Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for LITE in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every LITE insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open LITE in Gekko
NASDAQ: LITE
Lumentum (LITE) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Nov 4 close
$626.75−53.41 (−7.9%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryNov 4 closeLumentum shares fell this week amid intense scrutiny of Marvell Technology's proposed $115 billion acquisition of the company. Multiple law firms, including Kahn Swick & Foti and Halper Sadeh LLC, announced investigations into whether shareholders are receiving a fair deal, while Monteverde & Associates separately confirmed an investigation into the proposed sale. Reports noted that Marvell and Lumentum have together lost $91 billion in market value as merger doubts mount, even as some commentary argued the all-stock offer's complementary technologies could still benefit revenue growth and margins. Separately, peer optical names like Coherent and Applied Optoelectronics saw gains ahead of earnings.
Lumentum closed at $626.75, down 7.9%, with the stock sitting between its 50-day average of $911.08 and 200-day average of $806.01. The GekkoIndex reading of 70.5 places the stock in the Buying zone, and the price sits 37.1% below the Gekko Fair Value of $996.78.
Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings date falls on 2 February 2027, outside this window. The last report on 2 November showed EPS of $4.57 against an estimate of $4.22, though shares reacted with a 19.1% move. Options activity shows 6 unusual signals over the last 30 days, with call premium of $57.9 million versus put premium of $25.6 million. Seasonality data shows a 15.1% average 20-day return over 5 years from this point, rising in 3 of those years.
Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Lumentum price vs fair value
Close $626.75200-day averageGekko Fair Value $996.78
Lumentum quick facts
- Market cap
- $56.77B
- P/E ratio
- —
- Forward P/E
- 39.5
- EPS, TTM
- −$89.62
- Revenue, TTM
- $3.74B
- Profit margin
- -175.8%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 1.54
- Volume
- 9.42M avg 6.12M
- 1-year return
- +214.0%
- Typical daily move
- ±12.2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±10.3%
- 50-day average
- $911.08
- 200-day average
- $806.01
- Next earnings
- Feb 2 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 90.58M
Lumentum swing-trade checklist
Lumentum scores 5 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
5 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $626.75 sits between the 50-day ($911.08) and 200-day ($806.01) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
70.5, Buying
Reading 70.5 is in the Buying zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
37.1% below
Price is 37.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 30 days: 6 unusual options signals.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 89 days
Next report Feb 2, 2027, 89 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+15.1% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +15.1% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Lumentum stock chart and price history
Lumentum closed at $626.75 on Nov 4, 2026, +214.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $184.20 to $1,143.00.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −44.7%
- 3 months
- −25.2%
- 6 months
- −33.6%
- 1 year
- +214.0%
The full LITE chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open LITE in Gekko
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About Lumentum
Lumentum builds hardware for sending light-based signals through fiber networks, covering parts that carry video, audio and data over long distances. It has become known for components like tunable transponders, transceivers and laser modules, as well as network gear such as add/drop multiplexers, amplifiers and channel monitors. Beyond networking, it produces smaller parts like pumps, switches, filters and waveguide gratings, and it has introduced items such as the Super Transport Blade and VCSELs, including laser sources built for 3D sensing uses.
Its business splits into two units. One, focused on optical communications, sells the networking and component hardware to buyers in telecom, data communications, consumer electronics and industrial fields. The other, centered on commercial lasers, manufactures several laser types, including diode-pumped solid-state, fiber, diode and gas lasers, mostly sold to equipment makers for jobs like metal cutting, general manufacturing, biotech work, imaging, remote sensing and precision machining. Lumentum's operations reach across North and South America, Asia-Pacific, Europe, and the Middle East and Africa.
Shares of Lumentum are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker LITE.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Producer manufacturing
- Industry
- Electrical products
- Website
- lumentum.com
Lumentum GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Lumentum’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 70.5, in the Buying zone, up 10.2 points over five sessions.
70.5Buying
Up 10.2 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.
Reading for Nov 4, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying (current zone) | 12 | +4.7% | +1.3% | ||
| Accumulation | 153 | +1.6% | +3.9% | ||
| Neutral | 440 | +2.8% | +13.5% | ||
| Distribution | 89 | +3.0% | +9.4% | ||
| Selling | 3 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average LITE share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the LITE price, zone by zone.Track LITE in Gekko
Is Lumentum stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Lumentum trades 37.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $996.78, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Lumentum shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$996.78
Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026
37.1% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 11.3% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open LITE in Gekko
Lumentum insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Lumentum, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in LITE were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for LITE, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open LITE in Gekko
Buybacks
Lumentum has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 27, 2026
- $843.1M
- As a share of market cap
- 1.49%
From company filings.
Unusual options activity last 30 days
6signals, 69% of the flagged premium in calls.
Latest: Bullish flow on Oct 28, $9.14M in unusual premium.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
2of the funds Gekko tracks hold LITE.
