Banco Santander Brasil (BSBR) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Banco Santander Brasil SA. Finance sector. Market cap $43.05B.

$5.75−0.20 (−3.4%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:19 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

BSBR closes at $5.75, down 3.4% on the day, sitting between its 50-day average of $5.66 and 200-day average of $5.91. The GekkoIndex reads 58.1, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, up 7.1 over the last five readings. Gekko Fair Value stands at $6.10, putting the current price 5.7% below that level. Returns over the past month and quarter run at 3.2% and 10.6%, while the six-month figure is slightly negative at -0.2%.

This week's news centers on a rating action and a liquidity shift. HSBC cut its rating on BSBR from Buy to Hold on 15 September, lowering its price target to R$31.00, citing expected reduced stock liquidity tied to an exchange offer from parent company Santander Group that will eliminate the ADR program, with the stock now viewed as a proxy for the parent. Separately, short interest fell 60.3% in August to 4.42 million shares, equal to 0.1% of outstanding shares, with a days-to-cover ratio of 1.3 days.

The next earnings report is set for 28 October 2026, 38 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the last quarter showed EPS of $0.20 against a $0.20 estimate, with a -0.7% reaction, and the company has beaten estimates in 3 of the last 8 quarters. Seasonality over this stretch has averaged -2.3% across 5 years, rising in only 1 of them. Analyst coverage from 3 firms shows 2 Hold and 1 Sell, with a consensus target of $6.77.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $5.75200-day averageGekko Fair Value $6.10

Key stats

Market cap
$43.05B
P/E ratio
17
Forward P/E
6
EPS, TTM
$0.35
Revenue, TTM
$48.29B
Profit margin
28.7%
Dividend yield
5.95%
Beta
0.18
Volume
1.67M avg 4.07M
1-year return
+3.4%
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±6.5%
50-day average
$5.66
200-day average
$5.91
Next earnings
Oct 28
Shares outstanding
7.49B
52-week range
$4.94$7.32

Banco Santander Brasil swing-trade checklist

Banco Santander Brasil scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $5.75 sits between the 50-day ($5.66) and 200-day ($5.91) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    58.1, Neutral

    Reading 58.1 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    5.7% below

    Price is 5.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 38 days

    Next report Oct 28, 2026, 38 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −2.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −2.3% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Banco Santander Brasil stock chart and price history

Banco Santander Brasil closed at $5.75 on Sep 18, 2026, +3.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $4.94 to $7.32.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+3.2%
3 months
+10.6%
6 months
−0.2%
1 year
+3.4%
The full BSBR chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open BSBR in Gekko

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About Banco Santander Brasil

Banco Santander Brasil provides a wide range of banking and financial services to individuals, small and medium-sized businesses, and large corporate clients, both in Brazil and abroad. Its offerings span everyday banking products such as deposit accounts, debit and credit cards, digital prepaid services, and loyalty programs, along with payroll loans, digital lending, mortgages, home equity financing, and consumer credit.

The company organizes its activities into two main areas: Commercial Banking and Global Wholesale Banking. Through these segments, it serves retail customers as well as businesses, offering trade finance, structured loans, cash management, and acquisition financing. It also provides advisory work in mergers and acquisitions and equity capital markets, alongside stock brokerage, equity research, foreign exchange and derivative products, and market-making services for institutional, corporate, and retail investors. Additional offerings include instant payment tools, agribusiness-focused products, microfinance, online vehicle listings, digital car insurance, and a digital trading platform.

Shares of Banco Santander Brasil trade under the ticker BSBR.

Sector
Finance
Website
santander.com.br

Banco Santander Brasil GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Banco Santander Brasil’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 58.1, in the Neutral zone, up 7.1 points over five sessions.

