NYSE: BORR

Borr Drilling (BORR) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$4.93+0.15 (+3.1%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Borr Drilling shares gapped up this week after the company secured new multi-month contracts for three jack-up rigs, Norve, Natt and Joro, for work in West Africa along with a UK accommodation contract, extending employment visibility into late 2026 and much of 2027. The company also streamlined its joint ventures by selling stakes in two Mexican JVs while retaining economic exposure, moves tied to optimism around offshore drilling demand. Separately, a director purchased $5.39 million in common stock, and brokerages have set a consensus "Hold" rating following a quarterly loss that missed estimates on both earnings and revenue.

The stock closed at $4.93, up 3.1%, sitting between its 50-day average of $4.31 and 200-day average of $4.88, with a 1-month return of 15.5% and a 6-month return of -17.3%. The GekkoIndex reads 44.5, placing BORR in the Distribution zone, down 17.9 over the last five readings. Price sits 8.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $4.55.

Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings report is scheduled for 18 November, 37 days away, outside this window. Smart money activity shows 10 insider purchases totaling $32.7 million over the last 90 days. Seasonality from this point has averaged a 10.1% move over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 3 of them. Analyst consensus target sits at $4.97, with 0 buy, 2 hold and 1 sell ratings among 3 firms.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Borr Drilling price vs fair value

$4.93$4.55Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $4.93200-day averageGekko Fair Value $4.55

Borr Drilling quick facts

Market cap
$1.52B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
28.2
EPS, TTM
−$0.78
Revenue, TTM
$1.02B
Profit margin
-24%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.07
Volume
15.00M avg 7.73M
1-year return
+82.6%
Typical daily move
±4.4%
Typical 20-day move
±11.5%
50-day average
$4.31
200-day average
$4.88
Next earnings
Nov 18
Shares outstanding
308.5M
52-week range
$2.44$6.66

Borr Drilling swing-trade checklist

Borr Drilling scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $4.93 sits between the 50-day ($4.31) and 200-day ($4.88) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexheadwind

    44.5, Distribution

    Reading 44.5 is in the Distribution zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    8.4% above

    Price is 8.4% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 10 open-market insider purchases.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 37 days

    Next report Nov 18, 2026, 37 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +10.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +10.1% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Borr Drilling stock chart and price history

Borr Drilling closed at $4.93 on Oct 12, 2026, +82.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $2.44 to $6.66.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Borr Drilling share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$3$4$6NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct4.93

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+15.5%
3 months
+11.5%
6 months
−17.3%
1 year
+82.6%
The full BORR chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open BORR in Gekko

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About Borr Drilling

Borr Drilling supplies drilling services to energy producers, concentrating on jack-up rigs used in shallow coastal waters. The company works across a wide geographic footprint, with activity spanning the Americas, Southeast Asia, West Africa, the Middle East, North Africa, and Europe, delivering rigs along with crews and equipment needed for drilling and workover tasks tied to oil and gas exploration and output.

Clients range from large integrated oil companies to national oil companies owned by governments, as well as smaller independent producers, each contracting Borr Drilling's rigs and staff to support upstream operations.

Borr Drilling traces its incorporation to 2016, when it took on its current name after previously operating as Magni Drilling Limited. Headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda, the company trades on the NYSE under the ticker BORR.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Industrial services
Industry
Contract drilling
Website
borrdrilling.com

Borr Drilling GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Borr Drilling’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 44.5, in the Distribution zone, down 17.9 points over five sessions.

010044.5Distribution

Down 17.9 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying53−1.7%−3.3%−9.0%−14.4%
Accumulation264+0.7%−0.6%−1.1%−6.0%
Neutral338−0.1%+0.9%+2.2%+7.8%
Distribution (current zone)20+1.3%+1.0%+2.9%+14.1%
Selling7Too few readings yet

Average BORR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Distribution readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Distribution zone: Institutions potentially offloading. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the BORR price, zone by zone.Track BORR in Gekko

Is Borr Drilling stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Borr Drilling trades 8.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $4.55, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Borr Drilling shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$4.55

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 9, 2026

8.4% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 6.7% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$5$5Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open BORR in Gekko

Borr Drilling insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 10 open-market purchases in Borr Drilling worth $32.71M, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$32.71Min 10 open-market purchases

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Oct 8Troim Tor Olav
director
Purchase1,250,000$5.39M
Oct 7Troim Tor Olav
director
Purchase1,500,000$6.36M
Oct 6Troim Tor Olav
director
Purchase1,500,000$6.20M
Sep 21Morand De Oliveira Bruno
officer: Chief Executive Officer
Purchase45,500$200K
Sep 18Troim Tor Olav
director
Purchase150,000$657K

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in BORR were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for BORR, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BORR in Gekko

Buybacks

Borr Drilling has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2025
$2K
As a share of market cap
0.00%
Trailing four quarters
$209K

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds BORR.

