GDS (GDS) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$31.66−1.11 (−3.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

This week GDS appears in comparison pieces against Mogo and IBM, weighing institutional ownership, analyst recommendations, earnings, dividends and valuation, alongside a separate note flagging the stock as overvalued relative to an outside intrinsic value estimate near $22.81 despite a GF Score of 61/100. The most recent earnings call, from 13 August, described record H1 2026 bookings of 470 MW, including 260 MW in Q2, tied to AI infrastructure demand from China's hyperscale customers, a raised full-year sales target of 1 gigawatt, and a backlog that grew to 757 MW.

GDS closed at $31.66, down 3.4%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $32.31 and its 200-day average of $37.68, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 59, placing it in the Neutral zone. Shares trade 19.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $39.48.

The next earnings date falls on 18 November, 50 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. Over the last 30 days there has been 1 unusual options signal, with call premium of $591,213 and no put premium recorded. Holdings include 1 billionaire holder and 3 trailblazer holders. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -10.1% across 5 years, rising in 2 of them, a pattern worth noting alongside the two analyst firms both rating the stock buy with a consensus target of $50.54.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

GDS price vs fair value

$39.48$31.66Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $31.66200-day averageGekko Fair Value $39.48

GDS quick facts

Market cap
$6.17B
P/E ratio
14.5
Forward P/E
454.6
EPS, TTM
$2.26
Revenue, TTM
$12.26B
Profit margin
30.5%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.43
Volume
727,964 avg 1.03M
1-year return
−24.7%
Typical daily move
±3.6%
Typical 20-day move
±12.9%
50-day average
$32.31
200-day average
$37.68
Next earnings
Nov 18 before open
Shares outstanding
194.9M
52-week range
$26.97$48.61

GDS swing-trade checklist

GDS scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $31.66 is below the 50-day ($32.31) and 200-day ($37.68) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    59, Neutral

    Reading 59 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    19.8% below

    Price is 19.8% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 50 days

    Next report Nov 18, 2026, 50 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −10.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −10.1% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

GDS stock chart and price history

GDS closed at $31.66 on Sep 28, 2026, −24.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $26.97 to $48.61.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
GDS share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$30$35$40$45NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep31.66

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−5.5%
3 months
+7.9%
6 months
−21.6%
1 year
−24.7%
The full GDS chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open GDS in Gekko

Follow GDS through every session

Put GDS on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About GDS

GDS designs, builds and operates data centers throughout China, giving businesses a place to house their computing equipment. Clients rent physical space equipped with power supply, cooling systems and rack infrastructure to keep servers running, a service known as colocation. This colocation work forms the backbone of what GDS is known for.

On top of that, GDS handles a range of managed hosting tasks for clients, including planning for system recovery after outages, overseeing networks, storing data securely, guarding against security threats, and supporting the software and databases that run on client servers. It also offers cloud management and advisory services. Among those who rely on GDS are cloud platform operators, large internet companies, banks and other financial institutions, telecom and IT service providers, along with private domestic firms and multinational businesses.

GDS traces its founding to 2001 and runs its operations from Shanghai, China. Its stock carries the ticker GDS.

Sector
Technology services
Website
gds-services.com

GDS GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

GDS’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 59, in the Neutral zone, up 8.6 points over five sessions.

010059Neutral

Up 8.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying23+5.3%+5.2%+6.2%+18.1%
Accumulation156+2.3%+5.2%+10.8%+23.9%
Neutral (current zone)396+1.6%+3.5%+6.7%+15.9%
Distribution46+0.3%−1.5%+3.1%+16.9%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average GDS share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the GDS price, zone by zone.Track GDS in Gekko

Is GDS stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

GDS trades 19.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $39.48, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what GDS shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$39.48

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

19.8% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open GDS in Gekko

GDS insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for GDS, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for GDS in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every GDS insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GDS in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in GDS were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for GDS, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GDS in Gekko

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 100% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 19, $591K in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

4of the funds Gekko tracks hold GDS.

