NYSE: OLN

Olin (OLN) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$14.71−0.18 (−1.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Olin fell to a new 52-week low this week, with shares touching $14.94 amid what reports describe as volatile chemical markets, a plant outage and ongoing litigation. UBS cut its price target on the stock to $18 from $21 while maintaining a Neutral rating, citing similar pressures, though separate coverage noted Olin is set to join the S&P SmallCap 600 and has secured a contract with the U.S. Military. The company also named Brad Morrison as manufacturing director for its Texas Operations.

The stock closed at $14.71, down 1.2%, and sits below both its 50-day average of $17.30 and its 200-day average of $22.77, with the 50-day itself below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 71.9, placing OLN in the Buying zone. Price stands 47.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $27.94.

Olin reports third-quarter results on 29 October 2026, before the open, 17 days away and within a typical 20-trading-day holding period; the prior quarter's report produced a -16.6% reaction. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged +2.7% across 5 years, rising in 2 of them. Consensus among 12 covering firms includes 1 buy, 10 hold and 1 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $20.20.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Olin price vs fair value

$27.94$14.71Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $14.71200-day averageGekko Fair Value $27.94

Olin quick facts

Market cap
$1.68B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
25.8
EPS, TTM
−$1.73
Revenue, TTM
$6.70B
Profit margin
-2.9%
Dividend yield
5.03%
Beta
1.23
Volume
3.26M avg 4.25M
1-year return
−40.8%
Typical daily move
±4.2%
Typical 20-day move
±8.6%
50-day average
$17.30
200-day average
$22.77
Next earnings
Oct 29 before open
Shares outstanding
114.0M
52-week range
$14.65$30.46

Olin swing-trade checklist

Olin scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $14.71 is below the 50-day ($17.30) and 200-day ($22.77) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    71.9, Buying

    Reading 71.9 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    47.4% below

    Price is 47.4% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 17 days

    Reports on Oct 29, 2026, 17 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +2.7% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.7% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Olin stock chart and price history

Olin closed at $14.71 on Oct 12, 2026, −40.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $14.65 to $30.46.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Olin share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$20$25$30NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct14.71

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−14.5%
3 months
−32.1%
6 months
−50.0%
1 year
−40.8%
The full OLN chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open OLN in Gekko

Follow Olin through every session

Put OLN on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Olin

Olin makes and supplies a wide range of chemical products to customers in the United States, Europe, and other international markets. Its work spans basic industrial chemicals such as chlorine and caustic soda, vinyl compounds, epoxy materials and resins used in coatings, adhesives, and construction, as well as ammunition sold under the Winchester name for hunting, sport shooting, law enforcement, and military use.

The business is organized into three segments. One handles chlor alkali products and vinyls, covering chlorinated chemicals and related industrial substances. Another focuses on epoxy materials, from precursor chemicals to finished resins used in manufacturing and infrastructure projects. The third, Winchester, produces sporting and military ammunition along with industrial items like powder-actuated tool loads. Olin reaches its customers through a direct sales force, selling to industrial buyers, distributors, retailers, mass merchants, and government bodies, including the U.S. Government and its contractors.

Olin was founded in 1892 and is headquartered in Clayton, Missouri. Its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker OLN.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Process industries
Industry
Industrial specialties
Website
olin.com

Olin GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Olin’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 71.9, in the Buying zone, up 4.3 points over five sessions.

010071.9Buying

Up 4.3 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)93−0.1%+0.4%−2.7%−13.9%
Accumulation281−0.5%−1.7%−3.5%−8.0%
Neutral298−0.9%−1.4%−2.0%−3.8%
Distribution9Too few readings yet
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average OLN share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the OLN price, zone by zone.Track OLN in Gekko

Is Olin stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Olin trades 47.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $27.94, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Olin shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$27.94

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

47.4% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 17.5% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$28$15Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open OLN in Gekko

Olin insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Olin, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for OLN in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every OLN insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open OLN in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in OLN were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for OLN, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open OLN in Gekko

Buybacks

Olin has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2025
$10.10M
As a share of market cap
0.60%
Trailing four quarters
$50.50M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold OLN.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Olin earnings: next date and track record

Olin reports on Oct 29, 2026, before the open (17 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.6%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−8.1%Oct ’24−10.3%Jan ’25+2.7%May ’25+3.0%Jul ’25−12.6%Oct ’25−8.5%Jan ’26−6.8%May ’26−16.6%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary

