NYSE: GNRC

Generac (GNRC) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$205.21−2.93 (−1.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Generac's week centers on a long-term agreement to supply backup generators for Amazon data centers, valued at an initial $2.4 billion for 2027-2028 with potential payments up to $8 billion, a deal that has lifted sentiment and driven several sessions of gains, including a 5.4% rise and a close at $208.60 on one session and a 3.9% move to $205.82 on another. Coverage also frames the stock within a broader sector-wide rally as Treasury yields eased and crude oil prices fell, alongside continued attention to order visibility, infrastructure spending, and supply execution reliability. Analyst commentary during the week noted a consensus price target of $295.40 against the prevailing price.

Generac last closed at $205.21, down 1.4%, sitting between its 50-day average of $200.98 and 200-day average of $211.63. The GekkoIndex reads 56.2, placing the stock in the Neutral zone with a five-day change of 2.3. Price sits close to Gekko Fair Value of $202.95, a gap of 1.1%.

The next earnings date falls on 4 November 2026, 36 days out, beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. Over the last 30 days there have been 2 unusual options signals, with call premium of $1,152,980 against put premium of $990,360. One billionaire holder and two trailblazer holders are recorded. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -2.9% across 5 years, rising in 3 of them, worth noting alongside the pending Amazon-driven order backlog.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Generac price vs fair value

$205.21$202.95Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $205.21200-day averageGekko Fair Value $202.95

Generac quick facts

Market cap
$12.08B
P/E ratio
47.9
Forward P/E
15.9
EPS, TTM
$4.35
Revenue, TTM
$4.44B
Profit margin
5.8%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.91
Volume
955,242 avg 1.39M
1-year return
+24.9%
Typical daily move
±5.6%
Typical 20-day move
±10.7%
50-day average
$200.98
200-day average
$211.63
Next earnings
Nov 4
Shares outstanding
59.06M
52-week range
$134.80$296.44

Generac swing-trade checklist

Generac scores 2 supportive, 4 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive4 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $205.21 sits between the 50-day ($200.98) and 200-day ($211.63) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    56.2, Neutral

    Reading 56.2 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    1.1% above

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (1.1% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 30 days: 2 unusual options signals.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 36 days

    Next report Nov 4, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    −2.9% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −2.9% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Generac stock chart and price history

Generac closed at $205.21 on Sep 28, 2026, +24.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $134.80 to $296.44.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Generac share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$150$250$300NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep205.21

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+4.0%
3 months
−27.7%
6 months
+5.6%
1 year
+24.9%
The full GNRC chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open GNRC in Gekko

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About Generac

Generac designs, builds, and ships power generation equipment along with energy storage systems and electrical accessories. Homeowners, small business owners, and industrial operators around the world make up its customer base. The company is widely recognized for its standby and portable generators, and it also builds the underlying parts that go into them, including engines, alternators, batteries, control electronics, and steel housings.

Its home lineup covers standby units running from 7.5kW to 150kW, split between air-cooled and liquid-cooled models, many of which connect to the Mobile Link remote monitoring system. Portable generators and outdoor equipment such as trimmers, mowers, and pressure washers round out the residential side, alongside clean energy products sold under the PWRcell and PWRview names. Business and industrial customers can draw on light towers, mobile power and pumping equipment, dust-suppression tools, and generators reaching up to 3,250kW for backup power in hospitals, data centers, telecom networks, and manufacturing sites. Products reach customers through dealers, retailers, online channels, wholesalers, rental companies, and direct sales, backed by aftermarket parts and accessories.

Generac was founded in 1959 and is headquartered in Waukesha, Wisconsin. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker GNRC.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Producer manufacturing
Industry
Electrical products
Website
generac.com

Generac GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Generac’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 56.2, in the Neutral zone, up 2.3 points over five sessions.

010056.2Neutral

Up 2.3 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying42+1.3%+2.4%+0.2%−4.2%
Accumulation235+0.3%+1.4%+2.5%+9.7%
Neutral (current zone)319+1.1%+1.8%+3.1%+7.5%
Distribution71−0.5%−1.7%+0.8%+0.3%
Selling5Too few readings yet

Average GNRC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the GNRC price, zone by zone.Track GNRC in Gekko

Is Generac stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Generac trades 1.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $202.95, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Generac shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$202.95

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

1.1% above fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open GNRC in Gekko

Generac insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Generac, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for GNRC in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every GNRC insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GNRC in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in GNRC were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for GNRC, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GNRC in Gekko

Buybacks

Generac has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2025
$50.46M
As a share of market cap
0.42%

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

2signals, 54% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 26, $912K in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

3of the funds Gekko tracks hold GNRC.

