Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for KALU in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every KALU insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open KALU in Gekko
NASDAQ: KALU
Kaiser Aluminum (KALU) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$150.49−1.02 (−0.7%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeKeyBanc lowered its price target on Kaiser Aluminum from $183 to $181 this week while maintaining an Overweight rating, with the firm citing valuation and pointing to roughly 9.0x EV/EBITDA on its 2027 estimate. The move follows a stretch in which the stock has pulled back from its 52-week high of $199.89, and comes ahead of the company's next earnings report.
Shares closed at $150.49, down 0.7%, sitting between the 50-day average of $160.69 and the 200-day average of $152.55, a pattern that points to a mixed trend. The stock is down 4.3% over one month and 6.6% over three months, though still up 94% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 61.1, placing KALU in the Accumulation zone, and the price sits 8.1% below the Gekko Fair Value of $163.82.
Kaiser Aluminum reports earnings on 21 October 2026, eight days away and within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; its last report showed EPS of $3.74 against an estimate of $1.96, with a 7.6% reaction, and it has beaten estimates in 5 of the last 8 quarters. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged 9.2% across 5 years, with gains in 4 of them. Analyst consensus across 4 firms includes 2 buy and 2 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $168.25.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Kaiser Aluminum price vs fair value
Close $150.49200-day averageGekko Fair Value $163.82
Kaiser Aluminum quick facts
- Market cap
- $2.46B
- P/E ratio
- 11.1
- Forward P/E
- 27.7
- EPS, TTM
- $13.48
- Revenue, TTM
- $4.14B
- Profit margin
- 5.5%
- Dividend yield
- 2.02%
- Beta
- 1.58
- Volume
- 123,796 avg 206,979
- 1-year return
- +94.0%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.6%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±8.2%
- 50-day average
- $160.69
- 200-day average
- $152.55
- Next earnings
- Oct 21
- Shares outstanding
- 16.35M
Kaiser Aluminum swing-trade checklist
Kaiser Aluminum scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $150.49 sits between the 50-day ($160.69) and 200-day ($152.55) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
61.1, Accumulation
Reading 61.1 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
8.1% below
Price is 8.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 9 days
Reports on Oct 21, 2026, 9 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+9.2% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +9.2% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Kaiser Aluminum stock chart and price history
Kaiser Aluminum closed at $150.49 on Oct 12, 2026, +94.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $76.46 to $199.89.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −4.3%
- 3 months
- −6.6%
- 6 months
- +4.9%
- 1 year
- +94.0%
The full KALU chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open KALU in Gekko
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About Kaiser Aluminum
Kaiser Aluminum makes semi-finished aluminum mill products, turning raw metal into rolled, extruded and drawn goods for customers in the United States and abroad. It is known for supplying materials used across aerospace and defense, automotive, general engineering, and food and beverage packaging, ranging from structural extrusions and drawn tubing to bare and coated coil stock.
The company's output serves distinct end markets: automotive customers receive extruded parts for structural components, crash systems, anti-lock brakes and drive shafts, along with fabrication work like sawing to length. Its packaging line centers on 3000- and 5000-series aluminum coils for food and beverage containers, while its general engineering offerings include plates, sheets, rods, bars, tubes, wires and extrusion shapes used in military vehicles, semiconductor equipment, electronics, tooling and fasteners. Products reach customers through company sales teams in the United States, Canada, Western Europe and China, supplemented by independent sales agents covering other parts of Asia, Latin America and the Middle East.
Kaiser Aluminum was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Foothill Ranch, California. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker KALU.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Non-energy minerals
- Industry
- Aluminum
- Website
- kaiseraluminum.com
Kaiser Aluminum GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Kaiser Aluminum’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 61.1, in the Accumulation zone, up 2.3 points over five sessions.
61.1Accumulation
Up 2.3 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 33 | −0.5% | +10.0% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 197 | +1.1% | +3.5% | ||
| Neutral | 364 | +0.5% | +2.4% | ||
| Distribution | 81 | +2.7% | +5.8% | ||
| Selling | 7 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average KALU share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the KALU price, zone by zone.Track KALU in Gekko
Is Kaiser Aluminum stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Kaiser Aluminum trades 8.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $163.82, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Kaiser Aluminum shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$163.82
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
8.1% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 6.2% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open KALU in Gekko
Kaiser Aluminum insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Kaiser Aluminum, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in KALU were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for KALU, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open KALU in Gekko
Buybacks
Kaiser Aluminum has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2023
- $100K
- As a share of market cap
- 0.00%
From company filings.
