NYSE: TSLX

Sixth Street Specialty Lending (TSLX) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$17.19−0.16 (−0.9%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week's attention on TSLX centers on its upcoming earnings, now set for 3 November 2026, alongside continued analyst commentary. One piece highlights an average analyst price target of $19.83 and notes the company "recently surpassed quarterly earnings and revenue estimates," while another argues the stock's 1.11x P/NAV premium is not justified relative to other externally managed BDCs. A compilation of recent 8-K filings also references dividend declarations, leadership changes, and stock issuance approvals below NAV.

TSLX closed at $17.19, down 0.9% on the day, sitting below both its 50-day average of $18.26 and its 200-day average of $18.55, with the 50-day also below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 65.2, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, while the price sits 8.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $18.86.

Earnings arrive on 3 November, 21 days out, falling inside the typical 20-trading-day holding window referenced for swing positions; the prior quarter's reaction was a decline of 9.4% following an EPS miss against estimate. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Analyst sentiment includes 6 buy ratings and 1 hold among 7 firms, with a consensus target of $19.77 implying 15% upside. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged a gain of 4.8% across 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Sixth Street Specialty Lending price vs fair value

$18.86$17.19Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $17.19200-day averageGekko Fair Value $18.86

Sixth Street Specialty Lending quick facts

Market cap
$1.63B
P/E ratio
18.9
Forward P/E
10.2
EPS, TTM
$0.93
Revenue, TTM
$408.9M
Profit margin
21.8%
Dividend yield
11.00%
Beta
0.66
Volume
396,922 avg 498,809
1-year return
−18.3%
Typical daily move
±2.3%
Typical 20-day move
±3.2%
50-day average
$18.26
200-day average
$18.55
Next earnings
Nov 3 before open
Shares outstanding
95.34M
52-week range
$16.04$23.19

Sixth Street Specialty Lending swing-trade checklist

Sixth Street Specialty Lending scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $17.19 is below the 50-day ($18.26) and 200-day ($18.55) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    65.2, Accumulation

    Reading 65.2 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    8.9% below

    Price is 8.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 22 days

    Reports on Nov 3, 2026, 22 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +4.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.8% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Sixth Street Specialty Lending stock chart and price history

Sixth Street Specialty Lending closed at $17.19 on Oct 12, 2026, −18.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $16.04 to $23.19.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Sixth Street Specialty Lending share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$16$18$20$22$24NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct17.19

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−3.9%
3 months
+0.2%
6 months
−5.9%
1 year
−18.3%
The full TSLX chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open TSLX in Gekko

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About Sixth Street Specialty Lending

Sixth Street Specialty Lending works as a business development company that channels money into other firms rather than selling goods to everyday consumers. It lends through senior secured debt, such as first-lien, second-lien and unitranche arrangements, and also writes unsecured and mezzanine loans while putting money into corporate bonds, stock positions, structured instruments and common equity, often teaming up with co-investors. These commitments generally help businesses grow, acquire other companies, branch into new markets, reorganize, recapitalize or refinance existing debt.

Its lending and investing touch many corners of the economy, among them business services, software, healthcare, energy, consumer goods and retail, manufacturing, industrials, education, specialty finance and companies built around royalty income. The firms it backs are mostly mid-sized and located in the United States, usually carrying enterprise values from fifty million to over a billion dollars and EBITDA between ten million and two hundred fifty million dollars. A single deal can range from fifteen million up to three hundred fifty million dollars, and the firm is able to put together syndicated deals worth as much as half a billion dollars while keeping meaningful ownership in the credit positions it holds.

Shares of Sixth Street Specialty Lending are listed on the NYSE under the ticker TSLX.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Miscellaneous
Industry
Investment trusts/Mutual funds
Website
sixthstreetspecialtylending.com

Sixth Street Specialty Lending GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Sixth Street Specialty Lending’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 65.2, in the Accumulation zone, down 0.1 points over five sessions.

010065.2Accumulation

Down 0.1 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying43−0.4%−0.8%−0.2%+2.7%
Accumulation (current zone)231+0.4%+0.9%+0.9%+1.6%
Neutral372−0.4%−0.8%−1.2%−2.8%
Distribution27−0.2%−0.8%−1.1%−2.3%
Selling9Too few readings yet

Average TSLX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the TSLX price, zone by zone.Track TSLX in Gekko

Is Sixth Street Specialty Lending stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Sixth Street Specialty Lending trades 8.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $18.86, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Sixth Street Specialty Lending shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$18.86

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

8.9% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 1.0% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$19$17Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open TSLX in Gekko

Sixth Street Specialty Lending insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Sixth Street Specialty Lending, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for TSLX in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every TSLX insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TSLX in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in TSLX were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for TSLX, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TSLX in Gekko

Buybacks

Sixth Street Specialty Lending has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$500K
As a share of market cap
0.03%

From company filings.

