COPT Defense Properties (CDP) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$33.60+0.12 (+0.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week brings a mix of analyst commentary and pre-earnings positioning for COPT Defense Properties. Argus has lowered its target price for CDP to $35.00, while MarketBeat cites an average 12-month price target of $37.38 ahead of the company's third-quarter 2026 results, due October 29. Coverage also notes a "Moderate Buy" consensus and points to prior revenue that exceeded expectations along with strong leasing activity in the Defense/IT portfolio. Separate commentary frames the recent share price pullback against the company's longer-term performance.

CDP closed at $33.60, up 0.4%, with its close sitting between the 50-day average of $35.47 and the 200-day average of $33.25, reflecting a mixed trend. The GekkoIndex reads 63.5, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 19.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $41.95, a gap that bears watching.

Earnings are scheduled for 29 October 2026, 17 days away, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window and adding event risk. Smart money data shows no insider, Congress, or unusual options activity in their respective windows, though one filing shows State Street holding a 6.06% stake in the company. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged a 5% gain across 5 years, rising in 4 of them, a pattern worth noting alongside the upcoming earnings date.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

COPT Defense Properties price vs fair value

$41.95$33.60Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $33.60200-day averageGekko Fair Value $41.95

COPT Defense Properties quick facts

Market cap
$3.81B
P/E ratio
23.2
Forward P/E
38.2
EPS, TTM
$1.44
Revenue, TTM
$788.1M
Profit margin
20.8%
Dividend yield
3.71%
Beta
0.79
Volume
472,047 avg 950,940
1-year return
+19.8%
Typical daily move
±1.9%
Typical 20-day move
±4.1%
50-day average
$35.47
200-day average
$33.25
Next earnings
Oct 29
Shares outstanding
113.4M
52-week range
$27.06$38.90

COPT Defense Properties swing-trade checklist

COPT Defense Properties scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $33.60 sits between the 50-day ($35.47) and 200-day ($33.25) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    63.5, Accumulation

    Reading 63.5 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    19.9% below

    Price is 19.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 17 days

    Reports on Oct 29, 2026, 17 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +5.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

COPT Defense Properties stock chart and price history

COPT Defense Properties closed at $33.60 on Oct 12, 2026, +19.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $27.06 to $38.90.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
COPT Defense Properties share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$30$35NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct33.60

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−5.2%
3 months
−8.1%
6 months
+4.6%
1 year
+19.8%
The full CDP chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open CDP in Gekko

Follow COPT Defense Properties through every session

Put CDP on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About COPT Defense Properties

COPT Defense Properties operates as a real estate investment trust, holding, managing, leasing and developing office and data center properties, along with pursuing targeted acquisitions. Most of its buildings serve the United States Government and the contractors that support it, with a focus on tenants working in national security, defense and information technology. The company also holds a set of Class-A office buildings in select urban locations.

Income is split between two portfolio segments: properties tied to Defense/IT missions, which account for the large majority of core annual rental income, and Regional Office properties, which contribute a smaller share. Its core holdings include properties owned outright as well as some held through unconsolidated joint ventures, spread across a large combined square footage with a high occupancy rate.

The bulk of COPT Defense Properties' office portfolio sits in select submarkets of the greater Washington, DC and Baltimore metropolitan area. Its shares trade under the ticker CDP.

Sector
Finance
Website
copt.com

COPT Defense Properties GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

COPT Defense Properties’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 63.5, in the Accumulation zone, down 3.9 points over five sessions.

010063.5Accumulation

Down 3.9 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying39+1.1%+1.6%+2.8%+2.0%
Accumulation (current zone)1640.0%−0.1%+0.5%+2.4%
Neutral388+0.5%+0.8%+1.7%+4.8%
Distribution44−0.6%+0.5%+0.5%+1.7%
Selling0Not available

Average CDP share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CDP price, zone by zone.Track CDP in Gekko

Is COPT Defense Properties stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

COPT Defense Properties trades 19.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $41.95, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what COPT Defense Properties shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$41.95

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 9, 2026

19.9% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 19.6% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$42$33Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CDP in Gekko

COPT Defense Properties insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for COPT Defense Properties, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for CDP in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every CDP insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CDP in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in CDP were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for CDP, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CDP in Gekko

Buybacks

COPT Defense Properties has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2021
$2.42M
As a share of market cap
0.06%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds CDP.

