NASDAQ: MSEX

Middlesex Water (MSEX) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$53.74+0.31 (+0.6%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Middlesex Water drew attention this week after reporting Q2 2026 results, with diluted EPS increasing 31.7% to $0.79 and revenue rising 14.3% year-over-year to $56.4 million, surpassing analyst forecasts. The company also invested $53 million in infrastructure during the first half of 2026.

MSEX closed at $53.74, up 0.6%, sitting between its 50-day average of $56.40 and 200-day average of $53.92, a trend picture that reads as mixed. The GekkoIndex stands at 62.5, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price remains 7.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $58.28, a gap the checklist flags as supportive.

Middlesex Water's next earnings date falls on 23 October 2026, just 11 days away and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter saw EPS of $0.46 against a $0.47 estimate, with a 1.1% reaction, and the company has beaten estimates 3 times in the last 8 quarters. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 2.7% return over 5 years, though gains occurred in only 2 of those years. The upcoming earnings report alongside this seasonal mix is worth noting.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Middlesex Water price vs fair value

$58.28$53.74Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $53.74200-day averageGekko Fair Value $58.28

Middlesex Water quick facts

Market cap
$1.01B
P/E ratio
20.5
Forward P/E
28.6
EPS, TTM
$2.59
Revenue, TTM
$206.1M
Profit margin
23.3%
Dividend yield
2.67%
Beta
0.74
Volume
143,278 avg 143,702
1-year return
−5.0%
Typical daily move
±1.9%
Typical 20-day move
±5.1%
50-day average
$56.40
200-day average
$53.92
Next earnings
Oct 23
Shares outstanding
18.84M
52-week range
$44.17$62.18

Middlesex Water swing-trade checklist

Middlesex Water scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $53.74 sits between the 50-day ($56.40) and 200-day ($53.92) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    62.5, Accumulation

    Reading 62.5 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    7.8% below

    Price is 7.8% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 11 days

    Reports on Oct 23, 2026, 11 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +2.7% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.7% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Middlesex Water stock chart and price history

Middlesex Water closed at $53.74 on Oct 12, 2026, −5.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $44.17 to $62.18.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Middlesex Water share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$50$55$60NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct53.74

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−5.2%
3 months
−2.9%
6 months
+3.4%
1 year
−5.0%
The full MSEX chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MSEX in Gekko

Follow Middlesex Water through every session

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About Middlesex Water

Middlesex Water supplies water and wastewater utility services, treating and distributing water to residential, commercial, industrial and fire protection customers across both retail and wholesale channels. It is best known for running these core utility operations as a regulated provider.

The company operates through two business segments. Its regulated arm handles water acquisition, treatment and distribution, along with oversight of regulated wastewater systems in New Jersey and Delaware. A separate non-regulated segment provides contract services for managing and maintaining municipal and private water and wastewater systems in those same two states.

Middlesex Water was founded in 1896 and is headquartered in Iselin, New Jersey. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker MSEX.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Utilities
Industry
Water utilities
Website
middlesexwater.com

Middlesex Water GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Middlesex Water’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 62.5, in the Accumulation zone, down 4.9 points over five sessions.

010062.5Accumulation

Down 4.9 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying39−1.4%−2.7%−3.8%+3.1%
Accumulation (current zone)254+0.2%−0.1%+1.4%+3.7%
Neutral352+0.1%+0.7%+0.2%−1.0%
Distribution36−0.6%−3.1%−4.3%+0.1%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average MSEX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MSEX price, zone by zone.Track MSEX in Gekko

Is Middlesex Water stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Middlesex Water trades 7.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $58.28, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Middlesex Water shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$58.28

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

7.8% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 2.6% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$58$53Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MSEX in Gekko

Middlesex Water insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Middlesex Water, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for MSEX in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every MSEX insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MSEX in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in MSEX were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for MSEX, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MSEX in Gekko

Middlesex Water earnings: next date and track record

Middlesex Water reports on Oct 23, 2026 (11 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.5%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+4.6%May ’24−0.3%Jul ’24+4.5%Oct ’24−3.0%Feb ’25+1.2%May ’25+0.9%Jul ’25−12.3%Oct ’25−1.1%Feb ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Feb 26, 2026$0.46
est $0.47
−1.1%——−1.1%
Oct 31, 2025$0.77
est $0.86
−10.5%$54.09M
est $47.61M
+13.6%−12.3%
Jul 29, 2025$0.60
est $0.66
−8.4%$49.32M
est $60.50M
−18.5%+0.9%
May 6, 2025$0.53
est $0.57
−7.0%$44.30M
est $43.79M
+1.2%+1.2%
Feb 26, 2025$0.49
est $0.36
+36.1%$47.11M
est $45.00M
+4.7%−3.0%
Oct 31, 2024$0.80
est $0.68
+17.6%$55.10M
est $44.50M
+23.8%+4.5%
Jul 31, 2024$0.59
est $0.64
−7.8%$49.15M
est $52.55M
−6.5%−0.3%
May 8, 2024$0.59
est $0.47
+25.5%$40.52M
est $44.55M
−9.0%+4.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Middlesex Water stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Middlesex Water is $61.00, +13.5% from the last close, from 1 firm rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$61.00consensus 12-month target, +13.5% from the last close
Buy1
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 1 firm.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Jul 31Robert W. BairdBuy, maintained$66+22.8%
+1.4%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+2.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Middlesex Water seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Middlesex Water averaged +2.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−0.9%2021+14.6%2022−2.8%2023+10.5%2024−6.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.4%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+3.7%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.8%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+2.7%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+3.3%3 of 5

For scale, MSEX’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.1%.

Middlesex Water market cap and key statistics

Middlesex Water’s market cap is $1.01B, with a P/E ratio of 20.5 and revenue of $206.1M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.01B
P/E ratio
20.5
Forward P/E
28.6
EPS, TTM
$2.59
Gekko Fair Value
$58.28

Trading

Volume
143,278
Avg volume, 20 days
143,702
52-week high
$62.18
52-week low
$44.17
Shares outstanding
18.84M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$206.1M
Profit margin
23.3%
Return on equity
9.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+31.6%

Risk and income

Beta
0.74
Typical daily move
±1.9%
Typical 20-day move
±5.1%
Dividend yield
2.67%

Middlesex Water stock news this week

2 headlines about Middlesex Water from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Middlesex Water peers

Middlesex Water’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
AWKAmerican Water Works+0.4%Accumulation5.9% below
WTRGEssential Utilities+0.6%Accumulation4.7% below
AWRAmerican States Water+0.9%Accumulation3.0% below
CWTCalifornia Water Service+0.4%Accumulation9.0% below
HTOH2O America+0.3%Buying8.6% below
YORWYork Water+1.0%Accumulation1.5% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Middlesex Water stock FAQ

What is Middlesex Water’s market cap?

Middlesex Water’s market cap is $1.01B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $53.74, with 18.84M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 20.5.

What is the Middlesex Water stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Middlesex Water is $61.00, +13.5% from the last close. Of the 1 firm that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Middlesex Water stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Middlesex Water is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $53.74 is 7.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $58.28. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Middlesex Water report earnings next?

Middlesex Water is expected to report on Oct 23, 2026 (11 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.82 per share on revenue of $59.05M. Middlesex Water beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.5% on average across the report.

What is Middlesex Water’s 52-week high and low?

Middlesex Water’s 52-week high is $62.18 and its 52-week low is $44.17; it closed at $53.74 on Oct 12, 2026, −5.0% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $121.43 on Dec 31, 2021.

Is Middlesex Water stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value), 2 as mixed (trend and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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