Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for HGV in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every HGV insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HGV in Gekko
NYSE: HGV
Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$34.54+0.01 (0.0%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeThis week brought mixed analyst actions alongside continuing fallout from HGV's Q2 report. JPMorgan initiated coverage at Neutral with a $39.00 price target, citing underperformance and a discount to competitors, while another firm downgraded the stock to "Strong Sell" and a separate analysis argued for an upgrade to "strong buy" with a $55 price target. The stock touched a 52-week low of $33.99 before rising 2.00% to $34.73 on 6 October, even as Q2 revenue of $1.36 billion missed the $1.38 billion estimate, with adjusted EBITDA up 5% to $293 million while contract sales and volume per guest both declined.
HGV closed at $34.54, below both its 50-day average of $40.30 and 200-day average of $45.32, with the 50-day also under the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 68.7, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 49.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $67.91. Returns have been negative across recent periods, including a 1-month decline of 12.5% and a 1-year decline of 17.5%.
Earnings are set for 29 October, 17 days away and within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the last report produced a -10.3% reaction despite an EPS beat of $0.89 versus $0.86 estimated. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current window, and two trailblazer holders are noted. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged +3.8% across 5 years, rising in 3 of them. Analyst consensus across 10 firms stands at 3 buy and 7 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $55.90.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Hilton Grand Vacations price vs fair value
Close $34.54200-day averageGekko Fair Value $67.91
Hilton Grand Vacations quick facts
- Market cap
- $2.71B
- P/E ratio
- 19.6
- Forward P/E
- 11.4
- EPS, TTM
- $1.76
- Revenue, TTM
- $4.70B
- Profit margin
- 3.2%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 1.61
- Volume
- 598,654 avg 1.18M
- 1-year return
- −17.5%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.1%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.9%
- 50-day average
- $40.30
- 200-day average
- $45.32
- Next earnings
- Oct 29
- Shares outstanding
- 77.72M
Hilton Grand Vacations swing-trade checklist
Hilton Grand Vacations scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $34.54 is below the 50-day ($40.30) and 200-day ($45.32) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
68.7, Accumulation
Reading 68.7 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
49.1% below
Price is 49.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 17 days
Reports on Oct 29, 2026, 17 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+3.8% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.8% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Hilton Grand Vacations stock chart and price history
Hilton Grand Vacations closed at $34.54 on Oct 12, 2026, −17.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $33.99 to $55.40.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −12.5%
- 3 months
- −29.8%
- 6 months
- −25.8%
- 1 year
- −17.5%
The full HGV chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open HGV in Gekko
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About Hilton Grand Vacations
Hilton Grand Vacations builds, markets and runs vacation ownership resorts and timeshare programs under its own brand name, serving customers in the United States, Japan and Europe. Alongside the properties themselves, it handles the reservation and exchange services that let owners book stays across its network, and it is best known for this combined timeshare and resort management model.
The business is split into two parts. One side markets and sells vacation ownership interests, sources additional inventory through fee-for-service arrangements with developers, and provides financing and loan servicing to buyers. The other side runs the clubs that give members access to exchange, travel and reservation services, rents out unused inventory that comes back through ownership exchanges, and supplies on-site extras such as dining, retail and spa offerings at its resorts.
The company traces back to 1992 and operates out of Orlando, Florida. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker HGV.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Finance
- Industry
- Real estate development
- Website
- hiltongrandvacations.com
Hilton Grand Vacations GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Hilton Grand Vacations’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 68.7, in the Accumulation zone, down 5.8 points over five sessions.
68.7Accumulation
Down 5.8 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 34 | +0.4% | +0.9% |
| Accumulation (current zone) | 260 | +0.4% | +1.3% |
| Neutral | 350 | −0.3% | −0.9% |
| Distribution | 25 | −0.4% | −3.4% |
| Selling | 13 | −0.4% | +3.2% |
Average HGV share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the HGV price, zone by zone.Track HGV in Gekko
Is Hilton Grand Vacations stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Hilton Grand Vacations trades 49.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $67.91, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Hilton Grand Vacations shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$67.91
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
49.1% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 48.6% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open HGV in Gekko
Hilton Grand Vacations insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Hilton Grand Vacations, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in HGV were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for HGV, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HGV in Gekko
Buybacks
Hilton Grand Vacations has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $150.0M
- As a share of market cap
- 5.53%
- Trailing four quarters
- $600.0M
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
2of the funds Gekko tracks hold HGV.
1added0opened1trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Hilton Grand Vacations earnings: next date and track record
Hilton Grand Vacations reports on Oct 29, 2026 (17 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 29, 2026
17 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.14
- Revenue estimate
- $1.39B
2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.7%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- HGV generated 239,000 tours in Q2 2026, up 6% YoY, marking four consecutive quarters of consolidated tour growth. Adjusted EBITDA grew 5% to $293 million with margins expanding to 23%. Contract sales declined due to faster-than-expected VPG moderation at Bluegreen, weaker sales execution, and higher mix of trust/new buyer transactions. New buyer tours grew at a high single-digit rate. Management is implementing corrective sales execution initiatives.
