American Homes 4 Rent (AMH) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$30.56−0.08 (−0.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

AMH has fallen 8.7% over four weeks, and recent commentary points to the stock trading in oversold territory, with some suggesting strong agreement among analysts raising earnings estimates could set up a trend reversal. Separately, State Street Corp trimmed its position in the stock by 3.7% in its latest 13F filing.

Shares closed at $30.56, down 0.3%, sitting between the 50-day average of $33.06 and the 200-day average of $31.68, reflecting a mixed trend picture. The stock is down 8.6% over one month and 10.1% over three months, though up 11.2% over six months. The GekkoIndex reads 73.6, placing AMH in the Buying zone, while the gap to Gekko Fair Value of $51.54 stands at -40.7%.

The next earnings report is set for 28 October 2026, 29 days out, which falls outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter saw an EPS beat of $0.47 against a $0.22 estimate, with a -5.9% reaction. Over the last 90 days, 2 insider purchases totaling $150,410 have been recorded, alongside 1 billionaire holder. Analyst coverage from 12 firms shows 8 buy and 4 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $37.11. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -1.1% across 5 years, rising in 2 of them, a factor worth noting alongside the upcoming earnings date.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

American Homes 4 Rent price vs fair value

▲$51.54$30.56Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $30.56200-day averageGekko Fair Value $51.54

American Homes 4 Rent quick facts

Market cap
$10.98B
P/E ratio
24.3
Forward P/E
200
EPS, TTM
$1.26
Revenue, TTM
$1.88B
Profit margin
25.5%
Dividend yield
4.11%
Beta
0.80
Volume
3.05M avg 3.08M
1-year return
−6.3%
Typical daily move
±1.7%
Typical 20-day move
±3.5%
50-day average
$33.06
200-day average
$31.68
Next earnings
Oct 28
Shares outstanding
359.2M
52-week range
$27.22$35.07

American Homes 4 Rent swing-trade checklist

American Homes 4 Rent scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $30.56 sits between the 50-day ($33.06) and 200-day ($31.68) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    73.6, Buying

    Reading 73.6 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    40.7% below

    Price is 40.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 2 open-market insider purchases.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 29 days

    Next report Oct 28, 2026, 29 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −1.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −1.1% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

American Homes 4 Rent stock chart and price history

American Homes 4 Rent closed at $30.56 on Sep 28, 2026, −6.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $27.22 to $35.07.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
American Homes 4 Rent share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$28$32$34$36NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep30.56

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−8.6%
3 months
−10.1%
6 months
+11.2%
1 year
−6.3%
The full AMH chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open AMH in Gekko

Follow American Homes 4 Rent through every session

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About American Homes 4 Rent

American Homes 4 Rent operates in the single-family rental housing market, offering houses for lease to tenants rather than apartments or commercial space. It is known as a brand focused on rental homes intended to provide quality and value for the people who live in them.

The company functions as an internally managed Maryland Real Estate Investment Trust, meaning its own staff handle operations rather than an outside manager. Its business spans acquiring properties, building or renovating them, and then leasing and managing them on an ongoing basis, with its customers being renters of single-family homes across a range of local markets in the United States.

The exact headquarters location and founding date are not specified here. Its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker AMH.

Sector
Finance
Website
amh.com

American Homes 4 Rent GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

American Homes 4 Rent’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 73.6, in the Buying zone, down 3.4 points over five sessions.

010073.6Buying

Down 3.4 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)28+1.4%+2.4%+3.5%+1.0%
Accumulation257+0.3%0.0%+0.2%+0.2%
Neutral335−0.5%−0.5%−0.8%−1.2%
Distribution5Too few readings yet
Selling0Not available

Average AMH share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AMH price, zone by zone.Track AMH in Gekko

Is American Homes 4 Rent stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

American Homes 4 Rent trades 40.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $51.54, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what American Homes 4 Rent shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$51.54

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

40.7% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AMH in Gekko

American Homes 4 Rent insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 2 open-market purchases in American Homes 4 Rent worth $150K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$150Kin 2 open-market purchases

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Sep 14CORRIGAN JACK E
director
Purchase4,000$86K
Sep 14CORRIGAN JACK E
director
Purchase3,000$64K

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in AMH were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for AMH, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AMH in Gekko

Buybacks

American Homes 4 Rent has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$500.0M, May 28, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$123.0M
As a share of market cap
1.12%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds AMH.

