Weibo (WB) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$6.55+0.01 (+0.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Weibo shares have drawn fresh analyst attention this week. Brokerages have placed a consensus "Reduce" rating on the stock with an average 12-month price target of $8.80, even as the company's Q2 results showed earnings per share of $0.38 against revenue of $453.83 million. Separately, a fair value update puts the figure at $8.24, citing a higher discount rate and a lower assumed revenue growth rate for the advertising-led business. Weibo was also featured in a comparative review against Zillow Group.

The stock closed at $6.55, down from both its 50-day average of $6.96 and its 200-day average of $8.44, with the 50-day sitting below the 200-day. Over the past year the shares have fallen 47%, including a 26.4% decline over six months. The GekkoIndex reads 61.3, placing Weibo in the Accumulation zone, though the index has slipped 5.3 points over the last five sessions. Against Gekko Fair Value of $10.72, the current price sits 38.9% below that level.

The next earnings report is scheduled for 17 November 2026, before the open, which falls outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality data covering five years shows the 20 trading days following this point in the calendar averaging a 9.1% decline, with no positive occurrences in that span, a pattern worth noting alongside the current analyst consensus target of $8.24.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Weibo price vs fair value

$10.72$6.55Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $6.55200-day averageGekko Fair Value $10.72

Weibo quick facts

Market cap
$1.56B
P/E ratio
5.3
Forward P/E
6.9
EPS, TTM
$1.21
Revenue, TTM
$1.79B
Profit margin
17.8%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.14
Volume
599,050 avg 942,145
1-year return
−47.0%
Typical daily move
±1.8%
Typical 20-day move
±8.7%
50-day average
$6.96
200-day average
$8.44
Next earnings
Nov 17 before open
Shares outstanding
157.9M
52-week range
$6.27$12.34

Weibo swing-trade checklist

Weibo scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $6.55 is below the 50-day ($6.96) and 200-day ($8.44) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    61.3, Accumulation

    Reading 61.3 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    38.9% below

    Price is 38.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 36 days

    Next report Nov 17, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −9.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −9.1% over 5 years, rising in 0 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Weibo stock chart and price history

Weibo closed at $6.55 on Oct 12, 2026, −47.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $6.27 to $12.34.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Weibo share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$6$8$10$12NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct6.55

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−1.2%
3 months
−14.5%
6 months
−26.4%
1 year
−47.0%
The full WB chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open WB in Gekko

Follow Weibo through every session

Put WB on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Weibo

Weibo operates a major social platform used across China, where people post, browse and spread content of many kinds. It gives users ways to find what is trending, speak their own minds through posts and media, and interact with others in the community around shared interests. The service is chiefly recognized as a go-to spot for spotting hot topics as they unfold.

Money comes in through two main channels: advertising and marketing work, and value-added offerings. Brands can buy ordinary display ads or pick more tailored formats like Fans Headline and Weibo Express, plus spots tied to trend lists and search results. The platform also handles live streaming and video, lets users edit and customize posts, and manages copyrighted material, while giving multi-channel networks, unions and online sellers tools for traffic, back-end support and product needs. A developer-facing platform lets other apps plug in through Weibo logins and content sharing, and Weibo Wallet lets partners run perks such as digital red envelopes and coupons.

Weibo began in 2009 under the name T.CN Corporation before taking its present name in 2012. It is headquartered in Beijing, China, and functions as a subsidiary of Sina Corporation. Its stock trades under the ticker WB.

Sector
Technology services
Website
weibo.com

Weibo GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Weibo’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 61.3, in the Accumulation zone, down 5.3 points over five sessions.

010061.3Accumulation

Down 5.3 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying70−0.5%+0.2%+1.3%+1.8%
Accumulation (current zone)249−0.1%+0.6%+2.2%+1.4%
Neutral291−0.2%−0.6%−2.1%−3.0%
Distribution21+1.5%−1.7%−3.3%−3.5%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average WB share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the WB price, zone by zone.Track WB in Gekko

Is Weibo stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Weibo trades 38.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $10.72, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Weibo shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$10.72

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

38.9% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 15.6% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$11$7Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open WB in Gekko

Weibo insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Weibo, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for WB in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every WB insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open WB in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in WB were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for WB, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open WB in Gekko

