%average move across the report
1 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 11, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- PagBank reported Q2 2026 total payment volume of BRL 133 billion (+3% YoY) and total loans up 31% YoY to BRL 52 billion, driven by working capital and credit card expansion. Net revenue ex-interchange reached BRL 3.4 billion (+2% YoY), with recurring non-GAAP net income of BRL 576 million (+2% YoY). Diluted non-GAAP EPS grew 10% YoY supported by capital optimization. The company returned ~BRL 2 billion to shareholders over the last 12 months (~13.4% total yield).
- Guidance
- Management reaffirmed 2026 guidance, with diluted non-GAAP EPS growth within the stated range. Focus remains on TPV reacceleration, credit portfolio expansion, and banking product penetration to drive profitability and long-term strategic targets.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | $0.41 est $0.39 | $979.4M est $1.00B | −4.0% |
| May 12, 2026 | $0.37 est $1.99 | $962.1M est $952.6M | −11.4% |
| Mar 4, 2026 | $2.33 est $2.24 | $982.8M est $956.5M | +0.8% |
| Nov 12, 2025 | $0.36 est $0.36 | $921.5M est $953.0M | −5.4% |
| Aug 14, 2025 | $1.79 est $1.75 | $900.4M est $935.9M | −4.3% |
| May 14, 2025 | $1.72 est $1.67 | $806.7M est $897.1M | −9.3% |
| Feb 20, 2025 | $2.01 est $1.83 | — | −0.9% |
| Nov 14, 2024 | $1.78 est $1.70 | $861.0M est $839.9M | −5.6% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
PagSeguro Digital stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for PagSeguro Digital is $11.70, +5.0% from the last close, from 5 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$11.70consensus 12-month target, +5.0% from the last close
Now $11.14Avg $11.70
Low $7.70High $11
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 5 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29 | UBS | $11 | −1.3% |
| Aug 12 | Goldman Sachs | $10 | −10.2% |
| Aug 11 | Morgan Stanley | $7.70 | −30.9% |
| Aug 11 | Bank of America Securities | $10 | −10.2% |
| Jul 23 | Jefferies | $10.40 | −6.6% |
−11.5%average 20-day move after past Distribution readings
−2.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
PagSeguro Digital seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, PagSeguro Digital averaged −2.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +0.5% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +2.4% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −0.5% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −2.2% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −4.6% | 2 of 5 |
For scale, PAGS’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 10.2%.
PagSeguro Digital market cap and key statistics
PagSeguro Digital’s market cap is $3.22B, with a P/E ratio of 7.5 and revenue of $19.80B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $3.22B
- P/E ratio
- 7.5
- Forward P/E
- 6.2
- EPS, TTM
- $1.48
- Gekko Fair Value
- $17.60
Trading
- Volume
- 2.75M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 4.20M
- 52-week high
- $12.32
- 52-week low
- $8.42
- Shares outstanding
- 155.2M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $19.80B
- Profit margin
- 10.9%
- Return on equity
- 14.5%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +10.1%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.24
- Typical daily move
- ±4.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±10.2%
- Dividend yield
- 10.50%
PagSeguro Digital stock news this week
Coverage of PagSeguro Digital this week reads negative: 1 positive, 2 neutral and 2 negative headlines.
- PagSeguro (NYSE: PAGS) director sells shares worth about $1.06 millionDefense World, Oct 11
- PagSeguro Digital (NYSE:PAGS) Stock: Insider Alexandre Mr Magnani Sells 100,000 SharesDefense World, Oct 11
- Precision Trading with Pagseguro Digital Ltd. Class A (PAGS) Risk ZonesStock Traders Daily, Oct 9
- After a $1.06M sale through Carcara, a PagSeguro (PAGS) director plans another share sale.Stock Titan, Oct 9
- Director-controlled Carcara sells 100,000 shares in PagSeguro (PAGS).Stock Titan, Oct 9
- Form 144 PagSeguro Digital Ltd. For: 7 October By Investing.comInvesting.com Canada, Oct 7
PagSeguro Digital peers
PagSeguro Digital’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| SHOPShopify | Distribution | 25.9% above |
| CTASCintas | Neutral | 14.1% above |
| PYPLPayPal | Neutral | 0.8% below |
| XYZBlock | Neutral | 7.5% above |
| CPAYCorpay | Neutral | 17.5% below |
| FISVFiserv | Accumulation | 39.7% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
PagSeguro Digital stock FAQ
What is PagSeguro Digital’s market cap?
PagSeguro Digital’s market cap is $3.22B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $11.14, with 155.2M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 7.5.
What is the PagSeguro Digital stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for PagSeguro Digital is $11.70, +5.0% from the last close. Of the 5 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is PagSeguro Digital stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate PagSeguro Digital is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $11.14 is 36.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $17.60. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does PagSeguro Digital report earnings next?
PagSeguro Digital is expected to report on Nov 16, 2026 (35 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.41 per share on revenue of $998.7M. PagSeguro Digital beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.2% on average across the report.
What is PagSeguro Digital’s 52-week high and low?
PagSeguro Digital’s 52-week high is $12.32 and its 52-week low is $8.42; it closed at $11.14 on Oct 12, 2026, +21.4% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $39.91 on Oct 20, 2021.
Is PagSeguro Digital stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (fair value and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (trend and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (gekkoindex). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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