NYSE: APTV

Aptiv (APTV) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$43.64−1.15 (−2.6%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Aptiv's stock has been under pressure following its Q2 2026 earnings, where the company beat estimates with $1.63 EPS against a $1.42 estimate, reporting 2% revenue growth and 10 basis points of EBITDA margin expansion, alongside $5 billion in new business awards for the quarter. Despite the beat, shares fell as Aptiv lowered its full-year guidance, citing prolonged weakness in China's domestic market and reduced schedules from European OEMs. Separately, Aptiv was removed from the FTSE All-World Index on 19 September 2026, described as a technical event that may still affect passive capital flows and increase sensitivity to quarterly results given the company's debt and margin profile.

Aptiv closed at $43.64, down 2.6% on the day, sitting below both its 50-day average of $48.79 and its 200-day average of $63.92, with the shorter average also below the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 63.5, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price stands 45.9% below the Gekko Fair Value of $80.6.

Over the next 20 trading days, the earnings report due 29 October 2026, 30 days out, falls just outside that window. Smart money activity in the past 90 days includes 6 insider purchases and 1 Congressional buy with no sales. Seasonality over 5 years shows an average 20-day return of 0.7% from this point in the calendar, positive in 3 of those years.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Aptiv price vs fair value

$80.60$43.64Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $43.64200-day averageGekko Fair Value $80.60

Aptiv quick facts

Market cap
$9.24B
P/E ratio
19.7
Forward P/E
6.2
EPS, TTM
$2.26
Revenue, TTM
$20.52B
Profit margin
1.1%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.33
Volume
2.77M avg 5.06M
1-year return
−48.5%
Typical daily move
±3.1%
Typical 20-day move
±7.6%
50-day average
$48.79
200-day average
$63.92
Next earnings
Oct 29 before open
Shares outstanding
207.6M
52-week range
$42.99$88.93

Aptiv swing-trade checklist

Aptiv scores 5 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

5 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $43.64 is below the 50-day ($48.79) and 200-day ($63.92) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    63.5, Accumulation

    Reading 63.5 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    45.9% below

    Price is 45.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 6 open-market insider purchases; Congress 1 buy / 0 sales.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 30 days

    Next report Oct 29, 2026, 30 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +0.7% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +0.7% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Aptiv stock chart and price history

Aptiv closed at $43.64 on Sep 28, 2026, −48.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $42.99 to $88.93.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Aptiv share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$50$60$70$80$90NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep43.64

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−4.0%
3 months
−26.3%
6 months
−34.9%
1 year
−48.5%
The full APTV chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open APTV in Gekko

Follow Aptiv through every session

Put APTV on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track APTV in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

About Aptiv

Aptiv builds the electronics and software that go into modern vehicles, working with automakers and related industries across a wide spread of regions including North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia Pacific and South America. It has built a name around technology tied to keeping vehicles safe and connected, ranging from sensors and onboard computing to the software that runs them.

Its work is organized into three areas: Advanced Safety and User Experience, Engineered Components, and Electrical Distribution Systems. Through these, Aptiv supplies systems for driver safety and in-cabin experience, computing platforms, and software services, alongside physical parts like connectors, interconnects and cable protection used to move power, signal and data through a vehicle.

Aptiv traces its incorporation to 2011 and keeps its headquarters in Schaffhausen, Switzerland. Its stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker APTV.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Producer manufacturing
Industry
Electrical products
Website
aptiv.com

Aptiv GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Aptiv’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 63.5, in the Accumulation zone, down 4.6 points over five sessions.

010063.5Accumulation

Down 4.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying45+1.3%+1.2%+6.3%+12.7%
Accumulation (current zone)274+0.1%+0.2%−0.3%−1.3%
Neutral330−0.5%−1.1%−2.6%−4.6%
Distribution20−4.6%−5.7%−6.1%−16.0%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average APTV share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the APTV price, zone by zone.Track APTV in Gekko

Is Aptiv stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Aptiv trades 45.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $80.60, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Aptiv shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$80.60

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 24, 2026

45.9% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open APTV in Gekko

Aptiv insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 6 open-market purchases in Aptiv worth $8.25M, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$8.25Min 6 open-market purchases

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Aug 17Hakan Agnevall
Director
Purchase4,100$199K
Aug 12Sean O Mahoney
Director
Purchase6,000$301K
Aug 12Sean O Mahoney
Director
Purchase4,000$201K
Aug 12Sean O Mahoney
Director
Purchase1,000$50K
Aug 11Kevin P Clark
Chair and CEO
Purchase51,190$2.50M

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
John Boozman
Senate, AR, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Aug 17
traded Jul 9

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Aptiv has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$246.0M
As a share of market cap
2.66%
Trailing four quarters
$719.0M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold APTV.