010058.1Neutral

Up 7.1 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying23+0.2%−1.8%−1.0%+2.6%
Accumulation2380.0%+0.6%+1.4%+2.0%
Neutral (current zone)330+0.4%+0.2%+0.4%+0.1%
Distribution24−1.4%−0.5%−4.2%−1.6%
Selling0Not available

Average BSBR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the BSBR price, zone by zone.Track BSBR in Gekko

Is Banco Santander Brasil stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Banco Santander Brasil trades 5.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $6.10, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Banco Santander Brasil shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$6.10

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

5.7% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open BSBR in Gekko

Banco Santander Brasil insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Banco Santander Brasil, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for BSBR in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every BSBR insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BSBR in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in BSBR were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for BSBR, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BSBR in Gekko

Banco Santander Brasil earnings: next date and track record

Banco Santander Brasil reports on Oct 28, 2026 (38 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.7%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−3.7%Jul ’24−3.0%Oct ’24+6.2%Feb ’25−0.4%Apr ’25−1.3%Jul ’25+0.9%Oct ’25−5.0%Feb ’26−0.7%Apr ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Apr 29, 2026$0.20
est $0.20
0.0%$4.25B
est $4.29B
−0.8%−0.7%
Feb 4, 2026$0.21
est $0.20
+5.0%$4.02B
est $4.07B
−1.4%−5.0%
Oct 27, 2025$0.09
est $0.17
−44.7%$19.03B
est $4.01B
+374.4%+0.9%
Jul 30, 2025$0.17
est $0.17
0.0%$8.86B
est $3.92B
+126.1%−1.3%
Apr 30, 2025$0.18
est $0.17
+5.9%$12.02B
est $3.79B
+217.0%−0.4%
Feb 5, 2025$0.18
est $0.17
+5.9%$14.15B
est $3.56B
+297.7%+6.2%
Oct 29, 2024$0.09
est $0.17
−47.1%$12.49B
est $590.1M
+2,016.2%−3.0%
Jul 24, 2024$0.08
est $0.16
−50.0%$10.35B
est $604.2M
+1,613.1%−3.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Banco Santander Brasil stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Banco Santander Brasil is $6.77, +17.7% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$6.77consensus 12-month target, +17.7% from the last close
Low $5.20High $6.20
Buy0
Hold2
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 15HSBCHold, downgraded$6.20+7.8%
Jul 30J.P. MorganHold, downgraded$6+4.3%
Jul 16Goldman SachsSell, maintained$5.20−9.6%
Jul 7J.P. MorganBuy, maintained$6.50+13.0%
+0.4%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−2.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Banco Santander Brasil seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Banco Santander Brasil averaged −2.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+6.4%2021−3.2%2022−1.9%2023−8.3%2024−4.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−2.3%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.7%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−2.8%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−2.3%1 of 5
Next 30 trading days−2.4%2 of 5

For scale, BSBR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.5%.

Banco Santander Brasil market cap and key statistics

Banco Santander Brasil’s market cap is $43.05B, with a P/E ratio of 17 and revenue of $48.29B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$43.05B
P/E ratio
17
Forward P/E
6
EPS, TTM
$0.35
Gekko Fair Value
$6.10

Trading

Volume
1.67M
Avg volume, 20 days
4.07M
52-week high
$7.32
52-week low
$4.94
Shares outstanding
7.49B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$48.29B
Profit margin
28.7%
Return on equity
11.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+49.8%

Risk and income

Beta
0.18
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±6.5%
Dividend yield
5.95%

Banco Santander Brasil stock news this week

2 headlines about Banco Santander Brasil from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

More stocks

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Banco Santander Brasil stock FAQ

What is Banco Santander Brasil’s market cap?

Banco Santander Brasil’s market cap is $43.05B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $5.75, with 7.49B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 17.

What is the Banco Santander Brasil stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Banco Santander Brasil is $6.77, +17.7% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Banco Santander Brasil stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Banco Santander Brasil is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $5.75 is 5.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $6.10. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Banco Santander Brasil report earnings next?

Banco Santander Brasil is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026 (38 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.17 per share on revenue of $4.14B. Banco Santander Brasil beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.7% on average across the report.

What is Banco Santander Brasil’s 52-week high and low?

Banco Santander Brasil’s 52-week high is $7.32 and its 52-week low is $4.94; it closed at $5.75 on Sep 18, 2026, +3.4% over the past year.

Is Banco Santander Brasil stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (fair value and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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