Independence Realty Trust (IRT) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$14.82+0.05 (+0.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Independence Realty Trust touched a new 52-week low of $14.33 this week even as analysts maintain a "Moderate Buy" consensus rating with an average price target near $19.72. A Form S-4 filing with an effectiveness date of 7 October was also noted, alongside Congress Asset Management Co. increasing its stake in the company during the third quarter.

IRT closed at $14.82, up 0.3%, but remains below both its 50-day average of $15.75 and its 200-day average of $16.25, with the shorter average below the longer one, consistent with a downward trend. The GekkoIndex reads 62, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, down 4.8 over the past five sessions. Price sits 19.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $18.35.

IRT next reports earnings on 4 November, 23 days away, which falls inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; its last report showed EPS of $0.01 against an estimate of $0.03, with a 2.6% reaction. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears within their respective 90-day and 30-day windows beyond the stake increase noted above. Seasonality over the past 5 years shows the next 20 trading days averaging a 4.6% gain, with gains in 4 of those years. Analyst coverage currently includes 7 buy and 2 hold ratings among 9 firms, with a consensus target of $19.27.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Independence Realty Trust price vs fair value

$18.35$14.82Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $14.82200-day averageGekko Fair Value $18.35

Independence Realty Trust quick facts

Market cap
$3.49B
P/E ratio
81.3
Forward P/E
69.4
EPS, TTM
$0.18
Revenue, TTM
$677.2M
Profit margin
6.4%
Dividend yield
4.78%
Beta
0.98
Volume
2.44M avg 3.61M
1-year return
−8.4%
Typical daily move
±2%
Typical 20-day move
±5.1%
50-day average
$15.75
200-day average
$16.25
Next earnings
Nov 4
Shares outstanding
235.7M
52-week range
$14.33$17.79

Independence Realty Trust swing-trade checklist

Independence Realty Trust scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $14.82 is below the 50-day ($15.75) and 200-day ($16.25) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    62, Accumulation

    Reading 62 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    19.2% below

    Price is 19.2% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 23 days

    Reports on Nov 4, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +4.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.6% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Independence Realty Trust stock chart and price history

Independence Realty Trust closed at $14.82 on Oct 12, 2026, −8.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $14.33 to $17.79.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Independence Realty Trust share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$16$17$18NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct14.82

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−2.4%
3 months
−10.5%
6 months
−4.5%
1 year
−8.4%
The full IRT chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open IRT in Gekko

Follow Independence Realty Trust through every session

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About Independence Realty Trust

Independence Realty Trust owns and operates apartment communities across multiple U.S. cities, with its holdings concentrated in markets such as Atlanta, Louisville, Memphis, and Raleigh rather than the largest coastal metros. The company is best known for focusing on these secondary markets, targeting submarkets chosen for qualities like good schools, accessible retail, and nearby job centers.

The company structures itself as a real estate investment trust, which means it generates income primarily by leasing apartment units and managing its properties directly. Its approach centers on building a concentrated presence within chosen submarkets rather than spreading investment broadly, with attention given to day-to-day operational management of the properties it holds. Returns to investors come through a combination of dividend payments and changes in the value of the underlying real estate.

Independence Realty Trust's shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker IRT.

Sector
Finance
Website
irtliving.com

Independence Realty Trust GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Independence Realty Trust’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 62, in the Accumulation zone, down 4.8 points over five sessions.

010062Accumulation

Down 4.8 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying37+0.4%+1.7%+4.9%+7.7%
Accumulation (current zone)222+0.1%0.0%+0.6%+0.9%
Neutral355−0.1%−0.2%−0.8%−1.2%
Distribution21−1.3%+0.3%+0.5%+4.1%
Selling0Not available

Average IRT share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the IRT price, zone by zone.Track IRT in Gekko

Is Independence Realty Trust stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Independence Realty Trust trades 19.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $18.35, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Independence Realty Trust shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$18.35

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

19.2% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 20.5% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$18$15Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open IRT in Gekko

Independence Realty Trust insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Independence Realty Trust, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for IRT in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every IRT insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open IRT in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in IRT were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for IRT, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open IRT in Gekko

Buybacks

Independence Realty Trust has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$1K
As a share of market cap
0.00%
Trailing four quarters
$59.97M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold IRT.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Independence Realty Trust earnings: next date and track record

Independence Realty Trust reports on Nov 4, 2026 (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 1 of its last 8 reports.