Sixth Street Specialty Lending earnings: next date and track record

Sixth Street Specialty Lending reports on Nov 3, 2026, before the open (22 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.3%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+1.0%Nov ’24+3.4%Feb ’25−1.2%Apr ’25−1.5%Apr ’25+1.7%Jul ’25−3.5%Nov ’25−4.4%Feb ’26−9.4%May ’26

Last earnings call, May 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
TSLX reported Q1 2026 net investment income of $0.42/share (9.9% annualized ROE) but posted a net loss of $0.27/share driven by unrealized losses. NAV declined 4.3% to $16.24, with $0.58/share attributable to market-driven fair value adjustments from credit spread widening (48bps first-lien, 256bps second-lien) and lower equity valuations. Management emphasized losses are noncash and reversible, with underlying portfolio health intact.
Guidance
Management expects unrealized credit spread-driven losses to reverse over time. No specific earnings targets provided, but leadership expressed confidence in capitalizing on evolving market opportunities with a strong balance sheet.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
May 5, 2026$0.42
est $0.50
−16.4%$93.40M
est $103.1M
−9.4%−9.4%
Feb 12, 2026$0.52
est $0.50
+4.0%$108.2M
est $104.4M
+3.7%−4.4%
Nov 4, 2025$0.53
est $0.52
+1.9%$81.14M
est $107.1M
−24.2%−3.5%
Jul 30, 2025$0.56
est $0.53
+5.7%$112.5M
est $108.3M
+3.8%+1.7%
Apr 30, 2025$0.58
est $0.56
+3.6%$113.9M
est $116.7M
−2.4%−1.5%
Apr 29, 2025$0.62
est $0.55
+11.8%$113.9M
est $116.7M
−2.4%−1.2%
Feb 13, 2025$0.61
est $0.57
+7.0%$122.3M
est $119.1M
+2.7%+3.4%
Nov 5, 2024$0.57
est $0.58
−1.7%$109.0M
est $117.6M
−7.3%+1.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Sixth Street Specialty Lending stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Sixth Street Specialty Lending is $19.77, +15.0% from the last close, from 7 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$19.77consensus 12-month target, +15.0% from the last close
Low $17.50High $20
Buy6
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 7 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 21Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$19.50+13.4%
Aug 19J.P. MorganHold, maintained$17.50+1.8%
Aug 10KBWBuy, maintained$19.50+13.4%
Aug 7OppenheimerBuy, maintained$20+16.3%
Aug 6RBC CapitalBuy, maintained$20+16.3%
+0.9%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+4.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Sixth Street Specialty Lending seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Sixth Street Specialty Lending averaged +4.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+9.1%2021+11.7%2022+1.7%2023−3.0%2024+1.6%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.7%5 of 5
Next 10 trading days+3.1%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+3.9%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+4.8%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+5.1%5 of 5

For scale, TSLX’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.2%.

Sixth Street Specialty Lending market cap and key statistics

Sixth Street Specialty Lending’s market cap is $1.63B, with a P/E ratio of 18.9 and revenue of $408.9M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.63B
P/E ratio
18.9
Forward P/E
10.2
EPS, TTM
$0.93
Gekko Fair Value
$18.86

Trading

Volume
396,922
Avg volume, 20 days
498,809
52-week high
$23.19
52-week low
$16.04
Shares outstanding
95.34M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$408.9M
Profit margin
21.8%
Return on equity
5.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−32.1%

Risk and income

Beta
0.66
Typical daily move
±2.3%
Typical 20-day move
±3.2%
Dividend yield
11.00%

Sixth Street Specialty Lending peers

Sixth Street Specialty Lending’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
TPLTexas Pacific Land−0.2%Neutral0.2% below
VNOMViper Energy−0.5%Neutral9.2% below
BXSLBlackstone Secured Lending Fund−0.2%Accumulation2.7% below
WTWisdomTree−1.9%Accumulation9.3% below
BSMBlack Stone Minerals−0.1%Neutral31.7% below
FSKFS KKR Capital+0.3%Accumulation7.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Sixth Street Specialty Lending stock FAQ

What is Sixth Street Specialty Lending’s market cap?

Sixth Street Specialty Lending’s market cap is $1.63B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $17.19, with 95.34M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 18.9.

What is the Sixth Street Specialty Lending stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Sixth Street Specialty Lending is $19.77, +15.0% from the last close. Of the 7 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Sixth Street Specialty Lending stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Sixth Street Specialty Lending is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $17.19 is 8.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $18.86. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Sixth Street Specialty Lending report earnings next?

Sixth Street Specialty Lending is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026, before the market opens (22 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.44 per share on revenue of $97.50M. Sixth Street Specialty Lending beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.3% on average across the report.

What is Sixth Street Specialty Lending’s 52-week high and low?

Sixth Street Specialty Lending’s 52-week high is $23.19 and its 52-week low is $16.04; it closed at $17.19 on Oct 12, 2026, −18.3% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $25.17 on Jul 18, 2025.

Is Sixth Street Specialty Lending stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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