NASDAQ: ZBIO

Zenas BioPharma (ZBIO) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$26.40−0.86 (−3.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Zenas BioPharma's week centers on a wave of clinical and pipeline updates rather than a single catalyst. The company presented new Phase 3 INDIGO open-label extension data for obexelimab in IgG4-related disease at an international symposium, pointing to flare-free probability and reduced glucocorticoid toxicity. Separately, Zenas detailed plans to present seven posters at the ACTRIMS-ECTRIMS meeting in Toronto (21-23 October) covering orelabrutinib and obexelimab in multiple sclerosis, and announced a virtual R&D event for 27 October addressing obexelimab in lupus and the ZB021 program.

Shares closed at $26.40, down 3.2% on the day, sitting between the 50-day average of $30.68 and the 200-day average of $24.94. The stock's one-month return is -15.2%, though the six-month return stands at 25.5%. The GekkoIndex reads 65.3, placing ZBIO in the Accumulation zone, down slightly from five days prior. Fair value is estimated at $37.33, leaving the current price about 29.3% below that mark.

Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings report is scheduled for 12 November, 30 days out and beyond this window, following an August 12 report where actual EPS of -1.77 missed the -1.12 estimate and triggered a -10% reaction. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows. Analyst coverage shows 4 buy and 1 hold ratings among 5 firms, with a consensus target of $47.88. The Toronto conference and the 27 October R&D event remain near-term dates worth noting.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Zenas BioPharma price vs fair value

$37.33$26.40Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $26.40200-day averageGekko Fair Value $37.33

Zenas BioPharma quick facts

Market cap
$1.67B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
—
EPS, TTM
−$9.63
Revenue, TTM
$1.00M
Profit margin
0%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
-0.88
Volume
602,492 avg 762,541
1-year return
−4.9%
Typical daily move
±8.2%
Typical 20-day move
±16.9%
50-day average
$30.68
200-day average
$24.94
Next earnings
Nov 12
Shares outstanding
65.18M
52-week range
$13.50$44.60

Zenas BioPharma swing-trade checklist

Zenas BioPharma scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 4 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $26.40 sits between the 50-day ($30.68) and 200-day ($24.94) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    65.3, Accumulation

    Reading 65.3 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    29.3% below

    Price is 29.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 31 days

    Next report Nov 12, 2026, 31 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityno data

    No data

    Not enough years of history for a seasonal read.

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Zenas BioPharma stock chart and price history

Zenas BioPharma closed at $26.40 on Oct 12, 2026, −4.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $13.50 to $44.60.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Zenas BioPharma share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$10$20$30$40NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct26.40

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−15.2%
3 months
−8.3%
6 months
+25.5%
1 year
−4.9%
The full ZBIO chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ZBIO in Gekko

Follow Zenas BioPharma through every session

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About Zenas BioPharma

Zenas BioPharma is a biopharmaceutical company still in the clinical testing phase, working to build immunology-focused medicines rather than selling finished drugs. Its most advanced candidate, obexelimab, is a bifunctional monoclonal antibody being tested across a range of immune conditions, among them IgG4-related disease, multiple sclerosis, lupus, and a form of autoimmune anemia known as warm AIHA.

Alongside obexelimab, the company is advancing several earlier-stage antibody candidates aimed at different immune targets. These include a treatment directed at TNFa, a fusion molecule built around CTLA-4 and immunoglobulin, an antibody targeting the IGF-1 receptor, and another aimed at complement protein C1s. Each program reflects a different angle on modulating immune system activity for disease treatment.

Originally formed in 2019 as Zenas BioPharma (Cayman) Limited, the business took on its current name in August 2023. It operates out of Waltham, Massachusetts, and its stock trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker ZBIO.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Health technology
Industry
Biotechnology
Website
zenasbio.com

Zenas BioPharma GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Zenas BioPharma’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 65.3, in the Accumulation zone, down 0.6 points over five sessions.

