NASDAQ: OCSL

Oaktree Specialty Lending (OCSL) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$11.82+0.22 (+1.9%)

Gekko Brief

Oct 12 close

Oaktree Specialty Lending closed at $11.82 on 12 October 2026, +1.9% on the day. The price sits between the 50-day ($12.54) and 200-day ($12.16) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $10.63 to $14.31. The GekkoIndex reads 66.5, in the Accumulation zone, down 3.1 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $12.52, so the price is 5.6% below it.

The next earnings report is due on 17 November 2026, 36 days away. Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 3 times, with an average move of 2.3% across the report. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged +4.7% over the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

4 firms rate the stock: 0 buy, 4 hold and 0 sell, with a consensus target of $12.50. A typical daily move is about 2%, and a typical 20-day move about 3.5%. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 items read supportive and 0 read as a headwind.

A plain summary of the figures as of the Oct 12, 2026 close.

Oaktree Specialty Lending price vs fair value

$12.52$11.82Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $11.82200-day averageGekko Fair Value $12.52

Oaktree Specialty Lending quick facts

Market cap
$1.04B
P/E ratio
24.3
Forward P/E
8.9
EPS, TTM
$0.48
Revenue, TTM
$292.2M
Profit margin
14.4%
Dividend yield
12.70%
Beta
0.59
Volume
963,841 avg 477,137
1-year return
−5.9%
Typical daily move
±2%
Typical 20-day move
±3.5%
50-day average
$12.54
200-day average
$12.16
Next earnings
Nov 17
Shares outstanding
88.09M
52-week range
$10.63$14.31

Oaktree Specialty Lending swing-trade checklist

Oaktree Specialty Lending scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $11.82 sits between the 50-day ($12.54) and 200-day ($12.16) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    66.5, Accumulation

    Reading 66.5 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    5.6% below

    Price is 5.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 36 days

    Next report Nov 17, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +4.7% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.7% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Oaktree Specialty Lending stock chart and price history

Oaktree Specialty Lending closed at $11.82 on Oct 12, 2026, −5.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $10.63 to $14.31.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Oaktree Specialty Lending share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$11$13$14NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct11.82

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−6.7%
3 months
−2.7%
6 months
−1.8%
1 year
−5.9%
The full OCSL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open OCSL in Gekko

Follow Oaktree Specialty Lending through every session

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About Oaktree Specialty Lending

Oaktree Specialty Lending operates as a business development company that supplies financing to middle-market businesses. It offers a wide mix of funding types, from short-term bridge loans to secured debt at different priority levels, unsecured loans, mezzanine debt, and preferred equity. These funds typically back corporate growth, private equity-led acquisitions, and management buyouts, with activity spread across sectors such as education, general business services, retail and consumer goods, healthcare, manufacturing, food and restaurants, construction and engineering, and media and advertising.

Its investments usually fall between five million and seventy five million dollars, often built as one-stop, first-lien, or second-lien debt and sometimes paired with an equity stake. Target companies generally carry an enterprise value of twenty million to one hundred fifty million dollars and generate operating cash flow of three million to fifty million dollars, though the firm is able to underwrite transactions as large as one hundred million dollars. It focuses on North America and typically takes the lead investor position in the companies it finances.

Shares of Oaktree Specialty Lending are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker OCSL.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Miscellaneous
Industry
Investment trusts/Mutual funds
Website
oaktreespecialtylending.com

Oaktree Specialty Lending GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Oaktree Specialty Lending’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 66.5, in the Accumulation zone, down 3.1 points over five sessions.

010066.5Accumulation

Down 3.1 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying69+0.8%+0.8%+1.5%−0.1%
Accumulation (current zone)308−0.1%+0.1%−0.6%−1.7%
Neutral289−0.8%−1.9%−2.8%−5.9%
Distribution10−3.7%−3.8%−5.5%−8.4%
Selling6Too few readings yet

Average OCSL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the OCSL price, zone by zone.Track OCSL in Gekko

Is Oaktree Specialty Lending stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Oaktree Specialty Lending trades 5.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $12.52, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Oaktree Specialty Lending shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$12.52

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

5.6% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 6.7% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$13$12Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open OCSL in Gekko

Oaktree Specialty Lending insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Oaktree Specialty Lending, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for OCSL in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every OCSL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open OCSL in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in OCSL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for OCSL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open OCSL in Gekko

Buybacks

Oaktree Specialty Lending has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$1.08M
As a share of market cap
0.10%
Trailing four quarters
$4.53M

From company filings.

