NASDAQ: VNOM

Viper Energy (VNOM) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$40.53−0.40 (−1.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Coverage of Viper Energy this week is light on company-specific developments, consisting mainly of a general stock profile piece and a feature describing VNOM as a "Strong Growth Stock." No earnings, guidance, deal, product or regulatory news appears in this period, and no analyst rating changes are noted beyond existing coverage.

Shares closed at $40.53, down 1% on the day, sitting below both the 50-day average of $43.49 and the 200-day average of $43.73, with the shorter average below the longer one. The stock is down 9.3% over one month and 15.3% over six months, though still up 2.3% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 69.4, placing VNOM in the Accumulation zone, and the price sits 15.9% below the Gekko Fair Value of $48.20.

The next earnings report is scheduled for 2 November 2026, 34 days out, which falls outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity is recorded in the current window. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 6.5% gain across five years, rising in four of them. Separately, the 14 analysts covering the stock currently hold buy ratings with a consensus target of $55.15, implying 36.1% upside from current levels.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Viper Energy price vs fair value

$48.20$40.53Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $40.53200-day averageGekko Fair Value $48.20

Viper Energy quick facts

Market cap
$14.59B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
13.7
EPS, TTM
−$0.10
Revenue, TTM
$1.93B
Profit margin
3.1%
Dividend yield
5.99%
Beta
0.25
Volume
1.58M avg 1.81M
1-year return
+2.3%
Typical daily move
±2.9%
Typical 20-day move
±5.1%
50-day average
$43.49
200-day average
$43.73
Next earnings
Nov 2
Shares outstanding
194.4M
52-week range
$35.10$51.13

Viper Energy swing-trade checklist

Viper Energy scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $40.53 is below the 50-day ($43.49) and 200-day ($43.73) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    69.4, Accumulation

    Reading 69.4 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    15.9% below

    Price is 15.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 34 days

    Next report Nov 2, 2026, 34 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +6.5% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +6.5% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Viper Energy stock chart and price history

Viper Energy closed at $40.53 on Sep 28, 2026, +2.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $35.10 to $51.13.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Viper Energy share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$35$45$50NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep40.53

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−9.3%
3 months
−4.4%
6 months
−15.3%
1 year
+2.3%
The full VNOM chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open VNOM in Gekko

Follow Viper Energy through every session

Put VNOM on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Viper Energy

Viper Energy holds mineral and royalty interests tied to oil and natural gas production across North America, rather than operating wells itself. Its holdings center on land in the Permian Basin and Eagle Ford Shale, regions known for substantial hydrocarbon output, and the company is recognized for the scale of its royalty acreage in these areas.

The company generates income by acquiring and developing these mineral positions, allowing it to benefit from production and reserve growth on the acreage it controls. Management of operations falls to its general partner, Viper Energy Partners GP LLC, and the company functions as part of the broader Diamondback Energy family of businesses.

Viper Energy was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Midland, Texas. Its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker VNOM.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Miscellaneous
Industry
Investment trusts/Mutual funds
Website
viperenergy.com

Viper Energy GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Viper Energy’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 69.4, in the Accumulation zone, down 1 point over five sessions.

010069.4Accumulation

Down 1 point over five sessions, from the Buying zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying22+2.6%+6.4%+2.5%+1.4%
Accumulation (current zone)199+1.6%+2.3%+2.6%+3.9%
Neutral405−0.5%−0.7%0.0%+1.0%
Distribution34+0.4%+1.7%+6.6%+11.2%
Selling12+2.8%+4.0%+6.7%+14.9%

Average VNOM share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the VNOM price, zone by zone.Track VNOM in Gekko

Is Viper Energy stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Viper Energy trades 15.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $48.20, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Viper Energy shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$48.20

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

15.9% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open VNOM in Gekko

Viper Energy insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Viper Energy, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for VNOM in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every VNOM insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open VNOM in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in VNOM were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for VNOM, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open VNOM in Gekko

Buybacks

Viper Energy has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$132.0M
As a share of market cap
0.90%
Trailing four quarters
$412.0M

From company filings.

