Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for AWR in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every AWR insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AWR in Gekko
NYSE: AWR
American States Water (AWR) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$82.85+0.59 (+0.7%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeThis week’s coverage centers on American States Water’s valuation and dividend profile, with commentary questioning whether the stock’s price fully reflects its strong dividend record and long-term performance. Argus issued a stock forecast dated October 7, setting a current price of $81.83 alongside a rating and earnings estimate. Earlier in the period, shares gained 2.01% on October 2, closing at $82.82, following Q2 2026 results that showed revenue up 11.2% year-over-year to $181.29 million and diluted EPS of $1.09, ahead of the $0.93 consensus. A separate piece reaffirmed the investment thesis around CPUC mechanisms, capital plans, and ASUS contracts, alongside continued dividend support.
AWR closed at $82.85, up 0.7%, sitting between its 50-day average of $86.20 and 200-day average of $79.33, reflecting a mixed trend picture. The GekkoIndex reads 62.7, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, though the reading has slipped 3.9 points over five sessions. Price sits 3% below Gekko Fair Value of $85.39.
Earnings are scheduled for 4 November 2026, 22 days out, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 25 February showed EPS of $0.74 against a $0.72 estimate, with a -0.2% reaction. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 4.1% gain over 5 years, positive in 5 of those years. Consensus target sits at $84, implying 1.4% upside.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
American States Water price vs fair value
Close $82.85200-day averageGekko Fair Value $85.39
American States Water quick facts
- Market cap
- $3.25B
- P/E ratio
- 22.3
- Forward P/E
- 22.1
- EPS, TTM
- $3.65
- Revenue, TTM
- $697.5M
- Profit margin
- 20.5%
- Dividend yield
- 2.47%
- Beta
- 0.55
- Volume
- 216,325 avg 253,079
- 1-year return
- +13.1%
- Typical daily move
- ±1.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±3.5%
- 50-day average
- $86.20
- 200-day average
- $79.33
- Next earnings
- Nov 4
- Shares outstanding
- 39.64M
American States Water swing-trade checklist
American States Water scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $82.85 sits between the 50-day ($86.20) and 200-day ($79.33) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
62.7, Accumulation
Reading 62.7 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuemixed
3.0% below
Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (3% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 23 days
Reports on Nov 4, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+4.1% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.1% over 5 years, rising in 5 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
American States Water stock chart and price history
American States Water closed at $82.85 on Oct 12, 2026, +13.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $69.45 to $91.72.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −4.2%
- 3 months
- −2.5%
- 6 months
- +9.8%
- 1 year
- +13.1%
The full AWR chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open AWR in Gekko
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About American States Water
American States Water provides water and electricity to households, businesses and industrial users through a group of subsidiaries. It is best known for supplying water across a wide customer base in California, while also distributing electric power and managing water and wastewater systems under contract, including work at military installations.
The company runs its business through three divisions covering water, electric and contracted services. Its water operations involve sourcing, treating, distributing and selling water, while its electric division delivers power to customers in a mountainous part of San Bernardino County. Its contracted services arm handles the operation, maintenance and construction of water and wastewater infrastructure, with military bases among the facilities it serves. As of the end of 2021, it served 262,770 water customers across ten California counties and 24,656 electricity customers in that mountainous region.
American States Water traces its founding back to 1929 and is headquartered in San Dimas, California. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker AWR.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Utilities
- Industry
- Water utilities
- Website
- aswater.com
American States Water GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
American States Water’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 62.7, in the Accumulation zone, down 3.9 points over five sessions.
62.7Accumulation
Down 3.9 points over five sessions.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 34 | −0.6% | −1.0% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 226 | +0.5% | +1.3% | ||
| Neutral | 396 | −0.1% | +0.2% | ||
| Distribution | 25 | −0.9% | −2.9% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average AWR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AWR price, zone by zone.Track AWR in Gekko
Is American States Water stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
American States Water trades 3.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $85.39, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what American States Water shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$85.39
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 9, 2026
3.0% below fair value · About fair value
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AWR in Gekko
American States Water insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for American States Water, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in AWR were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for AWR, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AWR in Gekko
Buybacks
American States Water has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, year ended Dec 31, 2020
- $30K
- As a share of market cap
- 0.00%
From company filings.
