Getty Realty (GTY) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$28.01+0.15 (+0.5%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Getty Realty's week centers on a completed sale leaseback transaction, with the company adding 41 convenience stores in a $260.9 million deal that makes Refuel its third-largest tenant. The stock fell 1.17% following news of the acquisition. Separately, the company confirmed its Q3 2026 earnings date for 21 October, after market close, with a conference call set for the following morning.

GTY closed at $28.01, down from both its 50-day average of $31.25 and 200-day average of $32.15, with the shorter average also below the longer one, reflecting a one-month return of -13.2% and a three-month return of -18.7%. The GekkoIndex reads 67.7, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, though this has slipped 4.7 points over five days. The stock trades 42.3% below its Gekko Fair Value of $48.51, and sits near its 52-week low of $25.39, well off its 52-week high of $36.83.

Earnings arrive on 21 October, just 8 days out and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter saw a -5.2% reaction despite an EPS beat of $0.62 versus $0.60 estimated. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in their respective windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 7.1% gain across 5 years, with gains in 5 of those years. Analyst consensus across 8 firms stands at 3 buy and 5 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $35.57.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Getty Realty price vs fair value

▲$48.51$28.01Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $28.01200-day averageGekko Fair Value $48.51

Getty Realty quick facts

Market cap
$1.73B
P/E ratio
16.7
Forward P/E
18.6
EPS, TTM
$1.67
Revenue, TTM
$233.0M
Profit margin
42.7%
Dividend yield
6.99%
Beta
0.75
Volume
570,793 avg 733,175
1-year return
+8.6%
Typical daily move
±1.9%
Typical 20-day move
±3.6%
50-day average
$31.25
200-day average
$32.15
Next earnings
Oct 21 after close
Shares outstanding
61.93M
52-week range
$25.39$36.83

Getty Realty swing-trade checklist

Getty Realty scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $28.01 is below the 50-day ($31.25) and 200-day ($32.15) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    67.7, Accumulation

    Reading 67.7 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    42.3% below

    Price is 42.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 9 days

    Reports on Oct 21, 2026, 9 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +7.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +7.1% over 5 years, rising in 5 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Getty Realty stock chart and price history

Getty Realty closed at $28.01 on Oct 12, 2026, +8.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $25.39 to $36.83.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Getty Realty share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$25$30$35NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct28.01

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−13.2%
3 months
−18.7%
6 months
−16.5%
1 year
+8.6%
The full GTY chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open GTY in Gekko

Follow Getty Realty through every session

Put GTY on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track GTY in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

About Getty Realty

Getty Realty operates as a real estate investment trust focused on properties used as convenience stores and gas stations. It buys, leases out, and provides financing for these sites, building its name around this niche corner of the property market rather than a broad mix of real estate types.

Its holdings include properties the company owns outright as well as additional sites it leases from other landlords, giving it a mix of direct ownership and leasehold arrangements. The portfolio spans a wide geographic footprint across numerous states and the District of Columbia, reflecting a business built on collecting rent and financing income from operators of fuel and convenience retail locations.

Getty Realty's shares trade under the ticker GTY.

Sector
Finance
Website
gettyrealty.com

Getty Realty GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Getty Realty’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 67.7, in the Accumulation zone, down 4.7 points over five sessions.

010067.7Accumulation

Down 4.7 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying36−0.2%−0.7%+3.3%+4.2%
Accumulation (current zone)197+0.3%+0.8%+1.4%+3.3%
Neutral374+0.1%0.0%−0.3%+0.7%
Distribution28−1.0%−1.5%+0.6%−1.2%
Selling0Not available

Average GTY share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the GTY price, zone by zone.Track GTY in Gekko

Is Getty Realty stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Getty Realty trades 42.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $48.51, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Getty Realty shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$48.51

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

42.3% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 45.7% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$49$28Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open GTY in Gekko

Getty Realty insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Getty Realty, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for GTY in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every GTY insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GTY in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in GTY were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for GTY, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GTY in Gekko

Buybacks

Getty Realty has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$146K
As a share of market cap
0.01%

From company filings.