What they said
OLN announced a planned merger with Huntsman creating a $12B+ vertically integrated North American chemicals leader with $400M targeted synergies expected to close H1 2027. Q2 saw benefits from supply chain disruptions from the Frank conflict boosting caustic soda and EDC export pricing, while an unplanned VCM shutdown at Freeport cost $40M in adjusted EBITDA. Epoxy achieved its best results in 3+ years, and Winchester commercial ammunition showed year-over-year demand recovery.
Guidance
Q3 outlook includes $20M EBITDA impact from ongoing Freeport VCM repairs and reduced volumes from planned chlorine customer shutdowns. Export pricing trends will offset stronger domestic caustic pricing in Q3, with product availability expected to tighten in Q4 due to higher feedstock costs and planned industry shutdowns.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 30, 2026$0.07
est $0.07
0.0%$1.74B
est $1.81B
−3.5%−16.6%
May 7, 2026−$0.33
est −$0.64
+48.4%$1.58B
est $1.62B
−2.3%−6.8%
Jan 29, 2026−$0.58
est −$0.64
+9.2%$1.67B
est $1.54B
+8.2%−8.5%
Oct 27, 2025$0.40
est $0.08
+426.9%$1.71B
est $1.73B
−1.2%−12.6%
Jul 28, 2025$0.05
est $0.10
−50.5%$1.76B
est $1.74B
+0.8%+3.0%
May 1, 2025$0.04
est −$0.10
+140.0%$1.64B
est $1.58B
+4.4%+2.7%
Jan 30, 2025$0.18
est −$0.04
+550.0%$1.67B
est $1.55B
+8.1%−10.3%
Oct 24, 2024−$0.15
est $0.03
−600.0%$1.59B
est $1.58B
+0.4%−8.1%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Olin stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Olin is $20.20, +37.3% from the last close, from 12 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$20.20consensus 12-month target, +37.3% from the last close
Low $16High $26
Buy1
Hold10
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 12 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 12BarclaysHold, initiated$18+22.4%
Oct 6Deutsche Bank Hold, maintained$18+22.4%
Oct 5UBSHold, maintained$18+22.4%
Oct 5Bank of America SecuritiesSell, maintained$16+8.8%
Oct 1CitiHold, maintained$17+15.6%
−2.7%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+2.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Olin seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Olin averaged +2.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+21.9%2021+22.4%2022−11.0%2023−8.5%2024−12.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.9%5 of 5
Next 10 trading days+3.3%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days0.0%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+2.7%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+2.3%2 of 5

For scale, OLN’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.6%.

Olin market cap and key statistics

Olin’s market cap is $1.68B and revenue of $6.70B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.68B
Forward P/E
25.8
EPS, TTM
−$1.73
Gekko Fair Value
$27.94

Trading

Volume
3.26M
Avg volume, 20 days
4.25M
52-week high
$30.46
52-week low
$14.65
Shares outstanding
114.0M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$6.70B
Profit margin
-2.9%
Return on equity
-10.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−97.5%

Risk and income

Beta
1.23
Typical daily move
±4.2%
Typical 20-day move
±8.6%
Dividend yield
5.03%

Olin stock news this week

Coverage of Olin this week reads neutral: 1 positive, 4 neutral and 3 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

Olin peers

Olin’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
SHWSherwin-Williams+1.3%Accumulation6.3% above
PPGPPG Industries+0.4%Accumulation15.6% below
RPMRPM International+0.4%Accumulation14.8% below
AXTAAxalta Coating Systems+2.0%Accumulation24.0% below
CSWCSW Industrials+0.6%Accumulation4.0% above
AZZAZZ+0.7%Neutral15.1% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Olin stock FAQ

What is Olin’s market cap?

Olin’s market cap is $1.68B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $14.71, with 114.0M shares outstanding.

What is the Olin stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Olin is $20.20, +37.3% from the last close. Of the 12 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 10 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Olin stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Olin is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $14.71 is 47.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $27.94. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Olin report earnings next?

Olin is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026, before the market opens (17 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.15 per share on revenue of $1.83B. Olin beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.6% on average across the report.

What is Olin’s 52-week high and low?

Olin’s 52-week high is $30.46 and its 52-week low is $14.65; it closed at $14.71 on Oct 12, 2026, −40.8% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $67.25 on Jun 2, 2022.

Is Olin stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value), 1 as mixed (seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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