UDR (UDR) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$33.83−0.01 (0.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

This week's news centers on UDR's monthly dividend, reaffirmed at $0.145 per share and payable November 2nd (with a separate release noting a November 30th payment date), continuing a streak of 15 consecutive years of dividend increases and an annualized payout of $1.74. Coverage also points to updated full-year FFOA and same-store NOI guidance following the last quarterly report, alongside a consensus "Hold" rating from brokerages with an average 12-month price target near $40.97. Analyst commentary frames the raised guidance as a sign of operational resilience amid broader market pressure on the shares.

UDR closed at $33.83, sitting below both its 50-day average of $36.99 and its 200-day average of $37.03, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The stock's one-month return stands at -8.8% and its three-month return at -15.7%, though the six-month figure is slightly positive at 0.7%. The GekkoIndex reads 69.6, placing UDR in the Accumulation zone, while the price sits 5.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $35.89.

Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings date falls on 28 October, 29 days away and outside that window. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality data shows a historical average of -3.5% over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, with gains occurring in only 1 of those years, a pattern worth noting alongside the current gap to Gekko Fair Value.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

UDR price vs fair value

$35.89$33.83Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $33.83200-day averageGekko Fair Value $35.89

UDR quick facts

Market cap
$10.87B
P/E ratio
21.2
Forward P/E
51.6
EPS, TTM
$1.58
Revenue, TTM
$1.77B
Profit margin
29.6%
Dividend yield
5.12%
Beta
0.69
Volume
3.99M avg 3.99M
1-year return
−7.8%
Typical daily move
±1.7%
Typical 20-day move
±4.1%
50-day average
$36.99
200-day average
$37.03
Next earnings
Oct 28
Shares outstanding
321.3M
52-week range
$32.94$42.00

UDR swing-trade checklist

UDR scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $33.83 is below the 50-day ($36.99) and 200-day ($37.03) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    69.6, Accumulation

    Reading 69.6 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    5.7% below

    Price is 5.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 29 days

    Next report Oct 28, 2026, 29 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −3.5% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −3.5% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

UDR stock chart and price history

UDR closed at $33.83 on Sep 28, 2026, −7.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $32.94 to $42.00.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
UDR share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$36$38$40NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep33.83

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−8.8%
3 months
−15.7%
6 months
+0.7%
1 year
−7.8%
The full UDR chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open UDR in Gekko

Follow UDR through every session

Put UDR on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About UDR

UDR is a real estate investment trust that focuses on multifamily housing, owning and operating apartment communities across a range of U.S. markets. It is recognized for its work across the full lifecycle of these properties, including managing, buying, selling, developing and redeveloping apartment homes. The company's portfolio has included ownership or partial ownership of tens of thousands of apartment units, along with additional units in development at various points.

Its business centers on the residents who lease these apartment homes, with revenue tied to the ongoing management and improvement of its housing communities. The company is also included in the S&P 500 index.

UDR has been in operation for several decades, reflecting a long-standing presence in the apartment housing space. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker UDR.

Sector
Finance
Website
udr.com

UDR GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

UDR’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 69.6, in the Accumulation zone, down 5.3 points over five sessions.

010069.6Accumulation

Down 5.3 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying34+0.2%+1.4%+3.6%+4.8%
Accumulation (current zone)2020.0%−0.2%−0.1%+0.2%
Neutral3650.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Distribution24−1.1%−0.5%−2.5%−4.5%
Selling0Not available

Average UDR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the UDR price, zone by zone.Track UDR in Gekko

Is UDR stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

UDR trades 5.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $35.89, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what UDR shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$35.89

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

5.7% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open UDR in Gekko

UDR insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for UDR, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for UDR in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every UDR insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open UDR in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in UDR were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for UDR, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open UDR in Gekko

Buybacks

UDR has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$200.3M
As a share of market cap
1.84%
Trailing four quarters
$418.1M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold UDR.

