American Healthcare REIT (AHR) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$51.90−0.12 (−0.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

The week's flow centers on capital-allocation and portfolio news around American Healthcare REIT. The company confirmed a quarterly dividend of $0.25 per share, payable 16 October to holders of record 30 September, equating to a $1.00 annualized dividend and a 1.9% yield. Separately, an industry outlook piece grouped AHR with Terreno Realty and RLJ Lodging Trust, noting that despite higher interest rates and construction costs across the Equity REIT space, demand for modern healthcare, industrial, lodging, office and infrastructure assets remains strong. Also disclosed was a sale by EVP, General Counsel and Secretary Mark Foster of 1,500 shares for $78,090, leaving him with 50,117 shares.

AHR closed at $51.90, down 0.2%, sitting between its 50-day average of $54.88 and 200-day average of $50.94, with the one-month return at -8.1% against a six-month gain of 10.1% and a one-year gain of 24.4%. The GekkoIndex reads 68.1, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, while price sits 1.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $52.86.

Over the next 20 trading days, the main marker is the earnings date of 5 November 2026, 37 days out and beyond a typical holding window; the prior print showed EPS of $0.06 against a $0.15 estimate with a -1.3% reaction. Coverage remains uniformly positive, with all 13 covering firms rated buy and a consensus target of $64.40, implying 24.1% upside. One trailblazer holder is on record, alongside the noted EVP share sale within the past 90 days; no unusual options activity appears in the most recent 30-day window.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

American Healthcare REIT price vs fair value

$52.86$51.90Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $51.90200-day averageGekko Fair Value $52.86

American Healthcare REIT quick facts

Market cap
$10.73B
P/E ratio
76.5
Forward P/E
48.1
EPS, TTM
$0.68
Revenue, TTM
$2.50B
Profit margin
4.8%
Dividend yield
1.91%
Beta
0.75
Volume
2.00M avg 3.13M
1-year return
+24.4%
Typical daily move
±1.9%
Typical 20-day move
±5.2%
50-day average
$54.88
200-day average
$50.94
Next earnings
Nov 5
Shares outstanding
218.0M
52-week range
$40.00$58.70

American Healthcare REIT swing-trade checklist

American Healthcare REIT scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 4 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $51.90 sits between the 50-day ($54.88) and 200-day ($50.94) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    68.1, Accumulation

    Reading 68.1 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    1.8% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (1.8% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 37 days

    Next report Nov 5, 2026, 37 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityno data

    No data

    Not enough years of history for a seasonal read.

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

American Healthcare REIT stock chart and price history

American Healthcare REIT closed at $51.90 on Sep 28, 2026, +24.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $40.00 to $58.70.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
American Healthcare REIT share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$35$40$45$50$55NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep51.90

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−8.1%
3 months
−0.2%
6 months
+10.1%
1 year
+24.4%
The full AHR chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open AHR in Gekko

Follow American Healthcare REIT through every session

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About American Healthcare REIT

American Healthcare REIT holds and runs a broad set of healthcare-focused real estate, ranging from medical office buildings to senior housing communities, skilled nursing facilities, and combined senior health campuses. Its properties are spread across 36 U.S. states as well as the United Kingdom, adding up to 312 sites and roughly 19 million square feet of space, with a total gross investment value near 4.2 billion dollars. The firm is recognized for the breadth of this property base, which traces back to acquisitions made starting in 2014.

The company came together through the combination of Griffin-American Healthcare REIT III, Griffin-American Healthcare REIT IV, and the operating business of American Healthcare Investors. Day-to-day oversight runs through a single management platform staffed by more than a hundred people, a group that includes many who have worked alongside one another since 2006 through multiple real estate cycles. American Healthcare REIT, Inc. functions as a subsidiary of Griffin Capital Company, LLC.

Its shares trade under the ticker AHR.

Sector
Finance
Website
americanhealthcarereit.com

American Healthcare REIT GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

American Healthcare REIT’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 68.1, in the Accumulation zone, down 4.5 points over five sessions.

010068.1Accumulation

Down 4.5 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying3Too few readings yet
Accumulation (current zone)106+2.2%+4.4%+8.7%+11.8%
Neutral426+0.7%+1.5%+3.7%+14.1%
Distribution90+2.1%+3.6%+6.3%+12.1%
Selling0Not available

Average AHR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AHR price, zone by zone.Track AHR in Gekko

Is American Healthcare REIT stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

American Healthcare REIT trades 1.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $52.86, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what American Healthcare REIT shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$52.86

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

1.8% below fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AHR in Gekko

American Healthcare REIT insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for American Healthcare REIT, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for AHR in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every AHR insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AHR in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in AHR were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for AHR, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AHR in Gekko

Buybacks

American Healthcare REIT has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Mar 31, 2026
$9.76M
As a share of market cap
0.09%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds AHR.

0added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

American Healthcare REIT earnings: next date and track record

American Healthcare REIT reports on Nov 5, 2026 (37 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.