0added1opened2trimmed0sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Generac earnings: next date and track record

Generac reports on Nov 4, 2026 (36 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±10.9%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+2.3%Oct ’24+3.6%Feb ’25−0.5%Apr ’25+28.7%Jul ’25−12.8%Oct ’25+18.3%Feb ’26+19.4%Apr ’26−1.9%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Generac reported solid Q2 2026 results driven by strong Commercial & Industrial (C&I) momentum: consolidated net sales rose 11% year-over-year to $1.17 billion, with C&I up ~29% and residential down ~2%. Management highlighted >$100M in data center revenue, two hyperscale supply agreements (the first representing ~ $700M of orders for 2027), and a backlog of $1.6 billion (largely scheduled for 2027). Consolidated adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 24.8%, aided by an approximate $71M pretax tariff refund that increased gross margin to 44.5%. Management emphasized progress on capacity expansion (tripling packaging/assembly capacity, Sussex facility coming online in Q3 ahead of schedule), a roadmap to scale the supply base, and ongoing efforts to balance hyperscale and non-hyperscale opportunities. Residential headwinds included lower portable generator demand (softer outage environment) and a decline in energy storage shipments after a DOE program in Puerto Rico ended. Management remains confident about the multi-year opportunity in data centers and reiterated aggressive growth targets for the C&I business.
Guidance
Operational/forward-looking guidance and targets mentioned: - Sussex facility to begin production ramp in Q3 2026 (first product on line in August). - Path to tripling packaging/assembly capacity over the next 12 months; target of ~$1.25B capacity (approx. $1.0B domestic, $0.25B international) by end of year referenced. - Elevated capital expenditures indicated (reflecting additional lines and investments). - Target to more than double the C&I business in 3 years (Investor Day target reiterated). - Backlog and delivery visibility: ~ $1.35B currently scheduled for delivery in 2027 (after 2026 shipments), and second hyperscaler expected to add 2027 and 2028 volume but not yet included in backlog.
Risks flagged
Risks and headwinds mentioned: - Residential demand volatility driven by housing starts, interest rates and power outage variability. - Reliance on tariff refunds ($71M benefit this quarter) that aided margins this quarter. - Supply-chain and component constraints (alternators, switchgear, after-treatment systems) that require second/third sourcing; engine supply capacity is being expanded by supplier but remains a coordination risk. - Concentration risk from large hyperscale contracts and the lumpier, longer sales cycles associated with enterprise projects. - Geographic challenges (limited competitiveness in certain markets, e.g., China) and potential margin impact from sourcing engines manufactured in higher-cost regions.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 29, 2026$2.91
est $1.95
+49.2%$1.17B
est $1.18B
−0.4%−1.9%
Apr 29, 2026$1.80
est $1.33
+35.3%$1.06B
est $1.05B
+0.7%+19.4%
Feb 11, 2026$1.61
est $1.77
−9.0%$1.09B
est $1.16B
−6.0%+18.3%
Oct 29, 2025$1.83
est $2.20
−16.8%$1.11B
est $1.16B
−4.0%−12.8%
Jul 30, 2025$1.65
est $1.33
+24.1%$1.06B
est $1.21B
−12.6%+28.7%
Apr 30, 2025$1.26
est $0.99
+27.3%$942.1M
est $1.06B
−11.5%−0.5%
Feb 12, 2025$2.80
est $2.53
+10.7%$1.23B
est $1.25B
−0.9%+3.6%
Oct 31, 2024$2.25
est $1.95
+15.4%$1.17B
est $1.23B
−4.8%+2.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Generac stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Generac is $293.94, +43.2% from the last close, from 16 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$293.94consensus 12-month target, +43.2% from the last close
Low $250High $375
Buy11
Hold5
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 16 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 25UBSBuy, maintained$340+65.7%
Sep 21J.P. MorganBuy, maintained$265+29.1%
Sep 18Wells FargoBuy, maintained$280+36.4%
Sep 17Canaccord GenuityBuy, reiterated$375+82.7%
Sep 17J.P. MorganBuy, maintained——
+3.1%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−2.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±5.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Generac seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Generac averaged −2.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+20.3%2021−31.2%2022−24.6%2023+4.3%2024+14.8%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.4%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.5%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days−3.4%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days−2.9%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days−3.4%2 of 5

For scale, GNRC’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 10.7%.

Generac market cap and key statistics

Generac’s market cap is $12.08B, with a P/E ratio of 47.9 and revenue of $4.44B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$12.08B
P/E ratio
47.9
Forward P/E
15.9
EPS, TTM
$4.35
Gekko Fair Value
$202.95

Trading

Volume
955,242
Avg volume, 20 days
1.39M
52-week high
$296.44
52-week low
$134.80
Shares outstanding
59.06M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$4.44B
Profit margin
5.8%
Return on equity
9.5%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+92.0%

Risk and income

Beta
1.91
Typical daily move
±5.6%
Typical 20-day move
±10.7%

Generac peers

Generac’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GEVGE Vernova−0.4%Neutral6.0% above
ETNEaton−1.4%Neutral18.4% above
LITELumentum−2.8%Accumulation5.5% below
AMEAMETEK+1.1%Neutral14.0% above
ROKRockwell Automation+0.2%Neutral12.0% above
HUBBHubbell+0.8%Neutral7.4% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Generac stock FAQ

What is Generac’s market cap?

Generac’s market cap is $12.08B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $205.21, with 59.06M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 47.9.

What is the Generac stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Generac is $293.94, +43.2% from the last close. Of the 16 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 11 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Generac stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Generac is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $205.21 is 1.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $202.95. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Generac report earnings next?

Generac is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026 (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.39 per share on revenue of $1.33B. Generac beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 10.9% on average across the report.

What is Generac’s 52-week high and low?

Generac’s 52-week high is $296.44 and its 52-week low is $134.80; it closed at $205.21 on Sep 28, 2026, +24.9% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $524.31 on Nov 2, 2021.

Is Generac stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (smart money and earnings risk), 4 as mixed (trend, gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Generac?

Gekko flagged 2 unusual options signals in Generac over the last 30 days, with $1.15M of flagged premium in calls and $990K in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 26, 2026 with $912K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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