NYSE: HP

Helmerich & Payne (HP) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$38.72−1.16 (−2.9%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Helmerich & Payne's week centers on fiscal Q4 2026 previews and analyst reaction to the prior quarter. HP anticipates strong operational results for Q4 FY2026, with direct margins across North America, International, and Offshore Solutions expected at or near the high end of prior guidance, alongside commentary on a constructive fiscal 2027 backed by steadier activity and wider FlexRobotics adoption. This follows the fiscal Q3 2026 report, which showed adjusted EBITDA of $236 million, revenue above $1 billion, and direct margins that exceeded midpoint guidance, despite a per-share loss of $0.11 against a $0.11 estimate. Wall Street Zen upgraded the stock from Sell to Hold, while the broader analyst consensus is described elsewhere as a Moderate Buy with an average target near $44.18.

Shares closed at $38.72, down 2.9% on the day and off 12.1% over the past month, even as the one-year return stands at 66.7%. The close sits between the 50-day average of $41.19 and the 200-day average of $36.68, reflecting a mixed short-term trend. The GekkoIndex reads 62.4, placing HP in the Accumulation zone, and the price sits 44.9% below the Gekko Fair Value estimate of $70.25.

Earnings are scheduled for 16 November, 34 days out, placing the report outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Smart money readings show no insider, Congress, or unusual options activity in their respective windows, with one billionaire holder on record. Seasonality data shows the next 20 trading days have averaged a 10.8% move over five years, higher in 4 of those years, a pattern worth noting alongside the current 11-firm analyst split of 6 buy, 4 hold, and 1 sell.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Helmerich & Payne price vs fair value

▲$70.25$38.72Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $38.72200-day averageGekko Fair Value $70.25

Helmerich & Payne quick facts

Market cap
$3.87B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
35.6
EPS, TTM
−$1.39
Revenue, TTM
$4.00B
Profit margin
-3.4%
Dividend yield
2.52%
Beta
0.69
Volume
961,881 avg 1.08M
1-year return
+66.7%
Typical daily move
±3.8%
Typical 20-day move
±9%
50-day average
$41.19
200-day average
$36.68
Next earnings
Nov 16
Shares outstanding
99.94M
52-week range
$21.73$48.17

Helmerich & Payne swing-trade checklist

Helmerich & Payne scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $38.72 sits between the 50-day ($41.19) and 200-day ($36.68) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    62.4, Accumulation

    Reading 62.4 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    44.9% below

    Price is 44.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 35 days

    Next report Nov 16, 2026, 35 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +10.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +10.8% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Helmerich & Payne stock chart and price history

Helmerich & Payne closed at $38.72 on Oct 12, 2026, +66.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $21.73 to $48.17.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Helmerich & Payne share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$20$30NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct38.72

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−12.1%
3 months
+14.8%
6 months
+8.3%
1 year
+66.7%
The full HP chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open HP in Gekko

Follow Helmerich & Payne through every session

Put HP on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Helmerich & Payne

Helmerich & Payne works with oil and gas producers, supplying contract drilling services and related technology to help them locate and extract resources. The company is widely recognized for operating a large fleet of drilling rigs, including land rigs across North America, additional land rigs abroad, and offshore platform rigs in the Gulf of Mexico.

The business is split into three divisions. North America Solutions handles onshore drilling across numerous U.S. states and also develops technology aimed at improving drilling accuracy and well quality. Offshore Gulf of Mexico covers platform drilling in Louisiana and nearby federal waters, while International Solutions runs drilling projects in several foreign countries. Alongside its drilling work, the company holds commercial real estate in Tulsa, including a shopping center and a tract of undeveloped land.

Helmerich & Payne was founded in 1920 and is headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker HP.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Industrial services
Industry
Contract drilling
Website
hpinc.com

Helmerich & Payne GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Helmerich & Payne’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 62.4, in the Accumulation zone, up 1.9 points over five sessions.

010062.4Accumulation

Up 1.9 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying41+1.9%+6.0%+5.8%+0.1%
Accumulation (current zone)216−0.1%−1.3%−1.9%−2.6%
Neutral387+0.6%+1.1%+2.4%+5.9%
Distribution31−2.1%−0.5%−2.8%−0.2%
Selling7Too few readings yet

Average HP share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the HP price, zone by zone.Track HP in Gekko

Is Helmerich & Payne stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Helmerich & Payne trades 44.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $70.25, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Helmerich & Payne shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$70.25

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

44.9% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 6.4% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$70$40Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open HP in Gekko

Helmerich & Payne insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Helmerich & Payne, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for HP in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every HP insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HP in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in HP were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for HP, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HP in Gekko

Buybacks

Helmerich & Payne has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2025
$152K
As a share of market cap
0.00%
Trailing four quarters
$10.91M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds HP.

1added0opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Helmerich & Payne earnings: next date and track record

Helmerich & Payne reports on Nov 16, 2026 (35 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.

