NYSE: GSBD

Goldman Sachs BDC (GSBD) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$8.80+0.03 (+0.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Most of the week's news centers on Goldman Sachs BDC confirming its third-quarter 2026 results date, with the release set for after market close on 5 November and a conference call the following morning. One AI-driven risk allocation piece flagged weak near and mid-term sentiment alongside a neutral long-term outlook, describing an exceptional risk-reward setup targeting a 7.1% gain. Coverage otherwise has focused on share price levels across different listings rather than new operational or regulatory developments.

GSBD closed at $8.80, down between its 50-day average of $9.58 and 200-day average of $9.31, with the stock off 8.5% over one month and 7.8% over the past year, trading within a 52-week range of $8.36 to $10.38. The GekkoIndex reads 70.8, placing the stock in the Buying zone. Price sits 5.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $9.32.

Earnings are scheduled for 5 November, 23 days out, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report showed EPS of $0.22 against a $0.30 estimate and triggered a -8.6% reaction, with 4 beats in the last 8 quarters and an average absolute reaction of 2.7%. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 3% gain over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, with gains in 4 of those years. Analyst consensus shows 3 firms covering the stock, with a $8.94 target implying 1.6% upside.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Goldman Sachs BDC price vs fair value

$9.32$8.80Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $8.80200-day averageGekko Fair Value $9.32

Goldman Sachs BDC quick facts

Market cap
$990.6M
P/E ratio
17.1
Forward P/E
10.8
EPS, TTM
$0.52
Revenue, TTM
$340.2M
Profit margin
17.2%
Dividend yield
14.50%
Beta
0.68
Volume
766,140 avg 875,964
1-year return
−7.8%
Typical daily move
±2.3%
Typical 20-day move
±3.4%
50-day average
$9.58
200-day average
$9.31
Next earnings
Nov 5
Shares outstanding
112.6M
52-week range
$8.36$10.38

Goldman Sachs BDC swing-trade checklist

Goldman Sachs BDC scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $8.80 sits between the 50-day ($9.58) and 200-day ($9.31) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    70.8, Buying

    Reading 70.8 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    5.6% below

    Price is 5.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 24 days

    Reports on Nov 5, 2026, 24 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +3.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Goldman Sachs BDC stock chart and price history

Goldman Sachs BDC closed at $8.80 on Oct 12, 2026, −7.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $8.36 to $10.38.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Goldman Sachs BDC share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$10$11NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct8.80

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−8.5%
3 months
−1.1%
6 months
−3.1%
1 year
−7.8%
The full GSBD chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open GSBD in Gekko

Follow Goldman Sachs BDC through every session

Put GSBD on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track GSBD in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

About Goldman Sachs BDC

Goldman Sachs BDC works as a business development company that channels funding to privately held businesses in the middle market across the United States, with mezzanine-level deals included among its activities. It has built recognition for originating loans itself rather than buying them secondhand, covering a range of secured structures like senior, junior, first lien, unitranche with a last-out feature, and second lien debt, alongside unsecured mezzanine financing. A smaller portion of its activity involves taking equity stakes.

The company's aim is to build capital appreciation over time, and it does this by sizing most deals somewhere between ten million and seventy-five million dollars. It tends to work with businesses whose yearly EBITDA falls between five million and seventy-five million dollars, meaning its customer base consists largely of established but not large private companies in need of growth or acquisition capital.

Shares of Goldman Sachs BDC are listed on the NYSE under the ticker GSBD.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Miscellaneous
Industry
Investment trusts/Mutual funds
Website
goldmansachsbdc.com

Goldman Sachs BDC GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Goldman Sachs BDC’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 70.8, in the Buying zone, up 1.9 points over five sessions.

010070.8Buying

Up 1.9 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)55−0.5%+0.8%+0.3%+0.2%
Accumulation306−0.1%−0.4%+0.1%−2.3%
Neutral302−0.5%−1.1%−2.8%−5.1%
Distribution8Too few readings yet
Selling11+0.4%−0.6%+1.5%−1.0%

Average GSBD share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the GSBD price, zone by zone.Track GSBD in Gekko

Is Goldman Sachs BDC stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Goldman Sachs BDC trades 5.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $9.32, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Goldman Sachs BDC shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$9.32

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

5.6% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 12.8% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$9$9Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open GSBD in Gekko

Goldman Sachs BDC insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Goldman Sachs BDC, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for GSBD in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every GSBD insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GSBD in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in GSBD were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for GSBD, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GSBD in Gekko

Buybacks

Goldman Sachs BDC has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$75.00M, Aug 7, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2025
$15.01M
As a share of market cap
1.52%

From company filings.