0added2opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Aptiv earnings: next date and track record

Aptiv reports on Oct 29, 2026, before the open (30 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.4%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−18.4%Oct ’24+4.6%Feb ’25+3.3%May ’25−1.5%Jul ’25−5.4%Oct ’25+3.2%Feb ’26−4.6%May ’26−17.9%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Aptiv reported 2% revenue growth and 10 basis points of EBITDA margin expansion in Q2 2026, with $5 billion in new business awards (YTD $10 billion). The company completed EDS separation and repurchased $250 million in shares. Non-auto revenue grew double-digits. Headwinds include weak China domestic market causing local OEM production cuts and reduced schedules from luxury European OEMs exporting to China.
Guidance
Aptiv lowered 2026 full-year guidance due to China market weakness and European OEM schedule reductions. The company targets $20 billion in full-year new business awards and plans to repurchase over $600 million in shares for the full year.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 4, 2026$1.63
est $1.42
+14.8%$3.27B
est $3.31B
−1.2%−17.9%
May 5, 2026$1.71
est $1.62
+5.6%$5.09B
est $5.03B
+1.1%−4.6%
Feb 2, 2026$1.86
est $1.82
+2.2%$5.15B
est $5.11B
+0.9%+3.2%
Oct 30, 2025$2.17
est $1.81
+19.9%$5.21B
est $5.10B
+2.2%−5.4%
Jul 31, 2025$2.12
est $1.79
+18.4%$5.21B
est $4.98B
+4.5%−1.5%
May 1, 2025$1.69
est $1.53
+10.5%$4.83B
est $4.79B
+0.7%+3.3%
Feb 6, 2025$1.75
est $1.66
+5.4%$4.91B
est $4.78B
+2.8%+4.6%
Oct 31, 2024$1.83
est $1.68
+8.9%$4.85B
est $5.10B
−4.7%−18.4%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Aptiv stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Aptiv is $66.61, +52.6% from the last close, from 14 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$66.61consensus 12-month target, +52.6% from the last close
Low $55High $78
Buy10
Hold4
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 14 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 15J.P. MorganHold, downgraded$56+28.3%
Sep 10RBC CapitalBuy, maintained$78+78.7%
Sep 9StoneXBuy, initiated$75+71.9%
Aug 13BarclaysBuy, maintained$65+48.9%
Aug 10Evercore ISIBuy, reiterated$70+60.4%
−0.3%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+0.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Aptiv seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Aptiv averaged +0.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+12.3%2021+10.0%2022−12.8%2023−2.2%2024+0.4%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.0%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.2%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+0.9%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+0.7%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days−0.3%2 of 5

For scale, APTV’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.6%.

Aptiv market cap and key statistics

Aptiv’s market cap is $9.24B, with a P/E ratio of 19.7 and revenue of $20.52B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$9.24B
P/E ratio
19.7
Forward P/E
6.2
EPS, TTM
$2.26
Gekko Fair Value
$80.60

Trading

Volume
2.77M
Avg volume, 20 days
5.06M
52-week high
$88.93
52-week low
$42.99
Shares outstanding
207.6M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$20.52B
Profit margin
1.1%
Return on equity
5.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−35.3%

Risk and income

Beta
1.33
Typical daily move
±3.1%
Typical 20-day move
±7.6%

Aptiv stock news this week

Coverage of Aptiv this week reads negative: 2 positive, 5 neutral and 9 negative headlines.

News sentiment negative

Aptiv peers

Aptiv’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GEVGE Vernova−0.4%Neutral6.0% above
ETNEaton−1.4%Neutral18.4% above
LITELumentum−2.8%Accumulation5.5% below
AMEAMETEK+1.1%Neutral14.0% above
ROKRockwell Automation+0.2%Neutral12.0% above
HUBBHubbell+0.8%Neutral7.4% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Aptiv stock FAQ

What is Aptiv’s market cap?

Aptiv’s market cap is $9.24B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $43.64, with 207.6M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 19.7.

What is the Aptiv stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Aptiv is $66.61, +52.6% from the last close. Of the 14 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 10 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Aptiv stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Aptiv is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $43.64 is 45.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $80.60. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Aptiv report earnings next?

Aptiv is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026, before the market opens (30 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.33 per share on revenue of $3.18B. Aptiv beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 7.4% on average across the report.

What is Aptiv’s 52-week high and low?

Aptiv’s 52-week high is $88.93 and its 52-week low is $42.99; it closed at $43.64 on Sep 28, 2026, −48.5% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $180.81 on Nov 4, 2021.

Is Aptiv stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 5 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See Aptiv the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,380 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.