Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for LITE in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every LITE insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open LITE in Gekko
NASDAQ: LITE
Lumentum (LITE) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$930.91+37.30 (+4.2%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:18 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryLumentum (LITE) closes at $930.91, up 4.2%, holding well above both its 50-day average of $841.77 and 200-day average of $713.73. The GekkoIndex sits at 57.7, in the Neutral zone, up 2.7 over five readings. The stock trades 3.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $964.81, a gap that has narrowed as shares have climbed toward their 52-week high of $1,085.68 from a 52-week low of $144.52.
The week's move centers on a broad rally across optical networking names. Lumentum rose alongside Coherent, Corning and Applied Optoelectronics as investors looked further down the AI data-center supply chain for signs of continued demand. Part of the move came in sympathy with Ciena, whose multi-year financial targets lifted the fiber optic connectivity group, while other sessions were described as an oversold bounce without a specific catalyst. One commentary flagged the shares as overvalued relative to a separate fair-value estimate after a 9.6% one-day rally.
The next earnings report is due 3 November 2026, after the close, 44 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 11 August showed EPS of $2.64 against a $2.62 estimate, with a 14.6% reaction, part of a run of 7 beats in 8 quarters. Options activity shows 3 unusual signals over the past 30 days, with put premium of $24.3 million against call premium of $6.3 million. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged -0.9% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them. Analyst consensus among 17 firms stands at 13 buy, 4 hold, 0 sell, with a target of $1,149.38.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $930.91200-day averageGekko Fair Value $964.81
Key stats
- Market cap
- $72.42B
- P/E ratio
- —
- Forward P/E
- 42.2
- EPS, TTM
- −$92.94
- Revenue, TTM
- $3.01B
- Profit margin
- -230.1%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 1.54
- Volume
- 9.24M avg 4.32M
- 1-year return
- +469.9%
- Typical daily move
- ±6.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±9.8%
- 50-day average
- $841.77
- 200-day average
- $713.73
- Next earnings
- Nov 3 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 89.70M
Lumentum swing-trade checklist
Lumentum scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive2 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $930.91 is above the 50-day ($841.77) and 200-day ($713.73) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
57.7, Neutral
Reading 57.7 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuemixed
3.5% below
Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (3.5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyheadwind
Leans bearish
Last 30 days: 3 unusual options signals.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 44 days
Next report Nov 3, 2026, 44 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−0.9% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.9% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Lumentum stock chart and price history
Lumentum closed at $930.91 on Sep 18, 2026, +469.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $144.52 to $1,085.68.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +12.5%
- 3 months
- +9.5%
- 6 months
- +20.6%
- 1 year
- +469.9%
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About Lumentum
Lumentum builds hardware for sending light-based signals through fiber networks, covering parts that carry video, audio and data over long distances. It has become known for components like tunable transponders, transceivers and laser modules, as well as network gear such as add/drop multiplexers, amplifiers and channel monitors. Beyond networking, it produces smaller parts like pumps, switches, filters and waveguide gratings, and it has introduced items such as the Super Transport Blade and VCSELs, including laser sources built for 3D sensing uses.
Its business splits into two units. One, focused on optical communications, sells the networking and component hardware to buyers in telecom, data communications, consumer electronics and industrial fields. The other, centered on commercial lasers, manufactures several laser types, including diode-pumped solid-state, fiber, diode and gas lasers, mostly sold to equipment makers for jobs like metal cutting, general manufacturing, biotech work, imaging, remote sensing and precision machining. Lumentum's operations reach across North and South America, Asia-Pacific, Europe, and the Middle East and Africa.
Shares of Lumentum are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker LITE.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Producer manufacturing
- Industry
- Electrical products
- Website
- lumentum.com
Lumentum GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Lumentum’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 57.7, in the Neutral zone, up 2.7 points over five sessions.
57.7Neutral
Up 2.7 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 12 | +4.7% | +1.3% | ||
| Accumulation | 145 | +1.4% | +4.0% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 413 | +3.1% | +14.4% | ||
| Distribution | 89 | +3.0% | +9.4% | ||
| Selling | 3 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average LITE share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the LITE price, zone by zone.Track LITE in Gekko
Is Lumentum stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Lumentum trades 3.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $964.81, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Lumentum shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$964.81
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026
3.5% below fair value · About fair value
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open LITE in Gekko
Lumentum insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Lumentum, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in LITE were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for LITE, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open LITE in Gekko
Buybacks
Lumentum has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 27, 2026
- $843.1M
- As a share of market cap
- 1.16%
From company filings.
Unusual options activity last 30 days
3signals, 20% of the flagged premium in calls.
Latest: Bearish flow on Aug 22, $12.42M in unusual premium.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
2of the funds Gekko tracks hold LITE.
0added2opened0trimmed6sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko
Lumentum earnings: next date and track record
Lumentum reports on Nov 3, 2026, after the close (44 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 3, 2026
Expected after the close, 44 days away
- EPS estimate
- $4.22
- Revenue estimate
- $1.25B
7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±9.3%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 11, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Lumentum reported a very strong fiscal Q4 and full-year 2026 performance driven by AI and cloud-related demand. Revenue rose 109% year-over-year to $1.01 billion, marking eight consecutive quarters of top-line growth and the third consecutive quarter with >20% sequential growth. Non-GAAP gross margin crossed 50% (50.4%) and non-GAAP operating margin expanded to 36.6%, demonstrating significant operating leverage. Management highlighted record 800G cloud transceiver shipments, initiation of 1.6T module production, strong OCS ramps despite earlier supply constraints, and progress on CW, EML, pump and ultra-high-power lasers. They executed a partial equitization of convertible notes reducing debt by ~$1.1B that produced a one-time non-cash GAAP charge of $7.8B. Management reiterated confidence in demand, noted multiple emerging opportunities (NPO, CPO, ELS modules, in-tray OCS), and indicated plans to update financial targets at upcoming investor events. Key operational items include substrate supply agreements (AXT) and Greensboro fab conversion and ramp activities.
