NYSE: SHW

Sherwin-Williams (SHW) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$363.50+22.63 (+6.6%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Sherwin-Williams shares climbed this week even as the company flagged a softer 2027 demand outlook, with management pointing to muted demand, end-market choppiness and higher raw material costs, offset in part by pricing, efficiency measures and roughly $75 million in cost savings. Automotive refinish growth slowed to low single digits, with CEO Heidi Petz describing uneven demand across shop sizes, while the stock rose 5.9% on 2 November despite the cautious tone and a narrowed gross margin reported at the last earnings call. BNP Paribas trimmed its price target to $352 from $360, even as the broader analyst consensus mean target sits at $375.52.

The stock closed at $363.50, up 6.6%, trading above both its 50-day average of $329.61 and 200-day average of $332.72, with one-month returns of 13.2% and six-month returns of 12.3%. The GekkoIndex reads 48.5, placing it in the Neutral zone, down 13 points over five sessions. Price sits 21.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $299.55.

The next earnings report is scheduled for 28 January 2027, 84 days out, beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Over the last 90 days, Congress recorded 1 buy and 0 sells, and two billionaire holders and one trailblazer holder are noted. Seasonality over five years shows an average 20-day return of 8.3% from this point, rising in 4 of those years. Analyst sentiment stands at 10 buy and 9 hold ratings among 19 firms, with a consensus target of $374.04.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Sherwin-Williams price vs fair value

$363.50$299.55Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $363.50200-day averageGekko Fair Value $299.55

Sherwin-Williams quick facts

Market cap
$87.82B
P/E ratio
32.4
Forward P/E
24.2
EPS, TTM
$10.87
Revenue, TTM
$24.91B
Profit margin
10.7%
Dividend yield
0.96%
Beta
1.05
Volume
3.14M avg 1.85M
1-year return
+5.2%
Typical daily move
±3.2%
Typical 20-day move
±5.3%
50-day average
$329.61
200-day average
$332.72
Next earnings
Jan 28
Shares outstanding
241.6M
52-week range
$289.86$377.77

Sherwin-Williams swing-trade checklist

Sherwin-Williams scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $363.50 sits between the 50-day ($329.61) and 200-day ($332.72) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    48.5, Neutral

    Reading 48.5 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    21.3% above

    Price is 21.3% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 1 buy / 0 sales.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 84 days

    Next report Jan 28, 2027, 84 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +8.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +8.3% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Sherwin-Williams stock chart and price history

Sherwin-Williams closed at $363.50 on Nov 4, 2026, +5.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $289.86 to $377.77.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Sherwin-Williams share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$300$320$340DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct363.50

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+13.2%
3 months
0.0%
6 months
+12.3%
1 year
+5.2%
The full SHW chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open SHW in Gekko

Follow Sherwin-Williams through every session

Put SHW on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Sherwin-Williams

Sherwin-Williams makes and markets paint, coatings and related goods, reaching everyone from painting professionals and factories to businesses and homeowners shopping for do-it-yourself projects. The company has built much of its public identity around its own branded paint stores.

Its work is split into three areas. One area sells house paint, marine and protective finishes, and factory-applied coatings, mostly to trade painters and homeowners through outlets carrying the Sherwin-Williams name. Another produces both branded and store-label paints, stains, wood treatments, glues and similar items, which it places with home-improvement chains, hardware shops, dealers and distributors. The third supplies coatings for wood and general manufacturing, vehicle repainting, marine and protective uses, metal coil and container coatings, plus resins and colorants, moving these through retailers, dealers, jobbers and licensed partners. Together these businesses reach customers across the Americas, Europe, Asia and Australia.

The company traces back to 1866 and keeps its main offices in Cleveland, Ohio. Its stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker SHW.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Process industries
Industry
Industrial specialties
Website
sherwin-williams.com

Sherwin-Williams GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Sherwin-Williams’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 48.5, in the Neutral zone, down 13 points over five sessions.

010048.5Neutral

Down 13 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying35+0.4%+1.2%+3.2%−0.1%
Accumulation251+0.7%+1.5%+2.7%+4.6%
Neutral (current zone)372−0.3%−0.7%−1.4%−1.8%
Distribution36+0.4%+0.6%+1.1%−1.2%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average SHW share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SHW price, zone by zone.Track SHW in Gekko

Is Sherwin-Williams stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Sherwin-Williams trades 21.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $299.55, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Sherwin-Williams shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$299.55

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

21.3% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 8.8% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$300$341Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SHW in Gekko

Sherwin-Williams insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Sherwin-Williams, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for SHW in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every SHW insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SHW in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Oct 9
traded Sep 25

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Sherwin-Williams has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026
$520.1M
As a share of market cap
0.59%
Trailing four quarters
$2.48B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

3of the funds Gekko tracks hold SHW.