Buybacks

Weibo has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, year ended Dec 31, 2022
$66.10M
As a share of market cap
4.22%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Dec 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold WB.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Weibo earnings: next date and track record

Weibo reports on Nov 17, 2026, before the open (36 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.6%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+7.9%Nov ’24−1.9%Mar ’25+11.8%May ’25+12.4%Aug ’25−1.8%Nov ’25−9.2%Mar ’26−2.7%May ’26−5.3%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 19, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Weibo reported Q2 2026 total revenue of $453.8M, up 2% YoY. Ad revenue declined 1% YoY to $381M amid consumption market headwinds, while VAS revenue grew 19% YoY to $72.9M. Non-GAAP operating income reached $125.4M with a 28% margin. MAUs hit 561M and DAUs reached 254M, though DAUs declined slightly YoY due to feed revamp adjustments and revised user acquisition strategy.
Guidance
Management plans to continue AI investment in product operations, refine homepage information feed, and strengthen video, community, and search capabilities. No specific revenue or earnings targets provided; focus remains on user retention, engagement improvement, and long-term platform competitiveness.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 19, 2026$0.38
est $0.36
+5.6%$453.8M
est $442.5M
+2.6%−5.3%
May 28, 2026$0.32
est $0.36
−11.1%——−2.7%
Mar 18, 2026$0.25
est $0.33
−24.9%$473.3M
est $444.8M
+6.4%−9.2%
Nov 18, 2025$0.42
est $0.42
0.0%$442.9M
est $444.3M
−0.3%−1.8%
Aug 14, 2025$0.54
est $0.43
+25.6%$444.8M
est $447.9M
−0.7%+12.4%
May 21, 2025$0.45
est $0.38
+18.7%$396.9M
est $437.6M
−9.3%+11.8%
Mar 13, 2025$0.40
est $0.39
+3.7%$456.8M
est $451.4M
+1.2%−1.9%
Nov 19, 2024$0.53
est $0.44
+20.5%$464.5M
est $451.7M
+2.8%+7.9%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Weibo stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Weibo is $8.24, +25.8% from the last close, from 4 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$8.24consensus 12-month target, +25.8% from the last close
Low $6.50High $8
Buy0
Hold3
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 4 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 24J.P. MorganHold, maintained$8+22.1%
Aug 21Bank of America SecuritiesSell, reiterated$6.50−0.8%
Aug 20CitiHold, downgraded$7.80+19.1%
Aug 20Goldman SachsHold, maintained$7.80+19.1%
Aug 20Goldman SachsHold, maintained$7.80+19.1%
+2.2%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−9.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Weibo seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Weibo averaged −9.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 0 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−8.6%2021−10.7%2022−7.8%2023−9.1%2024−8.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−3.9%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days−8.0%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days−10.0%0 of 5
Next 20 trading days−9.1%0 of 5
Next 30 trading days−10.3%0 of 5

For scale, WB’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.7%.

Weibo market cap and key statistics

Weibo’s market cap is $1.56B, with a P/E ratio of 5.3 and revenue of $1.79B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.56B
P/E ratio
5.3
Forward P/E
6.9
EPS, TTM
$1.21
Gekko Fair Value
$10.72

Trading

Volume
599,050
Avg volume, 20 days
942,145
52-week high
$12.34
52-week low
$6.27
Shares outstanding
157.9M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.79B
Profit margin
17.8%
Return on equity
8.5%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−45.8%

Risk and income

Beta
0.14
Typical daily move
±1.8%
Typical 20-day move
±8.7%

Weibo stock news this week

3 headlines about Weibo from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

More stocks

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Weibo stock FAQ

What is Weibo’s market cap?

Weibo’s market cap is $1.56B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $6.55, with 157.9M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 5.3.

What is the Weibo stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Weibo is $8.24, +25.8% from the last close. Of the 4 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Weibo stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Weibo is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $6.55 is 38.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $10.72. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Weibo report earnings next?

Weibo is expected to report on Nov 17, 2026, before the market opens (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.30 per share on revenue of $429.1M. Weibo beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.6% on average across the report.

What is Weibo’s 52-week high and low?

Weibo’s 52-week high is $12.34 and its 52-week low is $6.27; it closed at $6.55 on Oct 12, 2026, −47.0% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $52.05 on Oct 22, 2021.

Is Weibo stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk) and 2 as headwinds (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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