Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for STZ in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every STZ insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open STZ in Gekko
NYSE: STZ
Constellation Brands (STZ) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$112.92−0.71 (−0.6%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryConstellation Brands shares touched a new 52-week low of $113.16 this week, extending a decline that has left the stock down 16.74% over the past year. The move comes despite Q1 fiscal 2027 earnings that beat estimates, as a softer consumer environment has prompted analysts to trim price targets; Citigroup, for instance, cut its target to $165 from $185 while maintaining a Buy rating. The pullback has also pushed the dividend yield above 3.5%, drawing attention from income-focused investors.
STZ closed at $112.92, down 0.6% on the day and below both its 50-day average of $128.53 and its 200-day average of $143.94, with the shorter average also under the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 74.3, placing the stock in the Buying zone. Price sits 21.3% below the Gekko Fair Value estimate of $143.54.
Constellation Brands next reports earnings on 6 October 2026 after the close, seven days out and within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior release produced a -2% reaction despite an EPS beat. Options activity shows 2 unusual signals over the past 30 days, with call premium of $1,153,856 well ahead of put premium of $166,302. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged -0.9% over five years, higher in 2 of them, a pattern worth noting alongside the earnings date.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Constellation Brands price vs fair value
Close $112.92200-day averageGekko Fair Value $143.54
Constellation Brands quick facts
- Market cap
- $19.29B
- P/E ratio
- 11.1
- Forward P/E
- 10
- EPS, TTM
- $10.29
- Revenue, TTM
- $9.06B
- Profit margin
- 20.1%
- Dividend yield
- 3.51%
- Beta
- 0.40
- Volume
- 1.39M avg 2.35M
- 1-year return
- −14.9%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.3%
- 50-day average
- $128.53
- 200-day average
- $143.94
- Next earnings
- Oct 6 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 170.8M
Constellation Brands swing-trade checklist
Constellation Brands scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 3 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive0 mixed3 headwinds
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $112.92 is below the 50-day ($128.53) and 200-day ($143.94) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
74.3, Buying
Reading 74.3 is in the Buying zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
21.3% below
Price is 21.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 30 days: 2 unusual options signals.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 7 days
Reports on Oct 6, 2026, 7 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−0.9% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.9% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Constellation Brands stock chart and price history
Constellation Brands closed at $112.92 on Sep 28, 2026, −14.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $111.92 to $168.60.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −14.1%
- 3 months
- −19.1%
- 6 months
- −25.4%
- 1 year
- −14.9%
The full STZ chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open STZ in Gekko
Follow Constellation Brands through every session
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About Constellation Brands
Constellation Brands produces and distributes alcoholic drinks spanning beer, wine and spirits, reaching buyers in the United States, Canada, Mexico, New Zealand and Italy. Its beer portfolio carries the Corona family of labels alongside Modelo Especial, Modelo Chelada, Modelo Negra, Modelo Oro, Victoria, Vicky Chamoy and Pacifico, names that many people would recognize as tied to the company.
Its wine holdings include Kim Crawford, Meiomi, Mount Veeder, Ruffino, SIMI, Robert Mondavi Winery, Schrader, My Favorite Neighbor, The Prisoner Wine Company and Cook's California Champagne, while its spirits brands cover Casa Noble, Copper & Kings, High West, Mi CAMPO, Nelson's Green Brier and SVEDKA. To move these goods into consumers' hands, the company works through wholesale distributors, retail outlets, on-premise venues and state alcohol control boards.
Rochester, New York serves as home base for the company, which dates back to 1945. Trading of its stock takes place on the NYSE, where it goes by the ticker STZ.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Consumer non-durables
- Industry
- Beverages: alcoholic
- Website
- cbrands.com
Constellation Brands GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Constellation Brands’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 74.3, in the Buying zone, up 1.2 points over five sessions.
74.3Buying
Up 1.2 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying (current zone) | 66 | −1.7% | −2.3% | ||
| Accumulation | 286 | −0.1% | −0.3% | ||
| Neutral | 303 | −0.6% | −3.2% | ||
| Distribution | 16 | −1.1% | −1.6% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average STZ share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the STZ price, zone by zone.Track STZ in Gekko
Is Constellation Brands stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Constellation Brands trades 21.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $143.54, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Constellation Brands shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$143.54
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
21.3% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open STZ in Gekko
Constellation Brands insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Constellation Brands, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in STZ were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for STZ, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open STZ in Gekko
Buybacks
Constellation Brands has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended May 31, 2026
- $223.8M
- As a share of market cap
- 1.16%
- Trailing four quarters
- $841.8M
From company filings.
Unusual options activity last 30 days
2signals, 87% of the flagged premium in calls.
Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 11, $449K in unusual premium.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold STZ.
0added0opened0trimmed2sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko
Constellation Brands earnings: next date and track record
Constellation Brands reports on Oct 6, 2026, after the close (7 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 6, 2026
Expected after the close, 7 days away
- EPS estimate
- $3.55
- Revenue estimate
- $2.54B
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.8%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jun 30, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Constellation Brands held its FY'27 Q1 earnings call with CEO Nicholas Fink and CFO Garth Hankinson. The new CEO emphasized confidence in the strength and enduring relevance of the company's core brands and described a strategic focus on maintaining core brand scale while exploring white-space opportunities (e.g., Corona non-alcohol). Management acknowledged a volatile quarter driven by macro headwinds (notably a spike in gas prices) that depressed consumer demand in April and May after a strong March, with some modest reacceleration in June aided by events like the World Cup. Financial highlights discussed include modest shipment growth (1.8%), beer gross margins at 39% driven by fixed-cost leverage, cost savings, and pricing net of mix; currency was a 30-basis-point headwind. Management flagged higher SG&A in coming quarters due to Veracruz staffing and elevated marketing (notably World Cup, College Football, NFL), expecting marketing to exceed 10% of net sales in Q2 and Q3. The company maintained its FY'27 beer net sales guidance despite the strong Q1 start, citing limited visibility and macro uncertainty. Management reiterated confidence in execution, identified distribution and awareness gaps (especially for Modelo Especial), and highlighted in-field execution improvements and a new Head of Sales hire to drive execution.
