NICE (NICE) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$109.09−3.72 (−3.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

NICE shares fell 3.3% this week to $109.09, extending a downward trend, as reports emerged that Brookfield is in talks to acquire Nice's financial risk management division, Actimize, for $2 billion, with discussions described as ongoing and a deal not yet finalized. Separately, competition in the banking and financial services space has drawn attention, with SoundHound AI expanding contracts and pushing further into a market where NICE and Five9 also operate. NICE was also named a 2026 Best Workplace for Innovators by Fast Company in the Cybersecurity & Enterprise category.

The stock trades between its 50-day average of $102.66 and 200-day average of $104.77, with the close at $109.09 sitting 43.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $193.83. The GekkoIndex reads 54.4, placing NICE in the Neutral zone, up 6.9 over the last five sessions. Consensus among 7 covering firms shows 5 buy and 2 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $129.25, implying 18.5% upside from current levels.

The next earnings report is scheduled for 12 November 2026, 44 days out, beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Over the last 90 days, Congress recorded 2 buys and 0 sells, while the last 30 days show 1 unusual options signal with call premium of $265,230 against no put premium. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged -1.8% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them, a pattern worth noting alongside the pending Actimize deal talks.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

NICE price vs fair value

▲$193.83$109.09Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $109.09200-day averageGekko Fair Value $193.83

NICE quick facts

Market cap
$6.39B
P/E ratio
17.2
Forward P/E
9.4
EPS, TTM
$6.62
Revenue, TTM
$3.07B
Profit margin
13.9%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.05
Volume
537,578 avg 536,856
1-year return
−25.9%
Typical daily move
±5%
Typical 20-day move
±6.7%
50-day average
$102.66
200-day average
$104.77
Next earnings
Nov 12
Shares outstanding
58.44M
52-week range
$83.10$149.29

NICE swing-trade checklist

NICE scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $109.09 sits between the 50-day ($102.66) and 200-day ($104.77) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    54.4, Neutral

    Reading 54.4 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    43.7% below

    Price is 43.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 2 buys / 0 sales. Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 44 days

    Next report Nov 12, 2026, 44 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −1.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −1.8% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

NICE stock chart and price history

NICE closed at $109.09 on Sep 28, 2026, −25.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $83.10 to $149.29.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
NICE share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$80$100$120$140$160NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep109.09

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+3.8%
3 months
+18.8%
6 months
+0.7%
1 year
−25.9%
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About NICE

NICE builds cloud software that uses artificial intelligence to help organizations manage customer service and guard against financial crime. Its tools are used by businesses across the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific to automate support interactions, support staff with AI-driven assistance, and bring together enterprise data, knowledge, and customer records in one place. The company is perhaps best recognized for its work helping organizations detect fraud and money laundering in real time.

The company is structured around two areas of focus. One centers on customer engagement, anchored by a platform called CXone Mpower, which unifies service automation and workforce tools. The other addresses financial crime and compliance, offering products such as NICE Actimize, X-Sight, and Xceed, which give financial institutions and smaller organizations ways to detect fraud, verify customer identities, monitor money laundering, and meet capital markets rules. It also provides NICE Evidencentral, a platform used within the criminal justice system for managing digital evidence and investigations.

NICE was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Ra'anana, Israel. Its shares trade under the ticker NICE.

Sector
Technology services
Website
nice.com

NICE GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

NICE’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 54.4, in the Neutral zone, up 6.9 points over five sessions.

010054.4Neutral

Up 6.9 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying54+2.1%+0.3%−1.0%−3.2%
Accumulation277+0.1%+0.1%−1.4%−4.3%
Neutral (current zone)286−1.1%−2.2%−3.1%−7.3%
Distribution8Too few readings yet
Selling0Not available

Average NICE share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the NICE price, zone by zone.Track NICE in Gekko

Is NICE stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

NICE trades 43.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $193.83, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what NICE shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$193.83

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

43.7% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open NICE in Gekko

NICE insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for NICE, and members of Congress disclosed 2 purchases and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for NICE in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every NICE insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NICE in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

2trades disclosed: 2 purchases and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Josh S. Gottheimer
House, NJ, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Aug 11
traded Jul 20
Josh S. Gottheimer
House, NJ, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Aug 11
traded Jul 19

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

NICE has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$60.80M
As a share of market cap
0.95%
Trailing four quarters
$519.1M

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 100% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 22, $265K in unusual premium.

