Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for HTO in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every HTO insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HTO in Gekko
NASDAQ: HTO
H2O America (HTO) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$58.65+0.17 (+0.3%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeH2O America stock has been pulling back this week even as the company completed its $540 million Quadvest acquisition on October 1, expanding its Texas footprint and expected to lift the percentage of its Texas customers from 8% to 26% by 2029. Coverage also noted a "Moderate Buy" consensus with an average price target of $65.50, alongside a separate estimate placing fair value near $67 and framing the stock as potentially undervalued even as its growth plans face scrutiny. One report flagged the stock on track for its largest percentage decrease since November 2025.
HTO closed at $58.65, up 0.3% on the day, with the close sitting between the 50-day average of $62.28 and the 200-day average of $58.29. The stock trades 13.3% below its 52-week high of $67.09 and has returns of -6.4% over one month and -6.8% over three months, against a 21.2% one-year gain. The GekkoIndex reads 70.1, placing it in the Buying zone, and price sits 8.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $64.20.
H2O America next reports earnings on 26 October 2026 after the close, 14 days away and within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter saw a 0.6% reaction with adjusted EPS of $0.72 against a $0.70 estimate. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 5.2% gain over 5 years, with gains in 3 of those years. Six analysts cover the stock, with 5 rating it buy and 1 hold, and a consensus target of $67, implying 14.2% upside.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
H2O America price vs fair value
Close $58.65200-day averageGekko Fair Value $64.20
H2O America quick facts
- Market cap
- $2.45B
- P/E ratio
- 20.5
- Forward P/E
- 22.9
- EPS, TTM
- $2.83
- Revenue, TTM
- $828.5M
- Profit margin
- 12.9%
- Dividend yield
- 2.97%
- Beta
- 0.32
- Volume
- 377,081 avg 474,245
- 1-year return
- +21.2%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.3%
- 50-day average
- $62.28
- 200-day average
- $58.29
- Next earnings
- Oct 26 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 41.86M
H2O America swing-trade checklist
H2O America scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $58.65 sits between the 50-day ($62.28) and 200-day ($58.29) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
70.1, Buying
Reading 70.1 is in the Buying zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
8.6% below
Price is 8.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 14 days
Reports on Oct 26, 2026, 14 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+5.2% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5.2% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
H2O America stock chart and price history
H2O America closed at $58.65 on Oct 12, 2026, +21.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $43.75 to $67.09.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −6.4%
- 3 months
- −6.8%
- 6 months
- +0.8%
- 1 year
- +21.2%
The full HTO chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open HTO in Gekko
Follow H2O America through every session
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H2O America GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
H2O America’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 70.1, in the Buying zone, down 5 points over five sessions.
70.1Buying
Down 5 points over five sessions.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying (current zone) | 72 | +0.6% | +2.6% | ||
| Accumulation | 232 | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||
| Neutral | 330 | 0.0% | +0.2% | ||
| Distribution | 46 | −0.6% | −2.6% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average HTO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the HTO price, zone by zone.Track HTO in Gekko
Is H2O America stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
H2O America trades 8.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $64.20, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what H2O America shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$64.20
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
8.6% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 3.2% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open HTO in Gekko
H2O America insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for H2O America, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in HTO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for HTO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HTO in Gekko
Buybacks
H2O America has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, year ended Dec 31, 2019
- $10K
- As a share of market cap
- 0.00%
From company filings.
H2O America earnings: next date and track record
H2O America reports on Oct 26, 2026, after the close (14 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 26, 2026
Expected after the close, 14 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.20
- Revenue estimate
- $260.8M
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.2%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 27, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- H2O America reported second quarter 2026 results in line with internal expectations, with GAAP diluted EPS of $0.62 and adjusted diluted EPS of $0.72 for the quarter (YTD GAAP EPS $1.12; adjusted $1.23). Management reaffirmed its standalone 2026 adjusted diluted EPS guidance of $3.08 to $3.18 and reiterated the long-term EPS CAGR target of 6%–8%. The company highlighted progress on regulatory and capital projects, including infrastructure investment mechanism recoveries in Connecticut, Maine, and Texas, a pending CPUC filing in California for a $176 million PFAS remediation project, continued work on AMI (recent $8.4M rate-base filing offset approved), and forthcoming general rate case (GRC) filings in Texas after Quadvest and Cibolo closings. Management discussed the Quadvest acquisition financing (equity raise of $700M, use of forward, flexible debt of $100M–$200M, and ATM equity issuance), and the impact of a higher share count on EPS (19% higher weighted average diluted shares YTD, reducing EPS by a net $0.06). They emphasized customer affordability, proactive infrastructure investment, regulatory engagement, and maintaining the dividend. Throughout Q&A, management answered detailed questions on Texas rate-case timing, SIC issues, depreciation accounting, potential settlements in Connecticut, inflation trends, and closing/timing details for Quadvest.
