NYSE: AWK

American Water Works (AWK) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$149.63+3.21 (+2.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

American Water Works continues a steady run of state-level infrastructure announcements, with West Virginia American Water detailing an $850,000 upgrade on Old Route 38 in Fayetteville as part of its $129 million statewide 2026 investment, alongside a separate $700,000 project in Glen Jean and a $1.68 million well rehabilitation by California American Water in Isleton. The stock also touched a 52-week high of $146.63 this week, with shares later closing higher after a string of consecutive gains, as coverage noted a market cap of $29.2 billion and a P/E ratio of 25.24.

AWK closed at $149.63, up 2.2%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $136.16 and 200-day average of $132.62, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The stock is near its 52-week high of $149.68 and well off its 52-week low of $120.57, with a one-month return of 16.9% and a one-year return of 18.8%. The GekkoIndex reads 44.6, placing it in the Distribution zone, down 6.6 over the past five sessions. Price sits 8.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $137.99.

The next earnings report is scheduled for 17 February 2027, 104 days away, placing it outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 3.1% gain over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, with gains in 4 of those years. The gap to Gekko Fair Value and the Distribution reading bear watching given the stock's proximity to its 52-week high.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

American Water Works price vs fair value

$149.63$137.99Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $149.63200-day averageGekko Fair Value $137.99

American Water Works quick facts

Market cap
$29.79B
P/E ratio
25
Forward P/E
21.7
EPS, TTM
$5.90
Revenue, TTM
$5.34B
Profit margin
21.3%
Dividend yield
2.39%
Beta
0.55
Volume
3.13M avg 1.98M
1-year return
+18.8%
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±3.9%
50-day average
$136.16
200-day average
$132.62
Next earnings
Feb 17
Shares outstanding
199.1M
52-week range
$120.57$149.68

American Water Works swing-trade checklist

American Water Works scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $149.63 is above the 50-day ($136.16) and 200-day ($132.62) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexheadwind

    44.6, Distribution

    Reading 44.6 is in the Distribution zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    8.4% above

    Price is 8.4% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 104 days

    Next report Feb 17, 2027, 104 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +3.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.1% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

American Water Works stock chart and price history

American Water Works closed at $149.63 on Nov 4, 2026, +18.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $120.57 to $149.68.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
American Water Works share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$120$130$140DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct149.63

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+16.9%
3 months
+11.0%
6 months
+19.1%
1 year
+18.8%
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About American Water Works

American Water Works provides water and wastewater services to households, businesses, and public institutions through its network of subsidiary companies operating across the country. It is known for supplying drinking water and treatment services to roughly 1,700 communities in 14 states, reaching an active customer base of about 3.4 million people, and its broader reach extends water and wastewater provisions to around 14 million individuals across 24 states.

Its customer base spans individual homes, commercial operations such as food and beverage producers, real estate developers, and energy firms, along with industrial users including manufacturers and mining or production sites. It also serves fire protection customers, government bodies, schools, universities, other utility operators, and military installations, and it contracts with municipalities to run their water and wastewater systems and provide related services. This work is supported by an extensive physical network of treatment plants, wells, pumping stations, storage facilities, dams, and pipeline mileage.

American Water Works was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Camden, New Jersey. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker AWK.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Utilities
Industry
Water utilities
Website
amwater.com

American Water Works GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

American Water Works’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 44.6, in the Distribution zone, down 6.6 points over five sessions.

010044.6Distribution

Down 6.6 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying25+0.6%+0.5%+0.9%+0.8%
Accumulation248+0.2%+0.6%+1.2%+3.0%
Neutral4070.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Distribution (current zone)160.0%−0.8%−1.7%+2.9%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average AWK share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Distribution readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Distribution zone: Institutions potentially offloading. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AWK price, zone by zone.Track AWK in Gekko

Is American Water Works stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

American Water Works trades 8.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $137.99, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what American Water Works shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$137.99

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

8.4% Overvalued

At the end of Sep 2026 the price was 4.9% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$138$146Sep 2026OctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AWK in Gekko

American Water Works insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for American Water Works, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for AWK in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every AWK insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AWK in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in AWK were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for AWK, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AWK in Gekko

Buybacks

American Water Works has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, year ended Dec 31, 2019
$36.00M
As a share of market cap
0.12%

From company filings.

