Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for ZTO in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every ZTO insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ZTO in Gekko
ZTO Express (Cayman) (ZTO) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$19.67+0.18 (+0.9%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryZTO Express reports Q2 2026 revenue up 23% to USD 2.14 billion and EPS of USD 0.56, beating consensus, while adjusted net income rose 50.3% year-over-year to CNY 3.09 billion. Despite the beat, JPMorgan Chase cut its rating from Overweight to Neutral and lowered its price target from $29.00 to $22.00, weighing on sentiment. Separately, Alibaba sold approximately 25 million ZTO Class A shares for $500 million, reducing its stake to 6.1% as part of its broader pivot toward AI infrastructure and core e-commerce.
ZTO closed at $19.67, up 0.9% on the day, but remains below both its 50-day average of $22.04 and 200-day average of $23.05, with the 50-day below the 200-day. Shares are down 7.2% over one month, 11.3% over three months, and 18.2% over six months, though still up 2.2% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 67.7, placing ZTO in the Accumulation zone, and the price sits 25.7% below the Gekko Fair Value of $26.48.
The next earnings report is due 18 November 2026, 50 days away and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. Over the past 8 quarters, ZTO has beaten estimates 3 times, with an average absolute reaction of 4.7% and a -6.1% move after the last report. Seasonality over the past 5 years shows the next 20 trading days averaging -4.6%, rising in only 1 of those years. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current window, and analyst coverage from 3 firms shows 1 buy and 2 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $28.19.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
ZTO Express (Cayman) price vs fair value
Close $19.67200-day averageGekko Fair Value $26.48
ZTO Express (Cayman) quick facts
- Market cap
- $15.58B
- P/E ratio
- 10.3
- Forward P/E
- 9.4
- EPS, TTM
- $1.90
- Revenue, TTM
- $54.21B
- Profit margin
- 19%
- Dividend yield
- 3.54%
- Beta
- -0.23
- Volume
- 4.20M avg 2.95M
- 1-year return
- +2.2%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.4%
- 50-day average
- $22.04
- 200-day average
- $23.05
- Next earnings
- Nov 18
- Shares outstanding
- 545.6M
ZTO Express (Cayman) swing-trade checklist
ZTO Express (Cayman) scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $19.67 is below the 50-day ($22.04) and 200-day ($23.05) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
67.7, Accumulation
Reading 67.7 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
25.7% below
Price is 25.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 50 days
Next report Nov 18, 2026, 50 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−4.6% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −4.6% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
ZTO Express (Cayman) stock chart and price history
ZTO Express (Cayman) closed at $19.67 on Sep 28, 2026, +2.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $18.11 to $26.20.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −7.2%
- 3 months
- −11.3%
- 6 months
- −18.2%
- 1 year
- +2.2%
The full ZTO chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ZTO in Gekko
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About ZTO Express (Cayman)
ZTO Express (Cayman) provides expedited parcel delivery and integrated logistics services across the People's Republic of China. It arranges shipments for a broad customer base that includes online retailers, traditional businesses, and other organizations that need fast courier solutions, and it is recognized for this parcel and logistics work.
The company supports its delivery operations with a large truck fleet, numbering approximately 10,900 vehicles as of December 31, 2021, which underpins its capacity to move shipments for its varied client mix of e-commerce sellers and conventional companies.
ZTO Express (Cayman) was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China. Its shares trade under the ticker ZTO.
- Sector
- Transportation
- Website
- zto.com
ZTO Express (Cayman) GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
ZTO Express (Cayman)’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 67.7, in the Accumulation zone, down 4.6 points over five sessions.
