NYSE: RRX

Regal Rexnord (RRX) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$156.48+0.30 (+0.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Regal Rexnord shares moved this week amid a mix of coverage rather than a single catalyst, with shares noted surging 3.4% to $156.18 alongside a GF Score of 86/100 pointing to overall financial health, though insider selling and mixed guru activity were flagged as reasons for caution. The company also published its 2025 Sustainability Report, highlighting an 8.3% reduction in absolute Scope 1 and Scope 2 greenhouse gas emissions in 2025 and a total reduction of 32.3% since its 2022 baseline, as part of its carbon neutrality goal by 2032. Separately, an Argus research report referenced a price of $151.11 in its forecast summary.

RRX closed at $156.48, up 0.2%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $173.61 and 200-day average of $188.54, with the 50-day itself below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 62.4, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, while price stands 29.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $222.60.

Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings date falls on 4 November 2026, 36 days out and beyond a typical holding window. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality data shows the next 20 trading days have averaged a -4.6% return over 5 years, rising in 1 of those years, a pattern worth noting alongside the current trend below both moving averages.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Regal Rexnord price vs fair value

$222.60$156.48Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $156.48200-day averageGekko Fair Value $222.60

Regal Rexnord quick facts

Market cap
$10.42B
P/E ratio
31
Forward P/E
11.4
EPS, TTM
$4.87
Revenue, TTM
$6.06B
Profit margin
5.4%
Dividend yield
0.92%
Beta
1.04
Volume
820,860 avg 1.19M
1-year return
+11.0%
Typical daily move
±3.7%
Typical 20-day move
±7.2%
50-day average
$173.61
200-day average
$188.54
Next earnings
Nov 4
Shares outstanding
66.57M
52-week range
$127.96$247.80

Regal Rexnord swing-trade checklist

Regal Rexnord scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $156.48 is below the 50-day ($173.61) and 200-day ($188.54) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    62.4, Accumulation

    Reading 62.4 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    29.7% below

    Price is 29.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 36 days

    Next report Nov 4, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −4.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −4.6% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Regal Rexnord stock chart and price history

Regal Rexnord closed at $156.48 on Sep 28, 2026, +11.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $127.96 to $247.80.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Regal Rexnord share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$125$175$200$225NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep156.48

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−4.5%
3 months
−28.8%
6 months
−14.7%
1 year
+11.0%
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About Regal Rexnord

Regal Rexnord designs, builds, and distributes a wide range of industrial products, including powertrain systems, mechanical power transmission parts, electric motors with electronic controls, air-moving equipment, and electrical components used across many industries worldwide. It is known for combining motor, motion control, and power transmission technologies into products used in manufacturing, energy, and equipment applications.

The company operates through four segments. Commercial Systems produces AC and DC motors, variable speed controls, fans, blowers, and stator and rotor kits. Industrial Systems makes industrial AC motors and alternators used in data centers, energy grids, marine, agricultural, medical, mobile, and defense equipment, along with switchgear for healthcare, government, and utility settings. Climate Solutions supplies fractional horsepower motors, controls, and blowers for residential and light commercial air systems, appliances, and water heaters. Motion Control Solutions makes bearings, couplings, conveyor systems, gears, and aerospace components for beverage, material handling, metals, machinery, energy, and general industrial customers. Products reach customers through direct sales to manufacturers and end users, as well as through sales representatives and distributors.

Founded in 1955 and headquartered in Beloit, Wisconsin, Regal Rexnord trades on the NYSE under the ticker RRX.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Producer manufacturing
Industry
Electrical products
Website
regalrexnord.com

Regal Rexnord GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Regal Rexnord’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 62.4, in the Accumulation zone, down 6.7 points over five sessions.

010062.4Accumulation

Down 6.7 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying30−0.7%−2.2%−1.6%+1.5%
Accumulation (current zone)227−0.3%−0.3%0.0%+3.6%
Neutral377+0.3%+0.9%+1.6%+1.8%
Distribution30+4.7%+4.6%+5.5%+4.8%
Selling8Too few readings yet

Average RRX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the RRX price, zone by zone.Track RRX in Gekko

Is Regal Rexnord stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Regal Rexnord trades 29.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $222.60, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Regal Rexnord shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$222.60

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

29.7% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open RRX in Gekko

Regal Rexnord insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Regal Rexnord, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for RRX in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every RRX insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RRX in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in RRX were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for RRX, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RRX in Gekko

Buybacks

Regal Rexnord has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2024
$51.10M
As a share of market cap
0.49%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

3of the funds Gekko tracks hold RRX.

1added1opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Regal Rexnord earnings: next date and track record