Goldman Sachs BDC earnings: next date and track record

Goldman Sachs BDC reports on Nov 5, 2026 (24 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.7%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−4.1%Aug ’24−1.2%Nov ’24+0.6%Feb ’25+3.5%May ’25+0.2%Aug ’25+0.9%Nov ’25−2.2%Feb ’26−8.6%May ’26

Last earnings call, May 7, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. reported Q1 2026 results showing net investment income (NII) per share of $0.22 and net asset value (NAV) per share of $12.17, a decrease of ~3.7% quarter over quarter driven mainly by unrealized losses. Management emphasized the ongoing transition from legacy, pre-integration assets into newer originations sourced through the broader Goldman Sachs private credit platform; ~58% of the portfolio reflects these newer originations. Portfolio highlights included a weighted average yield of 9.9% (flat QoQ), repayments of $82.8 million in Q1, and originations of $46.5 million across 17 companies (91.6% first-lien). Nonaccruals rose to ~4.7% from 2.8%, primarily driven by two legacy credits. The Board declared a Q2 2026 base dividend of $0.32 and approved a new $75 million 10b5-1 repurchase program (to commence later). Liquidity and capital markets execution were stressed as strengths: $400 million three-year unsecured note issuance was 7.3x oversubscribed, the revolver was amended favorably, and ~$974 million of borrowing capacity remained. Management reiterated discipline in valuation (transparent mark-to-market) and alignment via the adviser’s incentive fee structure (three-year lookback). During Q&A, management acknowledged slower-than-desired rotation out of legacy assets but noted accelerating repayments in Q2 and expressed confidence in redeploying into higher-spread originations via the OneGS platform.
Guidance
Declared Q2 2026 base dividend of $0.32 per share; Board approved a new $75 million 10b5-1 repurchase program (to be initiated after the prior plan is used/expired). Management expressed intent to maintain the dividend in the near term but provided no formal forward revenue or earnings guidance.
Risks flagged
Increased nonaccruals (4.7% up from 2.8%) driven by legacy credits; NAV decline due to unrealized losses; concentration of pre-2022 legacy assets that may take time to rotate out; quieter deal activity and geopolitical uncertainty that could impact originations; elevated leverage and reduced interest coverage among some portfolio companies; outsized incentive fee accruals that can depress reported NII in the short term.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
May 7, 2026$0.22
est $0.30
−26.7%$78.79M
est $83.78M
−6.0%−8.6%
Feb 26, 2026$0.37
est $0.36
+2.8%$86.07M
est $86.85M
−0.9%−2.2%
Nov 6, 2025$0.40
est $0.37
+8.1%$55.81M
est $87.18M
−36.0%+0.9%
Aug 7, 2025$0.38
est $0.40
−5.0%$9.75M
est $93.14M
−89.5%+0.2%
May 8, 2025$0.42
est $0.46
−8.7%$96.94M
est $101.1M
−4.1%+3.5%
Feb 27, 2025$0.48
est $0.50
−3.0%$69.82M
est $105.3M
−33.7%+0.6%
Nov 8, 2024$0.58
est $0.55
+5.5%$110.4M
est $105.3M
+4.8%−1.2%
Aug 8, 2024$0.58
est $0.52
+11.5%$75.94M
est $112.9M
−32.7%−4.1%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Goldman Sachs BDC stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Goldman Sachs BDC is $8.94, +1.6% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$8.94consensus 12-month target, +1.6% from the last close
Low $8High $10
Buy0
Hold1
Sell2

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 24Bank of America SecuritiesSell, maintained——
Aug 11Truist FinancialHold, maintained$10+13.6%
Aug 10Wells FargoSell, reiterated$8−9.1%
Aug 7Truist FinancialHold, maintained——
+0.3%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+3.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Goldman Sachs BDC seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Goldman Sachs BDC averaged +3.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+1.5%2021+11.7%2022+1.8%2023−3.2%2024+3.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.5%5 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.3%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.8%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.0%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+1.8%3 of 5

For scale, GSBD’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.4%.

Goldman Sachs BDC market cap and key statistics

Goldman Sachs BDC’s market cap is $990.6M, with a P/E ratio of 17.1 and revenue of $340.2M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$990.6M
P/E ratio
17.1
Forward P/E
10.8
EPS, TTM
$0.52
Gekko Fair Value
$9.32

Trading

Volume
766,140
Avg volume, 20 days
875,964
52-week high
$10.38
52-week low
$8.36
Shares outstanding
112.6M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$340.2M
Profit margin
17.2%
Return on equity
4.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−37.2%

Risk and income

Beta
0.68
Typical daily move
±2.3%
Typical 20-day move
±3.4%
Dividend yield
14.50%

Goldman Sachs BDC stock news this week

Coverage of Goldman Sachs BDC this week reads neutral: 3 positive, 4 neutral and 2 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

Goldman Sachs BDC peers

Goldman Sachs BDC’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
TPLTexas Pacific Land−0.2%Neutral0.2% below
VNOMViper Energy−0.5%Neutral9.2% below
BXSLBlackstone Secured Lending Fund−0.2%Accumulation2.7% below
WTWisdomTree−1.9%Accumulation9.3% below
BSMBlack Stone Minerals−0.1%Neutral31.7% below
FSKFS KKR Capital+0.3%Accumulation7.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Goldman Sachs BDC stock FAQ

What is Goldman Sachs BDC’s market cap?

Goldman Sachs BDC’s market cap is $990.6M at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $8.80, with 112.6M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 17.1.

What is the Goldman Sachs BDC stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Goldman Sachs BDC is $8.94, +1.6% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 2 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Goldman Sachs BDC stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Goldman Sachs BDC is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $8.80 is 5.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $9.32. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Goldman Sachs BDC report earnings next?

Goldman Sachs BDC is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026 (24 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.35 per share on revenue of $80.13M. Goldman Sachs BDC beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.7% on average across the report.

What is Goldman Sachs BDC’s 52-week high and low?

Goldman Sachs BDC’s 52-week high is $10.38 and its 52-week low is $8.36; it closed at $8.80 on Oct 12, 2026, −7.8% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $20.60 on Feb 2, 2022.

Is Goldman Sachs BDC stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See Goldman Sachs BDC the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,408 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.