1 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.2%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−0.5%Oct ’24+1.7%Feb ’25−1.3%Apr ’25−4.3%Jul ’25−0.1%Oct ’25−6.6%Feb ’26−0.1%Apr ’26+2.6%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 3, 2026 AI summary

What they said
IRT reported building operating momentum with new lease rates improving 120 basis points sequentially in Q2 2026, with Midwest communities posting positive 2.3% new lease trade-outs. August new lease spreads turned slightly positive. Value-add renovations are boosting same-store NOI by over 20% annually, and the company successfully completed its initial community WiFi initiative ahead of schedule, creating a new revenue stream.
Guidance
Management expressed confidence in same-store revenue growth guidance, supported by improving lease spreads and new WiFi revenue. The WiFi initiative is expected to contribute at least $0.01 incremental core FFO per share in the following year.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 3, 2026$0.01
est $0.03
−60.3%$167.1M
est $166.9M
+0.1%+2.6%
Apr 29, 2026$0.00
est $0.03
−84.0%$165.2M
est $166.3M
−0.7%−0.1%
Feb 11, 2026$0.06
est $0.08
−25.0%$166.8M
est $169.9M
−1.8%−6.6%
Oct 29, 2025$0.29
est $0.30
−3.3%$167.1M
est $170.9M
−2.2%−0.1%
Jul 30, 2025$0.28
est $0.28
0.0%$162.2M
est $164.0M
−1.1%−4.3%
Apr 30, 2025$0.27
est $0.28
−3.6%$161.2M
est $163.9M
−1.6%−1.3%
Feb 12, 2025$0.09
est $0.03
+200.0%$160.6M
est $163.3M
−1.6%+1.7%
Oct 30, 2024$0.06
est $0.06
0.0%$160.1M
est $161.2M
−0.7%−0.5%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Independence Realty Trust stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Independence Realty Trust is $19.27, +30.0% from the last close, from 9 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$19.27consensus 12-month target, +30.0% from the last close
Low $17High $21
Buy7
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 9 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 1JefferiesBuy, maintained$18+21.5%
Sep 28Wells FargoBuy, maintained$19+28.2%
Sep 24Wells FargoBuy, maintained$19+28.2%
Sep 23BarclaysBuy, maintained$20+35.0%
Sep 15UBSBuy, reiterated$18+21.5%
+0.6%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+4.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Independence Realty Trust seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Independence Realty Trust averaged +4.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+18.4%2021+4.5%2022−8.3%2023+9.3%2024+2.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.8%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.5%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+2.4%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+4.6%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+8.9%4 of 5

For scale, IRT’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.1%.

Independence Realty Trust market cap and key statistics

Independence Realty Trust’s market cap is $3.49B, with a P/E ratio of 81.3 and revenue of $677.2M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$3.49B
P/E ratio
81.3
Forward P/E
69.4
EPS, TTM
$0.18
Gekko Fair Value
$18.35

Trading

Volume
2.44M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.61M
52-week high
$17.79
52-week low
$14.33
Shares outstanding
235.7M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$677.2M
Profit margin
6.4%
Return on equity
1.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−66.7%

Risk and income

Beta
0.98
Typical daily move
±2%
Typical 20-day move
±5.1%
Dividend yield
4.78%

Independence Realty Trust stock news this week

Coverage of Independence Realty Trust this week reads neutral: 1 positive, 3 neutral and 1 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

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In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

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Independence Realty Trust stock FAQ

What is Independence Realty Trust’s market cap?

Independence Realty Trust’s market cap is $3.49B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $14.82, with 235.7M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 81.3.

What is the Independence Realty Trust stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Independence Realty Trust is $19.27, +30.0% from the last close. Of the 9 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 7 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Independence Realty Trust stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Independence Realty Trust is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $14.82 is 19.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $18.35. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Independence Realty Trust report earnings next?

Independence Realty Trust is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026 (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.04 per share on revenue of $171.5M. Independence Realty Trust beat the earnings estimate in 1 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.2% on average across the report.

What is Independence Realty Trust’s 52-week high and low?

Independence Realty Trust’s 52-week high is $17.79 and its 52-week low is $14.33; it closed at $14.82 on Oct 12, 2026, −8.4% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $28.42 on Apr 21, 2022.

Is Independence Realty Trust stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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