Regal Rexnord reports on Nov 4, 2026 (36 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.1%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−0.6%Nov ’24−7.8%Feb ’25+12.1%May ’25−1.3%Aug ’25+0.2%Oct ’25+16.8%Feb ’26−7.1%May ’26−18.6%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Regal Rexnord reported solid Q2 2026 operational performance with orders and sales growth driven by strength in AMC (including data center), IPS (energy and industrial), and PES (commercial HVAC). Orders were up 8.8% on a daily basis (8.1% ex-data center) and July orders were +7% daily. Sales were up 4.2% year-over-year (3.3% organic). Adjusted gross margin was 39.8% (37.8% ex-$32M IEEPA tariff refunds). Management highlighted a shippable backlog ~20% higher for 2027 versus prior year, continued execution on AMC backlog, and an operational ramp for the new ePOD facility with an assumed ~20% margin profile. Management updated 2026 guidance to reflect stronger second-half growth (management referenced a step-up to ~5% growth in H2 versus ~3% in Q2) and split tariff refund benefit of $16M ($8M each in Q3 and Q4). They emphasized ongoing price increases and surcharges to offset inflation, but expect modest price/cost headwinds in H2 and a margin-neutral tariff recovery by year-end. Management also discussed opportunities in data center (switchgear expected ~$180M this year and ~$240–250M next year), robotics/eVTOL long-term opportunities, and cross-sell potential from integration. Risks discussed include timing/project lags (an "air pocket" affecting near-term sales), price/cost inflation pressure, dependency on tariff refunds, rare-earth magnet supply constraints for defense applications, and the need to validate ePOD profitability through initial deliveries.
Guidance
Updated 2026 guidance assumes stronger second-half growth (management discussed moving to ~5% growth in H2 versus ~3% in Q2). Management expects modest price/cost headwinds in H2, margin-neutral recovery of tariff refunds by year-end, and tariff refunds of $16M remaining in the guide split $8M in Q3 and $8M in Q4. ePOD profitability is assumed at approximately 20% once ramped. Switchgear revenue expected ~ $180M in 2026 and ~$240–250M in 2027. No specific EPS or full-year revenue number beyond these items was provided on the call.
Risks flagged
Project timing ('air pocket') that delays conversion of orders to revenue and contributes to near-term revenue lag; modest price/cost headwinds and ongoing inflation that could pressure margins; dependence on tariff refund timing and magnitude; uncertainty around ePOD profitability until initial deliveries are completed; rare-earth magnet supply constraints for defense applications that could limit ability to meet rising demand; macroeconomic and sector-specific demand volatility.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026$2.99
est $2.60
+15.0%$1.56B
est $1.58B
−1.3%−18.6%
May 6, 2026$0.96
est $0.89
+7.9%$1.48B
est $1.43B
+3.2%−7.1%
Feb 4, 2026$2.51
est $2.47
+1.6%$1.52B
est $1.54B
−1.0%+16.8%
Oct 29, 2025$1.20
est $1.32
−9.1%$1.50B
est $1.49B
+0.5%+0.2%
Aug 5, 2025$2.48
est $2.42
+2.5%$1.50B
est $1.49B
+0.6%−1.3%
May 5, 2025$2.15
est $1.82
+18.1%$1.42B
est $1.48B
−4.0%+12.1%
Feb 5, 2025$0.62
est $1.23
−49.6%$1.46B
est $1.49B
−2.0%−7.8%
Nov 4, 2024$2.49
est $2.48
+0.4%$1.48B
est $1.53B
−3.3%−0.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Regal Rexnord stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Regal Rexnord is $248.20, +58.6% from the last close, from 8 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$248.20consensus 12-month target, +58.6% from the last close
Low $240High $275
Buy8
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 8 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 21J.P. MorganBuy, maintained$240+53.4%
Aug 6Robert W. BairdBuy, maintained$275+75.7%
Aug 6Deutsche Bank Buy, maintained$274+75.1%
Aug 6D.A. DavidsonBuy, reiterated$260+66.2%
Aug 6KeyBancBuy, maintained$240+53.4%
0.0%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−4.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Regal Rexnord seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Regal Rexnord averaged −4.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−1.6%2021−5.5%2022−16.9%2023+3.0%2024+1.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.4%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.7%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−1.2%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days−4.6%1 of 5
Next 30 trading days−5.3%2 of 5

For scale, RRX’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.2%.

Regal Rexnord market cap and key statistics

Regal Rexnord’s market cap is $10.42B, with a P/E ratio of 31 and revenue of $6.06B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$10.42B
P/E ratio
31
Forward P/E
11.4
EPS, TTM
$4.87
Gekko Fair Value
$222.60

Trading

Volume
820,860
Avg volume, 20 days
1.19M
52-week high
$247.80
52-week low
$127.96
Shares outstanding
66.57M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$6.06B
Profit margin
5.4%
Return on equity
4.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+47.1%

Risk and income

Beta
1.04
Typical daily move
±3.7%
Typical 20-day move
±7.2%
Dividend yield
0.92%

Regal Rexnord stock news this week

Coverage of Regal Rexnord this week reads neutral: 2 positive, 4 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

Regal Rexnord peers

Regal Rexnord’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GEVGE Vernova−0.4%Neutral6.0% above
ETNEaton−1.4%Neutral18.4% above
LITELumentum−2.8%Accumulation5.5% below
AMEAMETEK+1.1%Neutral14.0% above
ROKRockwell Automation+0.2%Neutral12.0% above
HUBBHubbell+0.8%Neutral7.4% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Regal Rexnord stock FAQ

What is Regal Rexnord’s market cap?

Regal Rexnord’s market cap is $10.42B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $156.48, with 66.57M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 31.

What is the Regal Rexnord stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Regal Rexnord is $248.20, +58.6% from the last close. Of the 8 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 8 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Regal Rexnord stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Regal Rexnord is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $156.48 is 29.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $222.60. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Regal Rexnord report earnings next?

Regal Rexnord is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026 (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.71 per share on revenue of $1.56B. Regal Rexnord beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.1% on average across the report.

What is Regal Rexnord’s 52-week high and low?

Regal Rexnord’s 52-week high is $247.80 and its 52-week low is $127.96; it closed at $156.48 on Sep 28, 2026, +11.0% over the past year.

Is Regal Rexnord stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk) and 2 as headwinds (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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