NASDAQ: WDFC

WD-40 (WDFC) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$202.78+0.49 (+0.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

WD-40 reported strong fiscal third-quarter results, with revenue up 24.3% and EBITDA reaching $44 million, driven by promotional programs and international expansion. Despite that strength, analyst Daniel Jones downgraded the stock to Sell on concerns about high valuation and underperformance relative to the S&P 500, while other commentary flagged a P/E of 30.5x against a 17.0x sector average. Separately, the company declared a regular quarterly dividend of $1.02 per share, payable 30 October to shareholders of record 19 October, equating to a 2.0% yield.

WDFC closed at $202.78, down slightly on the day and sitting below both its 50-day average of $210.74 and its 200-day average of $218.73, with the shorter average also below the longer one. The GekkoIndex reading stands at 59, placing the stock in the Neutral zone. Against this backdrop, Gekko Fair Value is set at $248.31, putting the current price 18.3% below that mark.

The next earnings date falls on 21 October 2026, after the close, just 9 days away and within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 9 July produced a 7.4% reaction, with 6 beats in the last 8 quarters. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged a 2.7% gain across 5 years, rising in 4 of them, a pattern worth noting alongside the upcoming report.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

WD-40 price vs fair value

$248.31$202.78Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $202.78200-day averageGekko Fair Value $248.31

WD-40 quick facts

Market cap
$2.72B
P/E ratio
31
Forward P/E
52.6
EPS, TTM
$6.58
Revenue, TTM
$674.7M
Profit margin
13.2%
Dividend yield
1.99%
Beta
0.26
Volume
84,373 avg 123,859
1-year return
+5.2%
Typical daily move
±2.1%
Typical 20-day move
±5.2%
50-day average
$210.74
200-day average
$218.73
Next earnings
Oct 21 after close
Shares outstanding
13.42M
52-week range
$175.38$298.90

WD-40 swing-trade checklist

WD-40 scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $202.78 is below the 50-day ($210.74) and 200-day ($218.73) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    59, Neutral

    Reading 59 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    18.3% below

    Price is 18.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 9 days

    Reports on Oct 21, 2026, 9 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +2.7% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.7% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

WD-40 stock chart and price history

WD-40 closed at $202.78 on Oct 12, 2026, +5.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $175.38 to $298.90.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
WD-40 share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$220$240$260NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct202.78

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+4.1%
3 months
−18.6%
6 months
−2.1%
1 year
+5.2%
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Follow WD-40 through every session

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About WD-40

WD-40 makes and sells maintenance, home care, and cleaning products used by households and professionals around the world, with operations spanning the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia Pacific. Its name brand, the WD-40 Multi-Use product, comes in aerosol, trigger spray, and bulk liquid forms and is the item most associated with the company. A separate WD-40 Specialist range targets more technical jobs such as penetrating, degreasing, lubricating, and rust removal, while WD-40 Bike and GT85 serve cyclists and 3-IN-ONE covers drip oils and other specialty lubricants.

Outside of maintenance, the company produces household cleaning items, including toilet bowl cleaners under 2000 Flushes and X-14, carpet and odor treatments under Spot Shot and Carpet Fresh, general household cleaners under 1001, and heavy-duty hand cleaners sold as Lava in the United States and Solvol in Australia. These products reach buyers through warehouse clubs, hardware and automotive retailers, industrial distributors, large chains, home centers, discount and grocery stores, online marketplaces, farm supply outlets, sporting goods stores, and independent bike shops.

WD-40 was founded in 1953 and is headquartered in San Diego, California. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker WDFC.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Process industries
Industry
Industrial specialties
Website
wd40company.com

WD-40 GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

WD-40’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 59, in the Neutral zone, up 1.4 points over five sessions.

010059Neutral

Up 1.4 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying70−0.2%+0.1%+0.9%−0.5%
Accumulation280+0.2%+0.1%+0.6%+1.5%
Neutral (current zone)302−0.4%−0.7%−1.8%−2.8%
Distribution29+0.1%+0.2%−2.7%−7.1%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average WDFC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the WDFC price, zone by zone.Track WDFC in Gekko

Is WD-40 stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

WD-40 trades 18.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $248.31, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what WD-40 shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$248.31

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

18.3% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 21.7% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$248$202Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open WDFC in Gekko

WD-40 insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for WD-40, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for WDFC in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every WDFC insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open WDFC in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in WDFC were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for WDFC, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open WDFC in Gekko

Buybacks

WD-40 has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended May 31, 2026
$4.48M
As a share of market cap
0.16%
Trailing four quarters
$22.89M

From company filings.

