NYSE: AWK

American Water Works (AWK) Stock Analysis & Forecast

American Water Works Company, Inc. Utilities sector, water utilities industry. Market cap $27.01B.

$135.90−2.34 (−1.7%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:19 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

American Water Works closes at $135.90, down 1.7% on the day, sitting between its 50-day average of $136.13 and 200-day average of $131.91. The GekkoIndex reads 60.1, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, and price sits 1.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $138.08. Over the past month the stock is down 2%, though it holds an 8.7% gain over three months and is roughly flat over six months and one year.

This week's news centers on regulatory and deal activity. West Virginia American Water is set to acquire three Fayette County utilities — Armstrong PSD, Kanawha Falls PSD, and Page-Kincaid PSD — for $13 million. Separately, American Water Works and Essential Utilities submitted a joint non-unanimous settlement petition to the Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission concerning their proposed merger, a step in seeking regulatory approval. Alongside this, ownership filings show NewEdge Advisors LLC increased its AWK holdings by 76.3%, while Tidal Investments LLC trimmed its position by 63.8% in the second quarter.

Looking ahead, the next earnings report is due 28 October 2026, 38 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day window; the prior quarter's adjusted EPS of $1.61 beat the $1.59 estimate, with an 0.9% share reaction. Across the last eight quarters, AWK has beaten estimates in three. Seasonality over this stretch of the calendar has averaged a 5.4% decline across five years, with gains in only one of those years. Analyst coverage stands at 8 firms, with 2 buy, 5 hold, and 1 sell ratings, and a consensus target of $141.45, implying 4.1% upside from current levels.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $135.90200-day averageGekko Fair Value $138.08

Key stats

Market cap
$27.01B
P/E ratio
24.1
Forward P/E
20.8
EPS, TTM
$5.77
Revenue, TTM
$5.28B
Profit margin
21.3%
Dividend yield
2.45%
Beta
0.58
Volume
3.58M avg 1.96M
1-year return
−0.1%
Typical daily move
±1.9%
Typical 20-day move
±3.8%
50-day average
$136.13
200-day average
$131.91
Next earnings
Oct 28
Shares outstanding
198.7M
52-week range
$120.57$145.64

American Water Works swing-trade checklist

American Water Works scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $135.90 sits between the 50-day ($136.13) and 200-day ($131.91) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    60.1, Accumulation

    Reading 60.1 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    1.6% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (1.6% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 38 days

    Next report Oct 28, 2026, 38 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −5.4% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −5.4% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

American Water Works stock chart and price history

American Water Works closed at $135.90 on Sep 18, 2026, −0.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $120.57 to $145.64.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−2.0%
3 months
+8.7%
6 months
−0.9%
1 year
−0.1%
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About American Water Works

American Water Works provides water and wastewater services to households, businesses, and public institutions through its network of subsidiary companies operating across the country. It is known for supplying drinking water and treatment services to roughly 1,700 communities in 14 states, reaching an active customer base of about 3.4 million people, and its broader reach extends water and wastewater provisions to around 14 million individuals across 24 states.

Its customer base spans individual homes, commercial operations such as food and beverage producers, real estate developers, and energy firms, along with industrial users including manufacturers and mining or production sites. It also serves fire protection customers, government bodies, schools, universities, other utility operators, and military installations, and it contracts with municipalities to run their water and wastewater systems and provide related services. This work is supported by an extensive physical network of treatment plants, wells, pumping stations, storage facilities, dams, and pipeline mileage.

American Water Works was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Camden, New Jersey. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker AWK.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Utilities
Industry
Water utilities
Website
amwater.com

American Water Works GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

American Water Works’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 60.1, in the Accumulation zone, up 3.3 points over five sessions.

010060.1Accumulation

Up 3.3 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying21+0.9%+0.3%−0.7%+0.8%
Accumulation (current zone)234+0.2%+0.5%+1.1%+3.0%
Neutral3900.0%+0.1%+0.3%0.0%
Distribution160.0%−0.8%−1.7%+3.0%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average AWK share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AWK price, zone by zone.Track AWK in Gekko

Is American Water Works stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

American Water Works trades 1.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $138.08, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what American Water Works shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$138.08

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 16, 2026

1.6% below fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AWK in Gekko

American Water Works insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for American Water Works, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for AWK in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every AWK insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AWK in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in AWK were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for AWK, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AWK in Gekko

Buybacks

American Water Works has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, year ended Dec 31, 2019
$36.00M
As a share of market cap
0.13%

From company filings.