2added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Sherwin-Williams earnings: next date and track record

Sherwin-Williams reports on Jan 28, 2027 (84 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.3%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−0.6%Jan ’25+6.2%Apr ’25+0.5%Jul ’25+2.9%Oct ’25+1.4%Jan ’26−5.4%Apr ’26+5.1%Jul ’26−4.3%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 27, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Sherwin-Williams reported high single-digit consolidated sales growth in Q3 2026, with mid single-digit price/mix and low single-digit volume/acquisition contributions. Adjusted EBITDA grew 3.3% to $1.4 billion at 20.5% margin. Adjusted diluted EPS increased approximately 1%, constrained by higher raw material costs and Suvenil acquisition dilution. The company returned $749 million to shareholders in Q3 ($3 billion YTD) and maintains net debt/EBITDA of 2.4x.
Guidance
Management maintained the midpoint of full year adjusted diluted EPS guidance (raised in July). Cost actions taken are expected to deliver approximately $25 million in 2026 savings, with additional Q4 initiatives providing incremental 2027 benefits. Full year reported SG&A expected to increase mid single digits.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 27, 2026$3.63
est $3.69
−1.6%$6.86B
est $6.78B
+1.2%−4.3%
Jul 28, 2026$3.70
est $3.56
+3.9%$6.79B
est $6.60B
+2.8%+5.1%
Apr 28, 2026$2.35
est $2.28
+3.1%$5.67B
est $5.56B
+1.9%−5.4%
Jan 29, 2026$2.23
est $2.16
+3.2%$5.60B
est $5.57B
+0.5%+1.4%
Oct 28, 2025$3.59
est $3.45
+4.1%$6.36B
est $6.20B
+2.5%+2.9%
Jul 22, 2025$3.38
est $3.76
−10.1%$6.31B
est $6.29B
+0.3%+0.5%
Apr 29, 2025$2.25
est $2.15
+4.7%$5.31B
est $5.40B
−1.7%+6.2%
Jan 30, 2025$2.09
est $2.06
+1.5%$5.30B
est $5.32B
−0.4%−0.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Sherwin-Williams stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Sherwin-Williams is $374.04, +2.9% from the last close, from 19 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$374.04consensus 12-month target, +2.9% from the last close
Low $329High $420
Buy10
Hold9
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 19 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 29Deutsche Bank Hold, maintained$355−2.3%
Oct 29CitiBuy, maintained$370+1.8%
Oct 29Morgan StanleyBuy, reiterated$395+8.7%
Oct 28Wells FargoHold, maintained$340−6.5%
Oct 28Morgan StanleyBuy, reiterated$395+8.7%
−1.4%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+8.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Sherwin-Williams seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Sherwin-Williams averaged +8.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+7.5%2021+17.3%2022+13.0%2023+5.6%2024−1.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.7%5 of 5
Next 10 trading days+3.4%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+6.3%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+8.3%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+6.5%3 of 5

For scale, SHW’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.3%.

Sherwin-Williams market cap and key statistics

Sherwin-Williams’s market cap is $87.82B, with a P/E ratio of 32.4 and revenue of $24.91B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$87.82B
P/E ratio
32.4
Forward P/E
24.2
EPS, TTM
$10.87
Gekko Fair Value
$299.55

Trading

Volume
3.14M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.85M
52-week high
$377.77
52-week low
$289.86
Shares outstanding
241.6M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$24.91B
Profit margin
10.7%
Return on equity
63.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+0.9%

Risk and income

Beta
1.05
Typical daily move
±3.2%
Typical 20-day move
±5.3%
Dividend yield
0.96%

Sherwin-Williams peers

Sherwin-Williams’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
PPGPPG Industries+3.4%Distribution1.3% above
RPMRPM International+0.1%Neutral5.4% below
AXTAAxalta Coating Systems+2.8%Neutral14.5% below
CSWCSW Industrials+2.7%Neutral6.7% above
AZZAZZ−4.9%Accumulation18.4% below
WDFCWD-40+2.9%Neutral12.7% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Industrial specialties

Sherwin-Williams stock FAQ

What is Sherwin-Williams’s market cap?

Sherwin-Williams’s market cap is $87.82B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $363.50, with 241.6M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 32.4.

What is the Sherwin-Williams stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Sherwin-Williams is $374.04, +2.9% from the last close. Of the 19 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 10 rate it a buy, 9 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Sherwin-Williams stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Sherwin-Williams is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $363.50 is 21.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $299.55. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Sherwin-Williams report earnings next?

Sherwin-Williams is expected to report on Jan 28, 2027 (84 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.34 per share on revenue of $5.90B. Sherwin-Williams beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.3% on average across the report.

What is Sherwin-Williams’s 52-week high and low?

Sherwin-Williams’s 52-week high is $377.77 and its 52-week low is $289.86; it closed at $363.50 on Nov 4, 2026, +5.2% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $400.42 on Nov 27, 2024.

Is Sherwin-Williams stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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