Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for NMR in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every NMR insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NMR in Gekko
Nomura (NMR) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$10.07−0.16 (−1.6%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:16 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryNomura (NMR) closes at $10.07, down 1.6% on the day, holding above both its 50-day average of $9.97 and its 200-day average of $8.83. The stock is up 5.9% over one month, 12.3% over three months, and 34.4% over the past year, trading between a 52-week low of $6.71 and a high of $10.94. The GekkoIndex reading of 58.2 places the stock in the Neutral zone. Gekko Fair Value stands at $10.47, putting the current price 3.8% below that level.
Recent coverage centers on continued price strength in NMR, cited as a candidate in a screen for fundamentally strong, moving stocks. Separately, Nomura's own research arm adjusted its price target on GDS Holdings to $45.70 from $48.40 while maintaining a Buy rating following GDS's second-quarter 2026 results and revised guidance. Ownership activity also surfaced, with Citadel Advisors LLC reducing its NMR stake by 48.6% in the second quarter, selling 107,298 shares and retaining 113,433 shares valued at approximately $996,000.
The next earnings date falls on 28 October 2026, 38 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Consensus analyst target sits at $11.22, implying 11.4% upside from current levels. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -5.2% across 5 years, with gains in none of those years, a pattern worth noting alongside the current gap to Gekko Fair Value.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $10.07200-day averageGekko Fair Value $10.47
Key stats
- Market cap
- $29.43B
- P/E ratio
- 12.2
- Forward P/E
- 15.4
- EPS, TTM
- $0.84
- Revenue, TTM
- $2.33T
- Profit margin
- 17.3%
- Dividend yield
- 3.17%
- Beta
- 0.61
- Volume
- 549,964 avg 714,556
- 1-year return
- +34.4%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6%
- 50-day average
- $9.97
- 200-day average
- $8.83
- Next earnings
- Oct 28
- Shares outstanding
- 2.92B
Nomura swing-trade checklist
Nomura scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $10.07 is above the 50-day ($9.97) and 200-day ($8.83) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
58.2, Neutral
Reading 58.2 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuemixed
3.8% below
Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (3.8% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 38 days
Next report Oct 28, 2026, 38 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−5.2% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −5.2% over 5 years, rising in 0 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Nomura stock chart and price history
Nomura closed at $10.07 on Sep 18, 2026, +34.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $6.71 to $10.94.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +5.9%
- 3 months
- +12.3%
- 6 months
- +31.5%
- 1 year
- +34.4%
The full NMR chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open NMR in Gekko
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About Nomura
Nomura provides financial services that span investment guidance, asset management, and capital markets activity, serving individuals, institutions, and government bodies across global markets. It is recognized for combining wealth advisory work with broader securities and banking operations under one roof.
The firm runs through three business lines. Its wealth management arm focuses on investment consultation for clients, while its investment management division handles the creation and oversight of investment trusts, discretionary portfolios, fund management for institutional clients, and the administration of silent partnerships. The wholesale segment covers trading in debt and equity securities, currency and derivatives contracts, along with investment banking work such as underwriting, securities distribution, mergers and acquisitions guidance, and financial advisory services.
The company traces its roots to 1925, originally operating as The Nomura Securities Co., Ltd. before adopting its current name in October 2001. It is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, and its shares trade under the ticker NMR.
- Sector
- Finance
- Website
- nomuraholdings.com
Nomura GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Nomura’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 58.2, in the Neutral zone, up 14.9 points over five sessions.
58.2Neutral
Up 14.9 points over five sessions, from the Distribution zone.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 30 | +2.6% | +6.5% | ||
| Accumulation | 143 | +1.2% | +3.2% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 404 | +0.1% | +1.3% | ||
| Distribution | 38 | +0.4% | +1.1% | ||
| Selling | 0 | Not available | |||
Average NMR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the NMR price, zone by zone.Track NMR in Gekko
Is Nomura stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Nomura trades 3.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $10.47, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Nomura shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$10.47
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026
3.8% below fair value · About fair value
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open NMR in Gekko
Nomura insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Nomura, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in NMR were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for NMR, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NMR in Gekko
Nomura earnings: next date and track record
Nomura reports on Oct 28, 2026 (38 days away).
Next earnings report
Oct 28, 2026
38 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.20
- Revenue estimate
- $3.88B
Nomura stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Nomura is $11.22, +11.4% from the last close.
$11.22consensus 12-month target, +11.4% from the last close
+1.3%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−5.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Nomura seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Nomura averaged −5.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 0 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −1.2% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −5.0% | 0 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −5.4% | 0 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −5.2% | 0 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −7.7% | 0 of 5 |
For scale, NMR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6%.
Nomura market cap and key statistics
Nomura’s market cap is $29.43B, with a P/E ratio of 12.2 and revenue of $2.33T over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $29.43B
- P/E ratio
- 12.2
- Forward P/E
- 15.4
- EPS, TTM
- $0.84
- Gekko Fair Value
- $10.47
Trading
- Volume
- 549,964
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 714,556
- 52-week high
- $10.94
- 52-week low
- $6.71
- Shares outstanding
- 2.92B
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $2.33T
- Profit margin
- 17.3%
- Return on equity
- 11.2%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +42.0%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.61
- Typical daily move
- ±2.2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6%
- Dividend yield
- 3.17%
Nomura stock news this week
Coverage of Nomura this week reads neutral: 1 positive, 1 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- Here's Why Momentum in Nomura (NMR) Should Keep goingZacks Investment Research, Sep 18
- Nomura Adjusts GDS Holdings Price Target to $45.70 From $48.40, Maintains Buy Ratingmarketscreener.com, Sep 14
- Licensable picture: A woman walks past a signboard of Nomura Securities outside its branch in TokyoReuters Connect, Sep 14
- Citadel Advisors LLC Has $996,000 Stake in Nomura Holdings Inc ADR $NMRMarketBeat, Sep 12
Nomura stock FAQ
What is Nomura’s market cap?
Nomura’s market cap is $29.43B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $10.07, with 2.92B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 12.2.
What is the Nomura stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Nomura is $11.22, +11.4% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Nomura stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Nomura is about fair value: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $10.07 is 3.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $10.47. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Nomura report earnings next?
Nomura is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026 (38 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.20 per share on revenue of $3.88B.
What is Nomura’s 52-week high and low?
Nomura’s 52-week high is $10.94 and its 52-week low is $6.71; it closed at $10.07 on Sep 18, 2026, +34.4% over the past year.
Is Nomura stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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