1added0opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

American Homes 4 Rent earnings: next date and track record

American Homes 4 Rent reports on Oct 28, 2026 (29 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.1%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−4.0%Oct ’24−0.5%Feb ’25+3.4%Apr ’25+5.1%May ’25−3.9%Jul ’25−0.2%Jul ’25−1.6%Oct ’25−5.9%Feb ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Feb 19, 2026$0.47
est $0.22
+113.9%$455.0M
est $459.2M
−0.9%−5.9%
Oct 29, 2025$0.47
est $0.46
+2.2%$478.5M
est $459.2M
+4.2%−1.6%
Jul 31, 2025$0.47
est $0.46
+2.2%$457.5M
est $475.5M
−3.8%−0.2%
Jul 30, 2025$0.29
est $0.17
+74.9%$457.5M
est $475.5M
−3.8%−3.9%
May 1, 2025$0.46
est $0.45
+2.2%$459.3M
est $449.3M
+2.2%+5.1%
Apr 30, 2025$0.31
est $0.17
+78.3%$459.3M
est $449.3M
+2.2%+3.4%
Feb 20, 2025$0.45
est $0.15
+200.0%$441.9M
est $442.0M
0.0%−0.5%
Oct 29, 2024$0.44
est $0.43
+2.3%$445.1M
est $437.2M
+1.8%−4.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

American Homes 4 Rent stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for American Homes 4 Rent is $37.11, +21.4% from the last close, from 12 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$37.11consensus 12-month target, +21.4% from the last close
Low $31High $39
Buy8
Hold4
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 12 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 21Mizuho SecuritiesBuy, upgraded$36+17.8%
Sep 21Evercore ISIBuy, maintained$37+21.1%
Sep 17ScotiabankHold, maintained$31+1.4%
Sep 14Evercore ISIBuy, maintained$38+24.3%
Sep 13BMO CapitalBuy, maintained$39+27.6%
+3.5%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
−1.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

American Homes 4 Rent seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, American Homes 4 Rent averaged −1.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+2.2%2021−4.1%2022−6.5%2023−0.4%2024+2.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.3%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.2%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days−0.2%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−1.1%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days0.0%2 of 5

For scale, AMH’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.5%.

American Homes 4 Rent market cap and key statistics

American Homes 4 Rent’s market cap is $10.98B, with a P/E ratio of 24.3 and revenue of $1.88B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$10.98B
P/E ratio
24.3
Forward P/E
200
EPS, TTM
$1.26
Gekko Fair Value
$51.54

Trading

Volume
3.05M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.08M
52-week high
$35.07
52-week low
$27.22
Shares outstanding
359.2M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.88B
Profit margin
25.5%
Return on equity
7.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+10.6%

Risk and income

Beta
0.80
Typical daily move
±1.7%
Typical 20-day move
±3.5%
Dividend yield
4.11%

American Homes 4 Rent stock news this week

2 headlines about American Homes 4 Rent from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

More stocks

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

American Homes 4 Rent stock FAQ

What is American Homes 4 Rent’s market cap?

American Homes 4 Rent’s market cap is $10.98B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $30.56, with 359.2M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 24.3.

What is the American Homes 4 Rent stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for American Homes 4 Rent is $37.11, +21.4% from the last close. Of the 12 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 8 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is American Homes 4 Rent stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate American Homes 4 Rent is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $30.56 is 40.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $51.54. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does American Homes 4 Rent report earnings next?

American Homes 4 Rent is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026 (29 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.18 per share on revenue of $488.6M. American Homes 4 Rent beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.1% on average across the report.

What is American Homes 4 Rent’s 52-week high and low?

American Homes 4 Rent’s 52-week high is $35.07 and its 52-week low is $27.22; it closed at $30.56 on Sep 28, 2026, −6.3% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $44.07 on Dec 31, 2021.

Is American Homes 4 Rent stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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