Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for BBDC in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every BBDC insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BBDC in Gekko
NYSE: BBDC
Barings BDC (BBDC) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$8.57+0.05 (+0.6%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeThis week's attention on Barings BDC centers on technical positioning and upcoming reporting dates. One article flagged weak near-term sentiment and bearish institutional positioning based on technical signals, while two separate press releases confirmed the company will release third-quarter 2026 results, with conference calls scheduled around November 5 and November 7. A Q2 2026 earnings call transcript also circulated, noting net investment income of $0.28 per share that exceeded the dividend, with non-accruals at 0.6%.
BBDC closed at $8.57, sitting between its 50-day average of $8.94 and 200-day average of $8.72, reflecting a mixed trend. The stock's one-month return stands at -2.3%, with three- and six-month returns near flat at 0.9% and 0.8%. The GekkoIndex reads 64.7, placing BBDC in the Accumulation zone, though the score has slipped 0.7 over five sessions. Price sits 8.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $9.35.
The next earnings date falls on 5 November 2026, before market open, just 24 days away and within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter saw EPS of $0.27 against an estimate of $0.26, with a 0.2% reaction. Seasonality over this point in the calendar has averaged a 5.4% move across 5 years, rising in all 5. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current window. Analyst consensus across 4 firms includes 2 buy and 2 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $9.96.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Barings BDC price vs fair value
Close $8.57200-day averageGekko Fair Value $9.35
Barings BDC quick facts
- Market cap
- $897.3M
- P/E ratio
- 10.4
- Forward P/E
- 7.9
- EPS, TTM
- $0.82
- Revenue, TTM
- $266.1M
- Profit margin
- 32.7%
- Dividend yield
- 12.30%
- Beta
- 0.71
- Volume
- 432,198 avg 532,134
- 1-year return
- +1.4%
- Typical daily move
- ±1.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±3.5%
- 50-day average
- $8.94
- 200-day average
- $8.72
- Next earnings
- Nov 5 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 104.7M
Barings BDC swing-trade checklist
Barings BDC scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $8.57 sits between the 50-day ($8.94) and 200-day ($8.72) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
64.7, Accumulation
Reading 64.7 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
8.3% below
Price is 8.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 24 days
Reports on Nov 5, 2026, 24 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+5.4% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5.4% over 5 years, rising in 5 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Barings BDC stock chart and price history
Barings BDC closed at $8.57 on Oct 12, 2026, +1.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $7.96 to $9.54.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −2.3%
- 3 months
- +0.9%
- 6 months
- +0.8%
- 1 year
- +1.4%
The full BBDC chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open BBDC in Gekko
Follow Barings BDC through every session
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Barings BDC GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Barings BDC’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 64.7, in the Accumulation zone, down 0.7 points over five sessions.
64.7Accumulation
Down 0.7 points over five sessions.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 41 | +1.1% | +1.8% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 232 | +0.4% | +1.2% | ||
| Neutral | 367 | −0.3% | −0.4% | ||
| Distribution | 34 | +0.2% | −3.6% | ||
| Selling | 8 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average BBDC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the BBDC price, zone by zone.Track BBDC in Gekko
Is Barings BDC stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Barings BDC trades 8.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $9.35, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Barings BDC shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$9.35
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
8.3% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 1.8% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open BBDC in Gekko
Barings BDC insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Barings BDC, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in BBDC were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for BBDC, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BBDC in Gekko
Buybacks
Barings BDC has been buying back its own shares.
- Latest authorization
- $30.00M, May 7, 2026
- Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2025
- $4.01M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.45%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold BBDC.
0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Barings BDC earnings: next date and track record
Barings BDC reports on Nov 5, 2026, before the open (24 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 5, 2026
Expected before the open, 24 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.26
- Revenue estimate
- $63.54M
4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.3%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Feb 19, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- BBDC reported Q4 net investment income of $0.27 per share, down from $0.32 prior quarter, with NAV stable at $11.09 per share. The company experienced net repayments during the quarter as previously guided. New CEO Tom McDonald emphasized the strength of their middle market direct origination platform and disciplined underwriting approach. The portfolio maintained strong credit performance, particularly in Barings-originated investments, with focus on senior secured, defensive sectors.
