Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for TRIN in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every TRIN insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TRIN in Gekko
NASDAQ: TRIN
Trinity Capital (TRIN) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$17.07−0.03 (−0.2%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeThis week's activity centers on Trinity Capital's third quarter 2026 portfolio update, announcing $880 million in new commitments for the quarter, bringing the year-to-date total to $2.0 billion, alongside approximately $614 million in gross funded investments and $495 million in gross proceeds from repayments and exits. The company also confirmed it will release full third quarter financial results on 4 November 2026, with an earnings call to follow. Separately, a comparative piece set Trinity Capital against peer Capital Southwest on institutional ownership, profitability, and analyst recommendations, while a filing noted a reduction in stake by a holder.
Trinity Capital closed at $17.07, down 0.2%, sitting between its 50-day average of $17.93 and 200-day average of $16.62. The one-month return stands at -4.8%, the three-month at -3.3%, while six-month and one-year returns remain positive at 12.2% and 16.4% respectively. The GekkoIndex reads 68.2, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, up 4.7 over five days. Price sits 6% below Gekko Fair Value of $18.16.
Earnings arrive on 4 November 2026, 22 days out, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter's print missed estimates slightly ($0.51 against $0.52) with a -3.1% reaction, against a track record of 5 beats in 8 quarters and an average absolute reaction of 2.1%. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality over five years shows a +0.2% average 20-day move from this point, with gains in 3 of those years. Analyst consensus from 2 firms carries a target of $18.50.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Trinity Capital price vs fair value
Close $17.07200-day averageGekko Fair Value $18.16
Trinity Capital quick facts
- Market cap
- $1.53B
- P/E ratio
- 9.8
- Forward P/E
- 8.3
- EPS, TTM
- $1.76
- Revenue, TTM
- $313.0M
- Profit margin
- 45.2%
- Dividend yield
- 11.90%
- Beta
- 0.70
- Volume
- 922,185 avg 857,302
- 1-year return
- +16.4%
- Typical daily move
- ±1.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4%
- 50-day average
- $17.93
- 200-day average
- $16.62
- Next earnings
- Nov 4
- Shares outstanding
- 89.89M
Trinity Capital swing-trade checklist
Trinity Capital scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $17.07 sits between the 50-day ($17.93) and 200-day ($16.62) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
68.2, Accumulation
Reading 68.2 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
6.0% below
Price is 6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 23 days
Reports on Nov 4, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+0.2% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +0.2% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Trinity Capital stock chart and price history
Trinity Capital closed at $17.07 on Oct 12, 2026, +16.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $14.13 to $18.90.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −4.8%
- 3 months
- −3.3%
- 6 months
- +12.2%
- 1 year
- +16.4%
The full TRIN chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open TRIN in Gekko
Follow Trinity Capital through every session
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Trinity Capital GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Trinity Capital’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 68.2, in the Accumulation zone, up 4.7 points over five sessions.
68.2Accumulation
Up 4.7 points over five sessions.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 28 | +0.7% | +2.7% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 203 | +0.2% | +1.6% | ||
| Neutral | 409 | +0.2% | +0.4% | ||
| Distribution | 41 | −0.3% | −0.3% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average TRIN share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the TRIN price, zone by zone.Track TRIN in Gekko
Is Trinity Capital stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Trinity Capital trades 6.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $18.16, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Trinity Capital shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$18.16
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
6.0% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 2.0% above the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open TRIN in Gekko
Trinity Capital insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Trinity Capital, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in TRIN were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for TRIN, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TRIN in Gekko
Buybacks
Trinity Capital has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $2.59M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.17%
From company filings.
Trinity Capital earnings: next date and track record
Trinity Capital reports on Nov 4, 2026 (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 4, 2026
23 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.52
- Revenue estimate
- $93.91M
5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.1%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Trinity Capital reported a strong Q2 2026 characterized by record NAV, substantial origination activity, and continued growth of its managed funds platform. Key financial highlights include NAV rising 9% quarter-over-quarter to $1.3 billion (NAV per share up to $13.47), platform AUM of $3.2 billion (up 36% YoY), record fundings of $619 million in Q2 and $709 million of commitments, and net investment income of $41.6 million ($0.51 per share) which covered the $0.51 quarterly dividend (monthly dividend of $0.17 through end of Q3). Management emphasized scaling of the managed funds business (including an SBIC fund and a joint venture with Capital Southwest) as a long-term earnings driver. Portfolio credit metrics were solid: <1% non-accruals at fair value, 99% of debt investments performing, average internal credit rating steady at 3.0, and return on average equity of 15.2%. Capital actions included a $300 million 5-year unsecured bond offering and $100 million raised through an ATM. Management attributed a quarter-over-quarter dip in NII per share mainly to timing (early prepayments and back-end-weighted fundings) and a non-recurring dividend in Q1; they expect the income benefit of Q2’s record fundings to be more fully reflected in Q3.
