NYSE: HHH

Howard Hughes (HHH) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$73.95+5.52 (+8.1%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Howard Hughes shares climbed 8.1% to $73.95, with weekly and monthly gains reported at 12.7% and 14.1% respectively, as commentary continued to frame the stock as undervalued. A director purchase drew attention, with Marc Grandisson acquiring $1.6 million worth of stock, the largest such purchase in the past year, which reinforced positive sentiment alongside the company's upcoming Annual Shareholder Meeting scheduled for 30 September. Separate coverage noted analyst price targets implying a 31% upside, while one technical note flagged the stock testing resistance.

The close of $73.95 sits above both the 50-day average of $65.38 and the 200-day average of $69.84, with the stock up 13.9% over one month and 18.7% over six months, though down 5.9% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 44.7, placing the stock in the Distribution zone, and price sits 16.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $63.66.

Howard Hughes next reports earnings on 9 November, 41 days out and beyond a typical 20-day holding window. Over the last 90 days, two insider purchases were recorded totaling $1,667,428, and one unusual options signal appeared in the past 30 days, with call premium of $279,672 against no put premium. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -1.1% across 5 years, rising in 3 of them, a pattern worth noting alongside the current gap to fair value.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Howard Hughes price vs fair value

$73.95$63.66Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $73.95200-day averageGekko Fair Value $63.66

Howard Hughes quick facts

Market cap
$4.41B
P/E ratio
13.5
Forward P/E
1250
EPS, TTM
$5.06
Revenue, TTM
$2.37B
Profit margin
12.3%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.14
Volume
1.89M avg 788,652
1-year return
−5.9%
Typical daily move
±3.4%
Typical 20-day move
±5.2%
50-day average
$65.38
200-day average
$69.84
Next earnings
Nov 9
Shares outstanding
59.72M
52-week range
$60.09$91.07

Howard Hughes swing-trade checklist

Howard Hughes scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $73.95 sits between the 50-day ($65.38) and 200-day ($69.84) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexheadwind

    44.7, Distribution

    Reading 44.7 is in the Distribution zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    16.2% above

    Price is 16.2% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 2 open-market insider purchases. Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 41 days

    Next report Nov 9, 2026, 41 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    −1.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −1.1% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Howard Hughes stock chart and price history

Howard Hughes closed at $73.95 on Sep 28, 2026, −5.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $60.09 to $91.07.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Howard Hughes share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$60$70$80$90NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep73.95

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+13.9%
3 months
+2.5%
6 months
+18.7%
1 year
−5.9%
The full HHH chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open HHH in Gekko

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About Howard Hughes

Howard Hughes builds and manages real estate across the United States, working through subsidiaries rather than as a single operating unit. Its holdings span retail, office, and multi-family properties, alongside large-scale residential and commercial land projects, and a cluster of dining, retail, and entertainment venues in New York City. The company is perhaps most recognizable for its Seaport properties, which include Pier 17, the Tin Building, 250 Water Street, and the Jean-Georges restaurants.

The business is split into four segments. Operating Assets covers developed or acquired retail, office, and multi-family sites along with other retail holdings. Master Planned Communities handles the sale and leasing of residential and commercial land for long-term community developments around Las Vegas, Houston, and Phoenix, with homebuilders as its main customers. Seaport manages landlord duties, business operations, and events for its New York venues. Strategic Developments handles the building and rebuilding of condominiums and commercial properties.

Howard Hughes was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas. Its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker HHH.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Finance
Industry
Real estate development
Website
howardhughes.com

Howard Hughes GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Howard Hughes’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 44.7, in the Distribution zone, down 14.1 points over five sessions.

010044.7Distribution

Down 14.1 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying65−1.0%−2.2%−2.0%−4.4%
Accumulation224+1.1%+1.5%+0.3%−0.7%
Neutral360−0.4%−0.8%−0.2%+1.0%
Distribution (current zone)22−3.0%−0.9%−2.2%−3.7%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average HHH share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Distribution readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Distribution zone: Institutions potentially offloading. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the HHH price, zone by zone.Track HHH in Gekko

Is Howard Hughes stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Howard Hughes trades 16.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $63.66, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Howard Hughes shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$63.66

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

16.2% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open HHH in Gekko

Howard Hughes insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 2 open-market purchases in Howard Hughes worth $1.67M, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$1.67Min 2 open-market purchases

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Sep 24GRANDISSON MARC
director, officer: Executive Chairman, Vantage
Purchase25,000$1.60M
Sep 24Davis Andrew D.
officer: Chief Operating Officer, HHC
Purchase1,000$64K

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in HHH were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for HHH, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HHH in Gekko

Buybacks

Howard Hughes has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2025
$204K
As a share of market cap
0.00%

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 100% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 22, $280K in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds HHH.

1added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Howard Hughes earnings: next date and track record