- Guidance
- Q1 revenue midpoint reaches the company's $1.25B target (a quarter early); Q1 non-GAAP operating margin guidance exceeds the high end of the target model associated with this revenue level. Management expects the first triple-digit OCS revenue quarter in Q1; ultra-high-power CW lasers expected to reach roughly $50M by end of calendar year with meaningful impact in fiscal Q3. 200G-per-lane EMLs expected to be majority volume by mid-2027. Operating margin target at a $2B revenue run rate was 38%-42% (company already at midpoint at much lower revenue; management expects further modest improvement).
- Risks flagged
- Supply constraints and substrate availability (indium phosphide) remain a risk; management noted they are still behind customer demand on EMLs and significantly behind on ultra-high-power lasers. Competitive risk from new entrants (particularly Chinese indium phosphide fabs) was discussed but management downplayed immediate impact. One-time GAAP charge tied to convertible note equitization materially impacted GAAP results. Demand/supply imbalances and the pace of customer ramps (timing uncertainty for NPO/CPO adoption) present execution risk.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | $2.64 est $2.62 | $1.01B est $987.7M | +14.6% |
| May 5, 2026 | $2.37 est $2.27 | $808.4M est $810.2M | −3.3% |
| Feb 3, 2026 | $1.67 est $1.41 | $665.5M est $652.1M | +9.9% |
| Nov 4, 2025 | $1.10 est $1.03 | $533.8M est $526.5M | +16.6% |
| Aug 12, 2025 | $0.88 est $0.81 | $425.2M est $470.5M | +4.5% |
| May 6, 2025 | $0.57 est $0.50 | $425.2M est $456.6M | +4.9% |
| Feb 6, 2025 | −$0.88 est −$0.86 | $402.2M est $390.1M | −3.7% |
| Nov 7, 2024 | $0.18 est $0.12 | $336.9M est $325.0M | +16.5% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Lumentum stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Lumentum is $1,149.38, +23.5% from the last close, from 17 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$1,149.38consensus 12-month target, +23.5% from the last close
Now $930.91Avg $1,149.38
Low $820High $1,300
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 17 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31 | Evercore ISI | $1,100 | +18.2% |
| Aug 31 | Deutsche Bank | $1,200 | +28.9% |
| Aug 24 | Morgan Stanley | $1,000 | +7.4% |
| Aug 19 | Rosenblatt Securities | $1,300 | +39.6% |
| Aug 13 | Citi | $1,200 | +28.9% |
+14.4%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−0.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±6.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Lumentum seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Lumentum averaged −0.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −2.5% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −1.1% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −1.9% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −0.9% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +2.7% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, LITE’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9.8%.
Lumentum market cap and key statistics
Lumentum’s market cap is $72.42B and revenue of $3.01B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $72.42B
- Forward P/E
- 42.2
- EPS, TTM
- −$92.94
- Gekko Fair Value
- $964.81
Trading
- Volume
- 9.24M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 4.32M
- 52-week high
- $1,085.68
- 52-week low
- $144.52
- Shares outstanding
- 89.70M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $3.01B
- Profit margin
- -230.1%
- Return on equity
- -240%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +71.1%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.54
- Typical daily move
- ±6.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±9.8%
Lumentum stock news this week
6 headlines about Lumentum from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- 52,021 Shares in Lumentum Holdings Inc. $LITE Bought by Nykredit A SDefense World, Sep 19
- Lumentum Climbs 3% as Optics Buying Extends; Coherent Rises 5%, Corning Jumps 3%24/7 Wall Street, Sep 18
- Here's Why Lumentum (LITE) is a Strong Momentum StockZacks Investment Research, Sep 17
- Is Lumentum Holdings Inc (LITE) Overvalued After 9.6% Rally? GF Value Says OvervaluedGuruFocus, Sep 16
- Why optical stocks Lumentum and Coherent were the day's biggest gainersMarket Watch, Sep 16
- Lumentum Stock Jumps Wednesday: What's Driving the Action?Benzinga, Sep 16
Lumentum peers
Lumentum’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| GEVGE Vernova | Neutral | 4.9% above |
| ETNEaton | Neutral | 17.6% above |
| AMEAMETEK | Accumulation | 6.6% above |
| ROKRockwell Automation | Accumulation | 8.9% above |
| HUBBHubbell | Accumulation | 13.1% below |
| GNRCGenerac | Neutral | 2.6% above |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Lumentum stock FAQ
What is Lumentum’s market cap?
Lumentum’s market cap is $72.42B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $930.91, with 89.70M shares outstanding.
What is the Lumentum stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Lumentum is $1,149.38, +23.5% from the last close. Of the 17 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 13 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Lumentum stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Lumentum is about fair value: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $930.91 is 3.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $964.81. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Lumentum report earnings next?
Lumentum is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026, after the market closes (44 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $4.22 per share on revenue of $1.25B. Lumentum beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 9.3% on average across the report.
What is Lumentum’s 52-week high and low?
Lumentum’s 52-week high is $1,085.68 and its 52-week low is $144.52; it closed at $930.91 on Sep 18, 2026, +469.9% over the past year.
Is Lumentum stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and fair value) and 2 as headwinds (smart money and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
Is there unusual options activity in Lumentum?
Gekko flagged 3 unusual options signals in Lumentum over the last 30 days, with $6.26M of flagged premium in calls and $24.29M in puts. The latest, bearish flow, was on Aug 22, 2026 with $12.42M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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