Oaktree Specialty Lending earnings: next date and track record

Oaktree Specialty Lending reports on Nov 17, 2026 (36 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.3%average move across the report
1 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−2.9%Nov ’24−1.1%Feb ’25−5.6%May ’25−1.1%Aug ’25−0.1%Nov ’25−0.1%Feb ’26−3.0%May ’26+4.9%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
OCSL reported Q3 fiscal 2026 adjusted NII of $32.2M ($0.37/share), down slightly from $33.7M ($0.38/share) in Q2. Non-accruals declined to 1.8% of debt portfolio at fair value, down 80bps sequentially and 140bps year-over-year, with 5 non-accrual exits in two quarters. Thrasio repaid ~$25M (~80% of loans). Net leverage stood at 1.02x with ~$700M liquidity available.
Guidance
Management plans to address $350M in unsecured notes maturing January 2027 over coming quarters. Conservative leverage below target range midpoint and ample liquidity position OCSL to deploy capital into evolving private credit markets. Board declared $0.33/share total dividend for Q3.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026$0.37
est $0.36
+3.5%$69.43M
est $69.40M
+0.1%+4.9%
May 5, 2026$0.38
est $0.37
+2.7%$69.74M
est $74.35M
−6.2%−3.0%
Feb 4, 2026$0.06
est $0.38
−84.2%$74.48M
est $74.75M
−0.4%−0.1%
Nov 18, 2025$0.40
est $0.39
+3.6%$84.26M
est $76.51M
+10.1%−0.1%
Aug 5, 2025$0.37
est $0.45
−17.8%$61.84M
est $76.51M
−19.2%−1.1%
May 1, 2025$0.45
est $0.51
−11.8%−$12.00M
est $86.42M
−113.9%−5.6%
Feb 4, 2025$0.54
est $0.54
0.0%$78.42M
est $89.68M
−12.6%−1.1%
Nov 19, 2024$0.55
est $0.56
−1.8%$36.47M
est $97.24M
−62.5%−2.9%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Oaktree Specialty Lending stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Oaktree Specialty Lending is $12.50, +5.8% from the last close, from 4 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$12.50consensus 12-month target, +5.8% from the last close
Low $12High $13.50
Buy0
Hold4
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 4 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 7OppenheimerHold, maintained$13+10.0%
Aug 7B. Riley SecuritiesHold, maintained$12.50+5.8%
Aug 6KBWHold, maintained$13.50+14.2%
Aug 6Wells FargoHold, reiterated$12+1.5%
−0.6%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+4.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Oaktree Specialty Lending seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Oaktree Specialty Lending averaged +4.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+4.4%2021+13.3%20220.0%2023−2.1%2024+8.4%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.6%5 of 5
Next 10 trading days+3.2%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+4.1%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+4.7%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+5.0%4 of 5

For scale, OCSL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.5%.

Oaktree Specialty Lending market cap and key statistics

Oaktree Specialty Lending’s market cap is $1.04B, with a P/E ratio of 24.3 and revenue of $292.2M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.04B
P/E ratio
24.3
Forward P/E
8.9
EPS, TTM
$0.48
Gekko Fair Value
$12.52

Trading

Volume
963,841
Avg volume, 20 days
477,137
52-week high
$14.31
52-week low
$10.63
Shares outstanding
88.09M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$292.2M
Profit margin
14.4%
Return on equity
2.9%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−19.3%

Risk and income

Beta
0.59
Typical daily move
±2%
Typical 20-day move
±3.5%
Dividend yield
12.70%

Oaktree Specialty Lending peers

Oaktree Specialty Lending’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
TPLTexas Pacific Land−0.2%Neutral0.2% below
VNOMViper Energy−0.5%Neutral9.2% below
BXSLBlackstone Secured Lending Fund−0.2%Accumulation2.7% below
WTWisdomTree−1.9%Accumulation9.3% below
BSMBlack Stone Minerals−0.1%Neutral31.7% below
FSKFS KKR Capital+0.3%Accumulation7.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Oaktree Specialty Lending stock FAQ

What is Oaktree Specialty Lending’s market cap?

Oaktree Specialty Lending’s market cap is $1.04B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $11.82, with 88.09M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 24.3.

What is the Oaktree Specialty Lending stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Oaktree Specialty Lending is $12.50, +5.8% from the last close. Of the 4 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Oaktree Specialty Lending stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Oaktree Specialty Lending is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $11.82 is 5.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $12.52. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Oaktree Specialty Lending report earnings next?

Oaktree Specialty Lending is expected to report on Nov 17, 2026 (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.34 per share on revenue of $69.82M. Oaktree Specialty Lending beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.3% on average across the report.

What is Oaktree Specialty Lending’s 52-week high and low?

Oaktree Specialty Lending’s 52-week high is $14.31 and its 52-week low is $10.63; it closed at $11.82 on Oct 12, 2026, −5.9% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $23.43 on Jan 13, 2022.

Is Oaktree Specialty Lending stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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