NASDAQ: FLNC

Fluence Energy (FLNC) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$7.07−0.36 (−4.8%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Fluence Energy this week is dominated by a wave of securities class action notices from multiple law firms, including Rosen, Kessler Topaz Meltzer & Check, Glancy Prongay Wolke & Rotter, Levi & Korsinsky, and Kaplan Fox, all citing a class period between November 24, 2025 and September 16, 2026. The underlying allegation concerns fiscal 2026 guidance that depended on contract manufacturing facilities, including the Houston facility, not being ready for assumed volumes, with lead plaintiff deadlines clustered around November 27 and November 30, 2026.

Shares closed at $7.07, down 4.8% on the day and sitting below both the 50-day average of $10.15 and the 200-day average of $16.57, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The stock's one-month return is -28.8%, and it trades in the Accumulation zone on the GekkoIndex, with a reading of 66.2. Price sits 30.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $10.17.

The next earnings report is scheduled for 23 November 2026, 41 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold; the prior report on 5 August showed an EPS miss against estimate and a -15.7% reaction, with average absolute reactions historically around 26.5%. Over the last 90 days there were 2 insider purchases totaling $125,120. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged +5.2% across 4 years, though gains occurred in only 1 of those years. Analyst coverage spans 19 firms, with a consensus target of $10 implying 41.4% upside.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Fluence Energy price vs fair value

$10.17$7.07Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $7.07200-day averageGekko Fair Value $10.17

Fluence Energy quick facts

Market cap
$1.30B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
54.6
EPS, TTM
−$0.60
Revenue, TTM
$2.63B
Profit margin
-3.1%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
2.77
Volume
5.21M avg 8.52M
1-year return
−52.6%
Typical daily move
±6.2%
Typical 20-day move
±16.9%
50-day average
$10.15
200-day average
$16.57
Next earnings
Nov 23
Shares outstanding
143.2M
52-week range
$7.01$33.51

Fluence Energy swing-trade checklist

Fluence Energy scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $7.07 is below the 50-day ($10.15) and 200-day ($16.57) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    66.2, Accumulation

    Reading 66.2 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    30.5% below

    Price is 30.5% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 2 open-market insider purchases.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 42 days

    Next report Nov 23, 2026, 42 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +5.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5.2% over 4 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Fluence Energy stock chart and price history

Fluence Energy closed at $7.07 on Oct 12, 2026, −52.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $7.01 to $33.51.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Fluence Energy share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$10$15$20$25$30NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct7.07

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−28.8%
3 months
−54.7%
6 months
−48.2%
1 year
−52.6%
The full FLNC chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open FLNC in Gekko

Follow Fluence Energy through every session

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About Fluence Energy

Fluence Energy builds energy storage systems and digital software aimed at helping renewable power sources connect to the grid and run more efficiently. Its offerings combine hardware, proprietary software and digital controls into packaged storage products, supported by services such as engineering, installation help, maintenance and a subscription-style storage-as-a-service arrangement. The company is recognized for a product lineup that includes Gridstack for large grid projects, Sunstack for solar-related storage, and Edgestack for managing commercial energy demand.

Its customers span utilities, developers of renewable projects, and commercial or industrial businesses looking to manage power loads. Fluence also produces standalone digital applications separate from its hardware lines, broadening how clients can use its technology. The company functions as a joint venture, having been formed through a partnership between Siemens Aktiengesellschaft and The AES Corporation.

Fluence Energy was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia. Its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker FLNC.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Producer manufacturing
Industry
Electrical products
Website
fluenceenergy.com

Fluence Energy GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Fluence Energy’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 66.2, in the Accumulation zone, down 0.6 points over five sessions.

010066.2Accumulation

Down 0.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying37+0.6%−3.7%−8.2%+4.9%
Accumulation (current zone)304−1.2%−1.0%−0.6%+13.8%
Neutral290+2.2%+1.9%+4.4%+6.1%
Distribution47−0.1%+8.5%+11.8%+5.1%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average FLNC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the FLNC price, zone by zone.Track FLNC in Gekko

Is Fluence Energy stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Fluence Energy trades 30.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $10.17, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Fluence Energy shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$10.17

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

30.5% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 31.4% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$10$7Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open FLNC in Gekko

Fluence Energy insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 2 open-market purchases in Fluence Energy worth $125K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$125Kin 2 open-market purchases

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Sep 22von Heynitz Harald
director
Purchase7,000$52K
Sep 22BULLS HERMAN E
director
Purchase10,000$74K

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in FLNC were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for FLNC, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FLNC in Gekko

Buybacks

Fluence Energy has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$2.72M
As a share of market cap
0.21%
Trailing four quarters
$5.70M

From company filings.