- Guidance
- Maintained FY'27 beer net sales guidance (no change). Increased full-year marketing spend expectations, with marketing as a percent of net sales to spike above 10% in Q2 and Q3. No quantitative revenue/earnings figures provided on the call.
- Risks flagged
- Macro volatility and limited visibility (notably gas price spikes) that suppress consumer spending; regional weakness (notably in Hispanic ZIP codes, Texas and Florida); currency headwinds (~30 bps in Q1); potential margin pressure from increased SG&A and marketing; distribution and awareness gaps for key brands (Modelo Especial, Corona Extra); competitive dynamics including higher-ABV RTD innovation that could be volume-dilutive to category value.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2026 | $3.43 est $3.22 | $2.43B est $2.39B | −2.0% |
| Apr 8, 2026 | $1.90 est $1.71 | $1.92B est $1.88B | +6.0% |
| Jan 7, 2026 | $3.06 est $2.63 | $2.22B est $2.15B | +3.0% |
| Oct 6, 2025 | $3.63 est $3.38 | $2.48B est $2.46B | −1.4% |
| Jul 1, 2025 | $3.22 est $3.31 | $2.51B est $2.55B | +6.9% |
| Apr 9, 2025 | $2.63 est $2.27 | $2.16B est $2.13B | +8.1% |
| Jan 10, 2025 | $3.25 est $3.31 | $2.46B est $2.53B | −15.2% |
| Oct 3, 2024 | $4.32 est $4.08 | $2.92B est $2.95B | −3.5% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Constellation Brands stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Constellation Brands is $165.48, +46.5% from the last close, from 18 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$165.48consensus 12-month target, +46.5% from the last close
Now $112.92Avg $165.48
Low $122High $209
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 18 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | J.P. Morgan | $133 | +17.8% |
| Sep 23 | Citi | $165 | +46.1% |
| Sep 23 | UBS | $145 | +28.4% |
| Sep 22 | Barclays | $122 | +8.0% |
| Sep 22 | Citi | $165 | +46.1% |
−2.3%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
−0.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Constellation Brands seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, Constellation Brands averaged −0.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +1.7% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −1.0% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −1.1% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −0.9% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −1.2% | 2 of 5 |
For scale, STZ’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.3%.
Constellation Brands market cap and key statistics
Constellation Brands’s market cap is $19.29B, with a P/E ratio of 11.1 and revenue of $9.06B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $19.29B
- P/E ratio
- 11.1
- Forward P/E
- 10
- EPS, TTM
- $10.29
- Gekko Fair Value
- $143.54
Trading
- Volume
- 1.39M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 2.35M
- 52-week high
- $168.60
- 52-week low
- $111.92
- Shares outstanding
- 170.8M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $9.06B
- Profit margin
- 20.1%
- Return on equity
- 23.7%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +30.7%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.40
- Typical daily move
- ±2.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.3%
- Dividend yield
- 3.51%
Constellation Brands stock news this week
6 headlines about Constellation Brands from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- Constellation Brands stock hits 52-week low at 113.16 USD By Investing.comInvesting.com India, Sep 28
- STZ Stock's Selloff Just Pushed the Yield to 3.6%. But Should Dividend Investors Be Worried?24/7 Wall Street, Sep 27
- What's Going On With Constellation Brands Stock Friday?Benzinga, Sep 25
- Constellation Brands Likely To Report Lower Q2 Earnings; These Most Accurate Analysts Revise Forecasts Ahead Of Earnings CallBenzinga, Sep 24
- Corient Private Wealth LP Sells 9,081 Shares of Constellation Brands Inc $STZDefense World, Sep 24
- Citigroup Adjusts Price Target on Constellation Brands to $165 From $185, Maintains Buy Ratingmarketscreener.com, Sep 22
Constellation Brands peers
Constellation Brands’s 4 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| BF.ABrown Forman | Accumulation | 12.7% below |
| BF.BBrown Forman | Accumulation | 14.8% below |
| TAPMolson Coors Beverage | Buying | 8.1% below |
| SAMBoston Beer | Accumulation | 36.9% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Constellation Brands stock FAQ
What is Constellation Brands’s market cap?
Constellation Brands’s market cap is $19.29B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $112.92, with 170.8M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 11.1.
What is the Constellation Brands stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Constellation Brands is $165.48, +46.5% from the last close. Of the 18 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 11 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Constellation Brands stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Constellation Brands is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $112.92 is 21.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $143.54. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Constellation Brands report earnings next?
Constellation Brands is expected to report on Oct 6, 2026, after the market closes (7 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $3.55 per share on revenue of $2.54B. Constellation Brands beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.8% on average across the report.
What is Constellation Brands’s 52-week high and low?
Constellation Brands’s 52-week high is $168.60 and its 52-week low is $111.92; it closed at $112.92 on Sep 28, 2026, −14.9% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $274.87 on Apr 11, 2024.
Is Constellation Brands stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and smart money) and 3 as headwinds (trend, earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
Is there unusual options activity in Constellation Brands?
Gekko flagged 2 unusual options signals in Constellation Brands over the last 30 days, with $1.15M of flagged premium in calls and $166K in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 11, 2026 with $449K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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