0added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

COPT Defense Properties earnings: next date and track record

COPT Defense Properties reports on Oct 29, 2026 (17 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.1%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+3.0%Apr ’24+2.9%Jul ’24+0.7%Oct ’24+1.1%Feb ’25−3.0%Apr ’25−1.5%Jul ’25−1.3%Oct ’25+3.0%Feb ’26

Last earnings call, Feb 4, 2026 AI summary

What they said
COPT Defense reported a strong 2025 with FFO per share of $2.72 (up 5.8% YoY), same-property cash NOI up 4.1%, occupancy gains, and robust leasing (557k sqft vacancy leasing; 477k sqft investment leasing). Management highlighted $278M committed to new investments (81% pre-leased), two late-December build-to-suit commitments (~$155M) including a 110k sqft ARLIS project associated with UMD/DARPA and a 132k sqft pre-leased project in San Antonio. They completed a $400M 5-year unsecured note issuance and plan to use proceeds to repay maturing lower-rate debt. Guidance for 2026 includes targeting ~400k sqft vacancy leasing, 80% tenant retention, $250M capital commitments (already $146M committed), self-funding equity needs, and an expectation of nearly 5% compound annual FFO per share growth from 2023–2026. Management emphasized a strong development pipeline (roughly 1M sqft including RG 8500 opportunities tied to Golden Dome initiatives), long runway in key markets (notably Huntsville), and cautious optimism around defense appropriations accelerating demand. The tone was overall confident and optimistic, with measured hedging on refinancing impacts and timing of defense-driven demand.
Guidance
2026 targets: ~400,000 sqft vacancy leasing target; 80% tenant retention; $250 million capital commitments to new investments (already $146M committed); expect eighth consecutive year of FFO per share growth; anticipate nearly 5% CAGR in FFO per share from 2023–2026. Development yield target: ~8.5% cash-on-cash at lease commencement. No acquisitions built into guidance; acquisitions opportunistic.
Risks flagged
Refinancing and higher interest expense (October $400M 5-year notes increase 2026 interest cost vs maturing bond); timing risk between defense appropriations and leasing (typical lag 12–18 months, though some programs may fast-track); concentration and nonrenewals in specific markets (e.g., Fort Meade BW corridor nonrenewals under 30k sqft); market conditions affecting dispositions (e.g., DC market pricing not yet attractive); reliance on development funding timing; general macro/market uncertainty.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Feb 4, 2026$0.33
est $0.32
+1.8%$185.0M
est $179.9M
+2.8%+3.0%
Oct 27, 2025$0.35
est $0.33
+5.6%$188.8M
est $188.8M
0.0%−1.3%
Jul 28, 2025$0.68
est $0.67
+1.5%$189.9M
est $188.5M
+0.8%−1.5%
Apr 28, 2025$0.65
est $0.65
0.0%$187.9M
est $185.8M
+1.1%−3.0%
Feb 6, 2025$0.32
est $0.34
−5.9%$183.4M
est $187.1M
−2.0%+1.1%
Oct 28, 2024$0.33
est $0.32
+3.1%$189.2M
est $174.7M
+8.3%+0.7%
Jul 29, 2024$0.31
est $0.31
0.0%$187.3M
est $168.3M
+11.3%+2.9%
Apr 25, 2024$0.29
est $0.29
0.0%$193.3M
est $172.0M
+12.3%+3.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

COPT Defense Properties stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for COPT Defense Properties is $40.38, +20.2% from the last close, from 5 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$40.38consensus 12-month target, +20.2% from the last close
Low $38High $41
Buy3
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 5 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 12Wells FargoBuy, reiterated$41+22.0%
Sep 21Evercore ISIBuy, maintained$41+22.0%
Sep 1Wells FargoBuy, reiterated$41+22.0%
Aug 24Truist FinancialHold, maintained$38+13.1%
Aug 10Wells FargoBuy, maintained$36+7.1%
+0.5%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+5.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

COPT Defense Properties seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, COPT Defense Properties averaged +5.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+1.4%2021+16.0%2022−2.9%2023+5.5%2024+4.8%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.1%5 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.9%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+3.3%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+5.0%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+4.3%2 of 5

For scale, CDP’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.1%.

COPT Defense Properties market cap and key statistics

COPT Defense Properties’s market cap is $3.81B, with a P/E ratio of 23.2 and revenue of $788.1M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$3.81B
P/E ratio
23.2
Forward P/E
38.2
EPS, TTM
$1.44
Gekko Fair Value
$41.95

Trading

Volume
472,047
Avg volume, 20 days
950,940
52-week high
$38.90
52-week low
$27.06
Shares outstanding
113.4M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$788.1M
Profit margin
20.8%
Return on equity
10.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+19.2%

Risk and income

Beta
0.79
Typical daily move
±1.9%
Typical 20-day move
±4.1%
Dividend yield
3.71%

COPT Defense Properties stock news this week

Coverage of COPT Defense Properties this week reads positive: 5 positive, 0 neutral and 1 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

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In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

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COPT Defense Properties stock FAQ

What is COPT Defense Properties’s market cap?

COPT Defense Properties’s market cap is $3.81B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $33.60, with 113.4M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 23.2.

What is the COPT Defense Properties stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for COPT Defense Properties is $40.38, +20.2% from the last close. Of the 5 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is COPT Defense Properties stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate COPT Defense Properties is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $33.60 is 19.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $41.95. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does COPT Defense Properties report earnings next?

COPT Defense Properties is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026 (17 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.35 per share on revenue of $190.7M. COPT Defense Properties beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.1% on average across the report.

What is COPT Defense Properties’s 52-week high and low?

COPT Defense Properties’s 52-week high is $38.90 and its 52-week low is $27.06; it closed at $33.60 on Oct 12, 2026, +19.8% over the past year.

Is COPT Defense Properties stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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