0added0opened0trimmed2sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

UDR earnings: next date and track record

UDR reports on Oct 28, 2026 (29 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−3.3%Oct ’24+3.1%Feb ’25+3.3%Apr ’25−3.2%Jul ’25−4.0%Oct ’25+4.9%Feb ’26+0.4%Apr ’26−1.5%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 27, 2026 AI summary

What they said
UDR reported Q2 2026 same-store revenue growth of 1.8% YoY, driven by blended lease rate growth of 2.1% (accelerating 50bps vs Q1), mid-96% occupancy, and mid-single-digit innovation income growth. Results exceeded expectations, prompting raised full-year same-store growth and FFOA per share guidance. Strategic initiatives include exiting debt/preferred equity lending, share repurchases at NAV discounts, and transitioning to monthly dividend distribution to diversify the investor base.
Guidance
Management raised full-year 2026 same-store revenue growth and FFOA per share guidance following better-than-expected H1 results. The company plans to wind down its debt and preferred equity book, focusing capital allocation on core operations and opportunistic share repurchases.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 27, 2026$0.64
est $0.63
+1.6%$422.9M
est $423.3M
−0.1%−1.5%
Apr 29, 2026$0.48
est $0.13
+269.2%$423.3M
est $427.1M
−0.9%+0.4%
Feb 9, 2026$0.64
est $0.15
+324.7%$428.8M
est $430.1M
−0.3%+4.9%
Oct 29, 2025$0.65
est $0.63
+3.2%$431.9M
est $430.3M
+0.4%−4.0%
Jul 30, 2025$0.64
est $0.62
+3.2%$425.4M
est $422.2M
+0.8%−3.2%
Apr 30, 2025$0.61
est $0.61
0.0%$421.9M
est $421.0M
+0.2%+3.3%
Feb 5, 2025$0.03
est $0.03
0.0%$422.7M
est $421.2M
+0.4%+3.1%
Oct 30, 2024$0.08
est $0.10
−20.0%$420.2M
est $420.1M
0.0%−3.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

UDR stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for UDR is $41.45, +22.5% from the last close, from 16 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$41.45consensus 12-month target, +22.5% from the last close
Low $38High $46
Buy6
Hold8
Sell2

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 16 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 21Evercore ISIBuy, maintained$41+21.2%
Sep 21KeyBancBuy, maintained——
Sep 17ScotiabankHold, maintained$38+12.3%
Sep 15Truist FinancialHold, maintained$38+12.3%
Sep 15UBSBuy, maintained$41+21.2%
−0.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−3.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

UDR seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, UDR averaged −3.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+3.6%2021−4.4%2022−11.5%2023−2.7%2024−2.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.1%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.4%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−1.6%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days−3.5%1 of 5
Next 30 trading days−2.6%1 of 5

For scale, UDR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.1%.

UDR market cap and key statistics

UDR’s market cap is $10.87B, with a P/E ratio of 21.2 and revenue of $1.77B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$10.87B
P/E ratio
21.2
Forward P/E
51.6
EPS, TTM
$1.58
Gekko Fair Value
$35.89

Trading

Volume
3.99M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.99M
52-week high
$42.00
52-week low
$32.94
Shares outstanding
321.3M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.77B
Profit margin
29.6%
Return on equity
13.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+90.9%

Risk and income

Beta
0.69
Typical daily move
±1.7%
Typical 20-day move
±4.1%
Dividend yield
5.12%

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UDR stock FAQ

What is UDR’s market cap?

UDR’s market cap is $10.87B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $33.83, with 321.3M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 21.2.

What is the UDR stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for UDR is $41.45, +22.5% from the last close. Of the 16 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 8 a hold and 2 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is UDR stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate UDR is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $33.83 is 5.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $35.89. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does UDR report earnings next?

UDR is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026 (29 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.15 per share on revenue of $428.1M. UDR beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 3% on average across the report.

What is UDR’s 52-week high and low?

UDR’s 52-week high is $42.00 and its 52-week low is $32.94; it closed at $33.83 on Sep 28, 2026, −7.8% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $61.06 on Jan 4, 2022.

Is UDR stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk) and 2 as headwinds (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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