Coca Cola Femsa (KOF) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$108.77−1.46 (−1.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

KOF moved above its 200-day moving average this week, closing at $111.05 after an intraday high of $111.38, which placed the stock $5.36 above the average of $105.69 and gave the chart a technical anchor. Analyst sentiment attached to that move remained a consensus "Hold" rating with an average price target of $118.83. Beyond the technical crossing, no other company, product or regulatory news accompanied the move, and a filing showing Squarepoint Ops LLC reducing its KOF stake stood as background rather than a driver.

KOF now trades at $108.77, down 1.3%, sitting between its 50-day average of $109.97 and its 200-day average of $104.86, with a 1-month return of -3.8% against a 1-year return of 30%. The GekkoIndex reads 61.4, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 5.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $103.42.

KOF next reports earnings on 23 October 2026, before the open, which falls 24 days away and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; its last quarter showed an EPS of $1.19 against a $1.26 estimate, with a 0.5% reaction, and it has beaten estimates in 4 of its last 8 quarters. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged +0.2% over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 2 of them. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current window, leaving the earnings date and analyst consensus of $121.59, or 11.8% upside, as the main points of note.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Coca Cola Femsa price vs fair value

$108.77$103.42Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $108.77200-day averageGekko Fair Value $103.42

Coca Cola Femsa quick facts

Market cap
$22.85B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
123.5
EPS, TTM
−$1.68
Revenue, TTM
$296.2B
Profit margin
8.1%
Dividend yield
3.89%
Beta
0.53
Volume
77,179 avg 121,109
1-year return
+30.0%
Typical daily move
±2.1%
Typical 20-day move
±4.5%
50-day average
$109.97
200-day average
$104.86
Next earnings
Oct 23 before open
Shares outstanding
210.1M
52-week range
$80.22$117.09

Coca Cola Femsa swing-trade checklist

Coca Cola Femsa scores 1 supportive, 2 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

1 supportive2 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $108.77 sits between the 50-day ($109.97) and 200-day ($104.86) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    61.4, Accumulation

    Reading 61.4 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    5.2% above

    Price is 5.2% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 24 days

    Reports on Oct 23, 2026, 24 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +0.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +0.2% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Coca Cola Femsa stock chart and price history

Coca Cola Femsa closed at $108.77 on Sep 28, 2026, +30.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $80.22 to $117.09.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Coca Cola Femsa share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$80$90$100NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep108.77

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−3.8%
3 months
+1.3%
6 months
+13.8%
1 year
+30.0%
The full KOF chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open KOF in Gekko

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About Coca Cola Femsa

Coca Cola Femsa bottles and distributes drinks under the Coca-Cola name, holding a license to make, market, sell and ship them across a broad territory. Its lineup covers sparkling colas and flavored carbonated drinks alongside still options such as water, juices, coffee, tea, milk, dairy-based products, sports and energy drinks, and plant-based alternatives. It has also become known for pushing these products through an unusually wide array of channels.

Its beverages move through wholesale supermarkets, discount and convenience stores, restaurants and bars, large venues like stadiums and theaters, general retail points of sale, and direct channels such as home delivery and standard supermarkets. In Brazil, the company additionally distributes and sells Heineken beer. It runs operations across Mexico, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Brazil, Argentina and Uruguay, and functions as a subsidiary of Fomento Economico Mexicano.

The company was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico. Its shares trade under the ticker KOF.

Sector
Consumer non-durables
Website
coca-colafemsa.com

Coca Cola Femsa GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Coca Cola Femsa’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 61.4, in the Accumulation zone, up 2.3 points over five sessions.

010061.4Accumulation

Up 2.3 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying24+0.3%0.0%+2.5%+4.7%
Accumulation (current zone)195+0.2%+0.5%+1.0%+2.0%
Neutral380+0.1%+0.2%+0.1%+1.0%
Distribution26+0.8%+1.8%+5.2%+4.4%
Selling0Not available

Average KOF share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the KOF price, zone by zone.Track KOF in Gekko

Is Coca Cola Femsa stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Coca Cola Femsa trades 5.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $103.42, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Coca Cola Femsa shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$103.42

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

5.2% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open KOF in Gekko

Coca Cola Femsa insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Coca Cola Femsa, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for KOF in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every KOF insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open KOF in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in KOF were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for KOF, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open KOF in Gekko

