NYSE: VAL

Valaris (VAL) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$79.62−1.37 (−1.7%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Valaris draws attention this week on news of a decade-high $4.7 billion contract backlog, which has prompted questions about its valuation given recent share price volatility. Coverage has also included peer comparisons against Tetra Technologies and other companies, alongside general reviews of its financial metrics and performance against the S&P 500.

Shares close at $79.62, down 1.7% on the day, sitting between the 50-day average of $82.90 and the 200-day average of $81.77, with a one-month return of -6.8% and a six-month return of -22.1%, against a one-year return of 57.8%. The GekkoIndex reads 64.1, placing Valaris in the Accumulation zone. Gekko Fair Value stands at $76.68, putting the current price 3.8% above that level. Separately, consensus analyst target sits at $67.43, implying -15.3% versus the current price, based on 2 firms, both rating the stock hold.

Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings date falls on 4 November 2026, 36 days away, outside that window; the last report on 5 August 2026 beat estimates ($0.72 actual versus $0.46 estimate) with a -1.2% reaction, and the company has beaten in 5 of the last 8 quarters, with an average absolute reaction of 4.1%. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 6.4% return over 5 years, rising in 3 of them, which is worth noting alongside the typical 20-day move of 8.9%.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Valaris price vs fair value

$79.62$76.68Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $79.62200-day averageGekko Fair Value $76.68

Valaris quick facts

Market cap
$5.51B
P/E ratio
6.2
Forward P/E
29.1
EPS, TTM
$13.14
Revenue, TTM
$2.14B
Profit margin
44%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.94
Volume
1.02M avg 1.30M
1-year return
+57.8%
Typical daily move
±4.1%
Typical 20-day move
±8.9%
50-day average
$82.90
200-day average
$81.77
Next earnings
Nov 4
Shares outstanding
69.44M
52-week range
$46.70$114.12

Valaris swing-trade checklist

Valaris scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $79.62 sits between the 50-day ($82.90) and 200-day ($81.77) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    64.1, Accumulation

    Reading 64.1 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    3.8% above

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (3.8% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 36 days

    Next report Nov 4, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +6.4% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +6.4% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Valaris stock chart and price history

Valaris closed at $79.62 on Sep 28, 2026, +57.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $46.70 to $114.12.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Valaris share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$40$60$100NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep79.62

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−6.8%
3 months
+6.8%
6 months
−22.1%
1 year
+57.8%
The full VAL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open VAL in Gekko

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About Valaris

Valaris supplies offshore drilling services to the oil and gas industry, with work spanning Brazil, the United Kingdom, the Gulf of America, Australia, Angola and other international waters. It is recognized for operating a fleet of offshore rigs, including drillships, dynamically positioned semisubmersible units, a moored semisubmersible rig and jackup rigs used to drill wells at sea.

The company organizes its business into four segments: Floaters, Jackups, ARO and Other. Beyond running its own equipment, Valaris also provides management services for rigs that belong to outside owners. Its client base includes international oil and gas majors, government-owned energy companies and independent operators.

Valaris traces its founding back to 1975 and operates out of Hamilton, Bermuda. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker VAL.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Industrial services
Industry
Contract drilling
Website
valaris.com

Valaris GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Valaris’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 64.1, in the Accumulation zone, up 2.5 points over five sessions.

010064.1Accumulation

Up 2.5 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying51+2.1%+4.3%+6.2%+11.7%
Accumulation (current zone)2120.0%+0.2%+1.2%+1.3%
Neutral381+0.6%+0.9%+1.7%+5.2%
Distribution20−0.2%+1.8%+5.3%+9.7%
Selling8Too few readings yet

Average VAL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the VAL price, zone by zone.Track VAL in Gekko

Is Valaris stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Valaris trades 3.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $76.68, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Valaris shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$76.68

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

3.8% above fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open VAL in Gekko

Valaris insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Valaris, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for VAL in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every VAL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open VAL in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in VAL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for VAL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open VAL in Gekko

Buybacks

Valaris has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2025
$23.93M
As a share of market cap
0.43%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold VAL.