- Guidance
- HGV is maintaining its full-year EBITDA guidance despite Q2 contract sales softness. Management expressed confidence in back-half improvement driven by sales productivity initiatives, healthy occupancy, and strong tour flow remaining ahead of prior year.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | $0.89 est $0.86 | $1.36B est $1.38B | −10.3% |
| Apr 30, 2026 | $0.99 est $0.58 | $1.29B est $1.27B | +5.9% |
| Feb 26, 2026 | $0.88 est $1.11 | $1.33B est $1.38B | −7.5% |
| Oct 30, 2025 | $0.60 est $1.01 | $1.30B est $1.38B | −6.1% |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $0.54 est $0.78 | $1.27B est $1.37B | −12.4% |
| May 1, 2025 | $0.09 est $0.49 | $1.15B est $1.39B | +15.8% |
| Feb 27, 2025 | $0.49 est $0.89 | $1.28B est $1.28B | +5.9% |
| Nov 7, 2024 | $0.67 est $0.70 | $1.31B est $1.29B | +5.9% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Hilton Grand Vacations stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Hilton Grand Vacations is $55.90, +61.8% from the last close, from 10 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$55.90consensus 12-month target, +61.8% from the last close
Now $34.54Avg $55.90
Low $39High $74
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 10 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | J.P. Morgan | $39 | +12.9% |
| Sep 14 | Truist Financial | $69 | +99.8% |
| Sep 10 | Truist Financial | $69 | +99.8% |
| Aug 18 | Susquehanna | $50 | +44.8% |
| Aug 18 | Morgan Stanley | $54 | +56.3% |
+1.3%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+3.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Hilton Grand Vacations seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Hilton Grand Vacations averaged +3.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +4.2% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +3.9% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +4.3% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +3.8% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +6.2% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, HGV’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.9%.
Hilton Grand Vacations market cap and key statistics
Hilton Grand Vacations’s market cap is $2.71B, with a P/E ratio of 19.6 and revenue of $4.70B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $2.71B
- P/E ratio
- 19.6
- Forward P/E
- 11.4
- EPS, TTM
- $1.76
- Gekko Fair Value
- $67.91
Trading
- Volume
- 598,654
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.18M
- 52-week high
- $55.40
- 52-week low
- $33.99
- Shares outstanding
- 77.72M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $4.70B
- Profit margin
- 3.2%
- Return on equity
- 11.5%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −40.0%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.61
- Typical daily move
- ±3.1%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.9%
Hilton Grand Vacations stock news this week
Coverage of Hilton Grand Vacations this week reads negative: 0 positive, 3 neutral and 3 negative headlines.
- Funds hold more than 5% of Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV); Dimensional reports the passive stake.Stock Titan, Oct 8
- JPMorgan initiates Hilton Grand Vacations stock at neutral By Investing.comInvesting.com India, Oct 8
- Hilton Grand Vacations (NYSE:HGV) Downgraded by Zacks Research to "Strong Sell"MarketBeat, Oct 7
- Hilton Grand Vacations Sets the Stage for 2027 HGV Tournament of Champions with Musical LineupGuruFocus, Oct 7
- Hilton Grand Vacations stock gained 2.00 percent after Q2 missAD HOC NEWS, Oct 7
- Hilton Grand Vacations stock hits 52-week low at 33.99 USDInvesting.com, Oct 5
Hilton Grand Vacations peers
Hilton Grand Vacations’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| CBRECBRE | Accumulation | 0.4% below |
| JLLJones Lang LaSalle | Accumulation | 22.8% below |
| FSVFirstService | Accumulation | 5.2% below |
| HHHHoward Hughes | Neutral | 13.5% above |
| MTHMeritage Homes | Buying | 33.3% below |
| JOESt. Joe | Neutral | 20.9% above |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Hilton Grand Vacations stock FAQ
What is Hilton Grand Vacations’s market cap?
Hilton Grand Vacations’s market cap is $2.71B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $34.54, with 77.72M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 19.6.
What is the Hilton Grand Vacations stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Hilton Grand Vacations is $55.90, +61.8% from the last close. Of the 10 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 7 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Hilton Grand Vacations stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Hilton Grand Vacations is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $34.54 is 49.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $67.91. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Hilton Grand Vacations report earnings next?
Hilton Grand Vacations is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026 (17 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.14 per share on revenue of $1.39B. Hilton Grand Vacations beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.7% on average across the report.
What is Hilton Grand Vacations’s 52-week high and low?
Hilton Grand Vacations’s 52-week high is $55.40 and its 52-week low is $33.99; it closed at $34.54 on Oct 12, 2026, −17.5% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $56.33 on Nov 9, 2021.
Is Hilton Grand Vacations stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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