Global Net Lease (GNL) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$7.82+0.07 (+0.9%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Global Net Lease announced a quarterly dividend of $0.19 per share, declared 1 October, payable 16 October to holders of record as of 12 October. The announcement concerns the company's ongoing distribution policy rather than operating results.

GNL closed at $7.82, up 0.9%, but remains below its 50-day average of $8.78 and its 200-day average of $9.17, with the 50-day below the 200-day. Shares have fallen 13.6% over one month, 11.2% over three months, and 18.2% over six months, trading within a 52-week range of $7.48 to $10.04. The GekkoIndex reads 77.1, placing GNL in the Buying zone, while price sits 43.3% below the Gekko Fair Value of $13.8.

The next earnings report is scheduled for 11 November 2026, 30 days away and outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter showed an EPS of -$0.05 against an estimate of -$0.06, with a -1.6% reaction, and GNL has beaten estimates in 4 of the last 8 quarters. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in their respective windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 3.8% return over 5 years, with gains in 3 of them. Three analysts currently rate the stock Buy, with a consensus target of $10.14, implying 29.7% upside from current levels.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Global Net Lease price vs fair value

▲$13.80$7.82Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $7.82200-day averageGekko Fair Value $13.80

Global Net Lease quick facts

Market cap
$1.66B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
—
EPS, TTM
−$0.28
Revenue, TTM
$459.7M
Profit margin
-2.9%
Dividend yield
9.49%
Beta
1.02
Volume
2.10M avg 2.88M
1-year return
0.0%
Typical daily move
±2.1%
Typical 20-day move
±5.4%
50-day average
$8.78
200-day average
$9.17
Next earnings
Nov 11
Shares outstanding
231.3M
52-week range
$7.48$10.04

Global Net Lease swing-trade checklist

Global Net Lease scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $7.82 is below the 50-day ($8.78) and 200-day ($9.17) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    77.1, Buying

    Reading 77.1 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    43.3% below

    Price is 43.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 30 days

    Next report Nov 11, 2026, 30 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +3.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.8% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Global Net Lease stock chart and price history

Global Net Lease closed at $7.82 on Oct 12, 2026, 0.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $7.48 to $10.04.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Global Net Lease share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$7.50$8.00$8.50$9.00$9.50$10.00NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct7.82

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−13.6%
3 months
−11.2%
6 months
−18.2%
1 year
0.0%
The full GNL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open GNL in Gekko

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About Global Net Lease

Global Net Lease owns and manages a portfolio of income producing properties leased out under net lease arrangements. Its holdings span the United States as well as Western and Northern Europe, giving it a spread of real estate assets across multiple countries rather than a single regional focus. The company is best known for this kind of cross border net lease ownership model.

As a real estate investment trust, Global Net Lease earns its income primarily from rents paid by tenants occupying the properties it owns. The company is internally managed, meaning its own staff oversee acquisitions and portfolio management rather than relying on an outside management firm. Its business centers on buying and holding net lease assets that generate ongoing rental income.

Global Net Lease was incorporated in Maryland in 2011. Its shares trade under the ticker GNL.

Sector
Finance
Website
globalnetlease.com

Global Net Lease GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Global Net Lease’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 77.1, in the Buying zone, down 4.1 points over five sessions.

010077.1Buying

Down 4.1 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)44+0.8%+0.4%+3.5%+3.9%
Accumulation207+0.4%+0.7%+2.3%+3.3%
Neutral354−0.1%0.0%−0.2%+1.2%
Distribution27+0.5%+0.2%−1.0%+2.5%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average GNL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the GNL price, zone by zone.Track GNL in Gekko

Is Global Net Lease stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Global Net Lease trades 43.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $13.80, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Global Net Lease shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$13.80

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

43.3% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 40.1% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$14$8Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open GNL in Gekko

Global Net Lease insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Global Net Lease, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for GNL in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every GNL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GNL in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in GNL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for GNL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GNL in Gekko

Buybacks

Global Net Lease has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$49.46M
As a share of market cap
2.98%
Trailing four quarters
$134.9M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold GNL.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Global Net Lease earnings: next date and track record