- Guidance
- Management reaffirmed standalone 2026 adjusted diluted EPS guidance of $3.08 to $3.18 and reiterated a long-term EPS CAGR target of 6%–8%.
- Risks flagged
- Regulatory outcomes and timing (Texas SIC issues, GRC outcomes, CPUC decisions for PFAS recovery), rising wholesale/groundwater charges (Valley Water increases in California with 10%–11% CAGR over 10 years) that affect customer bills, increased share count and dilution from equity issuance (19% higher weighted average shares YTD), reliance on rate case recovery for investments, potential HSR waiting period or antitrust review (though not expected to be material), and exposure to labor/wage inflation albeit currently manageable.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2026 | $0.72 est $0.70 | $210.5M est $214.0M | +0.6% |
| Apr 28, 2026 | $0.50 est $0.49 | $183.3M est $180.5M | −3.2% |
| Feb 25, 2026 | $0.46 est $0.50 | $194.2M est $217.4M | −1.5% |
| Oct 27, 2025 | $1.27 est $1.15 | $240.6M est $206.5M | −2.7% |
| Jul 28, 2025 | $0.75 est $0.71 | $198.3M est $236.0M | −0.2% |
| Apr 28, 2025 | $0.50 est $0.36 | $167.6M | +5.6% |
| Feb 26, 2025 | $0.68 est $0.55 | $225.1M | −3.6% |
| Oct 28, 2024 | $1.17 est $1.17 | $225.1M est $213.4M | −0.4% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
H2O America stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for H2O America is $67.00, +14.2% from the last close, from 6 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$67.00consensus 12-month target, +14.2% from the last close
Now $58.65Avg $67.00
Low $60High $72
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 6 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30 | Barclays | $66 | +12.5% |
| Sep 22 | Bank of America Securities | $70 | +19.4% |
| Aug 24 | Bank of America Securities | $70 | +19.4% |
| Aug 16 | Seaport Global | — | — |
| Jul 29 | Bank of America Securities | — | — |
+2.6%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+5.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
H2O America seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, H2O America averaged +5.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +2.7% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +2.3% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +3.0% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +5.2% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +4.7% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, HTO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.3%.
H2O America market cap and key statistics
H2O America’s market cap is $2.45B, with a P/E ratio of 20.5 and revenue of $828.5M over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $2.45B
- P/E ratio
- 20.5
- Forward P/E
- 22.9
- EPS, TTM
- $2.83
- Gekko Fair Value
- $64.20
Trading
- Volume
- 377,081
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 474,245
- 52-week high
- $67.09
- 52-week low
- $43.75
- Shares outstanding
- 41.86M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $828.5M
- Profit margin
- 12.9%
- Return on equity
- 6.5%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −12.6%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.32
- Typical daily move
- ±2.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.3%
- Dividend yield
- 2.97%
H2O America stock news this week
Coverage of H2O America this week reads positive: 2 positive, 2 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
- H2O America on Track for Largest Percent Decrease Since November 2025 -- Data TalkMoomoo, Oct 11
- H2O America (HTO) Could Be 13% Undervalued As Growth Plans Face A Reality CheckSimply Wall Street, Oct 8
- Ausbil Investment Management Ltd Trims Stock Holdings in H2O America $HTODefense World, Oct 8
- H2O America stock sits 13.3 percent below its yearly highAD HOC NEWS, Oct 7
- H2O America completes Quadvest deal: what it means for H2O America stockAD HOC NEWS, Oct 6
- H2O America (NASDAQ:HTO) Stock Has Average Target Price of $65.50Defense World, Oct 6
H2O America peers
H2O America’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| AWKAmerican Water Works | Accumulation | 5.9% below |
| WTRGEssential Utilities | Accumulation | 4.7% below |
| AWRAmerican States Water | Accumulation | 3.0% below |
| CWTCalifornia Water Service | Accumulation | 9.0% below |
| MSEXMiddlesex Water | Accumulation | 7.8% below |
| YORWYork Water | Accumulation | 1.5% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
H2O America stock FAQ
What is H2O America’s market cap?
H2O America’s market cap is $2.45B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $58.65, with 41.86M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 20.5.
What is the H2O America stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for H2O America is $67.00, +14.2% from the last close. Of the 6 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 5 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is H2O America stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate H2O America is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $58.65 is 8.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $64.20. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does H2O America report earnings next?
H2O America is expected to report on Oct 26, 2026, after the market closes (14 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.20 per share on revenue of $260.8M. H2O America beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.2% on average across the report.
What is H2O America’s 52-week high and low?
H2O America’s 52-week high is $67.09 and its 52-week low is $43.75; it closed at $58.65 on Oct 12, 2026, +21.2% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $83.88 on Dec 28, 2022.
Is H2O America stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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