Viper Energy earnings: next date and track record

Viper Energy reports on Nov 2, 2026 (34 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.8%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+0.9%Nov ’24−6.8%Feb ’25−5.0%May ’25+2.3%Aug ’25−2.3%Nov ’25−0.3%Feb ’26+0.1%May ’26−5.1%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 3, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Viper Energy reported strong Q2 2026 execution with 691 gross horizontal wells turned to production across its acreage. The company is guiding ~4.5% production growth in Q3, implying ~15% annualized oil production per share growth vs. Q4 2025. Viper returned 75% of available cash in Q2, including $132M in share repurchases and a $0.67/share dividend. Management announced a major capital return strategy shift effective Q3 2026.
Guidance
Q3 production guidance implies ~4.5% sequential growth and ~15% annualized oil production per share growth. Board approved a 32% increase to the base dividend to $2.00/share annually (~4.5% yield). The company removed its prior 75% quarterly return commitment, replacing it with a flexible framework prioritizing dividend growth, buybacks, and M&A.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 3, 2026$0.76
est $0.76
−0.5%$677.0M
est $643.5M
+5.2%−5.1%
May 4, 2026$0.55
est $0.43
+27.8%$511.0M
est $499.8M
+2.2%+0.1%
Feb 23, 2026$0.31
est $0.29
+6.7%$435.0M
est $422.8M
+2.9%−0.3%
Nov 3, 2025$1.04
est $0.37
+181.1%——−2.3%
Aug 4, 2025$0.41
est $0.34
+20.6%$393.0M
est $344.1M
+14.2%+2.3%
May 5, 2025$0.54
est $0.45
+20.0%$245.0M
est $243.7M
+0.5%−5.0%
Feb 24, 2025$0.42
est $0.41
+2.4%$228.7M
est $222.3M
+2.9%−6.8%
Nov 4, 2024$0.49
est $0.47
+4.3%$209.4M
est $210.5M
−0.5%+0.9%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Viper Energy stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Viper Energy is $55.15, +36.1% from the last close, from 14 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$55.15consensus 12-month target, +36.1% from the last close
Low $46High $61
Buy14
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 14 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 2Seaport GlobalBuy, initiated$54+33.2%
Aug 20Goldman SachsBuy, reiterated$57+40.6%
Aug 18Morgan StanleyBuy, reiterated$46+13.5%
Aug 17BarclaysBuy, maintained$58+43.1%
Aug 6J.P. MorganBuy, maintained$52+28.3%
+2.6%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+6.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Viper Energy seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Viper Energy averaged +6.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+1.0%2021+15.4%2022+2.7%2023+13.9%2024−3.4%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+5.1%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+7.3%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+8.3%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+6.5%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+9.2%4 of 5

For scale, VNOM’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.1%.

Viper Energy market cap and key statistics

Viper Energy’s market cap is $14.59B and revenue of $1.93B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$14.59B
Forward P/E
13.7
EPS, TTM
−$0.10
Gekko Fair Value
$48.20

Trading

Volume
1.58M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.81M
52-week high
$51.13
52-week low
$35.10
Shares outstanding
194.4M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.93B
Profit margin
3.1%
Return on equity
1.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+160.7%

Risk and income

Beta
0.25
Typical daily move
±2.9%
Typical 20-day move
±5.1%
Dividend yield
5.99%

Viper Energy stock news this week

2 headlines about Viper Energy from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Viper Energy peers

Viper Energy’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
TPLTexas Pacific Land−1.7%Accumulation6.9% below
BXSLBlackstone Secured Lending Fund−0.8%Accumulation0.2% below
WTWisdomTree−0.5%Neutral2.1% above
FSKFS KKR Capital−0.4%Accumulation5.6% below
BSMBlack Stone Minerals−0.6%Accumulation34.7% below
ASSTStrive−1.9%Neutral17.7% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Viper Energy stock FAQ

What is Viper Energy’s market cap?

Viper Energy’s market cap is $14.59B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $40.53, with 194.4M shares outstanding.

What is the Viper Energy stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Viper Energy is $55.15, +36.1% from the last close. Of the 14 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 14 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Viper Energy stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Viper Energy is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $40.53 is 15.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $48.20. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Viper Energy report earnings next?

Viper Energy is expected to report on Nov 2, 2026 (34 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.62 per share on revenue of $587.5M. Viper Energy beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.8% on average across the report.

What is Viper Energy’s 52-week high and low?

Viper Energy’s 52-week high is $51.13 and its 52-week low is $35.10; it closed at $40.53 on Sep 28, 2026, +2.3% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $56.76 on Nov 25, 2024.

Is Viper Energy stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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