Howard Hughes reports on Nov 9, 2026 (41 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.2%average move across the report
7 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+7.2%Nov ’24+2.6%Feb ’25+1.9%May ’25+1.6%Aug ’25+11.3%Nov ’25−10.6%Feb ’26+2.6%May ’26+3.7%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Howard Hughes reported a quarter marked by the strategic acquisition and integration of Vantage Holdings, strong operating performance from its real-estate platforms, and active capital-allocation initiatives to grow an insurance-investment business. Management highlighted that master-planned communities (MPC) produced robust results (MPC pre-tax earnings +32% YoY), new home sales growth (notably +34% at Woodlands Hills, +17% at Bridgeland), and the condominium platform delivered substantial cash proceeds from a concentrated closing. Vantage, acquired in early June, showed growth in written and earned premiums (+29% gross/net written premium; net earned premium +22% YoY) but reported a combined ratio of 101.6% for the quarter (versus 94% a year ago) and about $18 million of catastrophe losses. Pershing Square/management moved quickly to reshape Vantage’s investment portfolio into a barbell of short-dated U.S. Treasuries (to match float) and a large allocation to high-quality common stocks; management targets north of 50% in equities over time. Management emphasized disciplined capital allocation (priority for free cash flow to Vantage), structural plans to monetize peripheral real-estate assets selectively (including joint ventures), and the availability of additional capital (Pershing Square support and expected $2.5–3.0 billion of excess free cash flow over the next five years). The tone throughout was confident and strategic, acknowledging insurance-cycle risks, modeling/AI uncertainties, and the short-staffed/undersized nature of the Vantage platform relative to opportunity.
Guidance
- Management expects Howard Hughes to generate approximately $2.5 billion to $3.0 billion of excess free cash flow over the next five years (used to fund objectives including Vantage). - Investment allocation target for Vantage invested portfolio: at least ~50% in common stocks over time (with the remainder in short-dated U.S. Treasuries to back reserves). - Priority for incremental free cash flow is to deploy into Vantage; no formal revenue/earnings guidance or quarter-by-quarter numeric outlooks were provided.
Risks flagged
- Vantage reported a combined ratio of 101.6% (up from 94% year-over-year) and $18 million of catastrophe losses in the stub period. - Insurance-market cyclicality and increased competition (MGAs/third-party capital) could compress underwriting margins and alter near-term planning. - Execution risks integrating Vantage and deploying new investment strategy (transition from fixed-income to equities) and potential mark-to-market volatility of equity holdings. - Reliance on continued access to capital (including monetization of real estate or third-party capital) and potential market undervaluation of Howard Hughes stock. - Macro/industry uncertainties noted (AI effects unclear; human behavior and compensation dynamics may perpetuate cycles).
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026$2.68
est $0.99
+170.7%$1.12B
est $469.0M
+139.3%+3.7%
May 7, 2026$0.14
est $0.08
+75.0%$235.9M
est $194.4M
+21.3%+2.6%
Feb 19, 2026$0.10
est $0.31
−67.7%$624.4M
est $591.2M
+5.6%−10.6%
Nov 10, 2025$2.02
est $1.46
+38.4%$390.2M
est $358.0M
+9.0%+11.3%
Aug 6, 2025$0.44
est $1.01
−56.4%$260.9M
est $289.0M
−9.7%+1.6%
May 7, 2025$0.21
est $0.13
+61.5%$199.3M
est $197.0M
+1.2%+1.9%
Feb 26, 2025$3.25
est $2.92
+11.3%$983.6M
est $935.0M
+5.2%+2.6%
Nov 4, 2024$1.46
est $0.20
+630.0%$327.1M
est $921.0M
−64.5%+7.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Howard Hughes stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Howard Hughes is $89.67, +21.3% from the last close, from 2 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$89.67consensus 12-month target, +21.3% from the last close
Low $79High $100
Buy1
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 2 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 28Piper SandlerBuy, reiterated$100+35.2%
Aug 6Piper SandlerBuy, maintained$100+35.2%
Jul 16J.P. MorganHold, reiterated$79+6.8%
−2.2%average 20-day move after past Distribution readings
−1.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Howard Hughes seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Howard Hughes averaged −1.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+0.1%2021+8.9%2022−11.5%2023−2.1%2024+0.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.1%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−2.5%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days+0.1%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days−1.1%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+7.9%4 of 5

For scale, HHH’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.2%.

Howard Hughes market cap and key statistics

Howard Hughes’s market cap is $4.41B, with a P/E ratio of 13.5 and revenue of $2.37B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$4.41B
P/E ratio
13.5
Forward P/E
1250
EPS, TTM
$5.06
Gekko Fair Value
$63.66

Trading

Volume
1.89M
Avg volume, 20 days
788,652
52-week high
$91.07
52-week low
$60.09
Shares outstanding
59.72M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.37B
Profit margin
12.3%
Return on equity
7.5%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−33.6%

Risk and income

Beta
1.14
Typical daily move
±3.4%
Typical 20-day move
±5.2%

Howard Hughes stock news this week

Coverage of Howard Hughes this week reads positive: 12 positive, 2 neutral and 2 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Howard Hughes peers

Howard Hughes’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
CBRECBRE−2.2%Accumulation2.4% below
JLLJones Lang LaSalle−1.8%Buying21.0% below
FSVFirstService+1.3%Accumulation6.4% below
MTHMeritage Homes+1.1%Accumulation26.1% below
JOESt. Joe+1.0%Neutral22.0% above
HGVHilton Grand Vacations+1.4%Buying48.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Howard Hughes stock FAQ

What is Howard Hughes’s market cap?

Howard Hughes’s market cap is $4.41B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $73.95, with 59.72M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 13.5.

What is the Howard Hughes stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Howard Hughes is $89.67, +21.3% from the last close. Of the 2 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Howard Hughes stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Howard Hughes is overvalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $73.95 is 16.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $63.66. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Howard Hughes report earnings next?

Howard Hughes is expected to report on Nov 9, 2026 (41 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.89 per share on revenue of $624.6M. Howard Hughes beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.2% on average across the report.

What is Howard Hughes’s 52-week high and low?

Howard Hughes’s 52-week high is $91.07 and its 52-week low is $60.09; it closed at $73.95 on Sep 28, 2026, −5.9% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $100.53 on Mar 31, 2022.

Is Howard Hughes stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (smart money and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (trend and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Howard Hughes?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in Howard Hughes over the last 30 days, with $280K of flagged premium in calls and $0 in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 22, 2026 with $280K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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