NASDAQ: MRVI

Maravai LifeSciences (MRVI) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$7.06−0.38 (−5.1%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Maravai LifeSciences has drawn analyst attention this week, with coverage noting an average "Hold" recommendation and an average price target of $6.83 from the five firms tracking the stock. This follows an August 6 report in which MRVI posted Q2 2026 revenue of $51.4 million, up 9% year over year, with TriLink growing 12% and Cygnus growing 3% for a fifth straight quarter of growth, alongside adjusted gross margin expansion of over 1,600 basis points to 58.9% and debt reduced to roughly $150 million.

Shares closed at $7.06, down 5.1% on the day, sitting between the 50-day average of $7.18 and the 200-day average of $4.97. The stock's one-month return stands at 8.1% and its six-month return at 130.7%. The GekkoIndex reads 59.7, placing MRVI in the Neutral zone, up 12.3 over five sessions. Price remains 14.6% above Gekko Fair Value of $6.16.

Looking ahead, MRVI next reports earnings on 5 November 2026, 24 days away and within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior reaction to results was -2.8%, against an average absolute move of 13.9%. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows, though one trailblazer holder is recorded. Seasonality over five years shows the next 20 trading days averaging -12.4%, rising in just 1 of those years, a contrast worth noting against the consensus target of $7.83.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Maravai LifeSciences price vs fair value

$7.06$6.16Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $7.06200-day averageGekko Fair Value $6.16

Maravai LifeSciences quick facts

Market cap
$1.95B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
370.4
EPS, TTM
−$0.53
Revenue, TTM
$208.8M
Profit margin
-37.1%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.54
Volume
1.25M avg 2.43M
1-year return
+113.9%
Typical daily move
±6.5%
Typical 20-day move
±12.7%
50-day average
$7.18
200-day average
$4.97
Next earnings
Nov 5 after close
Shares outstanding
149.0M
52-week range
$2.55$9.42

Maravai LifeSciences swing-trade checklist

Maravai LifeSciences scores 0 supportive, 2 mixed and 3 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

0 supportive2 mixed3 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $7.06 sits between the 50-day ($7.18) and 200-day ($4.97) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    59.7, Neutral

    Reading 59.7 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    14.6% above

    Price is 14.6% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 24 days

    Reports on Nov 5, 2026, 24 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −12.4% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −12.4% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Maravai LifeSciences stock chart and price history

Maravai LifeSciences closed at $7.06 on Oct 12, 2026, +113.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $2.55 to $9.42.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Maravai LifeSciences share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$4$6$8NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct7.06

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+8.1%
3 months
+8.4%
6 months
+130.7%
1 year
+113.9%
The full MRVI chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MRVI in Gekko

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About Maravai LifeSciences

Maravai LifeSciences supplies materials used in the development of drug treatments, diagnostic tests, vaccines, and studies of human disease. Its catalog includes nucleic acids used for both diagnostic and therapeutic purposes, antibody tools that flag impurities during biologic manufacturing, and methods for tracking protein expression in tissue samples. The company is particularly known for its work supporting nucleic acid-based therapies and testing used throughout biopharmaceutical production.

The business runs through two segments. One, Nucleic Acid Production, makes and sells materials for gene therapy, oligonucleotide and nucleoside chemistry, and molecular diagnostics, including reagents for building, labeling, and purifying DNA and RNA, as well as messenger RNA, plasmid DNA, and its CleanCap capping technology. The other, Biologics Safety Testing, provides analytical products such as custom antibody and assay development, HCP ELISA kits and related testing kits, reagents, and other services used to check for impurities in biologic manufacturing. Its customers include biopharmaceutical firms, other research-focused life sciences companies, academic institutions, and diagnostics companies.

Maravai LifeSciences was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in San Diego, California. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker MRVI.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Health technology
Industry
Biotechnology
Website
maravai.com

Maravai LifeSciences GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Maravai LifeSciences’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 59.7, in the Neutral zone, up 12.3 points over five sessions.

010059.7Neutral

Up 12.3 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying62+1.5%+4.1%+9.0%+9.7%
Accumulation214+3.0%+3.0%+1.9%+0.8%
Neutral (current zone)3640.0%+1.0%+3.6%+8.3%
Distribution38−4.8%−6.0%−6.7%+14.9%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average MRVI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MRVI price, zone by zone.Track MRVI in Gekko

Is Maravai LifeSciences stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Maravai LifeSciences trades 14.6% above Gekko Fair Value of $6.16, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Maravai LifeSciences shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$6.16

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

14.6% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 45.8% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$6$7Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MRVI in Gekko

Maravai LifeSciences insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Maravai LifeSciences, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for MRVI in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every MRVI insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MRVI in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in MRVI were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for MRVI, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MRVI in Gekko

Buybacks

Maravai LifeSciences has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2025
$111K
As a share of market cap
0.01%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds MRVI.

0added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Maravai LifeSciences earnings: next date and track record

Maravai LifeSciences reports on Nov 5, 2026, after the close (24 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.