010065.3Accumulation

Down 0.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying32+2.1%−0.7%−3.9%−15.0%
Accumulation (current zone)148+1.0%+2.9%+8.8%+17.4%
Neutral311+2.1%+3.4%+5.6%+19.4%
Distribution23−6.0%−4.6%+2.8%+7.4%
Selling0Not available

Average ZBIO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ZBIO price, zone by zone.Track ZBIO in Gekko

Is Zenas BioPharma stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Zenas BioPharma trades 29.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $37.33, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Zenas BioPharma shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$37.33

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

29.3% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 21.1% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$37$27Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ZBIO in Gekko

Zenas BioPharma insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Zenas BioPharma, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for ZBIO in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every ZBIO insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ZBIO in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in ZBIO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for ZBIO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ZBIO in Gekko

Buybacks

Zenas BioPharma has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Mar 31, 2026
$592K
As a share of market cap
0.04%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Dec 31

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds ZBIO.

0added1opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Zenas BioPharma earnings: next date and track record

Zenas BioPharma reports on Nov 12, 2026 (31 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.

2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.9%average move across the report
4 of 7reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−10.2%Nov ’24+6.7%Apr ’25+20.6%May ’25+12.1%Aug ’25+1.3%Nov ’25−1.4%May ’26−10.0%Aug ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 12, 2026−$1.77
est −$1.12
−58.0%$1.00M
est $15.00M
−93.3%−10.0%
May 13, 2026−$1.46
est −$1.37
−6.6%—
est $25.00M
—−1.4%
Nov 12, 2025−$1.22
est −$0.87
−40.2%—
est $28.75M
—+1.3%
Aug 12, 2025−$1.25
est −$1.02
−22.5%—
est $3.75M
—+12.1%
May 15, 2025−$0.80
est −$1.11
+27.9%$10.00M
est $1.25M
+700.0%+20.6%
Apr 1, 2025−$1.26
est −$0.92
−37.0%$5.00M—+6.7%
Nov 12, 2024−$5.02
est −$9.33
+46.2%——−10.2%
Aug 22, 2024−$1.24
est −$1.24
0.0%———

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Zenas BioPharma stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Zenas BioPharma is $47.88, +81.4% from the last close, from 5 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$47.88consensus 12-month target, +81.4% from the last close
Low $22High $55
Buy4
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 5 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 30H.C. WainwrightBuy, reiterated$44+66.7%
Sep 30WedbushBuy, maintained$45+70.5%
Sep 30CitiBuy, reiterated$48+81.8%
Sep 21H.C. WainwrightBuy, maintained$44+66.7%
Sep 10CitiBuy, maintained$41+55.3%
+8.8%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
±8.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Zenas BioPharma market cap and key statistics

Zenas BioPharma’s market cap is $1.67B and revenue of $1.00M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.67B
EPS, TTM
−$9.63
Gekko Fair Value
$37.33

Trading

Volume
602,492
Avg volume, 20 days
762,541
52-week high
$44.60
52-week low
$13.50
Shares outstanding
65.18M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.00M
Profit margin
0%
Return on equity
-199%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
0.0%

Risk and income

Beta
-0.88
Typical daily move
±8.2%
Typical 20-day move
±16.9%

Zenas BioPharma peers

Zenas BioPharma’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
AMGNAmgen+0.4%Neutral25.5% below
GILDGilead Sciences−0.9%Neutral4.2% above
MRNAModerna−4.8%Neutral62.7% above
NTRANatera−1.0%Neutral10.3% above
IQVIQVIA+0.8%Neutral8.4% above
UTHRUnited Therapeutics−0.6%Neutral14.4% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Zenas BioPharma stock FAQ

What is Zenas BioPharma’s market cap?

Zenas BioPharma’s market cap is $1.67B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $26.40, with 65.18M shares outstanding.

What is the Zenas BioPharma stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Zenas BioPharma is $47.88, +81.4% from the last close. Of the 5 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 4 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Zenas BioPharma stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Zenas BioPharma is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $26.40 is 29.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $37.33. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Zenas BioPharma report earnings next?

Zenas BioPharma is expected to report on Nov 12, 2026 (31 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$1.24 per share on revenue of $1.01M. Zenas BioPharma beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.9% on average across the report.

What is Zenas BioPharma’s 52-week high and low?

Zenas BioPharma’s 52-week high is $44.60 and its 52-week low is $13.50; it closed at $26.40 on Oct 12, 2026, −4.9% over the past year.

Is Zenas BioPharma stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 4 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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