2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.7%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−6.0%Nov ’24−14.9%Feb ’25−4.5%May ’25+2.4%Aug ’25−4.6%Nov ’25−2.7%Feb ’26−11.1%May ’26+7.5%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Helmerich & Payne (H&P) reported strong fiscal third quarter results driven by North American Solutions, with adjusted EBITDA of $236 million, revenues above $1 billion (up 11% sequentially), strong free cash flow ($98 million), net profit of $0.74 per diluted share (including gain from Utica Square sale), and direct margins that exceeded midpoint guidance across all segments. The company reactivated rigs in North America and internationally, experienced margin improvement (NAS direct margin $241 million, $18.7k/day), generated growth in Latin America (Argentina/Vaca Muerta), and maintained stable offshore operations. Management emphasized technology investments (FlexRobotics, robotics deployed on rigs), geothermal opportunities (U.S. and Europe), fleet optimization, and enterprise cost and capital allocation initiatives aimed at improving returns and reaching a $45 million quarterly run rate for international solutions. They reaffirmed focus on debt reduction and a disciplined capital framework (~$300M maintenance/sustaining capex target). The company intends to drive EBITDA growth into FY2027 and pursue enterprise optimization to unlock shareholder value.
Guidance
Management provided Q4 and full-year guidance verbally: they expect sequential EBITDA growth of ~5% Q/Q from Q3 to Q4, a target international solutions run rate of $45 million quarterly, and a North America profitability benchmark around ~$250 million per quarter; they provided capital framework guidance aiming for ~$300 million maintenance + sustaining program and to reach 1x net debt/EBITDA. CFO will provide more detailed numeric Q4 and full year guidance in slides and later (not all numeric details present in transcript).
Risks flagged
Management referenced ongoing disruption in the Middle East and recent market volatility as headwinds impacting operations and reactivation timing. They also noted macro uncertainty, customer budget discipline (public E&Ps churn), logistical costs for international rig moves, and potential lumpiness due to performance-based bonuses and capital reordering/delays.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026−$0.11
est $0.11
−200.0%$1.03B
est $987.7M
+4.8%+7.5%
May 6, 2026−$0.38
est −$0.04
−850.0%$932.4M
est $945.6M
−1.4%−11.1%
Feb 4, 2026−$0.15
est $0.11
−236.4%$1.02B
est $989.3M
+2.8%−2.7%
Nov 17, 2025−$0.01
est $0.26
−103.8%$1.01B
est $972.9M
+4.0%−4.6%
Aug 6, 2025$0.22
est $0.20
+10.0%$1.04B
est $969.0M
+7.4%+2.4%
May 7, 2025$0.02
est $0.65
−96.9%$1.02B
est $955.4M
+6.3%−4.5%
Feb 5, 2025$0.71
est $0.67
+6.0%$677.3M
est $692.6M
−2.2%−14.9%
Nov 13, 2024$0.76
est $0.78
−2.6%$693.8M
est $696.0M
−0.3%−6.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Helmerich & Payne stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Helmerich & Payne is $45.12, +16.5% from the last close, from 11 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$45.12consensus 12-month target, +16.5% from the last close
Low $41High $51
Buy6
Hold4
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 11 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 12Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$46+18.8%
Oct 12UBSBuy, reiterated$50+29.1%
Oct 11RBC CapitalHold, maintained$49+26.5%
Oct 9BarclaysBuy, maintained$51+31.7%
Oct 9Goldman SachsHold, maintained$41+5.9%
−1.9%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+10.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Helmerich & Payne seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Helmerich & Payne averaged +10.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+11.9%2021+23.7%2022−7.7%2023+2.8%2024+19.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+4.6%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+6.1%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+7.1%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+10.8%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+2.7%2 of 5

For scale, HP’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9%.

Helmerich & Payne market cap and key statistics

Helmerich & Payne’s market cap is $3.87B and revenue of $4.00B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$3.87B
Forward P/E
35.6
EPS, TTM
−$1.39
Gekko Fair Value
$70.25

Trading

Volume
961,881
Avg volume, 20 days
1.08M
52-week high
$48.17
52-week low
$21.73
Shares outstanding
99.94M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$4.00B
Profit margin
-3.4%
Return on equity
-4.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−98.8%

Risk and income

Beta
0.69
Typical daily move
±3.8%
Typical 20-day move
±9%
Dividend yield
2.52%

Helmerich & Payne stock news this week

Coverage of Helmerich & Payne this week reads positive: 6 positive, 5 neutral and 1 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Helmerich & Payne peers

Helmerich & Payne’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
SLBSLB−0.9%Accumulation11.7% below
BKRBaker Hughes−1.5%Accumulation5.4% below
NENoble Corporation plc A+0.4%Neutral39.9% below
VALValaris+0.2%Neutral9.6% above
RIGTransocean Ltd (Switzerland)−0.4%Neutral6.2% below
PTENPatterson-UTI Energy−1.3%Neutral4.8% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Helmerich & Payne stock FAQ

What is Helmerich & Payne’s market cap?

Helmerich & Payne’s market cap is $3.87B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $38.72, with 99.94M shares outstanding.

What is the Helmerich & Payne stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Helmerich & Payne is $45.12, +16.5% from the last close. Of the 11 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Helmerich & Payne stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Helmerich & Payne is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $38.72 is 44.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $70.25. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Helmerich & Payne report earnings next?

Helmerich & Payne is expected to report on Nov 16, 2026 (35 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.24 per share on revenue of $1.06B. Helmerich & Payne beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.7% on average across the report.

What is Helmerich & Payne’s 52-week high and low?

Helmerich & Payne’s 52-week high is $48.17 and its 52-week low is $21.73; it closed at $38.72 on Oct 12, 2026, +66.7% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $54.59 on Jun 8, 2022.

Is Helmerich & Payne stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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