2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.5%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−0.1%May ’24+3.3%Aug ’24+1.2%Nov ’24+0.2%Feb ’25+7.9%May ’25+1.3%Aug ’25+4.9%Nov ’25−1.3%Feb ’26

Last earnings call, Feb 26, 2026 AI summary

What they said
American Healthcare REIT reported strong operational and financial results for Q4 and full-year 2025, driven by double-digit same-store NOI growth, occupancy gains, disciplined rate management, expense controls, and accretive acquisitions. Management highlighted total portfolio same-store NOI growth of 11.8% in Q4 and 14.2% for FY2025, with Trilogy and SHOP segments comprising 76.9% of consolidated cash NOI. The company closed roughly $950 million of acquisitions in 2025 and improved debt-to-EBITDA by nearly one turn while delivering NFFO per diluted share of $0.46 in Q4 and $1.72 for FY2025 (22% YoY growth). 2026 guidance includes NFFO of $1.99–$2.05 per diluted share and total portfolio same-store NOI growth of 7%–11% (segment-level ranges provided). Management emphasized the Trilogy revenue-management platform and operator partnerships as differentiators, a robust and relationship-driven acquisition pipeline, and continued focus on higher-acuity, newer assets. Leadership update noted Interim CEO Jeff Hanson covering while CEO Danny is on medical leave but engaged and expected to return in the near term.
Guidance
2026 NFFO guidance: $1.99 to $2.05 per diluted share. Total portfolio same-store NOI growth guidance: 7% to 11% composed of Trilogy: 8% to 12%; SHOP: 15% to 19%; Outpatient Medical: 0% to 2%; Triple-Net Leased Properties: 2% to 3%. Guidance assumes only previously consummated 2026 acquisitions of $117.5 million; no additional acquisitions included.
Risks flagged
Risks mentioned or implied: potential seasonality and flu impacts on occupancy; uncertainty around timing and magnitude of CMS/Medicare reimbursement rate changes and their impact; competition for SHOP transactions (increased buyer interest); execution risk on integrating and stabilizing undermanaged acquisitions; partially concentrated exposure to Trilogy and reliance on operator partnerships; potential variability in hospital tenant coverage in triple-net portfolio; CEO's medical leave (though management emphasized engagement and limited visibility on return timing).
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Feb 26, 2026$0.06
est $0.15
−61.3%$604.1M
est $609.5M
−0.9%−1.3%
Nov 6, 2025$0.33
est $0.42
−21.4%$572.9M
est $615.4M
−6.9%+4.9%
Aug 8, 2025$0.06
est $0.12
−48.6%$542.5M
est $552.8M
−1.9%+1.3%
May 9, 2025−$0.04
est $0.04
−200.0%$540.6M
est $541.1M
−0.1%+7.9%
Feb 27, 2025−$0.21
est $0.11
−300.0%$542.7M
est $542.3M
+0.1%+0.2%
Nov 12, 2024−$0.03
est −$0.01
−200.0%$523.8M
est $474.3M
+10.4%+1.2%
Aug 5, 2024$0.01
est $0.00
—$504.6M
est $506.6M
−0.4%+3.3%
May 13, 2024−$0.04
est −$0.12
+66.7%$499.5M
est $491.8M
+1.6%−0.1%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

American Healthcare REIT stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for American Healthcare REIT is $64.40, +24.1% from the last close, from 13 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$64.40consensus 12-month target, +24.1% from the last close
Low $55High $70
Buy13
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 13 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 14Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained——
Sep 2ScotiabankBuy, maintained$62+19.5%
Aug 31BarclaysBuy, maintained$66+27.2%
Aug 21UBSBuy, reiterated$63+21.4%
Aug 19KeyBancBuy, reiterated$68+31.0%
+8.7%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
±1.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

American Healthcare REIT market cap and key statistics

American Healthcare REIT’s market cap is $10.73B, with a P/E ratio of 76.5 and revenue of $2.50B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$10.73B
P/E ratio
76.5
Forward P/E
48.1
EPS, TTM
$0.68
Gekko Fair Value
$52.86

Trading

Volume
2.00M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.13M
52-week high
$58.70
52-week low
$40.00
Shares outstanding
218.0M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.50B
Profit margin
4.8%
Return on equity
4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+157.5%

Risk and income

Beta
0.75
Typical daily move
±1.9%
Typical 20-day move
±5.2%
Dividend yield
1.91%

American Healthcare REIT stock news this week

3 headlines about American Healthcare REIT from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

More stocks

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

American Healthcare REIT stock FAQ

What is American Healthcare REIT’s market cap?

American Healthcare REIT’s market cap is $10.73B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $51.90, with 218.0M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 76.5.

What is the American Healthcare REIT stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for American Healthcare REIT is $64.40, +24.1% from the last close. Of the 13 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 13 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is American Healthcare REIT stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate American Healthcare REIT is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $51.90 is 1.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $52.86. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does American Healthcare REIT report earnings next?

American Healthcare REIT is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026 (37 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.16 per share on revenue of $698.4M. American Healthcare REIT beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.5% on average across the report.

What is American Healthcare REIT’s 52-week high and low?

American Healthcare REIT’s 52-week high is $58.70 and its 52-week low is $40.00; it closed at $51.90 on Sep 28, 2026, +24.4% over the past year.

Is American Healthcare REIT stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 4 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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