Fluence Energy earnings: next date and track record

Fluence Energy reports on Nov 23, 2026 (42 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±26.5%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−17.5%Nov ’24−44.1%Feb ’25+15.0%May ’25−19.8%Aug ’25+8.9%Nov ’25−41.2%Feb ’26+49.5%May ’26−15.7%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Fluence Energy reported Q3 results marked by record order intake ($1.44B) and a record backlog of $6.4B, driven by new customer traction including data center/developer contracts totaling $850M. Revenue was $650M, up 8% year-over-year, but about $90M below prior expectations due to production start-up and construction delays at two new contract manufacturing facilities and one battery supply-related charge. Management lowered the 2026 revenue midpoint to $3.0B and adjusted EBITDA midpoint to negative $10M, citing ramp issues; they described actions taken to address execution, added manufacturing leadership, and remain confident in demand and long-term margins (targeting 10–15%). Liquidity was ~ $860M. Management emphasized positive trends in product differentiation (Smartstack density, safety, software integration) and rapid conversion in the data center segment, while acknowledging one-time costs (~$15M) and a $15M loss on a battery supply agreement.
Guidance
Management lowered fiscal 2026 revenue midpoint to $3.0 billion and adjusted EBITDA midpoint to negative $10 million. They implied Q4 gross margin around ~11% and reiterated coverage assumptions for fiscal 2027 of roughly 80%–90%.
Risks flagged
Execution and ramp risk from new contract manufacturing facilities (construction, automation, quality issues) that delayed deliveries; one-time costs and a $15M loss related to battery supply agreement; potential for additional incremental costs during ramp; supply-chain exposure (battery suppliers, inverter sourcing dynamics) and macro/industry uncertainties.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026−$0.24
est −$0.05
−380.0%$649.8M
est $818.6M
−20.6%−15.7%
May 6, 2026−$0.12
est −$0.14
+15.0%$464.9M
est $614.9M
−24.4%+49.5%
Feb 4, 2026−$0.34
est −$0.21
−61.9%$475.2M
est $481.2M
−1.2%−41.2%
Nov 24, 2025$0.13
est $0.19
−32.7%$1.04B
est $1.39B
−24.9%+8.9%
Aug 11, 2025$0.01
est −$0.02
+150.0%$602.5M
est $1.40B
−56.9%−19.8%
May 7, 2025−$0.24
est −$0.21
−14.3%$431.6M
est $325.3M
+32.7%+15.0%
Feb 10, 2025−$0.32
est −$0.17
−88.2%$186.8M
est $467.5M
−60.0%−44.1%
Nov 25, 2024$0.34
est $0.29
+17.2%$1.23B
est $1.29B
−4.4%−17.5%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Fluence Energy stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Fluence Energy is $10.00, +41.4% from the last close, from 19 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$10.00consensus 12-month target, +41.4% from the last close
Low $3High $20
Buy3
Hold11
Sell5

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 19 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 23Mizuho SecuritiesSell, maintained$6−15.1%
Sep 21J.P. MorganHold, maintained$8+13.2%
Sep 18JefferiesHold, downgraded$7−1.0%
Sep 18Mizuho SecuritiesSell, maintained$6−15.1%
Sep 17Piper SandlerSell, reiterated$5−29.3%
−0.6%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+5.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 4 years
±6.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Fluence Energy seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Fluence Energy averaged +5.2% across the last 4 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−10.0%2022−18.9%2023−2.1%2024+58.8%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+9.1%2 of 4
Next 10 trading days+3.6%1 of 4
Next 15 trading days+10.1%2 of 4
Next 20 trading days+5.2%1 of 4
Next 30 trading days+1.7%3 of 4

For scale, FLNC’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 16.9%.

Fluence Energy market cap and key statistics

Fluence Energy’s market cap is $1.30B and revenue of $2.63B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.30B
Forward P/E
54.6
EPS, TTM
−$0.60
Gekko Fair Value
$10.17

Trading

Volume
5.21M
Avg volume, 20 days
8.52M
52-week high
$33.51
52-week low
$7.01
Shares outstanding
143.2M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.63B
Profit margin
-3.1%
Return on equity
-23.5%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−63.7%

Risk and income

Beta
2.77
Typical daily move
±6.2%
Typical 20-day move
±16.9%

Fluence Energy peers

Fluence Energy’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GEVGE Vernova−0.3%Neutral10.6% above
ETNEaton−0.2%Neutral16.6% above
LITELumentum−9.6%Neutral2.1% below
AMEAMETEK+0.6%Neutral11.9% above
ROKRockwell Automation+0.4%Neutral13.6% above
HUBBHubbell+0.7%Neutral8.1% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Fluence Energy stock FAQ

What is Fluence Energy’s market cap?

Fluence Energy’s market cap is $1.30B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $7.07, with 143.2M shares outstanding.

What is the Fluence Energy stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Fluence Energy is $10.00, +41.4% from the last close. Of the 19 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 11 a hold and 5 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Fluence Energy stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Fluence Energy is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $7.07 is 30.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $10.17. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Fluence Energy report earnings next?

Fluence Energy is expected to report on Nov 23, 2026 (42 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.31 per share on revenue of $966.6M. Fluence Energy beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 26.5% on average across the report.

What is Fluence Energy’s 52-week high and low?

Fluence Energy’s 52-week high is $33.51 and its 52-week low is $7.01; it closed at $7.07 on Oct 12, 2026, −52.6% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $39.40 on Nov 15, 2021.

Is Fluence Energy stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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