NYSE: AXTA

Axalta Coating Systems (AXTA) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$32.68−0.21 (−0.6%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Axalta's week centers on its proposed $25 billion coatings merger with AkzoNobel, now filed for EU approval, with regulators facing an October 22 deadline that could be extended if remedies are offered; car repair shops have raised concerns about the deal. Alongside this, Wall Street Zen upgraded the stock to "strong-buy" from "buy" following a quarterly report that surpassed analyst estimates for EPS and revenue, and commentary has pointed to five consecutive quarters of EBITDA margins above 21% amid cost controls and plant optimizations.

Shares closed at $32.68, down 0.6%, sitting between the 50-day average of $35.03 and the 200-day average of $32.13. The one-month return stands at -10.9%, while the six-month and one-year returns are 21.7% and 17.6% respectively. The GekkoIndex reads 65.1, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 25.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $43.85.

Earnings are scheduled for 27 October 2026, 28 days out, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding period. Analyst consensus across 8 firms shows 3 buy and 5 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $39.33 implying 20.3% upside. Seasonality over 5 years shows an average 20-day return of 1.6% from this point, with gains in 3 of those years. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears within their respective windows.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Axalta Coating Systems price vs fair value

$43.85$32.68Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $32.68200-day averageGekko Fair Value $43.85

Axalta Coating Systems quick facts

Market cap
$6.99B
P/E ratio
19.9
Forward P/E
11.3
EPS, TTM
$1.62
Revenue, TTM
$5.15B
Profit margin
6.8%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.24
Volume
1.24M avg 1.92M
1-year return
+17.6%
Typical daily move
±2.6%
Typical 20-day move
±5.4%
50-day average
$35.03
200-day average
$32.13
Next earnings
Oct 27
Shares outstanding
214.0M
52-week range
$24.94$38.61

Axalta Coating Systems swing-trade checklist

Axalta Coating Systems scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $32.68 sits between the 50-day ($35.03) and 200-day ($32.13) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    65.1, Accumulation

    Reading 65.1 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    25.5% below

    Price is 25.5% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 28 days

    Reports on Oct 27, 2026, 28 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +1.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.6% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Axalta Coating Systems stock chart and price history

Axalta Coating Systems closed at $32.68 on Sep 28, 2026, +17.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $24.94 to $38.61.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Axalta Coating Systems share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$25$30$35NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep32.68

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−10.9%
3 months
−3.9%
6 months
+21.7%
1 year
+17.6%
The full AXTA chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open AXTA in Gekko

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About Axalta Coating Systems

Axalta Coating Systems develops, produces and sells performance coatings used to refinish vehicles and to protect and decorate industrial products. It operates across North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia Pacific and Latin America, and is known for its range of paint and coating products for both auto body repair and manufacturing uses.

The business runs through two segments. Performance Coatings supplies water-borne and solvent-borne refinish products to independent body shops, multi-shop operators and OEM dealership body shops, along with liquid and powder coatings for architectural, automotive component, industrial, energy, HVAC, appliance, wood, coil and pipeline applications, sold under brands such as Voltatex, Durapon, Alesta and Nap-Gard. Transportation Coatings supplies electrocoat, primer, basecoat and clearcoat layers to OEMs building light-duty and commercial vehicles, as well as coatings for heavy-duty trucks, buses and rail vehicles, under names including Imron, Centari and Corlar. Its wider portfolio also carries brands such as Cromax, Standox, Nason and U-POL.

Axalta was established in 1866 and is headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker AXTA.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Process industries
Industry
Industrial specialties
Website
axalta.com

Axalta Coating Systems GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Axalta Coating Systems’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 65.1, in the Accumulation zone, down 9.7 points over five sessions.

010065.1Accumulation

Down 9.7 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying46−0.3%+0.8%+5.1%+2.7%
Accumulation (current zone)229+1.0%+2.0%+3.6%+3.6%
Neutral377−0.4%−1.0%−1.9%−0.4%
Distribution19+0.6%+0.6%+1.0%−0.1%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average AXTA share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AXTA price, zone by zone.Track AXTA in Gekko

Is Axalta Coating Systems stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Axalta Coating Systems trades 25.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $43.85, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Axalta Coating Systems shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$43.85

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

25.5% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AXTA in Gekko

Axalta Coating Systems insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Axalta Coating Systems, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for AXTA in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every AXTA insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AXTA in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in AXTA were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for AXTA, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AXTA in Gekko

Buybacks

Axalta Coating Systems has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2025
$100.0M
As a share of market cap
1.43%
Trailing four quarters
$215.0M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold AXTA.

0added1opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Axalta Coating Systems earnings: next date and track record

Axalta Coating Systems reports on Oct 27, 2026 (28 days away).

Axalta Coating Systems stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Axalta Coating Systems is $39.33, +20.3% from the last close, from 8 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$39.33consensus 12-month target, +20.3% from the last close
Low $33High $47
Buy3
Hold5
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 8 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 11KeyBancBuy, initiated$47+43.8%
Jul 29Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained$42+28.5%
Jul 29BMO CapitalHold, maintained$39+19.3%
Jul 29UBSHold, maintained$39+19.3%
Jul 29Wells FargoHold, reiterated$33+1.0%
+3.6%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+1.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Axalta Coating Systems seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Axalta Coating Systems averaged +1.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+4.2%2021+11.2%2022−5.5%2023−1.7%2024+3.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.3%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.3%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.6%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.6%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+9.8%5 of 5

For scale, AXTA’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.4%.

Axalta Coating Systems market cap and key statistics

Axalta Coating Systems’s market cap is $6.99B, with a P/E ratio of 19.9 and revenue of $5.15B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$6.99B
P/E ratio
19.9
Forward P/E
11.3
EPS, TTM
$1.62
Gekko Fair Value
$43.85

Trading

Volume
1.24M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.92M
52-week high
$38.61
52-week low
$24.94
Shares outstanding
214.0M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$5.15B
Profit margin
6.8%
Return on equity
14.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−18.0%

Risk and income

Beta
1.24
Typical daily move
±2.6%
Typical 20-day move
±5.4%

Axalta Coating Systems peers

Axalta Coating Systems’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
SHWSherwin-Williams+2.2%Neutral10.9% above
PPGPPG Industries+1.0%Accumulation12.4% below
RPMRPM International+1.3%Accumulation8.8% below
CSWCSW Industrials+0.7%Accumulation6.4% above
AZZAZZ−1.0%Accumulation17.7% below
WDFCWD-40+2.3%Accumulation17.7% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Axalta Coating Systems stock FAQ

What is Axalta Coating Systems’s market cap?

Axalta Coating Systems’s market cap is $6.99B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $32.68, with 214.0M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 19.9.

What is the Axalta Coating Systems stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Axalta Coating Systems is $39.33, +20.3% from the last close. Of the 8 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Axalta Coating Systems stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Axalta Coating Systems is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $32.68 is 25.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $43.85. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Axalta Coating Systems report earnings next?

Axalta Coating Systems is expected to report on Oct 27, 2026 (28 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.72 per share on revenue of $1.33B.

What is Axalta Coating Systems’s 52-week high and low?

Axalta Coating Systems’s 52-week high is $38.61 and its 52-week low is $24.94; it closed at $32.68 on Sep 28, 2026, +17.6% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $41.66 on Nov 25, 2024.

Is Axalta Coating Systems stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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