NYSE: FPS

Forgent Power Solutions (FPS) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$36.59−2.38 (−6.1%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

This week, Forgent Power Solutions (FPS) drew initiation coverage from Wells Fargo, which began coverage with an Equal Weight rating. Around the same time, a lock-up agreement covering certain Class B Common Stock, tied to the company's IPO terms and running 181 days from 26 March 2026, ended on 23 September 2026, freeing shares held by officers, directors and continuing equity owners.

FPS closed at $36.59, down 6.1% on the day, though it remains above its 50-day moving average of $35.03. The stock has moved 15.7% over the past month but is down 33.5% over three months, within a 52-week range of $25.95 to $66.00. The GekkoIndex reads 55.9, placing it in the Neutral zone, up 3.9 points over five days. Shares trade 8.2% below the Gekko Fair Value estimate of $39.85.

FPS last reported on 15 September 2026, posting EPS of $0.25 against a $0.24 estimate and a 21.6% price reaction, with no confirmed date yet for the next report. Over the last 30 days, unusual options activity included 3 signals, with call premium of $4,100,738 against put premium of $202,500. Holdings include 1 billionaire holder and 3 trailblazer holders. Among covering analysts, 7 rate the stock Buy and 2 Hold, with a consensus target of $56.64.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Forgent Power Solutions price vs fair value

$39.85$36.59Feb ’26Jun ’26Sep ’26
Close $36.59Gekko Fair Value $39.85

Forgent Power Solutions quick facts

Market cap
$9.51B
P/E ratio
129.9
Forward P/E
32.6
EPS, TTM
$0.30
Revenue, TTM
$1.42B
Profit margin
5.8%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
—
Volume
7.81M avg 10.39M
1-year return
—
Typical daily move
±7.4%
Typical 20-day move
±19.5%
50-day average
$35.03
200-day average
—
Next earnings
—
Shares outstanding
274.5M
52-week range
$25.95$66.00

Forgent Power Solutions swing-trade checklist

Forgent Power Solutions scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 3 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendno data

    No data

    Not enough price history for both moving averages.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    55.9, Neutral

    Reading 55.9 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    8.2% below

    Price is 8.2% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 30 days: 3 unusual options signals.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskno data

    No data

    No confirmed report date on the calendar.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityno data

    No data

    Not enough years of history for a seasonal read.

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Forgent Power Solutions stock chart and price history

Forgent Power Solutions closed at $36.59 on Sep 28, 2026, inside a 52-week range of $25.95 to $66.00.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Forgent Power Solutions share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$30$40$50$60MarAprMayJunJulAugSep36.59

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+15.7%
3 months
−33.5%
6 months
+19.4%
The full FPS chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open FPS in Gekko

Follow Forgent Power Solutions through every session

Put FPS on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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Forgent Power Solutions GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Forgent Power Solutions’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 55.9, in the Neutral zone, up 3.9 points over five sessions.

010055.9Neutral

Up 3.9 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying3Too few readings yet
Accumulation60−0.7%−1.0%−1.5%+40.4%
Neutral (current zone)71+2.4%+4.0%+4.7%+8.1%
Distribution7Too few readings yet
Selling0Not available

Average FPS share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the FPS price, zone by zone.Track FPS in Gekko

Is Forgent Power Solutions stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Forgent Power Solutions trades 8.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $39.85, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Forgent Power Solutions shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$39.85

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

8.2% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open FPS in Gekko

Forgent Power Solutions insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Forgent Power Solutions, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for FPS in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every FPS insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FPS in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in FPS were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for FPS, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FPS in Gekko

Unusual options activity last 30 days

3signals, 95% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 15, $2.52M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

4of the funds Gekko tracks hold FPS.

0added4opened0trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Forgent Power Solutions earnings: next date and track record

Forgent Power Solutions beat the EPS estimate in 1 of its last 3 reports, moving 13% on average across the report.