Kaiser Aluminum earnings: next date and track record
Kaiser Aluminum reports on Oct 21, 2026 (9 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 21, 2026
9 days away
- EPS estimate
- $2.36
- Revenue estimate
- $1.21B
5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±10.1%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Apr 22, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Kaiser Aluminum reported a strong Q1 2026 with record Adjusted EBITDA and improving margins. Management highlighted continued momentum from 2025, accelerating customer demand, longer lead times, firming pricing, and successful ramp of new capacity (including a fourth coating line at Warrick). Conversion revenue rose 11% year-over-year to $404 million, driven by strength in packaging, aerospace & high strength, and general engineering. Management raised full-year outlook and expects 2026 to be a step change in performance. Key operational themes included mix shift toward higher value-added coated products, improved plant performance, reduced one-time startup costs, and secure metal supply. During Q&A management was confident, attributing results to operational execution, mix, pricing power, and favorable market dynamics (reshoring, increased defense/space spending, recovering commercial aerospace). Some operational challenges remain (converter on-time delivery issues and cautious ramp of new coating line at ~80% utilization) and metal price volatility and forward curves were noted as variables to monitor.
- Guidance
- Management raised the full-year outlook (no specific consolidated revenue/EBITDA numbers disclosed on the call). They provided end-market guidance: aerospace & high strength shipments expected to grow 15%-20% in 2026 with conversion revenue growth of 10%-15%. Warrick's new fourth coating line is targeted to operate at ~80% utilization in 2026 while quality and consistency are optimized.
- Risks flagged
- Persistent operational challenges with certain external converters (on-time delivery shortfalls) could constrain packaging shipments; elevated and volatile metal prices/forward curves could affect lag benefits and spreads; some continued destocking in certain plate products within commercial aerospace customers; historical one-time startup costs (largely behind them) could have affected prior-year comparatives; general macro/industry risks including import dynamics, tariff changes, and supply chain shifts.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | $3.74 est $1.96 | $1.11B est $999.9M | +7.6% |
| Feb 18, 2026 | $1.53 est $1.31 | $929.0M est $910.0M | −9.6% |
| Oct 22, 2025 | $1.86 est $0.80 | $843.5M est $902.0M | +16.8% |
| Jul 23, 2025 | $1.21 est $0.76 | $823.1M est $846.9M | −4.7% |
| Apr 23, 2025 | $1.44 est $0.60 | $777.4M est $800.1M | +11.6% |
| Feb 19, 2025 | $0.33 est $0.63 | $765.4M est $752.0M | +5.0% |
| Oct 23, 2024 | $0.51 est $0.83 | $747.7M est $751.0M | −5.9% |
| Jul 24, 2024 | $0.65 est $0.91 | $773.4M est $784.4M | −19.7% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Kaiser Aluminum stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Kaiser Aluminum is $168.25, +11.8% from the last close, from 4 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$168.25consensus 12-month target, +11.8% from the last close
Now $150.49Avg $168.25
Low $142High $184
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 4 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | KeyBanc | $181 | +20.3% |
| Sep 18 | Wells Fargo | $160 | +6.3% |
| Aug 31 | UBS | $184 | +22.3% |
| Jul 24 | Wells Fargo | $169 | +12.3% |
| Jul 19 | J.P. Morgan | $142 | −5.6% |
+3.5%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+9.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Kaiser Aluminum seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Kaiser Aluminum averaged +9.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +1.3% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +2.0% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +2.2% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +9.2% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +6.9% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, KALU’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.2%.
Kaiser Aluminum market cap and key statistics
Kaiser Aluminum’s market cap is $2.46B, with a P/E ratio of 11.1 and revenue of $4.14B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $2.46B
- P/E ratio
- 11.1
- Forward P/E
- 27.7
- EPS, TTM
- $13.48
- Gekko Fair Value
- $163.82
Trading
- Volume
- 123,796
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 206,979
- 52-week high
- $199.89
- 52-week low
- $76.46
- Shares outstanding
- 16.35M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $4.14B
- Profit margin
- 5.5%
- Return on equity
- 26.4%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +305.7%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.58
- Typical daily move
- ±3.6%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±8.2%
- Dividend yield
- 2.02%
Kaiser Aluminum stock news this week
1 headline about Kaiser Aluminum from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- KeyBanc lowers Kaiser Aluminum stock price target on valuationInvesting.com, Oct 8
Kaiser Aluminum peers
Kaiser Aluminum’s 4 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| AAAlcoa | Accumulation | 5.3% below |
| CENXCentury Aluminum | Accumulation | 32.8% below |
| CSTMConstellium | Neutral | 20.1% below |
| TGTredegar | Neutral | 31.8% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Kaiser Aluminum stock FAQ
What is Kaiser Aluminum’s market cap?
Kaiser Aluminum’s market cap is $2.46B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $150.49, with 16.35M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 11.1.
What is the Kaiser Aluminum stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Kaiser Aluminum is $168.25, +11.8% from the last close. Of the 4 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Kaiser Aluminum stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Kaiser Aluminum is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $150.49 is 8.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $163.82. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Kaiser Aluminum report earnings next?
Kaiser Aluminum is expected to report on Oct 21, 2026 (9 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.36 per share on revenue of $1.21B. Kaiser Aluminum beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 10.1% on average across the report.
What is Kaiser Aluminum’s 52-week high and low?
Kaiser Aluminum’s 52-week high is $199.89 and its 52-week low is $76.46; it closed at $150.49 on Oct 12, 2026, +94.0% over the past year.
Is Kaiser Aluminum stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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