American States Water earnings: next date and track record
American States Water reports on Nov 4, 2026 (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 4, 2026
23 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.08
- Revenue estimate
- $195.1M
3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±1%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | $0.74 est $0.72 | — | −0.2% |
| Nov 5, 2025 | $1.06 est $1.01 | $182.7M est $168.8M | +0.5% |
| Aug 6, 2025 | $0.87 est $0.92 | $163.1M est $170.6M | +1.9% |
| May 7, 2025 | $0.70 est $0.70 | $148.0M est $145.8M | −0.5% |
| Feb 19, 2025 | $0.75 est $0.63 | $143.1M est $160.2M | +0.5% |
| Nov 6, 2024 | $0.95 est $0.98 | $161.8M est $126.0M | −0.2% |
| Aug 6, 2024 | $0.85 est $0.87 | $155.3M est $138.0M | +1.2% |
| May 7, 2024 | $0.62 est $0.62 | $135.3M est $119.0M | +3.3% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
American States Water stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for American States Water is $84.00, +1.4% from the last close.
$84.00consensus 12-month target, +1.4% from the last close
+1.3%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+4.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
American States Water seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, American States Water averaged +4.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 5 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +2.7% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +1.1% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +1.2% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +4.1% | 5 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +5.7% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, AWR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.5%.
American States Water market cap and key statistics
American States Water’s market cap is $3.25B, with a P/E ratio of 22.3 and revenue of $697.5M over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $3.25B
- P/E ratio
- 22.3
- Forward P/E
- 22.1
- EPS, TTM
- $3.65
- Gekko Fair Value
- $85.39
Trading
- Volume
- 216,325
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 253,079
- 52-week high
- $91.72
- 52-week low
- $69.45
- Shares outstanding
- 39.64M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $697.5M
- Profit margin
- 20.5%
- Return on equity
- 13.7%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +25.8%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.55
- Typical daily move
- ±1.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±3.5%
- Dividend yield
- 2.47%
American States Water stock news this week
Coverage of American States Water this week reads positive: 4 positive, 4 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
- American States Water (AWR) Faces A Valuation Test As Dividend Focus ReturnsSimply Wall Street, Oct 9
- American States Water Company (AWR) Stock ForecastsYahoo! Finance Canada, Oct 9
- CoreCap Advisors LLC Makes New Investment in American States Water Company $AWRMarketBeat, Oct 9
- American States Water stock gets a 4.9 percent ownership filingAD HOC NEWS, Oct 8
- American States Water Co. Advanced Charts | FDKBarron's, Oct 7
- American States Water (AWR) Could Be a Great ChoiceZacks Investment Research, Oct 7
American States Water peers
American States Water’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| AWKAmerican Water Works | Accumulation | 5.9% below |
| WTRGEssential Utilities | Accumulation | 4.7% below |
| CWTCalifornia Water Service | Accumulation | 9.0% below |
| HTOH2O America | Buying | 8.6% below |
| MSEXMiddlesex Water | Accumulation | 7.8% below |
| YORWYork Water | Accumulation | 1.5% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
American States Water stock FAQ
What is American States Water’s market cap?
American States Water’s market cap is $3.25B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $82.85, with 39.64M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 22.3.
What is the American States Water stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for American States Water is $84.00, +1.4% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is American States Water stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate American States Water is about fair value: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $82.85 is 3.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $85.39. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does American States Water report earnings next?
American States Water is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026 (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.08 per share on revenue of $195.1M. American States Water beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 1% on average across the report.
What is American States Water’s 52-week high and low?
American States Water’s 52-week high is $91.72 and its 52-week low is $69.45; it closed at $82.85 on Oct 12, 2026, +13.1% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $103.77 on Dec 31, 2021.
Is American States Water stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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