0added0opened0trimmed2sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Valaris earnings: next date and track record

Valaris reports on Nov 4, 2026 (36 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.1%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+4.3%Oct ’24−0.5%Feb ’25+6.2%Apr ’25−4.5%Jul ’25+2.1%Oct ’25+5.2%Feb ’26−9.2%May ’26−1.2%Aug ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026$0.72
est $0.46
+56.5%$539.2M
est $488.5M
+10.4%−1.2%
May 4, 2026−$0.24
est −$0.09
−166.7%$465.4M
est $443.8M
+4.9%−9.2%
Feb 19, 2026$10.26
est $0.47
+2,069.6%$537.4M
est $495.7M
+8.4%+5.2%
Oct 29, 2025$2.65
est $0.90
+194.4%$595.7M
est $499.2M
+19.3%+2.1%
Jul 30, 2025$1.61
est $1.20
+34.2%$615.2M
est $548.1M
+12.2%−4.5%
Apr 30, 2025−$0.53
est $1.13
−146.9%$620.7M
est $577.8M
+7.4%+6.2%
Feb 19, 2025$1.88
est $1.03
+83.3%$584.4M
est $576.3M
+1.4%−0.5%
Oct 30, 2024$0.88
est $1.04
−15.4%$643.1M
est $578.4M
+11.2%+4.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Valaris stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Valaris is $67.43, −15.3% from the last close, from 2 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$67.43consensus 12-month target, −15.3% from the last close
Buy0
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 2 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 18BTIGHold, reiterated——
Aug 17BTIGHold, maintained——
Aug 7SusquehannaHold, maintained$80+0.5%
Jul 8SusquehannaHold, maintained$75−5.8%
+1.2%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+6.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Valaris seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, Valaris averaged +6.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+10.5%2021+28.7%2022−9.2%2023−6.1%2024+12.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.6%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.0%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+2.1%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+6.4%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+7.7%3 of 5

For scale, VAL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.9%.

Valaris market cap and key statistics

Valaris’s market cap is $5.51B, with a P/E ratio of 6.2 and revenue of $2.14B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$5.51B
P/E ratio
6.2
Forward P/E
29.1
EPS, TTM
$13.14
Gekko Fair Value
$76.68

Trading

Volume
1.02M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.30M
52-week high
$114.12
52-week low
$46.70
Shares outstanding
69.44M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.14B
Profit margin
44%
Return on equity
33.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−55.3%

Risk and income

Beta
0.94
Typical daily move
±4.1%
Typical 20-day move
±8.9%

Valaris stock news this week

Coverage of Valaris this week reads neutral: 1 positive, 2 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

Valaris peers

Valaris’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
SLBSLB−1.5%Accumulation6.8% below
BKRBaker Hughes−1.6%Accumulation6.7% below
NENoble Corporation plc A−1.5%Accumulation36.5% below
RIGTransocean Ltd (Switzerland)−2.4%Accumulation11.4% below
PTENPatterson-UTI Energy−2.0%Accumulation0.4% above
HPHelmerich & Payne−3.9%Accumulation42.1% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Valaris stock FAQ

What is Valaris’s market cap?

Valaris’s market cap is $5.51B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $79.62, with 69.44M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 6.2.

What is the Valaris stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Valaris is $67.43, −15.3% from the last close. Of the 2 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Valaris stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Valaris is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $79.62 is 3.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $76.68. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Valaris report earnings next?

Valaris is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026 (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.13 per share on revenue of $569.3M. Valaris beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.1% on average across the report.

What is Valaris’s 52-week high and low?

Valaris’s 52-week high is $114.12 and its 52-week low is $46.70; it closed at $79.62 on Sep 28, 2026, +57.8% over the past year.

Is Valaris stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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