0added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Borr Drilling earnings: next date and track record

Borr Drilling reports on Nov 18, 2026 (37 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.5%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−2.9%Nov ’24−0.3%Feb ’25−4.1%May ’25+2.5%Aug ’25+6.6%Nov ’25+10.3%Feb ’26−8.4%May ’26−1.2%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 11, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Borr Drilling reported Q2 2026 results with high technical (98.4%) and economic (96.4%) utilization but experienced a sequential decline in adjusted EBITDA to $43.8 million, down $44.7 million versus Q1. Revenue fell 6% sequentially to $232.3 million driven by fewer operating days and lower dayrates on several rigs; operating expenses rose, notably due to $22.5 million of Odin preparation costs and higher rig OpEx tied to recent acquisitions and transitions. Management highlighted strong safety performance across the fleet, 24 of 29 rigs contracted or committed, and positive commercial momentum with 21 contract commitments year-to-date adding ~4,350 days and $541 million of backlog. They emphasized operational execution to normalize Odin costs, expect average approximately 23 operating rigs in Q3, and noted continued tendering activity—particularly in the Middle East and Asia—though timing is uncertain due to regional conflict. The company closed the Fontis acquisition and expects limited further working capital needs beyond a ~$15 million Q3 contribution to the JV. Balance sheet and refinancing progress were highlighted; deleveraging remains a priority with ~$100 million annual amortization under new notes. CapEx guidance remains around $2–2.5 million per rig per year (~$60–$70 million for 29 rigs).
Guidance
Management expects to average approximately 23 rigs in Q3 2026 and anticipates a sequential improvement in results as Odin commences contract work and mobilization/start-up costs reduce, though they did not provide a numeric EBITDA range. They expect regular Odin OpEx around mid $70,000 per day and incremental Q3 preparation costs of $6–$9 million. CapEx guidance: roughly $2–2.5 million per rig per year (~$60–$70 million total). They will fund approximately $15 million into the Fontis JV in Q3 for working capital/start-ups. Deleveraging remains in place with ~ $100 million per year amortization built into new notes.
Risks flagged
Key risks discussed include short-term execution risk from contract transitions and mobilizations (which raised OpEx/fuel costs), uncertainty from the Middle East conflict affecting insurance costs and timing of tenders/contracting, potential idle time for recently acquired rigs, and lingering elevated insurance premiums until geopolitical resolution. There is also sensitivity to fuel costs during mobilizations and the execution risk of turning pipeline opportunities into contracted work.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 11, 2026−$0.22
est −$0.11
−100.0%$232.3M
est $246.0M
−5.6%−1.2%
May 20, 2026−$0.09
est −$0.04
−125.0%$247.0M
est $253.3M
−2.5%−8.4%
Feb 18, 2026$0.00
est −$0.02
+75.2%$259.4M
est $240.8M
+7.7%+10.3%
Nov 5, 2025$0.10
est −$0.03
+490.9%$277.1M
est $238.6M
+16.1%+6.6%
Aug 13, 2025$0.14
est $0.10
+46.5%$267.7M
est $263.8M
+1.5%+2.5%
May 21, 2025−$0.07
est −$0.06
−16.7%$216.6M
est $263.4M
−17.8%−4.1%
Feb 19, 2025$0.09
est $0.09
0.0%$263.1M
est $235.6M
+11.7%−0.3%
Nov 6, 2024$0.04
est $0.09
−55.6%$241.6M
est $251.3M
−3.9%−2.9%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Borr Drilling stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Borr Drilling is $4.97, +0.8% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$4.97consensus 12-month target, +0.8% from the last close
Low $3.55High $5.50
Buy0
Hold2
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 4CitiHold, maintained$5.50+11.6%
Aug 18BTIGHold, reiterated——
Aug 17BTIGHold, maintained——
Aug 17SEB EnskildaSell, downgraded$3.55−28.0%
+2.9%average 20-day move after past Distribution readings
+10.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Borr Drilling seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Borr Drilling averaged +10.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+24.5%2021+25.9%2022−14.3%2023−22.9%2024+30.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.0%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+3.6%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+4.3%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+10.1%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+3.8%3 of 5

For scale, BORR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 11.5%.

Borr Drilling market cap and key statistics

Borr Drilling’s market cap is $1.52B and revenue of $1.02B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.52B
Forward P/E
28.2
EPS, TTM
−$0.78
Gekko Fair Value
$4.55

Trading

Volume
15.00M
Avg volume, 20 days
7.73M
52-week high
$6.66
52-week low
$2.44
Shares outstanding
308.5M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.02B
Profit margin
-24%
Return on equity
-24.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+155.7%

Risk and income

Beta
1.07
Typical daily move
±4.4%
Typical 20-day move
±11.5%

Borr Drilling stock news this week

Coverage of Borr Drilling this week reads positive: 7 positive, 6 neutral and 1 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Borr Drilling peers

Borr Drilling’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
SLBSLB−0.9%Accumulation11.7% below
BKRBaker Hughes−1.5%Accumulation5.4% below
NENoble Corporation plc A+0.4%Neutral39.9% below
VALValaris+0.2%Neutral9.6% above
RIGTransocean Ltd (Switzerland)−0.4%Neutral6.2% below
PTENPatterson-UTI Energy−1.3%Neutral4.8% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Borr Drilling stock FAQ

What is Borr Drilling’s market cap?

Borr Drilling’s market cap is $1.52B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $4.93, with 308.5M shares outstanding.

What is the Borr Drilling stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Borr Drilling is $4.97, +0.8% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Borr Drilling stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Borr Drilling is overvalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $4.93 is 8.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $4.55. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Borr Drilling report earnings next?

Borr Drilling is expected to report on Nov 18, 2026 (37 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.10 per share on revenue of $264.3M. Borr Drilling beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.5% on average across the report.

What is Borr Drilling’s 52-week high and low?

Borr Drilling’s 52-week high is $6.66 and its 52-week low is $2.44; it closed at $4.93 on Oct 12, 2026, +82.6% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $9.01 on Aug 4, 2023.

Is Borr Drilling stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 2 as headwinds (gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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