American Water Works earnings: next date and track record

American Water Works reports on Feb 17, 2027 (104 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±1.9%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+1.7%Oct ’24+1.2%Feb ’25+0.4%Apr ’25−0.5%Jul ’25−6.0%Oct ’25−1.6%Feb ’26−3.2%Apr ’26−0.9%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
American Water reported solid Q2 and H1 2026 results with adjusted EPS of $1.61 in Q2 (vs. $1.49 prior-year) and $2.62 for the first half (vs. $2.51 prior-year). Management affirmed full-year earnings guidance and long-term targets and said the majority of EPS growth will occur in the second half as rate increases in key states take effect. The company deployed $1.8 billion in capital in H1 to renew infrastructure, address water quality, and close acquisitions (notably Nexus Water Group), and it began serving 47,000 acquired customer connections. Regulation remains a central theme: the company completed three rate cases in WV, MD, and PA authorizing near-full recovery of capital investments, and received a PA order approving $75 million annualized increases (vs. a $160M filing) with an ROE of 9.55% and 54.2% equity. Finance highlights include a $500M long-term debt issuance at 4.625% and settlement of 3.4M equity forwards for $476M; remaining equity forwards are planned to be settled in Q4. Management emphasized cost control (flat O&M), execution on regulatory strategy, growth via acquisitions, and maintaining affordability (average monthly residential bills at or below 1% of median household income).
Guidance
Management affirmed its full-year earnings guidance and long-term targets; noted that the majority of EPS growth will occur in H2 2026 as revenue increases take effect. Financing plan assumes settling remaining equity forwards in Q4 2026. No new numeric guidance was provided on the call beyond reaffirmation of prior guidance and targets.
Risks flagged
Regulatory uncertainty and changes in regulatory mechanisms (e.g., Pennsylvania PUC commentary, DSIC limitations); political/affordability scrutiny (references to affordability focus and advocacy that could influence proceedings); potential for lower-than-filed rate outcomes (PA order approved $75M vs $160M requested); increased depreciation, financing costs, and taxes; need for legislation to expand DSIC eligibility; integration and execution risks associated with acquisitions and a pending merger; general forward-looking risks referenced in safe-harbor statements.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 29, 2026$1.61
est $1.59
+1.3%$1.36B
est $1.33B
+2.2%−0.9%
Apr 29, 2026$1.01
est $1.09
−7.3%$1.21B
est $1.17B
+3.1%−3.2%
Feb 18, 2026$1.24
est $1.26
−1.6%$1.27B
est $1.29B
−1.3%−1.6%
Oct 29, 2025$1.94
est $1.89
+2.6%$1.45B
est $1.33B
+9.4%−6.0%
Jul 30, 2025$1.48
est $1.53
−3.3%$1.28B
est $1.22B
+4.8%−0.5%
Apr 30, 2025$1.05
est $1.07
−1.9%$1.14B
est $1.09B
+4.5%+0.4%
Feb 19, 2025$1.22
est $1.06
+15.1%$1.20B
est $1.11B
+8.1%+1.2%
Oct 30, 2024$1.77
est $1.84
−3.8%$1.32B
est $1.23B
+7.7%+1.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

American Water Works stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for American Water Works is $141.09, −5.7% from the last close, from 6 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$141.09consensus 12-month target, −5.7% from the last close
Low $127High $153
Buy2
Hold3
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 6 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 29Wells FargoHold, maintained$131−12.5%
Oct 28Mizuho SecuritiesHold, maintained$149−0.4%
Oct 19BarclaysSell, maintained$127−15.1%
Oct 16UBSBuy, maintained$153+2.3%
Oct 16UBSBuy, reiterated$153+2.3%
−1.7%average 20-day move after past Distribution readings
+3.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

American Water Works seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, American Water Works averaged +3.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+1.7%2021+10.2%2022+3.0%2023−0.9%2024+2.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.4%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.2%5 of 5
Next 15 trading days+2.4%5 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.1%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+3.6%4 of 5

For scale, AWK’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.9%.

American Water Works market cap and key statistics

American Water Works’s market cap is $29.79B, with a P/E ratio of 25 and revenue of $5.34B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$29.79B
P/E ratio
25
Forward P/E
21.7
EPS, TTM
$5.90
Gekko Fair Value
$137.99

Trading

Volume
3.13M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.98M
52-week high
$149.68
52-week low
$120.57
Shares outstanding
199.1M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$5.34B
Profit margin
21.3%
Return on equity
10%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
0.0%

Risk and income

Beta
0.55
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±3.9%
Dividend yield
2.39%

American Water Works peers

American Water Works’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
WTRGEssential Utilities+1.0%Distribution10.0% above
AWRAmerican States Water+0.8%Neutral4.6% above
CWTCalifornia Water Service0.0%Neutral1.0% below
HTOH2O America+2.6%Neutral0.0% above
MSEXMiddlesex Water+1.8%Distribution2.6% above
YORWYork Water+1.0%Neutral2.0% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

American Water Works stock FAQ

What is American Water Works’s market cap?

American Water Works’s market cap is $29.79B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $149.63, with 199.1M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 25.

What is the American Water Works stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for American Water Works is $141.09, −5.7% from the last close. Of the 6 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is American Water Works stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate American Water Works is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $149.63 is 8.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $137.99. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does American Water Works report earnings next?

American Water Works is expected to report on Feb 17, 2027 (104 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.46 per share on revenue of $1.34B. American Water Works beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 1.9% on average across the report.

What is American Water Works’s 52-week high and low?

American Water Works’s 52-week high is $149.68 and its 52-week low is $120.57; it closed at $149.63 on Nov 4, 2026, +18.8% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $189.65 on Dec 31, 2021.

Is American Water Works stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, earnings risk and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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