Every signal with its contract, strike and premium.Unlock in Gekko

NICE earnings: next date and track record

NICE reports on Nov 12, 2026 (44 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±12%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−13.3%Nov ’24−12.9%Feb ’25−3.6%May ’25−10.0%Aug ’25+7.3%Nov ’25+19.5%Feb ’26−23.5%May ’26−6.0%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
NICE reported Q2 2026 results showing stronger-than-expected execution, driven by cloud and product performance and a large increase in AI-related bookings and backlog. Total revenue was $782 million, up 8% year-over-year, with non-GAAP EPS of $2.70 at the high end of guidance. Cloud revenue totaled $609 million (78% of total), growing 12.6% year-over-year (including approximately 250 bps contribution from Cognigy). CX AI and Self-Service ARR reached $362 million, up 52% year-over-year and representing 15% of cloud revenue. Management highlighted record Q2 for new cloud ACV bookings, record AI bookings, cloud backlog growth of 19% and AI backlog growth of 72% (with backlog metrics excluding a recently signed HMRC deal). Management reiterated confidence in its medium-term targets (including prior November targets) and specifically reiterated the $3.5 billion 2028 revenue target. Management emphasized investments in international expansion, strategic partnerships (technology and GSI partners), and integration of Cognigy into the CXone platform. The company noted timing/recognition lags between strong bookings/backlog and revenue as large enterprise deployments ramp, and discussed targeted strategic renewals that modestly impacted NRR. Overall tone from management was confident and constructive throughout Q&A.
Guidance
Management reiterated prior medium-term targets (including a $3.5 billion 2028 revenue target) and stated that they are standing by their guidance for 2026 (Q3 and full-year guidance were discussed on the call but specific numeric Q3/full-year figures were not provided in the transcript).
Risks flagged
- Timing and conversion risk: management repeatedly noted a lag between record bookings/backlog (especially AI/backlog) and revenue recognition due to large, complex enterprise deployments and measured customer rollouts. - Strategic renewal impacts: selective, targeted renewals materially affected near-term NRR and caused modest compression; management expects this was anticipated but it is a near-term headwind. - Competitive risks: a crowded AI/CCaaS vendor landscape with "AI-native" competitors; need to maintain mission-critical reliability and scalability to win large enterprise deals. - Execution risks on large deals: integrating Cognigy into CXone at scale and working with GSIs/partners requires execution; delays could slow revenue conversion.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026$1.95
est $2.13
−8.5%$782.3M
est $766.3M
+2.1%−6.0%
May 6, 2026$2.64
est $2.52
+4.8%$768.6M
est $760.9M
+1.0%−23.5%
Feb 19, 2026$3.24
est $3.21
+0.9%$786.5M
est $780.0M
+0.8%+19.5%
Nov 13, 2025$3.18
est $3.17
+0.3%$732.0M
est $779.9M
−6.1%+7.3%
Aug 14, 2025$3.01
est $2.99
+0.7%$726.7M
est $713.2M
+1.9%−10.0%
May 15, 2025$2.87
est $2.84
+1.1%$700.2M
est $713.1M
−1.8%−3.6%
Feb 20, 2025$3.02
est $2.95
+2.5%$721.6M
est $718.5M
+0.4%−12.9%
Nov 14, 2024$2.88
est $2.68
+7.5%$690.0M
est $715.8M
−3.6%−13.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

NICE stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for NICE is $129.25, +18.5% from the last close, from 7 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$129.25consensus 12-month target, +18.5% from the last close
Low $103High $165
Buy5
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 7 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 28D.A. DavidsonBuy, maintained$140+28.3%
Sep 23RBC CapitalBuy, maintained$145+32.9%
Aug 6Northland SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$165+51.3%
Aug 6Rosenblatt SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$130+19.2%
Aug 6D.A. DavidsonBuy, maintained$115+5.4%
−3.1%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−1.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

NICE seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, NICE averaged −1.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−0.2%2021+2.2%2022−4.8%2023+5.2%2024−9.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.5%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−4.0%0 of 5
Next 15 trading days−2.1%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days−1.8%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days−4.9%2 of 5

For scale, NICE’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.7%.

NICE market cap and key statistics

NICE’s market cap is $6.39B, with a P/E ratio of 17.2 and revenue of $3.07B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$6.39B
P/E ratio
17.2
Forward P/E
9.4
EPS, TTM
$6.62
Gekko Fair Value
$193.83

Trading

Volume
537,578
Avg volume, 20 days
536,856
52-week high
$149.29
52-week low
$83.10
Shares outstanding
58.44M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$3.07B
Profit margin
13.9%
Return on equity
11.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−52.7%

Risk and income

Beta
0.05
Typical daily move
±5%
Typical 20-day move
±6.7%

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NICE stock FAQ

What is NICE’s market cap?

NICE’s market cap is $6.39B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $109.09, with 58.44M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 17.2.

What is the NICE stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for NICE is $129.25, +18.5% from the last close. Of the 7 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 5 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is NICE stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate NICE is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $109.09 is 43.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $193.83. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does NICE report earnings next?

NICE is expected to report on Nov 12, 2026 (44 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.78 per share on revenue of $785.7M. NICE beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 12% on average across the report.

What is NICE’s 52-week high and low?

NICE’s 52-week high is $149.29 and its 52-week low is $83.10; it closed at $109.09 on Sep 28, 2026, −25.9% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $319.88 on Nov 15, 2021.

Is NICE stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (fair value, smart money and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in NICE?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in NICE over the last 30 days, with $265K of flagged premium in calls and $0 in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 22, 2026 with $265K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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