Getty Realty earnings: next date and track record

Getty Realty reports on Oct 21, 2026, after the close (9 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.7%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+1.3%Oct ’24+0.6%Feb ’25−4.2%Apr ’25+0.8%Jul ’25+2.6%Oct ’25+5.8%Feb ’26−0.8%Apr ’26−5.2%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 22, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Getty Realty reported a solid Q2 2026 driven by external investment activity and a stable, highly occupied in-place portfolio. Management highlighted 15% growth in annualized base rent, AFFO per share growth of 5.1% for the quarter (5% YTD), and a second upward revision to full-year 2026 earnings guidance. Portfolio metrics remain strong: 99.8% occupancy (ex-redevelopment), weighted average lease term of 10.3 years, and a trailing 12-month rent coverage ratio of 2.5x. Investment activity totaled $128.3 million in the quarter (35 properties plus development funding) at a 7.4% initial cash yield, bringing YTD investments to $172.1 million with additional investments under contract and a sizeable LOI pipeline concentrated in automotive service and drive-thru QSRs. The balance sheet is healthy with net debt to EBITDA at 5.3x (4.3x including unsettled forward equity), fixed charge coverage of 4x, ~$1.1 billion total debt (weighted average interest rate 4.6%, maturity 5.5 years), $73 million drawn on a $450 million revolver, and no maturities until June 2028. Management emphasized improved cost of capital enabling competition for mid-7% cap rate transactions and reiterated a disciplined approach to deployment and prefunding, balancing liquidity with shareholder value.
Guidance
Management stated they increased full-year 2026 earnings guidance for the second time this year (no numeric range provided on the call). They expect full-year G&A growth to be less than 2% and the G&A ratio to fall below 9%. The company uses a 25 basis point credit loss assumption in models and rolls that forward to reflect elapsed portions of the year. No debt maturities until June 2028 was highlighted as a liquidity point.
Risks flagged
Macroeconomic and geopolitical volatility could affect tenant operations and margins (noted as a general caution). Fuel margin volatility can impact convenience store tenant performance. A rising sub-1x rent coverage bucket is driven by ramping new-to-industry car washes (still early-stage). Credit losses remain an assumption (25 bps) and could vary, impacting guidance. Execution risk in closing pipeline deals and variability in capital markets (cost of capital, spreads, treasury moves) could affect acquisition economics.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 22, 2026$0.62
est $0.60
+3.3%$57.42M
est $58.45M
−1.8%−5.2%
Apr 22, 2026$0.42
est $0.35
+20.0%$56.29M
est $58.31M
−3.5%−0.8%
Feb 11, 2026$0.45
est $0.34
+30.8%$59.14M
est $55.34M
+6.9%+5.8%
Oct 22, 2025$0.36
est $0.34
+5.9%$55.59M
est $55.57M
0.0%+2.6%
Jul 23, 2025$0.33
est $0.33
0.0%$53.26M
est $52.12M
+2.2%+0.8%
Apr 23, 2025$0.26
est $0.31
−16.1%$52.33M
est $52.42M
−0.2%−4.2%
Feb 12, 2025$0.39
est $0.31
+25.8%$53.02M
est $50.09M
+5.9%+0.6%
Oct 23, 2024$0.27
est $0.30
−10.0%$51.47M
est $50.60M
+1.7%+1.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Getty Realty stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Getty Realty is $35.57, +27.0% from the last close, from 8 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$35.57consensus 12-month target, +27.0% from the last close
Low $33High $39
Buy3
Hold5
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 8 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 24KeyBancBuy, reiterated$36+28.5%
Aug 18UBSHold, reiterated$33+17.8%
Aug 16Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained$38+35.7%
Jul 28J.P. MorganHold, maintained$37+32.1%
Jul 27Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$38+35.7%
+1.4%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+7.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Getty Realty seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Getty Realty averaged +7.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 5 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+7.7%2021+20.2%2022+0.3%2023+1.5%2024+5.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.3%5 of 5
Next 10 trading days+4.7%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+6.5%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+7.1%5 of 5
Next 30 trading days+10.0%5 of 5

For scale, GTY’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.6%.

Getty Realty market cap and key statistics

Getty Realty’s market cap is $1.73B, with a P/E ratio of 16.7 and revenue of $233.0M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.73B
P/E ratio
16.7
Forward P/E
18.6
EPS, TTM
$1.67
Gekko Fair Value
$48.51

Trading

Volume
570,793
Avg volume, 20 days
733,175
52-week high
$36.83
52-week low
$25.39
Shares outstanding
61.93M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$233.0M
Profit margin
42.7%
Return on equity
9.5%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+50.4%

Risk and income

Beta
0.75
Typical daily move
±1.9%
Typical 20-day move
±3.6%
Dividend yield
6.99%

Getty Realty stock news this week

Coverage of Getty Realty this week reads neutral: 1 positive, 2 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

More stocks

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Getty Realty stock FAQ

What is Getty Realty’s market cap?

Getty Realty’s market cap is $1.73B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $28.01, with 61.93M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 16.7.

What is the Getty Realty stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Getty Realty is $35.57, +27.0% from the last close. Of the 8 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Getty Realty stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Getty Realty is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $28.01 is 42.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $48.51. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Getty Realty report earnings next?

Getty Realty is expected to report on Oct 21, 2026, after the market closes (9 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.35 per share on revenue of $59.06M. Getty Realty beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.7% on average across the report.

What is Getty Realty’s 52-week high and low?

Getty Realty’s 52-week high is $36.83 and its 52-week low is $25.39; it closed at $28.01 on Oct 12, 2026, +8.6% over the past year.

Is Getty Realty stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See Getty Realty the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,408 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.