Global Net Lease reports on Nov 11, 2026 (30 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.1%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−0.7%May ’24+0.7%Aug ’24+2.7%Nov ’24+2.1%Feb ’250.0%May ’25+12.1%Aug ’25+5.2%Nov ’25−1.6%Mar ’26

Last earnings call, Mar 4, 2026 AI summary

What they said
GNL completed a transformational year in 2025, executing $1.8 billion multi-tenant retail portfolio sale as part of $3.4 billion total disposition program, evolving into pure-play single-tenant net lease REIT. Company reduced debt by $2.8 billion since 2023, improving net debt-to-EBITDA from 8.4x to 6.7x. Fitch upgraded corporate rating to investment-grade BBB- and S&P lifted rating to BB+. Company repurchased $135.9 million in shares and delivered 32% total return versus 6% sector return.
Guidance
Management indicated evolution from deleveraging-focused strategy to accretive capital recycling approach for 2026. Company plans to remain selective and opportunistic with asset management while continuing balanced approach between share repurchases and deleveraging.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Mar 4, 2026−$0.05
est −$0.06
+14.2%$117.0M
est $120.1M
−2.6%−1.6%
Nov 5, 2025$0.24
est $0.21
+14.3%$121.0M
est $118.9M
+1.8%+5.2%
Aug 7, 2025−$0.19
est −$0.13
−46.2%$124.9M
est $127.1M
−1.7%+12.1%
May 5, 2025−$0.14
est −$0.09
−55.6%$132.4M
est $187.9M
−29.5%0.0%
Feb 25, 2025−$0.09
est −$0.11
+18.0%$199.1M
est $195.2M
+2.0%+2.1%
Nov 6, 2024−$0.33
est −$0.16
−106.2%$196.6M
est $197.5M
−0.5%+2.7%
Aug 6, 2024−$0.20
est −$0.17
−17.6%$203.3M
est $205.7M
−1.1%+0.7%
May 7, 2024−$0.15
est −$0.19
+21.1%$206.0M
est $95.28M
+116.3%−0.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Global Net Lease stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Global Net Lease is $10.14, +29.7% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$10.14consensus 12-month target, +29.7% from the last close
Low $10High $12
Buy3
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 17BMO CapitalBuy, upgraded$10+27.9%
Aug 13Cantor FitzgeraldBuy, maintained$11+40.7%
Aug 7Cantor FitzgeraldBuy, maintained$11+40.7%
Aug 6Colliers SecuritiesBuy, maintained$12+53.5%
+3.5%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+3.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Global Net Lease seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Global Net Lease averaged +3.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+0.3%2021+22.7%2022−2.4%2023−5.1%2024+5.8%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.4%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.1%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.0%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.8%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+2.7%3 of 5

For scale, GNL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.4%.

Global Net Lease market cap and key statistics

Global Net Lease’s market cap is $1.66B and revenue of $459.7M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.66B
EPS, TTM
−$0.28
Gekko Fair Value
$13.80

Trading

Volume
2.10M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.88M
52-week high
$10.04
52-week low
$7.48
Shares outstanding
231.3M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$459.7M
Profit margin
-2.9%
Return on equity
-1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+333.0%

Risk and income

Beta
1.02
Typical daily move
±2.1%
Typical 20-day move
±5.4%
Dividend yield
9.49%

Global Net Lease stock news this week

1 headline about Global Net Lease from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

More stocks

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

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Global Net Lease stock FAQ

What is Global Net Lease’s market cap?

Global Net Lease’s market cap is $1.66B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $7.82, with 231.3M shares outstanding.

What is the Global Net Lease stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Global Net Lease is $10.14, +29.7% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Global Net Lease stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Global Net Lease is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $7.82 is 43.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $13.80. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Global Net Lease report earnings next?

Global Net Lease is expected to report on Nov 11, 2026 (30 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.00 per share on revenue of $112.9M. Global Net Lease beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.1% on average across the report.

What is Global Net Lease’s 52-week high and low?

Global Net Lease’s 52-week high is $10.04 and its 52-week low is $7.48; it closed at $7.82 on Oct 12, 2026, 0.0% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $16.63 on Oct 15, 2021.

Is Global Net Lease stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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