67.7Accumulation
Down 4.6 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 27 | −1.3% | −4.4% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 34 | −1.8% | +1.9% | ||
| Neutral | 65 | −0.1% | −4.4% | ||
| Distribution | 3 | Too few readings yet | |||
| Selling | 0 | Not available | |||
Average ZTO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ZTO price, zone by zone.Track ZTO in Gekko
Is ZTO Express (Cayman) stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
ZTO Express (Cayman) trades 25.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $26.48, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what ZTO Express (Cayman) shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$26.48
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
25.7% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ZTO in Gekko
ZTO Express (Cayman) insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for ZTO Express (Cayman), and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in ZTO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for ZTO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ZTO in Gekko
ZTO Express (Cayman) earnings: next date and track record
ZTO Express (Cayman) reports on Nov 18, 2026 (50 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 18, 2026
50 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.50
- Revenue estimate
- $2.09B
3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.7%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | $0.56 est $3.41 | $2.14B est $2.15B | −6.1% |
| May 19, 2026 | $2.95 est $3.01 | $1.93B est $1.84B | −1.4% |
| Mar 17, 2026 | $3.31 est $3.13 | $2.07B est $2.05B | +7.2% |
| Nov 19, 2025 | $3.06 est $2.42 | $1.66B est $1.99B | +0.1% |
| Aug 19, 2025 | $2.37 est $2.89 | $1.65B est $1.70B | −3.4% |
| May 20, 2025 | $2.71 est $2.90 | $1.50B est $1.67B | −10.5% |
| Mar 18, 2025 | $3.24 est $3.28 | $1.77B est $1.61B | +5.0% |
| Nov 19, 2024 | $2.91 est $0.40 | $1.52B est $1.48B | −3.8% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
ZTO Express (Cayman) stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for ZTO Express (Cayman) is $28.19, +43.3% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$28.19consensus 12-month target, +43.3% from the last close
Now $19.67Avg $28.19
Low $21.60High $31.60
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28 | Bank of America Securities | $21.60 | +9.8% |
| Sep 2 | J.P. Morgan | $22 | +11.8% |
| Aug 19 | Bank of America Securities | $25.60 | +30.1% |
| Jul 8 | Macquarie | $31.60 | +60.7% |
| Jul 8 | Macquarie | $31.60 | +60.7% |
+1.9%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−4.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
ZTO Express (Cayman) seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, ZTO Express (Cayman) averaged −4.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +2.1% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +1.1% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +1.0% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −4.6% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −6.9% | 1 of 5 |
For scale, ZTO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.4%.
ZTO Express (Cayman) market cap and key statistics
ZTO Express (Cayman)’s market cap is $15.58B, with a P/E ratio of 10.3 and revenue of $54.21B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $15.58B
- P/E ratio
- 10.3
- Forward P/E
- 9.4
- EPS, TTM
- $1.90
- Gekko Fair Value
- $26.48
Trading
- Volume
- 4.20M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 2.95M
- 52-week high
- $26.20
- 52-week low
- $18.11
- Shares outstanding
- 545.6M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $54.21B
- Profit margin
- 19%
- Return on equity
- 16.3%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +58.1%
Risk and income
- Beta
- -0.23
- Typical daily move
- ±2.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.4%
- Dividend yield
- 3.54%
ZTO Express (Cayman) stock news this week
Coverage of ZTO Express (Cayman) this week reads neutral: 2 positive, 5 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- ZTO Express stock weighs earnings beat against lower targetAD HOC NEWS, Sep 28
- ZTO Express stock faces JPMorgan target cut to USD 22.00AD HOC NEWS, Sep 28
- ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American Depositary Shares each representing one Class A. (ZTO) Stock Price | Live Quotes & Charts | NYSEtimothysykes.com, Sep 25
- Alibaba Sells $500 Million of ZTO Express Shares at a Discount, Cutting Stake to 6.1%BigGo Finance, Sep 23
- Alibaba trims its ZTO (NYSE: ZTO) stake in New York stock saleStock Titan, Sep 23
- ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO) Stock Down 7.2% -- Now Undervalued? GF Score: 96/100GuruFocus, Sep 22
ZTO Express (Cayman) stock FAQ
What is ZTO Express (Cayman)’s market cap?
ZTO Express (Cayman)’s market cap is $15.58B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $19.67, with 545.6M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 10.3.
What is the ZTO Express (Cayman) stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for ZTO Express (Cayman) is $28.19, +43.3% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is ZTO Express (Cayman) stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate ZTO Express (Cayman) is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $19.67 is 25.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $26.48. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does ZTO Express (Cayman) report earnings next?
ZTO Express (Cayman) is expected to report on Nov 18, 2026 (50 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.50 per share on revenue of $2.09B. ZTO Express (Cayman) beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.7% on average across the report.
What is ZTO Express (Cayman)’s 52-week high and low?
ZTO Express (Cayman)’s 52-week high is $26.20 and its 52-week low is $18.11; it closed at $19.67 on Sep 28, 2026, +2.2% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $34.82 on Nov 18, 2021.
Is ZTO Express (Cayman) stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk) and 2 as headwinds (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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