2added1opened1trimmed0sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

GDS earnings: next date and track record

GDS reports on Nov 18, 2026, before the open (50 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±9.6%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−20.9%Nov ’24−19.6%Mar ’25+9.5%May ’25+1.3%Aug ’25+4.4%Nov ’25+3.1%Mar ’26−13.0%May ’26+5.1%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 13, 2026 AI summary

What they said
GDS achieved record H1 2026 bookings of 470 MW, including 260 MW in Q2, driven by AI infrastructure demand from China's hyperscale customers and emerging AI leaders. The company raised its full-year sales target to 1 gigawatt and secured an additional 600 MW in customer reservations. Backlog grew to 757 MW mid-year with estimated RMB 2.2M adjusted EBITDA per megawatt, implying ~RMB 1.6B in booked-but-not-billed EBITDA. New markets including Inner Mongolia and Guangdong contributed ~50% of H1 bookings.
Guidance
GDS raised its full-year 2026 bookings target to 1 gigawatt and expects over 1 gigawatt in new reservations by year-end. Backlog projected to exceed 1 gigawatt by year-end, providing multi-year revenue visibility as reservations convert to binding commitments.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 13, 2026$0.52
est $1.35
−61.5%$454.5M
est $454.2M
+0.1%+5.1%
May 20, 2026$8.65
est −$0.28
+3,166.4%$488.0M
est $436.4M
+11.8%−13.0%
Mar 17, 2026$5.88
est −$0.24
+2,548.9%$417.7M
est $421.0M
−0.8%+3.1%
Nov 19, 2025$0.45
est −$0.06
+850.0%$405.5M
est $408.5M
−0.7%+4.4%
Aug 20, 2025−$0.06
est −$0.11
+45.5%$404.4M
est $402.6M
+0.5%+1.3%
May 20, 2025$3.91
est −$0.90
+534.4%$374.0M
est $397.0M
−5.8%+9.5%
Mar 19, 2025$22.51
est −$1.15
+2,057.4%$368.5M
est $435.0M
−15.3%−19.6%
Nov 19, 2024−$1.12
est −$0.20
−460.0%$422.6M
est $409.4M
+3.2%−20.9%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

GDS stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for GDS is $50.54, +59.6% from the last close, from 2 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$50.54consensus 12-month target, +59.6% from the last close
Low $45High $52
Buy2
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 2 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 14TD CowenBuy, maintained$45+42.1%
Aug 7Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$52+64.2%
+6.7%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−10.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

GDS seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, GDS averaged −10.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+5.2%2021−36.4%2022−12.4%2023+7.1%2024−10.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.8%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−5.6%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−5.1%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−10.1%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days−8.2%2 of 5

For scale, GDS’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 12.9%.

GDS market cap and key statistics

GDS’s market cap is $6.17B, with a P/E ratio of 14.5 and revenue of $12.26B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$6.17B
P/E ratio
14.5
Forward P/E
454.6
EPS, TTM
$2.26
Gekko Fair Value
$39.48

Trading

Volume
727,964
Avg volume, 20 days
1.03M
52-week high
$48.61
52-week low
$26.97
Shares outstanding
194.9M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$12.26B
Profit margin
30.5%
Return on equity
12.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+207.0%

Risk and income

Beta
0.43
Typical daily move
±3.6%
Typical 20-day move
±12.9%

GDS stock news this week

3 headlines about GDS from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

More stocks

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

GDS stock FAQ

What is GDS’s market cap?

GDS’s market cap is $6.17B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $31.66, with 194.9M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 14.5.

What is the GDS stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for GDS is $50.54, +59.6% from the last close. Of the 2 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is GDS stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate GDS is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $31.66 is 19.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $39.48. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does GDS report earnings next?

GDS is expected to report on Nov 18, 2026, before the market opens (50 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.04 per share on revenue of $468.1M. GDS beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 9.6% on average across the report.

What is GDS’s 52-week high and low?

GDS’s 52-week high is $48.61 and its 52-week low is $26.97; it closed at $31.66 on Sep 28, 2026, −24.7% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $65.84 on Oct 20, 2021.

Is GDS stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (fair value, smart money and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in GDS?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in GDS over the last 30 days, with $591K of flagged premium in calls and $0 in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 19, 2026 with $591K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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