- Guidance
- Qualitative forward-looking guidance: management expects Q3 to reflect more of the income benefit from Q2’s record fundings (timing-related uplift). They expect the managed funds platform (including SBIC and JV) to become an increasingly meaningful contributor to earnings over time and cited expected JV yields ~13-15%. They confirmed the $0.17 monthly dividend through end of Q3. No explicit numeric revenue/earnings guidance was provided.
- Risks flagged
- Risks mentioned include elevated and unpredictable prepayments/early repayments (timing mismatch can temporarily reduce interest income), five non-accrual credits that are being actively worked (no immediate resolutions), reliance on deploying third-party capital to generate management fees (SBIC, JVs), sensitivity to product mix and market conditions which can compress effective yields, and general forward-looking risks referenced via SEC filings (macroeconomic and market uncertainties).
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | $0.51 est $0.52 | $87.17M est $91.44M | −3.1% |
| May 6, 2026 | $0.53 est $0.51 | $90.13M est $85.87M | +0.3% |
| Feb 25, 2026 | $0.52 est $0.51 | $83.24M est $80.28M | +1.2% |
| Nov 5, 2025 | $0.52 est $0.52 | $66.23M est $79.83M | −5.1% |
| Aug 6, 2025 | $0.53 est $0.52 | $61.73M est $68.84M | +2.4% |
| May 7, 2025 | $0.52 est $0.53 | $62.67M est $69.95M | +0.1% |
| Feb 26, 2025 | $0.56 est $0.53 | $70.83M est $64.43M | +3.0% |
| Oct 30, 2024 | $0.54 est $0.52 | $59.19M est $64.84M | +1.4% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Trinity Capital stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Trinity Capital is $18.50, +8.4% from the last close, from 2 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$18.50consensus 12-month target, +8.4% from the last close
Now $17.07Avg $18.50
Low $15High $16.50
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 2 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6 | Wells Fargo | $15 | −12.1% |
| Aug 6 | KBW | $16.50 | −3.3% |
+1.6%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+0.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Trinity Capital seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Trinity Capital averaged +0.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +2.0% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +2.0% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +0.2% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +0.2% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +0.1% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, TRIN’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4%.
Trinity Capital market cap and key statistics
Trinity Capital’s market cap is $1.53B, with a P/E ratio of 9.8 and revenue of $313.0M over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $1.53B
- P/E ratio
- 9.8
- Forward P/E
- 8.3
- EPS, TTM
- $1.76
- Gekko Fair Value
- $18.16
Trading
- Volume
- 922,185
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 857,302
- 52-week high
- $18.90
- 52-week low
- $14.13
- Shares outstanding
- 89.89M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $313.0M
- Profit margin
- 45.2%
- Return on equity
- 12.9%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −22.0%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.70
- Typical daily move
- ±1.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4%
- Dividend yield
- 11.90%
Trinity Capital stock news this week
Coverage of Trinity Capital this week reads neutral: 1 positive, 4 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
- Capital Southwest (NASDAQ:CSWC) & Trinity Capital (NASDAQ:TRIN) Critical AnalysisDefense World, Oct 11
- Trinity Capital Inc. $TRIN Stock Sold by Sound Income Strategies LLCMarketBeat, Oct 9
- Trinity Capital reports $880M in new commitments for Q3 2026StreetInsider, Oct 8
- Trinity Capital Achieves $880 Million of New Commitments and $614 Million in Funded Investments in the Third Quarter of 2026PRNewsWire, Oct 8
- Trinity Capital to release Q3 2026 financial re...Pluang, Oct 6
- Trinity Capital to Announce Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results and Host Earnings Call on November 4TradingView, Oct 6
Trinity Capital peers
Trinity Capital’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| TPLTexas Pacific Land | Neutral | 0.2% below |
| VNOMViper Energy | Neutral | 9.2% below |
| BXSLBlackstone Secured Lending Fund | Accumulation | 2.7% below |
| WTWisdomTree | Accumulation | 9.3% below |
| BSMBlack Stone Minerals | Neutral | 31.7% below |
| FSKFS KKR Capital | Accumulation | 7.9% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Trinity Capital stock FAQ
What is Trinity Capital’s market cap?
Trinity Capital’s market cap is $1.53B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $17.07, with 89.89M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 9.8.
What is the Trinity Capital stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Trinity Capital is $18.50, +8.4% from the last close. Of the 2 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Trinity Capital stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Trinity Capital is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $17.07 is 6.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $18.16. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Trinity Capital report earnings next?
Trinity Capital is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026 (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.52 per share on revenue of $93.91M. Trinity Capital beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.1% on average across the report.
What is Trinity Capital’s 52-week high and low?
Trinity Capital’s 52-week high is $18.90 and its 52-week low is $14.13; it closed at $17.07 on Oct 12, 2026, +16.4% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $20.26 on Mar 29, 2022.
Is Trinity Capital stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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