0added2opened0trimmed6sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko
Lumentum earnings: next date and track record
Lumentum reports on Feb 2, 2027, after the close (89 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Feb 2, 2027
Expected after the close, 89 days away
- EPS estimate
- $5.01
- Revenue estimate
- $1.57B
7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±9.6%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | $4.57 est $4.22 | $1.26B est $1.26B | −19.1% |
| Aug 11, 2026 | $2.64 est $2.62 | $1.01B est $987.7M | +14.6% |
| May 5, 2026 | $2.37 est $2.27 | $808.4M est $810.2M | −3.3% |
| Feb 3, 2026 | $1.67 est $1.41 | $665.5M est $652.1M | +9.9% |
| Nov 4, 2025 | $1.10 est $1.03 | $533.8M est $526.5M | +16.6% |
| Aug 12, 2025 | $0.88 est $0.81 | $425.2M est $470.5M | +4.5% |
| May 6, 2025 | $0.57 est $0.50 | $425.2M est $456.6M | +4.9% |
| Feb 6, 2025 | −$0.88 est −$0.86 | $402.2M est $390.1M | −3.7% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Lumentum stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Lumentum is $1,122.76, +79.1% from the last close, from 19 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$1,122.76consensus 12-month target, +79.1% from the last close
Now $626.75Avg $1,122.76
Low $685High $1,400
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 19 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | B. Riley Securities | $770 | +22.9% |
| Nov 3 | Mizuho Securities | $1,132 | +80.6% |
| Nov 3 | Morgan Stanley | $1,000 | +59.6% |
| Nov 3 | TD Cowen | $685 | +9.3% |
| Nov 2 | Bernstein | $900 | +43.6% |
+1.3%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+15.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±12.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Lumentum seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Lumentum averaged +15.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +9.6% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +8.1% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +13.1% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +15.1% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +22.7% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, LITE’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 10.3%.
Lumentum market cap and key statistics
Lumentum’s market cap is $56.77B and revenue of $3.74B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $56.77B
- Forward P/E
- 39.5
- EPS, TTM
- −$89.62
- Gekko Fair Value
- $996.78
Trading
- Volume
- 9.42M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 6.12M
- 52-week high
- $1,143.00
- 52-week low
- $184.20
- Shares outstanding
- 90.58M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $3.74B
- Profit margin
- -175.8%
- Return on equity
- -245.8%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +6,980.0%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.54
- Typical daily move
- ±12.2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±10.3%
Lumentum stock news this week
Coverage of Lumentum this week reads neutral: 2 positive, 3 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- Lumentum Investor Alert: Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC Investigates Adequacy of Price and Process in Proposed Sale of Lumentum Holdings Inc. - LITEBusiness Wire, Nov 4
- Marvell's Deal to Acquire Lumentum Could Be a Game Changer for the StockThe Motley Fool, Nov 4
- Marvell Slipped Over The Last Month and Then Crashed Massively on the Lumentum Announcement: This Wall Street Desk Doubled Down on Its 130% Gains Prediction24/7 Wall Street, Nov 4
- Halper Sadeh LLC is Investigating Whether LITE, RRC, SGRY are Obtaining Fair Deals for their ShareholdersPRNewsWire, Nov 3
- Stock Market Today, Nov. 3: Marvell Shares Edge Higher After Premarket Drop on $115 Billion Lumentum DealThe Motley Fool, Nov 3
- $HAREHOLDER ALERT: The M&A Class Action Firm Announces An Investigation of Lumentum Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: LITE)Morningstar, Nov 3
Lumentum peers
Lumentum’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| GEVGE Vernova | Accumulation | 2.8% below |
| ETNEaton | Accumulation | 0.5% below |
| AMEAMETEK | Accumulation | 4.3% above |
| ROKRockwell Automation | Neutral | 16.9% above |
| HUBBHubbell | Accumulation | 15.8% below |
| RRXRegal Rexnord | Neutral | 20.0% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Lumentum stock FAQ
What is Lumentum’s market cap?
Lumentum’s market cap is $56.77B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $626.75, with 90.58M shares outstanding.
What is the Lumentum stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Lumentum is $1,122.76, +79.1% from the last close. Of the 19 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 14 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Lumentum stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Lumentum is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $626.75 is 37.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $996.78. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Lumentum report earnings next?
Lumentum is expected to report on Feb 2, 2027, after the market closes (89 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $5.01 per share on revenue of $1.57B. Lumentum beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 9.6% on average across the report.
What is Lumentum’s 52-week high and low?
Lumentum’s 52-week high is $1,143.00 and its 52-week low is $184.20; it closed at $626.75 on Nov 4, 2026, +214.0% over the past year.
Is Lumentum stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 5 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
Is there unusual options activity in Lumentum?
Gekko flagged 6 unusual options signals in Lumentum over the last 30 days, with $57.91M of flagged premium in calls and $25.59M in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Oct 28, 2026 with $9.14M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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