Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) (ELPC) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$14.18−0.01 (−0.1%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

ELPC shares surged 8.2% during the week, touching a new 52-week high of $14.51 before settling near $13.92 to $14.32, on higher-than-average trading volume. The move follows Copel's Q2 2026 results, which showed EBITDA of BRL 1.6 billion, up around 21% year over year, and recurring net income of BRL 645 million, a 42.6% increase, alongside a tariff review for Copel Distribution that lifted its remuneration base to roughly BRL 20 billion. One outlet also flagged a GF Score of 48 alongside the rally.

ELPC closed at $14.18, down 0.1% on the day, but up 13.6% over the past month and 61.3% over the past year. The close sits above both the 50-day average of $12.05 and the 200-day average of $11.56, with the shorter average above the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 41.8, placing the stock in the Distribution zone, while price trades 1.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $14.00.

Copel's next earnings report is scheduled for 12 November 2026, 30 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold; the prior report on 5 August produced a 0.3% reaction versus an average absolute move of 1.8% across the last three quarters, with three beats in three quarters. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows. Consensus from one tracked firm carries a buy rating with a $17.00 price target, implying 19.9% upside from current levels.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) price vs fair value

$14.18$14.00Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $14.18200-day averageGekko Fair Value $14.00

Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) quick facts

Market cap
$2.63B
P/E ratio
17.4
Forward P/E
10.9
EPS, TTM
$0.81
Revenue, TTM
$27.99B
Profit margin
11.4%
Dividend yield
3.83%
Beta
0.29
Volume
248,516 avg 654,190
1-year return
+61.3%
Typical daily move
±2.8%
Typical 20-day move
±6.4%
50-day average
$12.05
200-day average
$11.56
Next earnings
Nov 12
Shares outstanding
742.4M
52-week range
$8.26$14.51

Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) swing-trade checklist

Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 4 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $14.18 is above the 50-day ($12.05) and 200-day ($11.56) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexheadwind

    41.8, Distribution

    Reading 41.8 is in the Distribution zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    1.3% above

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (1.3% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 31 days

    Next report Nov 12, 2026, 31 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityno data

    No data

    Not enough years of history for a seasonal read.

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) stock chart and price history

Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) closed at $14.18 on Oct 12, 2026, +61.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $8.26 to $14.51.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$8$10$12NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct14.18

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+13.6%
3 months
+18.5%
6 months
+5.6%
1 year
+61.3%
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About Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL)

COPEL works across the electricity chain in Brazil, covering generation, transformation, distribution and sale of power. Its customers span industrial, residential, commercial and agricultural users throughout the country. The company is widely recognized for its electricity distribution concessions, which give it exclusive rights to serve municipalities in the State of Paraná and the city of Porto União in Santa Catarina.

The business is structured into distinct units, including Power Generation and Transmission, Power Distribution, Gas, Power Sale, and Holding and Services. Alongside electricity, COPEL distributes piped natural gas. Its generation assets include hydroelectric, wind and thermoelectric plants, supported by a broad network of transmission and distribution infrastructure that connects these operations to the customer base it serves.

Founded in 1954, COPEL is headquartered in Curitiba, Brazil. Its shares trade under the ticker ELPC.

Sector
Utilities
Website
copel.com

Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL)’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 41.8, in the Distribution zone, up 2.1 points over five sessions.

010041.8Distribution

Up 2.1 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying11+4.1%+7.8%+14.0%+13.8%
Accumulation194+0.3%+0.4%+1.8%+5.6%
Neutral371+1.0%+1.8%+2.7%+6.7%
Distribution (current zone)31−1.7%−2.0%+1.8%+5.6%
Selling0Not available

Average ELPC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Distribution readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Distribution zone: Institutions potentially offloading. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ELPC price, zone by zone.Track ELPC in Gekko

Is Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) trades 1.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $14.00, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$14.00

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

1.3% above fair value · About fair value

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 24.7% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$14$14Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ELPC in Gekko

Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL), and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for ELPC in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every ELPC insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ELPC in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in ELPC were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for ELPC, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ELPC in Gekko

Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) earnings: next date and track record

Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) reports on Nov 12, 2026 (31 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 3 reports.

3 of 3reports beat the EPS estimate
±1.8%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+0.3%Nov ’24−5.0%Feb ’25+1.2%May ’25+5.3%Aug ’25+0.2%Nov ’25−1.9%Feb ’26+0.5%May ’26+0.3%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Copel reported Q2 2026 EBITDA of BRL 1.6 billion, up ~21% YoY, with recurring net income of BRL 645 million, a 42.6% increase. The tariff review for Copel Distribution achieved a remuneration base of ~BRL 20 billion, more than double the 2021 base. Energy trading captured BRL 75 million in market opportunities. CapEx reached BRL 957 million, including BRL 318 million for Foz do Areia and Segredo construction. Leverage stands at 2.9x net debt/EBITDA.
Guidance
Management declared BRL 706 million in interest on equity payable September 2026, alongside BRL 1–1.35 billion in dividends paid June 2026. El Niño (81% probability of strong intensity) is expected to drive short-term price volatility, but Copel's hedged portfolio and flexible hydro assets position it to capture price spikes while protecting the balance sheet.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026$0.16
est $0.14
+14.3%$1.17B
est $1.17B
−0.1%+0.3%
May 5, 2026$0.19
est $0.15
+26.7%$1.38B
est $1.13B
+22.2%+0.5%
Feb 27, 2026$0.27
est $0.08
+237.1%$1.38B
est $954.1M
+44.9%−1.9%
Nov 13, 2025$0.10—$1.28B
est $940.0M
+35.8%+0.2%
Aug 6, 2025$0.19—$1.14B
est $879.6M
+29.4%+5.3%
May 9, 2025$0.15—$1.01B
est $900.6M
+12.0%+1.2%
Feb 27, 2025$0.13—$1.03B
est $876.1M
+17.1%−5.0%
Nov 6, 2024$0.29———+0.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) is $17.00, +19.9% from the last close, from 1 firm rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$17.00consensus 12-month target, +19.9% from the last close
Buy1
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 1 firm.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 6Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained——
+1.8%average 20-day move after past Distribution readings
±2.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) market cap and key statistics

Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL)’s market cap is $2.63B, with a P/E ratio of 17.4 and revenue of $27.99B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.63B
P/E ratio
17.4
Forward P/E
10.9
EPS, TTM
$0.81
Gekko Fair Value
$14.00

Trading

Volume
248,516
Avg volume, 20 days
654,190
52-week high
$14.51
52-week low
$8.26
Shares outstanding
742.4M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$27.99B
Profit margin
11.4%
Return on equity
12.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+50.0%

Risk and income

Beta
0.29
Typical daily move
±2.8%
Typical 20-day move
±6.4%
Dividend yield
3.83%

Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) stock news this week

3 headlines about Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

More stocks

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) stock FAQ

What is Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL)’s market cap?

Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL)’s market cap is $2.63B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $14.18, with 742.4M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 17.4.

What is the Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) is $17.00, +19.9% from the last close. Of the 1 firm that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) is about fair value: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $14.18 is 1.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $14.00. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) report earnings next?

Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) is expected to report on Nov 12, 2026 (31 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.12 per share on revenue of $982.0M.

What is Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL)’s 52-week high and low?

Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL)’s 52-week high is $14.51 and its 52-week low is $8.26; it closed at $14.18 on Oct 12, 2026, +61.3% over the past year.

Is Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 4 items with data read as supportive (trend and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (fair value) and 1 as a headwind (gekkoindex). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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