2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±13.9%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−36.7%Nov ’24−8.0%Mar ’25+4.0%May ’25+22.3%Aug ’250.0%Nov ’25+14.1%Feb ’26+23.1%May ’26−2.8%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary

What they said
MRVI reported Q2 2026 revenue of $51.4M, up 9% YoY, with TriLink growing 12% and Cygnus growing 3% (fifth consecutive quarter of growth). Adjusted gross margin expanded 1,600+ bps YoY to 58.9%, and adjusted EBITDA improved $19.1M to $8.7M. GMP consumables grew 55% YoY. Debt was refinanced and reduced to ~$150M, cut roughly in half since early 2026, with maturities extended to 2032. ModTail surpassed 125 active customers one year post-launch.
Guidance
Management expressed confidence in near-term outlook based on strong H1 momentum, improving customer visibility, and order conversion. GMP-grade ModTail launch expected later in 2026, targeting clinical manufacturing markets including cell and gene therapy.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 6, 2026−$0.07
est −$0.07
0.0%$51.44M
est $48.67M
+5.7%−2.8%
May 7, 2026$0.01
est −$0.05
+120.0%$65.84M
est $53.00M
+24.2%+23.1%
Feb 25, 2026−$0.04
est −$0.07
+42.9%$49.87M
est $49.05M
+1.7%+14.1%
Nov 6, 2025−$0.08
est −$0.06
−33.3%$41.63M
est $49.06M
−15.1%0.0%
Aug 11, 2025−$0.08
est −$0.06
−33.3%$47.40M
est $50.08M
−5.4%+22.3%
May 12, 2025−$0.08
est −$0.07
−14.3%$46.85M
est $44.01M
+6.5%+4.0%
Mar 18, 2025−$0.06
est −$0.03
−100.0%$56.41M
est $57.79M
−2.4%−8.0%
Nov 7, 2024−$0.02
est −$0.01
−150.0%$65.20M
est $56.64M
+15.1%−36.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Maravai LifeSciences stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Maravai LifeSciences is $7.83, +10.9% from the last close, from 5 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$7.83consensus 12-month target, +10.9% from the last close
Low $6.50High $9
Buy3
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 5 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 5TD CowenBuy, initiated$9+27.5%
Sep 15Craig-HallumBuy, maintained——
Sep 9UBSHold, maintained$8+13.3%
Aug 7Wells FargoBuy, maintained$6.50−7.9%
Aug 7William BlairHold, reiterated——
+3.6%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−12.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±6.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Maravai LifeSciences seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Maravai LifeSciences averaged −12.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−8.0%2021−28.3%2022−20.1%2023+2.8%2024−10.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.0%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−5.8%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−5.8%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days−12.4%1 of 5
Next 30 trading days−18.8%1 of 5

For scale, MRVI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 12.7%.

Maravai LifeSciences market cap and key statistics

Maravai LifeSciences’s market cap is $1.95B and revenue of $208.8M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.95B
Forward P/E
370.4
EPS, TTM
−$0.53
Gekko Fair Value
$6.16

Trading

Volume
1.25M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.43M
52-week high
$9.42
52-week low
$2.55
Shares outstanding
149.0M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$208.8M
Profit margin
-37.1%
Return on equity
-33.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−32.7%

Risk and income

Beta
0.54
Typical daily move
±6.5%
Typical 20-day move
±12.7%

Maravai LifeSciences stock news this week

1 headline about Maravai LifeSciences from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Maravai LifeSciences peers

Maravai LifeSciences’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
AMGNAmgen+0.4%Neutral25.5% below
GILDGilead Sciences−0.9%Neutral4.2% above
MRNAModerna−4.8%Neutral62.7% above
NTRANatera−1.0%Neutral10.3% above
IQVIQVIA+0.8%Neutral8.4% above
UTHRUnited Therapeutics−0.6%Neutral14.4% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Maravai LifeSciences stock FAQ

What is Maravai LifeSciences’s market cap?

Maravai LifeSciences’s market cap is $1.95B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $7.06, with 149.0M shares outstanding.

What is the Maravai LifeSciences stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Maravai LifeSciences is $7.83, +10.9% from the last close. Of the 5 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Maravai LifeSciences stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Maravai LifeSciences is overvalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $7.06 is 14.6% above Gekko Fair Value of $6.16. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Maravai LifeSciences report earnings next?

Maravai LifeSciences is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026, after the market closes (24 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.06 per share on revenue of $43.56M. Maravai LifeSciences beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 13.9% on average across the report.

What is Maravai LifeSciences’s 52-week high and low?

Maravai LifeSciences’s 52-week high is $9.42 and its 52-week low is $2.55; it closed at $7.06 on Oct 12, 2026, +113.9% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $46.43 on Nov 3, 2021.

Is Maravai LifeSciences stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 0 of the 5 items with data read as supportive, 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 3 as headwinds (fair value, earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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