WD-40 earnings: next date and track record

WD-40 reports on Oct 21, 2026, after the close (9 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.9%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−4.7%Oct ’24−5.0%Jan ’25−8.6%Apr ’25−2.8%Jul ’25+4.0%Oct ’25−4.5%Jan ’26−2.4%Apr ’26+7.4%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 9, 2026 AI summary

What they said
WD-40 Company reported strong Q3 fiscal 2026 results with consolidated net sales up 24% year-over-year to $195 million, driven by maintenance products which rose 26% and set a company record. Operating income increased 47%, reflecting operating leverage. Gross margin improved 40 basis points to 56.6%, though management expects near-term margin pressure from elevated input costs related to geopolitical disruption in the Middle East. Management has implemented price increases (primarily in Europe and Asia Pacific, and earlier in the U.S.), cost reduction actions, and is adjusting inventories; they reclassified their Americas home care and cleaning business as held for use and will no longer actively market those brands. Key growth drivers included expanded distribution (notably a 7,000-store new U.S. customer), strong WD-40 Multi-Use Product performance in the U.S. and Latin America, robust e-commerce, large retailer promotions (notably a Disney/Home Depot “king of the hill” promotion showing ~75% incremental sales after one month), and accelerated WD-40 Specialist growth (strong double-digit growth and successful BIOLUBE launches). Management introduced an “enduring business model” prioritizing EBITDA growth ahead of revenue growth and narrowed FY guidance ranges, raising bottom-end expectations. They expect some gross margin pressure in Q4 and potentially into FY27 but have measures in place to defend margins.
Guidance
Company narrowed fiscal year guidance ranges and raised the bottom end of revenue, operating income and EPS guidance. Operating income guidance cited in the call: $107 million to $113 million. Full-year gross margin expected to land roughly between 54.5% and 55.5%; management referenced a midpoint target of ~55% gross margin including Household Brands (which reduces margin by ~40 basis points). They expect the benefits of price increases to be realized starting FY27 and continuing into Q1/FY27. (No detailed revenue or EPS numeric guidance provided in the transcript beyond narrative statements and operating income range.)
Risks flagged
Elevated input costs driven by geopolitical events in the Middle East (specialty chemicals and base oils increased materially, in some cases 50% or more); potential for further cost escalation; timing and pace of commodity cost normalization is uncertain; potential retailer/customer pushback to price increases (though limited so far); inventory and supply considerations (advanced buying/pull-forward impacts); uncertainty about FY27 outcomes due to volatile macro/geopolitical environment; decision to stop actively marketing home care and cleaning brands (reclassified held for use) introduces execution/transition risk.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 9, 2026$2.33
est $1.58
+47.5%$195.1M
est $172.8M
+12.9%+7.4%
Apr 9, 2026$1.50
est $1.41
+6.4%$161.7M
est $154.4M
+4.7%−2.4%
Jan 8, 2026$1.28
est $1.36
−5.9%$154.4M
est $155.1M
−0.4%−4.5%
Oct 22, 2025$1.56
est $1.25
+24.8%$163.5M
est $153.9M
+6.2%+4.0%
Jul 10, 2025$1.54
est $1.43
+7.7%$156.9M
est $160.6M
−2.3%−2.8%
Apr 8, 2025$1.32
est $1.27
+3.9%$146.1M
est $154.4M
−5.4%−8.6%
Jan 10, 2025$1.39
est $1.26
+10.3%$153.5M
est $149.0M
+3.0%−5.0%
Oct 17, 2024$1.23
est $1.34
−8.2%$156.0M
est $149.2M
+4.6%−4.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

WD-40 stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for WD-40 is $271.67, +34.0% from the last close, from 1 firm rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$271.67consensus 12-month target, +34.0% from the last close
Buy1
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 1 firm.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Jul 16William BlairBuy, reiterated——
−1.8%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+2.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

WD-40 seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, WD-40 averaged +2.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+1.9%2021−7.5%2022+7.7%2023+5.3%2024+3.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.9%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.9%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days−0.6%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+2.7%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+5.7%5 of 5

For scale, WDFC’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.2%.

WD-40 market cap and key statistics

WD-40’s market cap is $2.72B, with a P/E ratio of 31 and revenue of $674.7M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.72B
P/E ratio
31
Forward P/E
52.6
EPS, TTM
$6.58
Gekko Fair Value
$248.31

Trading

Volume
84,373
Avg volume, 20 days
123,859
52-week high
$298.90
52-week low
$175.38
Shares outstanding
13.42M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$674.7M
Profit margin
13.2%
Return on equity
33.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+45.5%

Risk and income

Beta
0.26
Typical daily move
±2.1%
Typical 20-day move
±5.2%
Dividend yield
1.99%

WD-40 peers

WD-40’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
SHWSherwin-Williams+1.3%Accumulation6.3% above
PPGPPG Industries+0.4%Accumulation15.6% below
RPMRPM International+0.4%Accumulation14.8% below
AXTAAxalta Coating Systems+2.0%Accumulation24.0% below
CSWCSW Industrials+0.6%Accumulation4.0% above
AZZAZZ+0.7%Neutral15.1% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

WD-40 stock FAQ

What is WD-40’s market cap?

WD-40’s market cap is $2.72B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $202.78, with 13.42M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 31.

What is the WD-40 stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for WD-40 is $271.67, +34.0% from the last close. Of the 1 firm that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is WD-40 stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate WD-40 is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $202.78 is 18.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $248.31. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does WD-40 report earnings next?

WD-40 is expected to report on Oct 21, 2026, after the market closes (9 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.13 per share on revenue of $172.1M. WD-40 beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.9% on average across the report.

What is WD-40’s 52-week high and low?

WD-40’s 52-week high is $298.90 and its 52-week low is $175.38; it closed at $202.78 on Oct 12, 2026, +5.2% over the past year.

Is WD-40 stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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