- Guidance
- Management expects continued benefits from their all-weather portfolio approach and anticipates demonstrating underwriting strength as portfolios season over 3-5 years. They remain confident in delivering attractive risk-adjusted returns through 2026-2027.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2026 | $0.27 est $0.26 | $67.97M est $67.66M | +0.2% |
| Nov 5, 2025 | $0.32 est $0.27 | $72.40M est $67.66M | −0.3% |
| Aug 7, 2025 | $0.28 est $0.26 | $45.84M est $66.41M | +3.2% |
| May 8, 2025 | $0.25 est $0.28 | $54.87M est $67.78M | −0.6% |
| Feb 20, 2025 | $0.28 est $0.29 | $50.18M est $69.35M | +3.1% |
| Nov 6, 2024 | $0.29 est $0.30 | $70.85M est $68.69M | +3.1% |
| Aug 7, 2024 | $0.39 est $0.30 | $74.89M est $72.23M | +6.0% |
| May 7, 2024 | $0.28 est $0.30 | $69.81M est $73.14M | −1.9% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Barings BDC stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Barings BDC is $9.96, +16.2% from the last close, from 4 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$9.96consensus 12-month target, +16.2% from the last close
Now $8.57Avg $9.96
Low $9.50High $10.25
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 4 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17 | KBW | $9.50 | +10.9% |
| Aug 16 | Bank of America Securities | $10 | +16.7% |
| Aug 10 | Wells Fargo | $10 | +16.7% |
| Aug 7 | Lucid Capital | $10.25 | +19.6% |
+1.2%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+5.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Barings BDC seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Barings BDC averaged +5.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 5 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +1.8% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +1.8% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +3.7% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +5.4% | 5 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +4.9% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, BBDC’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.5%.
Barings BDC market cap and key statistics
Barings BDC’s market cap is $897.3M, with a P/E ratio of 10.4 and revenue of $266.1M over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $897.3M
- P/E ratio
- 10.4
- Forward P/E
- 7.9
- EPS, TTM
- $0.82
- Gekko Fair Value
- $9.35
Trading
- Volume
- 432,198
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 532,134
- 52-week high
- $9.54
- 52-week low
- $7.96
- Shares outstanding
- 104.7M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $266.1M
- Profit margin
- 32.7%
- Return on equity
- 7.5%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −10.4%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.71
- Typical daily move
- ±1.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±3.5%
- Dividend yield
- 12.30%
Barings BDC stock news this week
Coverage of Barings BDC this week reads neutral: 1 positive, 2 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- The Technical Signals Behind (BBDC) That Institutions FollowStock Traders Daily, Oct 10
- Press Release: Barings BDC, Inc. Announces Conference Call to Discuss Third Quarter 2026 ResultsMoomoo, Oct 8
- Barings BDC Q2 2026 Earnings Call TranscriptBenzinga, Oct 7
- Barings BDC, Inc. Announces Conference Call to Discuss Third Quarter 2026 ResultsFinancialContent, Oct 7
Barings BDC peers
Barings BDC’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| TPLTexas Pacific Land | Neutral | 0.2% below |
| VNOMViper Energy | Neutral | 9.2% below |
| BXSLBlackstone Secured Lending Fund | Accumulation | 2.7% below |
| WTWisdomTree | Accumulation | 9.3% below |
| BSMBlack Stone Minerals | Neutral | 31.7% below |
| FSKFS KKR Capital | Accumulation | 7.9% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Barings BDC stock FAQ
What is Barings BDC’s market cap?
Barings BDC’s market cap is $897.3M at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $8.57, with 104.7M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 10.4.
What is the Barings BDC stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Barings BDC is $9.96, +16.2% from the last close. Of the 4 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Barings BDC stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Barings BDC is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $8.57 is 8.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $9.35. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Barings BDC report earnings next?
Barings BDC is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026, before the market opens (24 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.26 per share on revenue of $63.54M. Barings BDC beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.3% on average across the report.
What is Barings BDC’s 52-week high and low?
Barings BDC’s 52-week high is $9.54 and its 52-week low is $7.96; it closed at $8.57 on Oct 12, 2026, +1.4% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $11.55 on Nov 10, 2021.
Is Barings BDC stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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