Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for IX in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every IX insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open IX in Gekko
ORIX (IX) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$39.30−0.95 (−2.4%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:15 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryORIX trades at $39.30, down 2.4% on the day, sitting between its 50-day average of $39.72 and 200-day average of $34.83. Over the past month the stock has gained 4.8%, and it is up 30.9% over six months and 45.8% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 59.8, placing it in the Neutral zone, up 2.5 over the last five sessions. Gekko Fair Value stands at $40.38, putting the current price 2.7% below that level.
This week's news centers on ORIX's involvement in the bidding contest for Australia's FleetPartners, a vehicle leasing firm. ORIX, alongside SG Fleet and a Sumitomo-led consortium, raised its bid, valuing FleetPartners at up to A$982.1 million. The revised offers have prompted FleetPartners' board to grant the bidding parties further due diligence access, with other parties, including Element, also in the picture.
Looking ahead, ORIX's next earnings report is scheduled for 11 November 2026, 52 days out, placing it beyond a typical 20-trading-day window. At the last report, on 9 February 2026, the company beat estimates, posting $0.69 versus a forecast of $0.67, with shares reacting by 9.3%; it has beaten estimates in 6 of the last 8 quarters, with an average absolute reaction of 3.6%. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a decline of 7% over five years, with gains in none of those years. One tracked analyst holds a hold rating, with a consensus target of $41.38, implying 5.3% upside.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $39.30200-day averageGekko Fair Value $40.38
Key stats
- Market cap
- $43.63B
- P/E ratio
- 10.9
- Forward P/E
- 14.2
- EPS, TTM
- $3.71
- Revenue, TTM
- $3.46T
- Profit margin
- 17.9%
- Dividend yield
- 2.50%
- Beta
- 0.72
- Volume
- 316,582 avg 279,520
- 1-year return
- +45.8%
- Typical daily move
- ±2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.7%
- 50-day average
- $39.72
- 200-day average
- $34.83
- Next earnings
- Nov 11
- Shares outstanding
- 1.04B
ORIX swing-trade checklist
ORIX scores 1 supportive, 3 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
1 supportive3 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $39.30 sits between the 50-day ($39.72) and 200-day ($34.83) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
59.8, Neutral
Reading 59.8 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuemixed
2.7% below
Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (2.7% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 52 days
Next report Nov 11, 2026, 52 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−7.0% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −7% over 5 years, rising in 0 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
ORIX stock chart and price history
ORIX closed at $39.30 on Sep 18, 2026, +45.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $24.19 to $42.39.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +4.8%
- 3 months
- −2.1%
- 6 months
- +30.9%
- 1 year
- +45.8%
The full IX chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open IX in Gekko
Follow ORIX through every session
Put IX on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
Track IX in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.
About ORIX
ORIX operates as a broad-based financial services group offering leasing, lending, investment and asset management across a wide range of markets. It provides corporate financing and equipment leasing covering vehicles, electronic measuring devices and ICT equipment, alongside life insurance and environmental and energy related offerings. The company is also active in real estate, handling development, leasing, management and brokerage of residential, commercial and facility properties, as well as aircraft and ship leasing and financing.
Its activities are organised into distinct segments spanning corporate finance and leasing, real estate, private equity and concession projects, environment and energy, insurance, banking and credit, and aircraft and ships. Additional regional units in the United States, Europe, Asia and Australia deliver financial, investment and asset management services tailored to each market. Together these segments serve corporate, institutional and individual customers through channels that include agents, banking partners and direct online and in-person sales.
ORIX shares trade under the ticker IX.
- Sector
- Finance
- Website
- orix.co.jp
ORIX GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
ORIX’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 59.8, in the Neutral zone, up 2.5 points over five sessions.
59.8Neutral
Up 2.5 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 27 | +1.0% | +2.1% | ||
| Accumulation | 156 | +0.4% | +2.9% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 394 | +0.7% | +2.5% | ||
| Distribution | 38 | −0.1% | −1.3% | ||
| Selling | 0 | Not available | |||
Average IX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the IX price, zone by zone.Track IX in Gekko
Is ORIX stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
ORIX trades 2.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $40.38, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what ORIX shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$40.38
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026
2.7% below fair value · About fair value
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open IX in Gekko
ORIX insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for ORIX, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in IX were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for IX, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open IX in Gekko
ORIX earnings: next date and track record
ORIX reports on Nov 11, 2026 (52 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 11, 2026
52 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.54
- Revenue estimate
- $6.28B
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.6%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Feb 9, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- ORIX reported strong results for the nine months ended Dec 31, 2025: net income JPY 389.7bn (up JPY 117.9bn YoY), highest third-quarter cumulative net profit, and pretax profits JPY 567.7bn (up JPY 184.3bn YoY). All three business categories—Finance, Operations and Investments—grew, led by Investments (including significant realized and valuation gains such as Greenko and gains tied to ORIX USA/ORIX Capital Partners investees). Management expanded the share buyback program from JPY 100bn to JPY 150bn and completed JPY 128.1bn (85%) by end-January. The call highlighted balance-sheet changes driven by consolidation of Hilco Global, higher deposits at ORIX Bank, new bond issuance, and a JPY 234bn reduction in insurance contract liabilities driven by higher discount rates. Management emphasized continued diligence: revisiting business plans (including for Hilco and OCU), continued scrutiny of investments and risk exposure, potential provisioning for credit/legacy asset risks, and cautious capital deployment while targeting improved capital efficiency and ROE.