American Water Works earnings: next date and track record

American Water Works reports on Oct 28, 2026 (38 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±1.9%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+1.7%Oct ’24+1.2%Feb ’25+0.4%Apr ’25−0.5%Jul ’25−6.0%Oct ’25−1.6%Feb ’26−3.2%Apr ’26−0.9%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
American Water reported solid Q2 and H1 2026 results with adjusted EPS of $1.61 in Q2 (vs. $1.49 prior-year) and $2.62 for the first half (vs. $2.51 prior-year). Management affirmed full-year earnings guidance and long-term targets and said the majority of EPS growth will occur in the second half as rate increases in key states take effect. The company deployed $1.8 billion in capital in H1 to renew infrastructure, address water quality, and close acquisitions (notably Nexus Water Group), and it began serving 47,000 acquired customer connections. Regulation remains a central theme: the company completed three rate cases in WV, MD, and PA authorizing near-full recovery of capital investments, and received a PA order approving $75 million annualized increases (vs. a $160M filing) with an ROE of 9.55% and 54.2% equity. Finance highlights include a $500M long-term debt issuance at 4.625% and settlement of 3.4M equity forwards for $476M; remaining equity forwards are planned to be settled in Q4. Management emphasized cost control (flat O&M), execution on regulatory strategy, growth via acquisitions, and maintaining affordability (average monthly residential bills at or below 1% of median household income).
Guidance
Management affirmed its full-year earnings guidance and long-term targets; noted that the majority of EPS growth will occur in H2 2026 as revenue increases take effect. Financing plan assumes settling remaining equity forwards in Q4 2026. No new numeric guidance was provided on the call beyond reaffirmation of prior guidance and targets.
Risks flagged
Regulatory uncertainty and changes in regulatory mechanisms (e.g., Pennsylvania PUC commentary, DSIC limitations); political/affordability scrutiny (references to affordability focus and advocacy that could influence proceedings); potential for lower-than-filed rate outcomes (PA order approved $75M vs $160M requested); increased depreciation, financing costs, and taxes; need for legislation to expand DSIC eligibility; integration and execution risks associated with acquisitions and a pending merger; general forward-looking risks referenced in safe-harbor statements.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 29, 2026$1.61
est $1.59
+1.3%$1.36B
est $1.33B
+2.2%−0.9%
Apr 29, 2026$1.01
est $1.09
−7.3%$1.21B
est $1.17B
+3.1%−3.2%
Feb 18, 2026$1.24
est $1.26
−1.6%$1.27B
est $1.29B
−1.3%−1.6%
Oct 29, 2025$1.94
est $1.89
+2.6%$1.45B
est $1.33B
+9.4%−6.0%
Jul 30, 2025$1.48
est $1.53
−3.3%$1.28B
est $1.22B
+4.8%−0.5%
Apr 30, 2025$1.05
est $1.07
−1.9%$1.14B
est $1.09B
+4.5%+0.4%
Feb 19, 2025$1.22
est $1.06
+15.1%$1.20B
est $1.11B
+8.1%+1.2%
Oct 30, 2024$1.77
est $1.84
−3.8%$1.32B
est $1.23B
+7.7%+1.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

American Water Works stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for American Water Works is $141.45, +4.1% from the last close, from 8 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$141.45consensus 12-month target, +4.1% from the last close
Low $130High $162
Buy2
Hold5
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 8 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 10UBSBuy, reiterated$162+19.2%
Sep 1Bank of America SecuritiesHold, reiterated$140+3.0%
Aug 28UBSBuy, reiterated$156+14.8%
Aug 27UBSBuy, reiterated$156+14.8%
Aug 27UBSBuy, maintained$156+14.8%
+1.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−5.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

American Water Works seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, American Water Works averaged −5.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−4.9%2021−11.5%2022−12.6%2023−5.6%2024+6.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−4.1%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days−5.8%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days−6.8%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days−5.4%1 of 5
Next 30 trading days−6.7%0 of 5

For scale, AWK’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.8%.

American Water Works market cap and key statistics

American Water Works’s market cap is $27.01B, with a P/E ratio of 24.1 and revenue of $5.28B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$27.01B
P/E ratio
24.1
Forward P/E
20.8
EPS, TTM
$5.77
Gekko Fair Value
$138.08

Trading

Volume
3.58M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.96M
52-week high
$145.64
52-week low
$120.57
Shares outstanding
198.7M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$5.28B
Profit margin
21.3%
Return on equity
10.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+8.6%

Risk and income

Beta
0.58
Typical daily move
±1.9%
Typical 20-day move
±3.8%
Dividend yield
2.45%

American Water Works peers

American Water Works’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
WTRGEssential Utilities−0.8%Neutral0.1% below
AWRAmerican States Water−0.4%Accumulation0.6% below
CWTCalifornia Water Service−0.3%Accumulation9.1% below
HTOH2O America0.0%Accumulation3.3% below
MSEXMiddlesex Water−1.5%Accumulation5.9% below
YORWYork Water−0.6%Accumulation2.4% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

American Water Works stock FAQ

What is American Water Works’s market cap?

American Water Works’s market cap is $27.01B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $135.90, with 198.7M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 24.1.

What is the American Water Works stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for American Water Works is $141.45, +4.1% from the last close. Of the 8 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is American Water Works stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate American Water Works is about fair value: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $135.90 is 1.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $138.08. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does American Water Works report earnings next?

American Water Works is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026 (38 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.11 per share on revenue of $1.55B. American Water Works beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 1.9% on average across the report.

What is American Water Works’s 52-week high and low?

American Water Works’s 52-week high is $145.64 and its 52-week low is $120.57; it closed at $135.90 on Sep 18, 2026, −0.1% over the past year.

Is American Water Works stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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