Coca Cola Femsa earnings: next date and track record

Coca Cola Femsa reports on Oct 23, 2026, before the open (24 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.8%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+7.7%Jul ’24−0.6%Oct ’24+1.0%Mar ’25−2.3%Apr ’25−1.8%Jul ’25+4.4%Oct ’25+4.4%Feb ’26+0.5%Apr ’26

Last earnings call, Apr 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
KOF reported Q1 2026 volume growth of 1.2% to 998 million unit cases, with total revenue up 1.1% to MXN 70.9 billion (+6.0% ex-currency). Gross profit rose 4.5% with 150bps margin expansion to 46.9%. Mexico volumes declined 2.6% due to excise tax increases and soft consumer environment, offset by record volumes in Guatemala, Colombia, and Brazil. Majority net income fell 15.5% to MXN 4.3 billion due to higher financial costs.
Guidance
Management expects Mexico headwinds to persist near-term but remains confident in long-term strategy. Geographic diversification provides growth offset. No specific financial targets were provided in this excerpt.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Apr 29, 2026$1.19
est $1.26
−5.6%$3.94B
est $3.93B
+0.1%+0.5%
Feb 24, 2026$2.08
est $32.55
−93.6%$4.30B
est $4.28B
+0.5%+4.4%
Oct 24, 2025$1.52
est $1.45
+4.8%$3.91B
est $4.28B
−8.8%+4.4%
Jul 23, 2025$1.36
est $1.44
−5.6%$3.91B
est $3.91B
−0.1%−1.8%
Apr 25, 2025$1.25
est $1.30
−3.8%$3.40B
est $3.88B
−12.4%−2.3%
Mar 19, 2025$1.70
est $1.35
+26.1%$3.64B—+1.0%
Oct 25, 2024$1.47
est $1.33
+10.5%$3.61B
est $3.43B
+5.2%−0.6%
Jul 19, 2024$1.49
est $1.43
+4.2%$3.79B
est $3.80B
−0.2%+7.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Coca Cola Femsa stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Coca Cola Femsa is $121.59, +11.8% from the last close, from 5 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$121.59consensus 12-month target, +11.8% from the last close
Low $113High $134
Buy1
Hold4
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 5 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 27Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$134+23.2%
Aug 17Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained——
Aug 17J.P. MorganHold, maintained$131+20.4%
Aug 3UBSHold, maintained$113+3.9%
Jul 28HSBCHold, downgraded$116+6.6%
+1.0%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+0.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Coca Cola Femsa seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Coca Cola Femsa averaged +0.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−3.5%2021+7.7%2022−3.9%2023−4.9%2024+5.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.0%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days−2.4%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days−3.2%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+0.2%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+2.3%3 of 5

For scale, KOF’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.5%.

Coca Cola Femsa market cap and key statistics

Coca Cola Femsa’s market cap is $22.85B and revenue of $296.2B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$22.85B
Forward P/E
123.5
EPS, TTM
−$1.68
Gekko Fair Value
$103.42

Trading

Volume
77,179
Avg volume, 20 days
121,109
52-week high
$117.09
52-week low
$80.22
Shares outstanding
210.1M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$296.2B
Profit margin
8.1%
Return on equity
17.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+16.9%

Risk and income

Beta
0.53
Typical daily move
±2.1%
Typical 20-day move
±4.5%
Dividend yield
3.89%

Coca Cola Femsa stock news this week

Coverage of Coca Cola Femsa this week reads positive: 2 positive, 1 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

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In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

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Coca Cola Femsa stock FAQ

What is Coca Cola Femsa’s market cap?

Coca Cola Femsa’s market cap is $22.85B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $108.77, with 210.1M shares outstanding.

What is the Coca Cola Femsa stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Coca Cola Femsa is $121.59, +11.8% from the last close. Of the 5 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Coca Cola Femsa stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Coca Cola Femsa is overvalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $108.77 is 5.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $103.42. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Coca Cola Femsa report earnings next?

Coca Cola Femsa is expected to report on Oct 23, 2026, before the market opens (24 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.85 per share on revenue of $4.25B. Coca Cola Femsa beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.8% on average across the report.

What is Coca Cola Femsa’s 52-week high and low?

Coca Cola Femsa’s 52-week high is $117.09 and its 52-week low is $80.22; it closed at $108.77 on Sep 28, 2026, +30.0% over the past year.

Is Coca Cola Femsa stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex), 2 as mixed (trend and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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