1 of 3reports beat the EPS estimate
±13%average move across the report
2 of 3reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+16.2%Mar ’26−1.1%May ’26+21.6%Sep ’26

Last earnings call, Sep 15, 2026 AI summary

What they said
FPS delivered record Q4 2026 results with revenues up 94% to $462M, adjusted EBITDA up 163% to $113M (24.4% margin), and adjusted net income up 275% to $77M. Full year revenues rose 89% to $1.42B with adjusted EBITDA of $323M (+91%) and adjusted net income of $208M (+136%). The company booked $1.5B in Q4 orders alone, expanded manufacturing fivefold, and grew backlog 3.5x to $3B, driven by surging demand for modular Powertrain Solutions.
Guidance
Management plans incremental manufacturing capacity investment at Tijuana campus and is accelerating Q1 hiring ahead of a significant production ramp. Fiscal 2027 guidance to be provided, underpinned by $3B backlog providing strong demand visibility versus $850M entering FY2026.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Sep 15, 2026$0.25
est $0.24
+4.3%$461.7M
est $429.9M
+7.4%+21.6%
May 14, 2026$0.06
est $0.17
−64.6%$378.7M
est $329.6M
+14.9%−1.1%
Mar 16, 2026$0.00
est $0.12
−99.3%$296.4M
est $286.6M
+3.4%+16.2%
Jan 9, 2026$0.13—$283.3M——

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Forgent Power Solutions stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Forgent Power Solutions is $56.64, +54.8% from the last close, from 9 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$56.64consensus 12-month target, +54.8% from the last close
Low $44High $76
Buy7
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 9 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 25Wells FargoHold, initiated$44+20.3%
Sep 24Wells FargoHold, initiated$44+20.3%
Sep 21J.P. MorganBuy, maintained$56+53.0%
Sep 21Morgan StanleyHold, maintained$51+39.4%
Sep 16OppenheimerBuy, reiterated$60+64.0%
+4.7%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
±7.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Forgent Power Solutions market cap and key statistics

Forgent Power Solutions’s market cap is $9.51B, with a P/E ratio of 129.9 and revenue of $1.42B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$9.51B
P/E ratio
129.9
Forward P/E
32.6
EPS, TTM
$0.30
Gekko Fair Value
$39.85

Trading

Volume
7.81M
Avg volume, 20 days
10.39M
52-week high
$66.00
52-week low
$25.95
Shares outstanding
274.5M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.42B
Profit margin
5.8%
Return on equity
17%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
0.0%

Risk and income

Typical daily move
±7.4%
Typical 20-day move
±19.5%

Forgent Power Solutions stock news this week

2 headlines about Forgent Power Solutions from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Forgent Power Solutions peers

Forgent Power Solutions’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GEVGE Vernova−0.4%Neutral6.0% above
ETNEaton−1.4%Neutral18.4% above
LITELumentum−2.8%Accumulation5.5% below
AMEAMETEK+1.1%Neutral14.0% above
ROKRockwell Automation+0.2%Neutral12.0% above
HUBBHubbell+0.8%Neutral7.4% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Forgent Power Solutions stock FAQ

What is Forgent Power Solutions’s market cap?

Forgent Power Solutions’s market cap is $9.51B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $36.59, with 274.5M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 129.9.

What is the Forgent Power Solutions stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Forgent Power Solutions is $56.64, +54.8% from the last close. Of the 9 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 7 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Forgent Power Solutions stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Forgent Power Solutions is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $36.59 is 8.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $39.85. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

What is Forgent Power Solutions’s 52-week high and low?

Forgent Power Solutions’s 52-week high is $66.00 and its 52-week low is $25.95; it closed at $36.59 on Sep 28, 2026.

Is Forgent Power Solutions stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 3 items with data read as supportive (fair value and smart money), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Forgent Power Solutions?

Gekko flagged 3 unusual options signals in Forgent Power Solutions over the last 30 days, with $4.10M of flagged premium in calls and $203K in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 15, 2026 with $2.52M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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