- Guidance
- Management reiterated the revised full-year net income forecast of JPY 440 billion (they achieved ~89% of that in 9 months). They expanded the share buyback program from JPY 100bn to JPY 150bn and had completed JPY 128.1bn by end-January. No other formal upward guidance or numerical FY '27+ forecasts were issued; management said they will revisit and disclose business/financial plans at the fiscal-year-end results.
- Risks flagged
- Management cited multiple risk factors: potential credit costs (including U.S. mortgage/loan-related exposures), legacy asset provisioning, macro/trade/tariff uncertainty, rising long-term interest rates affecting real estate/long-duration liabilities, uncertainty around Elawan project timing and goodwill, and broader investment risk prompting conservative deployment. They also noted fee-pressure in asset management and competitive pressure in advisory/index products.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2026 | $0.69 est $0.67 | $5.48B est $4.39B | +9.3% |
| Nov 12, 2025 | $0.99 est $0.57 | $5.30B est $4.85B | +2.3% |
| Aug 7, 2025 | $0.65 est $0.54 | $5.31B est $5.05B | +6.2% |
| May 12, 2025 | $2.42 est $0.66 | $4.95B est $5.41B | −0.2% |
| Feb 10, 2025 | $0.51 est $0.53 | $4.78B est $4.97B | −0.1% |
| Nov 8, 2024 | $0.55 est $0.50 | $4.68B est $4.84B | −0.5% |
| Aug 5, 2024 | $2.42 est $2.61 | $4.41B est $4.82B | +3.9% |
| May 8, 2024 | $3.69 est $2.77 | $5.12B est $6.25B | +6.1% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
ORIX stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for ORIX is $41.38, +5.3% from the last close, from 1 firm rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$41.38consensus 12-month target, +5.3% from the last close
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 1 firm.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10 | Bank of America Securities | — | — |
+2.5%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−7.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
ORIX seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, ORIX averaged −7.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 0 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −2.5% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −6.0% | 0 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −7.0% | 0 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −7.0% | 0 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −6.5% | 1 of 5 |
For scale, IX’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.7%.
ORIX market cap and key statistics
ORIX’s market cap is $43.63B, with a P/E ratio of 10.9 and revenue of $3.46T over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $43.63B
- P/E ratio
- 10.9
- Forward P/E
- 14.2
- EPS, TTM
- $3.71
- Gekko Fair Value
- $40.38
Trading
- Volume
- 316,582
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 279,520
- 52-week high
- $42.39
- 52-week low
- $24.19
- Shares outstanding
- 1.04B
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $3.46T
- Profit margin
- 17.9%
- Return on equity
- 14%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +170.6%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.72
- Typical daily move
- ±2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.7%
- Dividend yield
- 2.50%
ORIX stock news this week
2 headlines about ORIX from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- SG Fleet, ORIX, Sumitomo raise bids for Australia's FleetPartnersReuters, Sep 14
- SG Fleet, ORIX and Sumitomo bid for Australia's FleetPartnersMarine News Magazine, Sep 14
ORIX stock FAQ
What is ORIX’s market cap?
ORIX’s market cap is $43.63B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $39.30, with 1.04B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 10.9.
What is the ORIX stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for ORIX is $41.38, +5.3% from the last close. Of the 1 firm that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is ORIX stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate ORIX is about fair value: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $39.30 is 2.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $40.38. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does ORIX report earnings next?
ORIX is expected to report on Nov 11, 2026 (52 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.54 per share on revenue of $6.28B. ORIX beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.6% on average across the report.
What is ORIX’s 52-week high and low?
ORIX’s 52-week high is $42.39 and its 52-week low is $24.19; it closed at $39.30 on Sep 18, 2026, +45.8% over the past year.
Is ORIX stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (earnings risk), 3 as mixed (trend, gekkoindex and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
See ORIX the way Gekko members do
Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.
Join 1,349 other traders using Gekko
Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.